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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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205409614818 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for mean value estimate

This paper addresses the problem of segmenting a time-series with respect to changes in the mean value or in the variance. The first case is when the time data is modeled as a sequence of independent and normal distributed random variables with unknown, possibly changing, mean value but fixed variance. The main assumpt…

2011-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves gradient estimates for Lagrangian mean curvature equation.

problem Proving gradient estimates for Lagrangian mean curvature equation.
method Interior gradient estimates for critical and supercritical Lagrangian mean curvature equation.
result Solves Dirichlet boundary value problem for critical and supercritical Lagrangian mean curvature equation.

C-SURE improves complex-valued deep learning models by shrinking estimates, outperforming MLE and SurReal.

problem Improving accuracy and robustness of complex-valued deep learning models.
method Proposes a Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) for complex-valued data and integrates it into a prototype CNN classifier.
result C-SURE outperforms SurReal and MLE in accuracy and robustness on complex-valued datasets.

The paper establishes inequalities and gradient estimates for harmonic functions on Finsler measure spaces.

problem Functional and geometric inequalities on Finsler measure spaces.
method Local uniform Poincaré and Sobolev inequalities, mean value inequality, Harnack inequalities, and gradient estimates.
result Global gradient estimates for positive harmonic functions on Finsler measure spaces.

New estimator accurately estimates mean of real-valued distributions without variance knowledge.

problem Estimating the mean of real-valued distributions without prior variance knowledge.
method Introduces a novel estimator that converges sub-Gaussian and works across distributions with bounded variance.
result The estimator achieves accuracy of σ·(1+o(1))√(2log(1/δ)/n) with parameters n, δ, and σ².

Proposes CCME framework for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex distributions.
method Embeds conditional distributions into RKHS, develops meta-estimators for CCME.
result Establishes finite-sample convergence rates and double robustness for CCME estimators.

A novel k-means method for MNAR data improves clustering accuracy.

problem Improving k-means clustering for data missing not at random.
method A magnitude-decaying MNAR scenario-based k-means method with size constraints.
result The method reduces bias in estimated cluster centers and improves clustering accuracy.

Quantum algorithm estimates multivariate mean with near-optimal efficiency.

problem Estimating the mean of multivariate random variables efficiently in quantum computing.
method Combines amplitude amplification, quantum singular value transformation, and Bernstein-Vazirani algorithm.
result Quantum estimator outperforms classical estimators outside low-precision regime.

Quantile TD learning outperforms classical TD learning for value estimation.

problem Temporal-difference learning in reinforcement learning.
method Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning (QTD) for policy evaluation.
result QTD offers superior performance to classical TD learning, even in tabular settings.

New collaborative algorithm improves personalized mean estimation in online settings.

problem Online estimation of means from multiple, possibly overlapping distributions.
method Novel collaborative strategy for active querying and mean estimation.
result Algorithm improves mean estimates through communication among agents.

The paper studies efficient simulation methods for financial firm values under fast mean-reverting volatility.

problem Estimating the probability of firm default under fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models.
method Approximations using ergodic averages and central limit theorem corrections for efficient simulation.
result Accuracy of approximations assessed through numerical simulation and payoff function estimation.

We give the best possible upper bound on the number of exceptional values and the totally ramified value number of the hyperbolic Gauss map for pseudo-algebraic constant mean curvature one surfaces in the hyperbolic three-space and some partial results on the Osserman problem for algebraic case. Moreover, we study the …

2008-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method estimates multi-dimensional value distributions using Hilbert space embeddings.

problem Estimating value distributions in complex, multi-dimensional reinforcement learning settings.
method Hilbert space mappings and kernel mean embeddings to estimate the kernel mean embedding of multi-dimensional value distributions.
result Uniform convergence guarantees and robust off-policy evaluation demonstrated in simulations.

We obtain area growth estimates for constant mean curvature graphs in E(κ,τ)\mathbb{E}(κ,τ)-spaces with κ0κ\leq 0, by finding sharp upper bounds for the volume of geodesic balls in E(κ,τ)\mathbb{E}(κ,τ). We focus on complete graphs and graphs with zero boundary values. For instance, we prove that entire graphs in $\mathbb{E}(κ…

2015-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper provides estimates for varifolds with critical mean curvature.

problem Estimating tilt-excess on varifolds with critical mean curvature.
method Generalizing Lipschitz approximation and Sobolev-Poincaré estimates to almost-integral rectifiable varifolds.
result VMO-type estimates for quadratic tilt-excess on varifolds with critical mean curvature.

Efficient estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.

problem Estimating smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.
method Pathwise differentiable Hilbert-valued parameters, efficient influence functions, regularized one-step estimators.
result Theoretical guarantees for efficient estimators even when nuisance functions are arbitrary.

We estimate risk measures in Markov cost processes with lower and upper bounds.

problem Estimating risk measures in infinite-horizon discounted costs within Markov processes.
method Truncation scheme and lower/upper bounds for CVaR and variance estimation.
result Upper and lower bounds for CVaR and variance estimation match up to logarithmic factors.

