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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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5101419 · Jun 202619922001200920172026
48 results for merger arbitrage

Optimal execution strategy for merger & acquisition contracts with price impact.

problem Optimal execution and pricing of financial derivatives in M&A deals.
method Indifference utility arguments, considering linear and nonlinear contracts.
result Linear contracts are more expensive and vulnerable to manipulation.

Paper predicts M&A deal success using ML and DL techniques.

problem Predicting the success of M&A deals to avoid costly mistakes.
method Data preprocessing with ML techniques, feedforward neural networks, and sentiment scores integration.
result Methodology outperforms benchmark models in preliminary tests.

A concept of martingale-fair index of return, consistent with Arbitrage Free Pricing Theory, is introduced. An explicit formula for the average rate of return of a group of investment/pension funds in a discrete time stochastic model is derived and several properties of this index are shown. In particular, it is proven…

2015-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Semi-analytic models are best suited to compare galaxy formation and evolution theories with observations. These models rely heavily on halo merger trees, and their realistic features (i.e., no drastic changes on halo mass or jumps on physical locations). Our aim is to provide a new framework for halo merger tree gener…

2019-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Company mergers and acquisitions are often perceived to act as catalysts for corporate growth in free markets systems: it is conventional wisdom that those activities lead to better and more efficient markets. However, the broad adoption of this perception into corporate strategy is prone to result in a less diverse an…

2014-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines market reactions and spillovers in Japanese bank mergers using multiple methods.

problem Understanding valuation and spillover effects of bank mergers in the Japanese banking sector.
method Combines event study, VAR models, IRFs, and PSM to analyze two M&A events.
result Significant positive market reaction and prolonged positive spillovers detected.

Study examines how mergers and acquisitions affect Indian banks' financial performance and capital structure.

problem Impact of mergers and acquisitions on Indian banks' financial performance and capital structure.
method Statistical analysis using paired t-test on selected banks' annual reports.
result Mergers and acquisitions significantly impact financial performance and capital structure of Indian banks.

The FCA improved insider trading regulation after 2012, reducing abnormal returns.

problem Regulation of insider trading before and after the UK Financial Services Act 2012.
method Event study methodology using abnormal returns analysis.
result Abnormal returns were reduced after the FCA took over from the FSA.

Study upper hedging prices for contingent claims in models with various types of arbitrage.

problem Valuation of contingent claims in market models with different types of arbitrage.
method Analysis of market models with increasing profit, strong arbitrage, and arbitrage of the first kind.
result Option prices are reduced when increasing profit is present, and corporate stock price processes can be derived from issuance and repurchase plans.

The paper explores arbitrage in financial markets under uncertainty using Wasserstein distance.

problem Investigating arbitrage in financial markets with distributional uncertainty.
method Using Wasserstein distance, the paper considers weak and strong forms of arbitrage conditions and introduces a relaxation called statistical arbitrage.
result The paper derives dual formulations of robust arbitrage conditions and conducts computational experiments to answer questions about ambiguity and statistical arbitrage.

The paper investigates cyclic arbitrage opportunities in decentralized exchanges.

problem Price discrepancies in decentralized exchanges lead to arbitrage opportunities.
method Theoretical framework and analysis of transaction-level data.
result Traders have executed over 292,606 cyclic arbitrages over eleven months, exploiting more than 138 million USD in revenue.

This note develops an arbitrage theory for a discrete-time market model without the assumption of the existence of a numéraire asset. Fundamental theorems of asset pricing are stated and proven in this context. The distinction between the notions of investment-consumption arbitrage and pure-investment arbitrage provide…

2014-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct and study market models admitting optimal arbitrage. We say that a model admits optimal arbitrage if it is possible, in a zero-interest rate setting, starting with an initial wealth of 1 and using only positive portfolios, to superreplicate a constant c>1. The optimal arbitrage strategy is the strategy for…

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We generalize the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to include the contribution of virtual arbitrage opportunities. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process. The latter is incorporated in the APT framework to calculate the correction to the APT due to the virtual arbitrage opportunities. The resulting relatio…

1999-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

No-arbitrage constraints on implied variance slope are weak, leading to almost guaranteed arbitrage in many cases.

problem Weak constraints on implied variance slope in the Black-Scholes model lead to arbitrage opportunities.
method Analysis of constraints on implied variance slope and their implications for arbitrage.
result Arbitrage is almost always guaranteed in a wide range of slope values where constraints are enforced.

We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle. --Parameterize arbitrage strategies by its holonomy. --Give the Fundamental Theorem of Asset …

2009-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work a relation between a measure of short-term arbitrage in the market and the excess growth of portfolios as a notion of long-term arbitrage is established. The former originates from "Geometric Arbitrage Theory" and the latter from "Stochastic Portfolio Theory". Both aim to describe non-equilibrium effects i…

2019-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing, Physica A 345 (2005), 207-217] for the case of hedging a derivative when arbitrag…

2005-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep learning models reconstruct volatility surfaces from noisy data under no-arbitrage constraints.

problem Reconstructing implied volatility surfaces from sparse and noisy option quotes.
method Compared multiple neural architectures including Transformers, U-Nets, and variational autoencoders.
result Transformer and U-Net architectures achieve strong reconstruction accuracy, especially under sparse observation regimes.

A stock market is called diverse if no stock can dominate the market in terms of relative capitalization. On one hand, this natural property leads to arbitrage in diffusion models under mild assumptions. On the other hand, it is also easy to construct diffusion models which are both diverse and free of arbitrage. Can o…

2013-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New method finds arbitrage opportunities in fluctuating asset bands.

problem Finding arbitrage opportunities in fluctuating asset bands.
method Formulate as maximizing volatility within a price band, using convex-concave optimization.
result Approximately solves non-convex optimization problem for moving-band arbitrage.

We introduce the concept of spontaneous symmetry breaking to arbitrage modeling. In the model, the arbitrage strategy is considered as being in the symmetry breaking phase and the phase transition between arbitrage mode and no-arbitrage mode is triggered by a control parameter. We estimate the control parameter for mom…

2011-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find intra-day variations in the number and length of arbitrage opportunities, with la…

2008-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

In the context of a general continuous financial market model, we study whether the additional information associated with an honest time gives rise to arbitrage profits. By relying on the theory of progressive enlargement of filtrations, we explicitly show that no kind of arbitrage profit can ever be realised strictly…

2012-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

No arbitrage in financial markets with special semimartingales.

problem Proving the absence of arbitrage in non-numéraire financial markets.
method Proving the absence of arbitrage using a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.
result The market is free of arbitrage if and only if there exists a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.

This paper studies the concept of instantaneous arbitrage in continuous time and its relation to the instantaneous CAPM. Absence of instantaneous arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a trading strategy which satisfies the CAPM beta pricing relation in place of the market. Thus the difference between the arbitrag…

2019-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