New research shows shrinkage methods re-scale portfolio efficient frontiers under distributional misspecification.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
The paper identifies the minimum mean-variance spanning set and its importance in asset evaluation.
Develops Thompson Sampling algorithms for mean-variance bandits.
In the paper, we consider three quadratic optimization problems which are frequently applied in portfolio theory, i.e, the Markowitz mean-variance problem as well as the problems based on the mean-variance utility function and the quadratic utility.Conditions are derived under which the solutions of these three optimiz…
Study aims to optimize financial investments by balancing risk and reward efficiently.
The paper develops methods to estimate the high-dimensional efficient frontier without distributional assumptions.
The paper characterizes optimal dynamic portfolios for a modified mean-variance utility.
This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called mean-variance efficient à la Markowitz. It is shown that, when the market coefficients a…
A new ratio, the Hansen ratio, simplifies mean-variance portfolio theory.
New model optimizes portfolios over multiple periods using predictive control.
This study evaluates shrinkage estimators for improving mean and covariance in portfolio optimization.
It is well known that the out-of-sample performance of Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio criterion can be negatively affected by estimation errors in the mean and covariance. In this paper we address the problem by regularizing the mean-variance objective function with a weighted elastic net penalty. We show that the…
The discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection formulation, a representative of general dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection problems, does not satisfy time consistency in efficiency (TCIE) in general, i.e., a truncated pre-committed efficient policy may become inefficient when considering the corresponding trunc…
We derive new results related to the portfolio choice problem for power and logarithmic utilities. Assuming that the portfolio returns follow an approximate log-normal distribution, the closed-form expressions of the optimal portfolio weights are obtained for both utility functions. Moreover, we prove that both optimal…
Sophisticated volatility models outperform naive portfolio strategies.
We consider continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with bankruptcy prohibition under convex cone portfolio constraints. This is a long-standing and difficult problem not only because of its theoretical significance, but also for its practical importance. First of all, we transform the above problem into an e…
We study dynamic optimal portfolio allocation for monotone mean--variance preferences in a general semimartingale model. Armed with new results in this area we revisit the work of Cui, Li, Wang and Zhu (2012, MAFI) and fully characterize the circumstances under which one can set aside a non-negative cash flow while sim…
To improve the efficient frontier of the classical mean-variance model in continuous time, we propose a varying terminal time mean-variance model with a constraint on the mean value of the portfolio asset, which moves with the varying terminal time. Using the embedding technique from stochastic optimal control in conti…
Paper explores two methods for optimal portfolio selection in financial markets.
New model recommends stocks considering individual preferences and diversification.
Risk management in dynamic decision problems is a primary concern in many fields, including financial investment, autonomous driving, and healthcare. The mean-variance function is one of the most widely used objective functions in risk management due to its simplicity and interpretability. Existing algorithms for mean-…
Proposes a new framework to optimize portfolios with reduced estimation errors.
The classical dynamic programming-based optimal stochastic control methods fail to cope with nonseparable dynamic optimization problems as the principle of optimality no longer applies in such situations. Among these notorious nonseparable problems, the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection formulation had posted a…
Markowitz's celebrated mean--variance portfolio optimization theory assumes that the means and covariances of the underlying asset returns are known. In practice, they are unknown and have to be estimated from historical data. Plugging the estimates into the efficient frontier that assumes known parameters has led to p…
Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.
Investors with asymmetric information play a game to optimize their portfolios.
Integrates prediction models into portfolio optimization for better asset allocation.
This paper optimizes portfolio selection by penalizing tracking error, improving Sharpe ratio.
BPASGM uses sparse graphical models to optimize portfolio selection.
This paper concerns the continuous time mean-variance portfolio selection problem with a special nonlinear wealth equation. This nonlinear wealth equation has a nonsmooth coefficient and the dual method developed in [6] does not work. We invoke the HJB equation of this problem and give an explicit viscosity solution of…
We focus on mean-variance hedging problem for models whose asset price follows an exponential additive process. Some representations of mean-variance hedging strategies for jump type models have already been suggested, but none is suited to develop numerical methods of the values of strategies for any given time up to …
Paper optimizes portfolio selection with ICX order constraints.
Investigates mean-variance portfolio selection in non-Markovian markets.
Paper solves dynamic portfolio selection using generative models.
Kernel-based tests for shape constraints in finance.
P-Trees improve investment performance by optimizing the efficient frontier.
A new portfolio method using quantum mechanics improves risk diversification.
The paper solves multi-period portfolio selection with constraints using a dynamic factor model.
This paper is concerned with an optimal reinsurance and investment problem for an insurance firm under the criterion of mean-variance. The driving Brownian motion and the rate in return of the risky asset price dynamic equation cannot be directly observed. And the short-selling of stocks is prohibited. The problem is f…
Paper solves a control problem with robust methods.
In this paper, we develop a new approach to learning high-dimensional Poisson directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models from only observational data without strong assumptions such as faithfulness and strong sparsity. A key component of our method is to decouple the ordering estimation or parent search where the problems…
Investigates how ESG mandates affect portfolio efficiency and risk premia.
It is well established that in a market with inclusion of a risk-free asset the single-period mean-variance efficient frontier is a straight line tangent to the risky region, a fact that is the very foundation of the classical CAPM. In this paper, it is shown that in a continuous-time market where the risky prices are …
The paper proposes a new portfolio optimization model that includes VaR risk measure.
It is well known that mean-variance portfolio selection is a time-inconsistent optimal control problem in the sense that it does not satisfy Bellman's optimality principle and therefore the usual dynamic programming approach fails. We develop a time- consistent formulation of this problem, which is based on a local not…
We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of assets remains comparable in magnitude to the sample size, we provide a characte…
The paper tackles risk-averse multi-armed bandit with linear payoffs.
Motivated by empirical evidence for rough volatility models, this paper investigates continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection under the Volterra Heston model. Due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the model, classic stochastic optimal control frameworks are not directly applicable to t…