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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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172343515686 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for maximum mean estimation

Improved MMD estimator for likelihood-free inference.

problem Computational challenges in estimating MMD for likelihood-free inference.
method Optimally-weighted MMD estimator with improved sample complexity.
result Significantly improved sample complexity for accurate MMD estimation.

Modeling maximum drawdown records in capital markets using PDMP.

problem Capturing the statistical properties of maximum drawdown records in financial markets.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP) for modeling, statistical analysis of mean and variance, simulation study, parameter estimation techniques.
result Derivation of statistical results including mean and variance of maximum drawdown records.

HAVER improves error bounds for estimating the largest mean in machine learning tasks.

problem Estimating the largest mean among multiple distributions.
method Proposes HAVER, a novel algorithm for maximum mean estimation.
result HAVER achieves better error bounds than the oracle in many cases.

Study on mean curvature flow of graphs in higher dimensions.

problem Analyzing the evolution of graphs under mean curvature flow.
method Derives estimates using a new maximum principle for submanifolds, applies to uniformly area decreasing maps.
result Graphicality and area decreasing property are preserved for uniformly area decreasing maps.

Paper improves MMD estimation for analytical mean embeddings.

problem Improving MMD estimation for distributions with analytical mean embeddings.
method Proposes a tighter concentration result for MMD estimation under semi-explicit settings and extends to unbounded kernels.
result Demonstrates efficiency in real-world applications like index replication and calibration.

We solve the mean parametrization of von Mises-Fisher distribution.

problem No closed-form normalization function for mean parameters exists.
method Derived a second-order ODE for mean normalizer and provided approximations.
result Rapid evaluation of densities and natural parameters in terms of mean parameters.

Unified meta algorithms estimate various distribution functionals in infinite-armed bandits.

problem Estimating various distribution functionals in infinite-armed bandits.
method Unified meta algorithms for offline and online settings, achieving optimal sample complexities.
result Online estimation offers significant advantage for certain distribution functionals.

New method for MMD with unequal sample sizes improves test power.

problem Existing MMD methods assume equal sample sizes, discarding valuable data.
method Extended generalized U-statistics to handle unequal sample sizes.
result New asymptotic distributions and power optimization for MMD with unequal sample sizes.

New method constructs synthetic treatment groups without mean exchangeability assumption.

problem Violations of mean exchangeability assumption in randomized controlled trials.
method Weighted mixture of treatment groups from source populations, minimizing conditional maximum mean discrepancy.
result Asymptotic normality of synthetic treatment group estimator established.

Estimates log-likelihood of interacting particle systems using virtual particles.

problem Inconsistent estimation of finite-particle log-likelihood in large particle systems.
method Stochastic gradient estimate using continuous trajectory and virtual particle systems.
result Convergence to stationary points of limiting mean-field system's log-likelihood.

New MMD estimators detect differences in missing paired data.

problem Handling missing data in matched pairs with complex distributions.
method Maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) estimators for complex data with missing values.
result Valid and consistent estimators detect differences in data distributions.

A new ensemble filter uses transport maps and MMD optimization for high-dimensional data assimilation.

problem High-dimensional data assimilation challenges in ensemble filtering.
method Optimized Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) for transport map construction.
result Significant improvement in robustness and posterior approximation.

Paper shows robust estimators converge to true risk minimizers at optimal rates.

problem Understanding asymptotic properties of robust risk minimizers.
method Investigates robust analogues of empirical risk minimization, focusing on median of means estimator.
result Robust minimizers converge to true minimizers at optimal rates and have similar asymptotic variance.

New method improves neural spike train models by minimizing divergence directly, leading to better performance.

problem Poor performance and divergence issues in spike train models using maximum likelihood estimation.
method Directly minimize maximum mean discrepancy using spike train kernels and stochastic optimization.
result The proposed method generates well-behaved models with better control over feature trade-offs.

Traditional Kalman filter (KF) is derived under the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion, which is optimal under Gaussian assumption. However, when the signals are non-Gaussian, especially when the system is disturbed by some heavy-tailed impulsive noises, the performance of KF will deteriorate serious…

2015-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional densities using logistic regressions.

problem Estimating conditional densities for complex distributions.
method Parametric conditional density estimation via weighted logistic regressions.
result Maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained efficiently via a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and local case-control sampling.

In some misspecified settings, the posterior distribution in Bayesian statistics may lead to inconsistent estimates. To fix this issue, it has been suggested to replace the likelihood by a pseudo-likelihood, that is the exponential of a loss function enjoying suitable robustness properties. In this paper, we build a ps…

2019-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method of moments estimator goes beyond data reweighting.

problem Estimation of moment restrictions and conditional moment restrictions.
method Kernel Method of Moments (KMM) based on maximum mean discrepancy.
result KMM achieves competitive performance on conditional moment restriction tasks.

Unified method for MMD variance estimation improves accuracy and computational efficiency.

problem Variance estimation for MMD in nonparametric testing.
method Unified finite-sample characterization of MMD variance through U-statistic and Hoeffding decomposition; exact acceleration method for univariate case.
result Unified estimators improve accuracy and computational efficiency for MMD variance.

We present a multi-task learning approach to jointly estimate the means of multiple independent data sets. The proposed multi-task averaging (MTA) algorithm results in a convex combination of the single-task maximum likelihood estimates. We derive the optimal minimum risk estimator and the minimax estimator, and show t…

2011-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.

problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.

We study some basic problems of translating solitons: the volume growth, generalized maximum principle, Gauss maps and certain functions related to the Gauss maps, finally we carry out point-wise estimates and integral estimates for the squared norm of the second fundamental form. Those estimates give rigidity theorems…

2014-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.

problem Challenges in goodness-of-fit testing for intractable models.
method Semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator of MMD.
result Outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods in false rejection and acceptance rates.

The MEM method uses data-driven priors for linear inverse problems, proving convergence and estimating differences.

problem Linear inverse problems with approximate priors.
method Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) method with data-driven priors.
result Empirical mean convergence and estimates for prior differences based on epigraphical distance.

Mean embeddings provide an extremely flexible and powerful tool in machine learning and statistics to represent probability distributions and define a semi-metric (MMD, maximum mean discrepancy; also called N-distance or energy distance), with numerous successful applications. The representation is constructed as the e…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The maximum principle is one of the most important tools in the analysis of geometric partial differential equations. Traditionally, the maximum principle is applied to a scalar function defined on a manifold, but in recent years more sophisticated versions have emerged. One particularly interesting direction involves …

2014-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

LGKDE learns graph density using neural networks and perturbations.

problem Graph density estimation challenges in capturing structural patterns and semantic variations.
method LGKDE uses graph neural networks to represent graphs as discrete distributions and learns graph metrics via maximum mean discrepancy.
result LGKDE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in graph anomaly detection.

We study an optimization-based approach to con- struct a mean-reverting portfolio of assets. Our objectives are threefold: (1) design a portfolio that is well-represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with parameters estimated by maximum likelihood, (2) select portfolios with desirable characteristics of high mean r…

2018-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformer improves parameter estimation without needing closed-form solutions.

problem Parameter estimation in statistics, especially for complex distributions.
method Transformer-based approach for parameter estimation without closed-form solutions or derivations.
result Transformer-based approach achieves similar or better accuracy than maximum likelihood estimation.

The paper proves learning-curve monotonicity for maximum likelihood estimators in various parametric settings.

problem Establishing monotonicity guarantees for maximum likelihood estimators.
method Variants of GPT-5.2 Pro were used to derive the results.
result The paper proves monotonicity for maximum likelihood estimators in Gaussian and Gamma variables.