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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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111222333444 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for mean field competition

Model analyzes competitive pricing strategies in large markets of perishable products.

problem Maximizing profits in a competitive market of perishable products.
method Mean-field competition model, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, iterative numerical algorithm.
result Properties of equilibrium pricing strategies and market dynamics.

Study optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.

problem Optimal investment and consumption strategies for competitive agents with habit formation.
method Formulated n-agent game problems and mean field game problems, derived mean field equilibrium, constructed approximate Nash equilibrium.
result Explicit convergence order of approximate Nash equilibrium can be obtained.

The paper analyzes competition among fund managers using excess logarithmic returns and constructs games to find optimal allocations.

problem Optimal allocation strategies among fund managers considering excess logarithmic returns.
method Constructs both nn-player and mean field games to address the competition problem.
result The MFE of the MFG represents the limit of nn-player game's equilibrium as nn approaches infinity.

Study NN-player and mean-field games in Itô-diffusion markets with competitive or homophilous interactions.

problem Optimal portfolio choice in a common market with NN interacting players.
method Analyzes NN-player and mean-field games in incomplete and complete markets with CARA utilities and random risk tolerances.
result Derives explicit or closed-form solutions for equilibrium processes and game values.

Study explores optimal strategies in games with multiple players and mean-field interactions.

problem Optimal strategies in games with multiple players and mean-field interactions.
method Exploration of three different notions of optimality, including mean-field control solution, mean-field coarse correlated equilibria, and mean-field Nash equilibria.
result Approximation of cooperative and competitive equilibria in large NN-player games by mean-field control and mean-field equilibria.

The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk, deriving mean field equilibria.

problem Optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk and peer competition.
method Formulated mean field game and n-player game models, characterized equilibrium states, and derived approximation errors.
result Explicit mean field equilibrium and approximate Nash equilibrium for large n-player games.

Study time-inconsistent portfolio optimization for competitive agents with relative performance criteria.

problem Time-inconsistent mean field and n-agent games under relative performance criteria.
method Construct open-loop equilibrium strategies for n-agent games and mean field games.
result Explicit solutions for n-agent games and mean field games, unique in a special class of equilibria.

We discuss a natural game of competition and solve the corresponding mean field game with \emph{common noise} when agents' rewards are \emph{rank dependent}. We use this solution to provide an approximate Nash equilibrium for the finite player game and obtain the rate of convergence.

2016-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study Nash equilibrium in mean field portfolio games with random market parameters.

problem Modeling wealth and relative performance in competitive financial markets.
method Martingale optimality principle approach to characterize Nash equilibrium in mean field FBSDE.
result Unique Nash equilibrium found under weak interaction assumption and market parameters independence.

Study many-player investment-consumption games with power FPPs, finding market-risk preference affects consumption.

problem Investment and consumption optimization in a mean field competition setting.
method Solve many-player and mean field games using power FPPs, providing closed-form solutions.
result Market-risk relative consumption preference affects agent's consumption decisions.

Study of insurer games with model uncertainty in reinsurance and investment strategies.

problem Model uncertainty and competitive insurers' performance under worst-case scenarios.
method Formulated robust mean-field game for non-linear system, derived closed-form solutions.
result Relative concerns lead to new hedging terms in investment and reinsurance strategies.

Paper studies optimal tracking portfolio in mean field game of large fund competition.

problem Optimal tracking portfolio in large fund competition with relative performance benchmark.
method Formulated mean field game problem, established existence of mean field equilibrium using PDE approach, constructed approximate Nash equilibrium.
result Existence of mean field equilibrium and consistency condition verified.

We propose a mean field game model to study the question of how centralization of reward and computational power occur in Bitcoin-like cryptocurrencies. Miners compete against each other for mining rewards by increasing their computational power. This leads to a novel mean field game of jump intensity control, which we…

2019-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We study ranking quantilized mean-field games to select top-performing agents.

problem Selecting top-performing agents in competitive scenarios.
method Developed two formulations: target-based and threshold-based, and provided analytic and semi-explicit solutions.
result Analytic and semi-explicit solutions for quantilized mean-field consistency conditions.

The paper analyzes arbitrage opportunities in a large investor market with common stock noises.

problem Identifying arbitrage opportunities in a market with many competitive investors.
method Stochastic differential games and mean-field systems to study market dynamics and optimal arbitrage.
result Optimal arbitrage is characterized by a solution to a Cauchy PDE involving volatility terms.

This paper studies how relative performance concerns affect stock prices in a tree-like market model.

problem The impact of relative performance concerns on stock prices in a tree-like market model.
method Mean-field equilibrium analysis in a binomial tree framework with exponential utility.
result Existence and uniqueness of market-clearing mean-field equilibrium in both single- and multi-population settings.

Efficiently reduces rank of non-negative matrices with quadratic time complexity.

problem Efficiently reducing the rank of non-negative matrices.
method Formulated rank reduction as a mean-field approximation using a log-linear model.
result Optimal solution for minimizing KL divergence can be computed in closed form.

