Paper predicts in-situ metro passenger density using smart card data.
problem Crowd management in metro systems.
method Statistical models and EM algorithm for time-dependent OD matrix and travel time cost estimation.
result Accurate prediction of in-situ passenger density for future time points.
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
A framework combining HSMM and survival analysis for lifecycle-oriented mobility analysis.
problem Understanding individual metro usage dynamics over multi-year horizons.
method A state-based lifecycle modeling framework integrating HSMM and discrete-time survival analysis.
result Identification of interpretable mobility states, transition dynamics, and state-dependent exit and re-entry processes.
Unified theory explains housing cycle across metros, showing credit expansion impacts.
problem Puzzling correlations between income and mortgage growth across ZIP codes and metros.
method Unified credit expansion theory, double differences, instrumental variables.
result Credit expansion drives housing cycle, affecting boom, bust, and recovery phases.
METRO predicts reactions using minimal templates, reducing computational overhead and achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Predicting possible reaction substrates for complex molecules from simpler precursors.
method METRO (Molecule-Edit Templates for RetrOsynthesis) uses minimal templates to predict reactions efficiently and accurately.
result METRO achieves state-of-the-art results on standard benchmarks, reducing computational overhead.
Low-rank tensor decomposition and completion have attracted significant interest from academia given the ubiquity of tensor data. However, the low-rank structure is a global property, which will not be fulfilled when the data presents complex and weak dependencies given specific graph structures. One particular applica…
New model for network analysis using functional data.
problem Existing network models treat nodes as functions, but this paper introduces functional edges.
method Transform adjacency matrix into functional adjacency tensor, apply Tucker decomposition, regularize basis matrices, and solve tensor completion problem.
result The model effectively captures community structure and handles irregular functional edge data.
This study predicts parking availability using multi-source data and a self-supervised learning enhanced transformer.
problem Accurate parking availability prediction to support urban planning and management.
method Proposes SST-iTransformer, a self-supervised learning enhanced spatio-temporal inverted transformer, integrating multi-source data.
result SST-iTransformer achieves state-of-the-art performance in parking availability prediction.
Recently, practical applications for passenger flow prediction have brought many benefits to urban transportation development. With the development of urbanization, a real-world demand from transportation managers is to construct a new metro station in one city area that never planned before. Authorities are interested…
Risk, including economic risk, is increasingly a concern for public policy and management. The possibility of dealing effectively with risk is hampered, however, by lack of a sound empirical basis for risk assessment and management. The paper demonstrates the general point for cost and demand risks in urban rail projec…
Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.
problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
Bus transit systems are the backbone of public transportation in the United States. An important indicator of the quality of service in such infrastructures is on-time performance at stops, with published transit schedules playing an integral role governing the level of success of the service. However there are relativ…
We describe two applications of machine learning in the context of IP/Optical networks. The first one allows agile management of resources at a core IP/Optical network by using machine learning for short-term and long-term prediction of traffic flows and joint global optimization of IP and optical layers using colorles…
New algorithms optimize metrics for binary classification with class imbalance.
problem Optimizing metrics like Fβ, AM, Jaccard for imbalanced classes.
method Reformulates metric optimization as cost-sensitive learning, using surrogate loss functions.
result METRO algorithms provide strong theoretical guarantees and outperform baselines.
Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trips considering hierarchical and multi-dimensional data.
problem Clustering passenger trips with hierarchical and multi-dimensional data, especially in large-scale transportation systems.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture (Tensor-DPMM) model, incorporating Dirichlet Process for automatic cluster number determination and tensor representation for multi-mode data.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and improved clustering quality.
Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trajectories with graphs.
problem Hierarchical trip structure, inaccurate clustering number, and lack of spatial semantic graphs.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture model with graphs and a tensor version of Collapsed Gibbs Sampling.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and better cluster quality.
