A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Active learning selects optimal measurement times for inferring continuous paths from sparse data.
Framework for energy markets using measure-valued processes.
Infinite dimensional measure-valued processes modeled as polynomial diffusions.
Study uses viscosity solutions to solve control problems involving measure-valued martingales.
This work optimizes bid strategies for online auctions using measure-valued optimization.
Optimal coupling among random vectors with known statistics and correlation structure found using minimum spanning tree over measure-valued vertices.
Study on measure-valued CARMA processes in Banach spaces.
A new algorithm reconstructs population dynamics from coarse samples.
3MSBM learns smooth trajectories from multiple snapshots.
We solve a complex Bayesian control problem with novel methods.
In this paper, we establish a fluid limit for a two--sided Markov order book model. Our main result states that in a certain asymptotic regime, a pair of measure-valued processes representing the "sell-side shape" and "buy-side shape" of an order book converges to a pair of deterministic measure-valued processes in a c…
The study examines convergence of stochastic processes on large graphs and adjacency matrices.
Method predicts hardware resource usage by control software with guaranteed linear convergence.
New guarantees for uniquely identifying transport maps and vector fields from finite measure-valued data.
We introduce a class of probability measure-valued diffusions, coined polynomial, of which the well-known Fleming--Viot process is a particular example. The defining property of finite dimensional polynomial processes considered by Cuchiero et al. (2012) and Filipovic and Larsson (2016) is transferred to this infinite …
A new diversification measure DQ derived from risk measures addresses limitations of existing indices.
The aim of this note is to study the measure-valued Ricci tensor on smooth metric measure space with boundary, which is a generalization of Bakry-Emery's modified Ricci tensor on weighted Riemannian manifold. As an application, we offer a new approach to study curvature-dimension condition of smooth metric measure spac…
We consider an optimal stopping problem where a constraint is placed on the distribution of the stopping time. Reformulating the problem in terms of so-called measure-valued martingales allows us to transform the marginal constraint into an initial condition and view the problem as a stochastic control problem; we esta…
In this paper, we extend the DC Calculus introduced by Perelman on finite dimensional Alexandrov spaces with curvature bounded below. Among other things, our results allow us to define the Hessian and the Laplacian of DC functions (including distance functions as a particular instance) as a measure-valued tensor and a …
A statistical description and model of individual healthcare expenditures in the US has been developed for measuring value in healthcare. We find evidence that healthcare expenditures are quantifiable as an infusion-diffusion process, which can be thought of intuitively as a steady change in the intensity of treatment …
Unexpectedly, weighted Pareto variables are stochastically dominant.
Study improves accuracy of risk measures using advanced algorithms.
Sharp heat kernel estimates on manifolds lead to solutions of the Parabolic Anderson model.
We study singular stochastic control of a two dimensional stochastic differential equation, where the first component is linear with random and unbounded coefficients. We derive existence of an optimal relaxed control and necessary conditions for optimality in the form of a mixed relaxed-singular maximum principle in a…
Recurring international financial crises have adverse socioeconomic effects and demand novel regulatory instruments or strategies for risk management and market stabilization. However, the complex web of market interactions often impedes rational decisions that would absolutely minimize the risk. Here we show that, for…
We obtain an explicit formula for the bilateral counterparty valuation adjustment of a credit default swaps portfolio referencing an asymptotically large number of entities. We perform the analysis under a doubly stochastic intensity framework, allowing for default correlation through a common jump process. The key ins…
Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) models extending the (70 year old) logistic equation to stochastic systems consisting of a multitude of competing auto-catalytic components lead to power distribution laws of the (100 year old) Pareto-Zipf type. In particular, when applied to economic systems, GLV leads to power laws in…
This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes a Monte Carlo method that is free of some of the limitations of existing approac…
We introduce polynomial processes taking values in an arbitrary Banach space via their infinitesimal generator and the associated martingale problem. We obtain two representations of the (conditional) moments in terms of solutions of a system of ODEs on the truncated tensor algebra of dual respectively bidual s…
In this paper we consider a mean-field model of interacting diffusions for the monetary reserves in which the reserves are subjected to a self- and cross-exciting shock. This is motivated by the financial acceleration and fire sales observed in the market. We derive a mean-field limit using a weak convergence analysis …
We study the problem of discriminative sub-trajectory mining. Given two groups of trajectories, the goal of this problem is to extract moving patterns in the form of sub-trajectories which are more similar to sub-trajectories of one group and less similar to those of the other. We propose a new method called Statistica…
Paper uses deep imitation learning to predict aircraft trajectories accurately.
We introduce the formalism of generalized Fourier transforms in the context of risk management. We develop a general framework to efficiently compute the most popular risk measures, Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall (also known as Conditional Value-at-Risk). The only ingredient required by our approach is the knowle…
Quantum Portfolios of quantum algorithms encoded on qbits have recently been reported. In this paper a discussion of the continuous variables version of quantum portfolios is presented. A risk neutral valuation model for options dependent on the measured values of the observables, analogous to the traditional Black-Sch…
Pattern ensembling fills in missing or inaccurate trajectory data.
Study shows magnetic trajectories in Berger spheres are homogeneous.
This paper develops an asymptotic expansion technique in momentum space for stochastic filtering. It is shown that Fourier transformation combined with a polynomial-function approximation of the nonlinear terms gives a closed recursive system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for the relevant conditional distri…
Improved trajectory prediction for team sports using sparse outputs.
WS-II algorithm segments trajectories with high accuracy.
A framework clusters vehicle motion trajectories efficiently.
In this paper we propose a new parameter-free method for trajectory classification which finds the best trajectory partition and dimension combination for robust trajectory classification. Preliminary experiments show that our approach is very promising.
Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.
Study on membranes under confinement, proving existence and regularity of minimizers.
Many AI problems, in robotics and other domains, are goal-directed, essentially seeking a trajectory leading to some goal state. In such problems, the way we choose to represent a trajectory underlies algorithms for trajectory prediction and optimization. Interestingly, most all prior work in imitation and reinforcemen…
In this paper we study time-consistent risk measures for returns that are given by a GARCH(1,1) model. We present a construction of risk measures based on their static counterparts that overcomes the lack of time-consistency. We then study in detail our construction for the risk measures Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Average…
Method detects trajectory outliers using Hodge Laplacian embeddings.
Analyzing the urban trajectory in cities has become an important topic in data mining. How can we model the human mobility consisting of stay and travel from the raw trajectory data? How can we infer such a mobility model from the single trajectory information? How can we further generalize the mobility inference to ac…
Study on billiard trajectories with fixed bounces.