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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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148296444592 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for micro states

Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, turning unconfounded into confounded relations.

problem Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, leading to paradoxical confounding.
method Analysis of how aggregated variables can change the definition of causality and the feasibility of causal relations.
result Macro causal relations are defined by micro states, not just aggregated variables.

Network embedding aims to embed nodes into a low-dimensional space, while capturing the network structures and properties. Although quite a few promising network embedding methods have been proposed, most of them focus on static networks. In fact, temporal networks, which usually evolve over time in terms of microscopi…

2019-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

As mobile devices become more and more popular, mobile gaming has emerged as a promising market with billion-dollar revenues. A variety of mobile game platforms and services have been developed around the world. A critical challenge for these platforms and services is to understand the churn behavior in mobile games, w…

2019-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses small perturbations to improve representation learning from few labels.

problem Stability issues and label scarcity in representation learning.
method Introduces small-perturbation ideology on representation probability distribution models.
result Proposed models show better performance in clustering compared to baseline methods.

This study presents a multimodal machine learning model to predict ICD-10 diagnostic codes. We developed separate machine learning models that can handle data from different modalities, including unstructured text, semi-structured text and structured tabular data. We further employed an ensemble method to integrate all…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study investigates micro-event detection on FLOSS version releases from Stack Overflow.

problem Detecting micro-events in FLOSS version release events from textual messages.
method Developed pipelines using LDA topic modeling, hSBM topics, and sentiment analysis; optimized feature spaces with RFECV; evaluated models with statistical analysis.
result Found characteristic changes in topics or sentiment features before or after FLOSS version releases.

Cyclic Data Parallelism reduces memory usage and balances gradient communications.

problem Training large deep learning models requires efficient parallelism to scale.
method Cyclic Data Parallelism shifts micro-batches from simultaneous to sequential execution, balancing memory and gradient communications.
result Cyclic Data Parallelism reduces total memory usage and balances gradient communications.

Micro-panel data are collected and analysed in many research and industry areas. Cluster analysis of micro-panel data is an unsupervised learning exploratory method identifying subgroup clusters in a data set which include homogeneous objects in terms of the development dynamics of monitored variables. The supply of cl…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The standard reinforcement learning (RL) formulation considers the expectation of the (discounted) cumulative reward. This is limiting in applications where we are concerned with not only the expected performance, but also the distribution of the performance. In this paper, we introduce micro-objective reinforcement le…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we seek methods to effectively detect urban micro-events. Urban micro-events are events which occur in cities, have limited geographical coverage and typically affect only a small group of citizens. Because of their scale these are difficult to identify in most data sources. However, by using citizen sens…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Useful alpha returns vanished in modern stock markets.

problem The inefficiency of modern stock markets in generating useful alpha.
method Analysis of 200 published long-short anomaly equity portfolios over different time periods and stock selection criteria.
result Even modest allowances for luck or transaction costs eliminated published academic anomalies.

We present a domain-general account of causation that applies to settings in which macro-level causal relations between two systems are of interest, but the relevant causal features are poorly understood and have to be aggregated from vast arrays of micro-measurements. Our approach generalizes that of Chalupka et al. (…

2015-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Microdata improves inflation forecasts after major shocks, study finds.

problem Forecasting inflation in a non-stationary environment with microeconomic data.
method Developed a scan test to detect periods of micro forecast outperformance, combined with adaptive machine learning.
result Micro forecasts improve inflation predictions after major shocks, especially after 2020.

A new model for defective media using two scales.

problem Modeling defects in media with two scales.
method Generalization of Riemann-Cartan manifolds and fibre bundle theory, constructing a first-order placement map.
result Emergent behaviors like dislocations and disclinations arise from the interaction of macroscopic and microscopic scales.

Credit Scores are ubiquitous and instrumental for loan providers and regulators. In this paper we showcase how micro-loan credit system can be developed in real setting. We show what challenges arise and discuss solutions. Particularly, we are concerned about model interpretability and data quality. In the final sectio…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

L-modules are a combinatorial analogue of constructible sheaves on the reductive Borel-Serre compactification of a locally symmetric space. We define the micro-support of an L-module; it is a set of irreducible modules for the Levi quotients of the parabolic Q-subgroups associated to the strata. We prove a vanishing th…

2001-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A machine learning model captures non-Newtonian fluid dynamics from molecular details.

problem Creating accurate non-Newtonian fluid models from molecular data.
method Developed a machine learning framework that maps micro-scale polymer configurations to macro-scale fluid dynamics, preserving molecular fidelity.
result The deep non-Newtonian model (DeePN2^2) accurately predicts fluid behavior without empirical closures.