Study on estimating Gaussian mean from coarse data, resolving identifiability and computational efficiency questions.

problem Estimating the mean of a Gaussian distribution from coarse data (sets containing true samples rather than exact values).
method Analyzes the conditions for mean identifiability and computable estimation under convex partitions.
result Resolves the identifiability and computational efficiency questions for Gaussian mean estimation from coarse data.

Study uses actor-critic method for continuous-time mean-field control with entropy regularisation.

problem Continuous-time mean-field control in reinforcement learning.
method Actor-critic approach with entropy regularisation, value function alternation, and Wasserstein space parametrisation.
result Derives exact parametrisation of actor and critic functions in linear-quadratic mean-field framework.

Study improves LL^{\infty} estimates and extreme value behavior in stochastic differential games.

problem Analyzing the mean-field limit of diffusive games through master equation.
method Using the Master Equation to approximate state processes and establishing LL^{\infty} estimates for the total error.
result Established NoN o \infty asymptotic behavior of upper order statistics of Nash states, initiating Extreme Value Theory for stochastic differential games.

The paper proves a Harnack inequality for heat equations on Finsler metric measure manifolds.

problem Proving a Harnack inequality for positive solutions to heat equations on Finsler metric measure manifolds.
method Volume comparison theorem, weighted Poincaré inequality, local uniform Sobolev inequality, mean value inequalities.
result Derives a Harnack inequality for positive solutions to heat equations.

In this paper we prove an extrinsic one-sided curvature estimate for disks embedded in R3\mathbb{R}^3 with constant mean curvature which is independent of the value of the constant mean curvature. We apply this extrinsic one-sided curvature estimate in [24] to prove to prove a weak chord arc type result for these disks…

2014-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods estimate policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.

problem Estimating policy value and gradients for deterministic policies from off-policy data.
method Proposed new doubly robust estimators based on kernelization approaches.
result Demonstrated a rate independent of horizon length for policy value and gradient estimation.

BASIS improves LLM reasoning by sharing batchwise rollout info, reducing MSE by 69%.

problem Improving large language model reasoning with limited rollouts and batch information.
method BASIS samples only one rollout per prompt but uses batch information to improve value function estimation.
result BASIS reduces MSE in value function estimation by 69% compared to REINFORCE++.

New insights on active sequential prediction for mean estimation.

problem Active sequential prediction-powered mean estimation problem.
method Combining uncertainty-based suggestion with a constant probability, analyzing non-asymptotic bounds, and using no-regret learning.
result The optimal query probability is close to the constraint when using no-regret learning.

The study examines how choice of risk measure and volatility estimator affects procyclicality.

problem Understanding the factors affecting procyclicality in risk measure estimation.
method Examined three risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, Expectile), realized volatility estimators (sample variance, mean absolute deviation), and two models (iid and GARCH).
result Procyclicality is always present regardless of the choice of risk measure and realized volatility estimator.

Paper tackles robust offline RL with heavy-tailed rewards.

problem Real-world applications often encounter heavy-tailed rewards, challenging offline RL.
method Proposes ROAM and ROOM algorithms using median-of-means method for robust off-policy evaluation and OPO.
result Demonstrates superior performance on heavy-tailed reward datasets compared to existing methods.

Study shows effective resistance distance yields more accurate network barycenter than Hamming distance.

problem Identifying the best metric for computing the Fréchet mean network.
method Compared the effectiveness of Hamming distance and effective resistance distance in capturing network topology.
result Effective resistance distance produces a more accurate Fréchet mean network.

Improved estimation of higher order integrals using shrinkage techniques.

problem Estimating higher order Bochner integrals in non-parametric settings.
method Shrinkage of U-statistic towards a target element, considering kernel degeneracy.
result Consistent shrinkage estimators with fast rates of convergence, even for non-degenerate kernels.

Study improves portfolio risk estimation methods using robust covariance and CVaR constraints.

problem Improving portfolio risk estimation in the presence of financial data noise and extreme market conditions.
method Exploration of robust covariance estimators, application of CVaR constraints, use of K-means clustering in optimization.
result Robust covariance estimators can outperform market-weighted benchmarks, especially during bull markets.

TD learning reduces prediction error in Markov chain problems.

problem Estimating value functions in Markov chains with temporal inconsistency.
method Temporal difference learning minimizes temporal inconsistency between successive estimates.
result TD learning can significantly reduce mean-squared error in value estimates.

EASE estimator improves probabilistic value estimation efficiency.

problem Efficiently estimating probabilistic values like Shapley and semivalues.
method Developed an Efficiency-Aware Surrogate-adjusted Estimator (EASE) that minimizes first-order mean squared error.
result EASE consistently outperforms existing estimators for various probabilistic values.

HAVER improves error bounds for estimating the largest mean in machine learning tasks.

problem Estimating the largest mean among multiple distributions.
method Proposes HAVER, a novel algorithm for maximum mean estimation.
result HAVER achieves better error bounds than the oracle in many cases.