Study of urban lifestyles from mobility data of 1.2M people in 11 U.S. cities.
problem Lack of interpretability in digital mobility data for understanding urban lifestyles.
method Privacy-enhanced dataset of mobility visitation patterns, latent activity behavior decomposition.
result Detected 12 latent activity behaviors that describe urban lifestyles, not single lifestyles.
This paper investigates the risk-return relationship in determination of housing asset pricing. In so doing, the paper evaluates behavioral hypotheses advanced by Case and Shiller (1988, 2002, 2009) in studies of boom and post-boom housing markets. The paper specifies and tests a multi-factor housing asset pricing mode…
Overview of integrable systems with symmetries, focusing on toric and semitoric systems.
problem Classifying and understanding integrable systems with symmetries.
method Using decorated polygons and controlled bifurcations in one-parameter families of systems.
result Construction of explicit semitoric systems with prescribed invariants.
New method to derive integrable systems from existing Lax systems.
problem Deriving new integrable systems from existing ones.
method Systematic method of deriving new integrable systems from a given one.
result Examples of new integrable systems derived, including the dispersionless Hirota equation, the general heavenly equation, and the web equations.
Learning to control linear systems is statistically hard, especially for underactuated systems.
problem Statistical difficulty of learning to control linear systems, especially underactuated ones.
method Utilized minimax lower bounds and structural assumptions to prove learning complexity can be exponential.
result Learning complexity can be at most exponential with the controllability index of the system.
Discrete-time systems can be characterized by simple flat coordinates and their shifts.
problem Characterizing flatness of discrete-time systems.
method Developed a map from flat coordinates and their shifts to system state and input, fulfilling system equations identically.
result Derived necessary conditions for a system to be flat, without requiring differential geometry methods.
The paper explores when linear system identification is hard or easy, especially for under-actuated systems.
problem Statistical hardness of learning linear systems, especially under-actuated or under-excited systems.
method Using tools from minimax theory and recent statistical tools for finite sample analysis of system identification.
result The controllability index of linear systems affects the sample complexity of identification, making some systems hard to learn.
This paper improves system identification by reducing sample complexity for high-dimensional linear dynamical systems.
problem High sample complexity for learning partially observed linear dynamical systems in high dimensions.
method Introduces an ℓ1-regularized estimation method that reduces sample complexity from linear to logarithmic with system dimension. result Markov parameters can be learned with logarithmic number of samples relative to system dimension, improving sample complexity.
In integrable hydrodynamic systems, coordinates exist where generators and symmetries are simple.
problem Existence of Riemannian invariants for integrable systems of hydrodynamic type.
method Finding coordinates where the generator and all symmetries are diagonal.
result In integrable hydrodynamic systems, there exist coordinates where the generator and all symmetries are diagonal.
This paper studies nonholonomic constraints in Hamiltonian systems, deriving equations and theorems.
problem Analyzing nonholonomic constraints in Hamiltonian systems.
method Deriving distributional RCH systems, geometric constraint conditions, and Hamilton-Jacobi theorems.
result Derives precise geometric constraint conditions and Hamilton-Jacobi theorems for nonholonomic systems.
New method models unknown systems with hidden parameters using neural networks.
problem Modeling unknown dynamical systems with hidden parameters.
method Training a deep neural network (DNN) model using trajectory data of the unknown system.
result DNN model accurately predicts unknown dynamical systems with new initial conditions.
Study absolute equivalence for Pfaffian systems, applying to control systems.
problem Absolute equivalence of Pfaffian systems with specific independence conditions.
method Structural results for Pfaffian systems of corank 3, applied to control systems.
result Dynamic feedback linearization of control systems with 2 inputs.
Solves selecting the best optimizing system problems.
problem Selecting the best system among contenders with unknown performance.
method Adaptive algorithms integrating stochastic gradient descent and sequential elimination.
result Exponential rates of convergence to zero for false selection probability.