New framework for portfolio management using binomial markets and game theory.

problem Investment behavior in competitive and incomplete markets.
method Introduces PRFPP framework, constructs and analyzes for both finite and mean field games.
result Relative performance concerns do not always lead to more risky asset investment.

New model improves deep learning robustness against adversarial attacks.

problem Improving adversarial robustness of deep learning models.
method Local competition principle, LWTA nonlinearities, Bayesian non-parametrics.
result The new model achieves high robustness to adversarial perturbations on MNIST and CIFAR10 datasets.

Investigates portfolio selection among competitive agents with mean-variance preferences.

problem Optimizing portfolios with multi-agent competition and relative wealth comparison.
method Reformulated as a constrained, non-homogeneous stochastic linear-quadratic control problem; derived optimal feedback strategies; used decoupling techniques and fixed-point theory to solve nonlinear BSDEs.
result Characterized three scenarios based on market and competition parameters: unique Nash equilibrium, no Nash equilibrium, or infinitely many Nash equilibria.

This paper studies insurers' robust strategies in a stochastic game with model uncertainty and volatility risk.

problem Model uncertainty and volatility risk in insurers' surplus processes.
method Formulates robust mean-field games with insurers competing based on mean-variance criterion under worst-case scenario.
result Derives semi-closed forms of equilibrium strategies for insurers and mean-field equilibrium, ensuring existence and uniqueness.

A scalable method for accurate inference of low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional linear regression.

problem Statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional linear regression models.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approach, focusing on nuisance parameters and conditional distributions.
result Competitive numerical performance and theoretical guarantees for estimation and uncertainty quantification.

Bayesian neural networks can be simplified by parameterizing weights as rank-rr matrices, reducing parameter count and improving performance.

problem High parameter count in standard Bayesian neural networks.
method Parameterize weights as W=ABopW = AB^{ op} with ARmimesrA \in \mathbb{R}^{m imes r}, BRnimesrB \in \mathbb{R}^{n imes r}, inducing a singular posterior.
result PAC-Bayes generalization bounds and loss bounds show improved performance with fewer parameters.

Study optimal treatment assignment policies under strategic agent responses.

problem Learning optimal treatment policies with strategic agents complicates estimation.
method Dynamic model with threshold convergence to mean-field equilibrium, consistent estimator for policy gradient.
result Threshold for treatment assignment converges to mean-field equilibrium threshold under large but finite number of agents.

Energy price forecasting is a relevant yet hard task in the field of multi-step time series forecasting. In this paper we compare a well-known and established method, ARMA with exogenous variables with a relatively new technique Gradient Boosting Regression. The method was tested on data from Global Energy Forecasting …

2015-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze a conservative market model for the competition among economic agents in a close society. A minimum dynamics ensures that the poorest agent has a chance to improve its economic welfare. After a transient, the system self-organizes into a critical state where the wealth distribution have a minimum threshold, …

2003-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for uncertainty estimation in neural networks using Gaussian-softmax integration.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Proposes a single-model approach integrating Gaussian distribution with softmax outputs, using mean-field approximation.
result Competitive performance on uncertainty estimation tasks and outperforms many methods on out-of-distribution detection.

Kaggle competitions offer valuable insights for business forecasting.

problem Lack of attention to Kaggle competitions in academic forecasting studies.
method Review of results from six Kaggle competitions featuring real-life business forecasting tasks.
result Global ensemble models outperform local single models in Kaggle competitions.

New framework promotes reproducible, domain-agnostic reinforcement learning algorithms.

problem Domain-specific, compute-resource-maximizing, and non-reproducible participant solutions in reinforcement learning competitions.
method Submission retraining, domain randomization, desemantization through domain obfuscation, and compute/environment-sample budget limitation.
result Participant submissions are reproducible, non-specific to the competition environment, and sample/resource efficient.

The study analyzes games and social hierarchies, incorporating luck and depth of competition.

problem Analyzing patterns of wins and losses in games and social hierarchies.
method Generalized probabilistic models incorporating luck and depth of competition.
result Social competition tends to be deeper with many distinct levels, but there is often a chance of upset victories.

Unified q-learning for mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.

problem Continuous-time q-learning in mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.
method Proposed decoupled Iq-function for unified policy evaluation in MFG and MFC problems; unified q-learning algorithm based on test policies and averaged martingale orthogonality condition.
result Unified policy evaluation rule for MFG and MFC problems based on decoupled Iq-function.

Existence of strong randomized equilibria in mean-field games with common noise.

problem Existence of strong solutions in mean-field games of optimal stopping.
method Connection with Bank-El Karoui's representation problem and continuity assumptions.
result Existence of strong randomized mean-field equilibrium under certain conditions.

New RL algorithms achieve optimal policies with polynomial sample complexity for mean-field problems.

problem Statistical efficiency of Mean-Field Reinforcement Learning with general function approximation.
method Introduce MF-MBED to characterize problem complexity, propose algorithms based on maximal likelihood estimation.
result Rich mean-field RL problems have low MF-MBED, leading to polynomial sample complexity.