Click-through rate (CTR) is a key signal of relevance for search engine results, both organic and sponsored. CTR of a result has two core components: (a) the probability of examination of a result by a user, and (b) the perceived relevance of the result given that it has been examined by the user. There has been consid…

2018-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we introduce a micro-clustering strategy for Functional Boxplots. The aim is to summarize a set of streaming time series splitted in non overlapping windows. It is a two step strategy which performs at first, an on-line summarization by means of functional data structures, named Functional Boxplot micro-c…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural network approximates flow averages for rough walls in multiscale simulations.

problem Approximating flow averages in rough-wall Stokes flow simulations.
method Fourier neural operator for local averages, parameterized by local wall geometry.
result Stable and accurate HMM solution with reduced micro problem solving cost.

Six AI solutions accurately detect growth plate planes in mice bone scans.

problem Manual, time-consuming, and variable bone growth plate detection in micro-CT scans.
method Prepared and annotated a dataset of 3D μCT scans, organized a challenge, and developed six computer vision solutions.
result Achieved mean absolute error of 1.91±0.87 planes from ground truth.

New framework analyzes pre-stock jump trading behaviors using multivariate time series analysis.

problem Understanding micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps.
method Multivariate time series analysis considering temporal information.
result Identifies highly informative attributes for predicting price jumps.

Study detects spoofing in high-frequency trading using micro-structural analysis.

problem Challenges in detecting spoofing due to complex electronic platforms and high-frequency trading.
method Micro-structural study in a simplified setting, optimization of spoofing strategy, monitoring with Wasserstein distance.
result Optimal spoofing strategy and its impact on market imbalance quantified.

Shaping in humans and animals has been shown to be a powerful tool for learning complex tasks as compared to learning in a randomized fashion. This makes the problem less complex and enables one to solve the easier sub task at hand first. Generating a curriculum for such guided learning involves subjecting the agent to…

2019-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

NVIDIA cuDNN is a low-level library that provides GPU kernels frequently used in deep learning. Specifically, cuDNN implements several equivalent convolution algorithms, whose performance and memory footprint may vary considerably, depending on the layer dimensions. When an algorithm is automatically selected by cuDNN,…

2018-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper translates economic models into a field formalism to study capital accumulation and its fluctuations.

problem Understanding capital accumulation and its fluctuations in a complex economic system.
method Developed a field formalism to preserve interactions and microeconomic features, applying it to a microeconomic framework of investors and firms.
result Capital accumulation patterns can emerge at the macro-scale and affect neighboring sectors, leading to permanent fluctuations.

Equity options are known to be notoriously difficult to price accurately, and even with the development of established mathematical models there are many assumptions that must be made about the underlying processes driving market movements. As such, the theoretical prices outputted by these models are often slightly di…

2017-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

User behavior data in recommender systems are driven by the complex interactions of many latent factors behind the users' decision making processes. The factors are highly entangled, and may range from high-level ones that govern user intentions, to low-level ones that characterize a user's preference when executing an…

2019-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a novel index to quantify and measure the flow of information on macro and micro scales. We discuss the implications of this index for knowledge management fields and also as intellectual capital that can thus be utilized by entrepreneurs. We explore different function and human oriented metric…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Peer-induced fairness framework audits algorithmic fairness in AI applications.

problem Current auditing methods lack robustness and fail to distinguish between algorithmic discrimination and subject limitations.
method Combines counterfactual fairness and peer comparison strategy for a reliable auditing tool.
result Demonstrates significant unfairness in micro-firms compared to non-micro firms, highlighting the framework's potential.

We proposed a market simulation model (micro model) which displays multifractality and reproduces many important stylized facts of speculative markets. From this model we analytically extracted the MMAR model (Multifractal Model of Asset Returns) for the macroscopic limit.

2003-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical exploration is carried out by using comparisons of some usual financial economy syste…

2004-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