This paper considers control systems defined on Lie algebroids. After deriving basic controllability tests for general control systems, we specialize our discussion to the class of mechanical control systems on Lie algebroids. This class of systems includes mechanical systems subject to holonomic and nonholonomic const…
Superintegrable systems on curved manifolds found to have Hessian structures.
problem Characterizing superintegrable systems on curved manifolds.
method Identifying and computing Hessian coordinates for superintegrable systems.
result Examples of superintegrable systems in 2D and 3D have natural Hessian coordinates.
Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient macroprudential regulation of financial institutions. The current paper proposes a…
Researchers solve boundary and scattering rigidity problems for magnetic systems.
problem Recovering magnetic systems from boundary or scattering data.
method Reduced to magnetic systems and applied results from [DPSU07].
result Recovering MP-system up to a gauge. The paper develops methods to derive mixed superposition rules for Lie systems and applies them to various physical systems.
problem Finding general solutions for Lie systems.
method Develops mixed superposition rules for Lie systems with imprimitive Lie algebras and semidirect sums.
result Extends coalgebra method to Lie systems of partial differential equations.
Paper develops reduction theory for controlled Lagrangian systems with symmetry and momentum map.
problem Reduction of controlled Lagrangian systems with symmetry and momentum map.
method Using Legendre transformation and Euler-Lagrange vector field, the paper extends symmetric reduction theory.
result Established regular reduction theory for RCL systems with symmetry and momentum map.
The paper studies connections in superintegrable systems, revealing geometric insights.
problem Understanding non- and semi-degenerate superintegrable systems.
method Analyzes two torsion-free connections associated with superintegrable systems.
result Semi-degenerate secondary structure tensor is the Ricci curvature of a natural torsion-free connection.
This paper proposes a system-agnostic policy for dynamic scheduling.
problem Dynamic scheduling in changing systems is challenging due to system-specific optimal policies.
method Descriptive policy that learns a system-agnostic scheduling principle.
result System-agnostic meta-learning enables adaptation to unseen system characteristics.
Learn dynamics of a system using auxiliary data from similar systems.
problem Learning dynamics of a linear system with limited data.
method Weighted least squares approach, incorporating auxiliary data.
result Auxiliary data can help reduce intrinsic error due to noise.
The inability to see and quantify systemic financial risk comes at an immense social cost. Systemic risk in the financial system arises to a large extent as a consequence of the interconnectedness of its institutions, which are linked through networks of different types of financial contracts, such as credit, derivativ…
New Lie systems derived from Goursat distributions with applications to differential equations.
problem Analyzing Lie systems associated with Goursat distributions and their applications.
method Analyzing bracket-generating distributions and their relation to Lie systems, focusing on reductions and reconstructions.
result Lie systems associated with Goursat distributions can be reduced and solutions reconstructed from reduced systems.
Elliptic systems are characterized by Darboux integrability.
problem Characterizing elliptic differential systems with holomorphic solutions.
method Using a complex manifold and associated holomorphic Pfaffian system.
result Elliptic systems are Darboux integrable under generic conditions.
The study analyzes stochastic Lie systems and their applications in various models.
problem Analyzing stochastic differential equations on manifolds.
method Coalgebra method for Hamiltonian stochastic Lie systems.
result New examples of stochastic Lie systems and Hamiltonian stochastic Lie systems are analyzed.
Reduces multisymplectic Lie systems through symmetry analysis.
problem Solving multisymplectic Lie systems using symmetry reduction.
method Using momentum maps for reduction and reconstruction of multisymplectic Lie systems.
result Solves the original problem by analyzing simpler multisymplectic Lie systems.
Study integrable discretizations of cyclic systems with circular coordinate lines.
problem Integrable discretizations of 3D cyclic systems with circular coordinate lines.
method Investigate circle congruences and flat connections in the context of discrete cyclic systems.
result Characterization of circle congruences and existence of certain flat connections.
A new chaotic financial system is proposed by considering ethics involvement in a four-dimensional financial system with market confidence. A five-dimensional conformable derivative financial system is presented by introducing conformable fractional calculus to the integer-order system. A discretization scheme is propo…