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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for maximum entropy principle

We present a new statistical learning paradigm for Boltzmann machines based on a new inference principle we have proposed: the latent maximum entropy principle (LME). LME is different both from Jaynes maximum entropy principle and from standard maximum likelihood estimation.We demonstrate the LME principle BY deriving …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper finds a new principle for optimizing consumption and wealth using Tsallis entropy.

problem Optimal consumption-investment problem with recursive utility.
method Established connection to quadratic BSDE, derived stochastic maximum principle.
result Proved existence of optimal strategy and analyzed coupled system.

MEP-Net uses MEP to generate solutions from limited data.

problem Generating solutions to scientific problems with incomplete information.
method Combines MEP with neural networks to learn complex distributions from moment constraints.
result Demonstrates MEP-Net's effectiveness in modeling biochemical reaction networks and generating complex distributions.

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

The maximum entropy principle can be used to assign utility values when only partial information is available about the decision maker's preferences. In order to obtain such utility values it is necessary to establish an analogy between probability and utility through the notion of a utility density function. According…

2007-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We apply the maximum entropy principle to economic systems in equilibrium and find the density function for the market's wealth. This is the same as price density which is used for insurance pricing. The risk aversion parameter of the agent then it's utility function with respect to this density is derived.

2004-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum machine learning uses quantum cross entropy to minimize loss, but measurement loss affects this process.

problem Quantum machine learning's loss minimization through cross entropy is affected by measurement outcomes.
method Defined quantum cross entropy, proved its lower bounds, and investigated its relation to quantum fidelity and likelihood.
result Quantum cross entropy is lower-bounded by negative log-likelihood when derived from quantum data, but measurement outcomes can cause loss.

New causal versions of MaxEnt and PIR avoid paradoxical probability updates.

problem Paradoxical probability updates in causal MaxEnt and PIR.
method Separate constraints into cause-specific and mechanism-specific restrictions.
result Causal MaxEnt avoids paradoxical updates and aligns with Information Geometric Causal Inference.

Exponential models of distributions are widely used in machine learning for classiffication and modelling. It is well known that they can be interpreted as maximum entropy models under empirical expectation constraints. In this work, we argue that for classiffication tasks, mutual information is a more suitable informa…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A quantum circuit designed for efficient statistical model preparation and training.

problem Challenges in preparing and learning statistical models on quantum processors.
method Utilizes the maximum entropy principle to design a statistics-informed parameterized quantum circuit (SI-PQC).
result Improves trainability and interpretability for learning quantum states and classical model parameters.

The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.

problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.

Enhances flexibility in data reweighting with optimal transport and maximum entropy principles.

problem Adapting empirical distributions to predefined constraints on moments, tail behavior, etc.
method Nonparametric distributional constraints, maximum entropy principle, optimal transport.
result Maximum entropy weight adjusted empirical distribution close to a specified distribution in optimal transport metric.

Given a task of predicting YY from XX, a loss function LL, and a set of probability distributions ΓΓ on (X,Y)(X,Y), what is the optimal decision rule minimizing the worst-case expected loss over ΓΓ? In this paper, we address this question by introducing a generalization of the principle of maximum entropy. Applying t…

2016-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

In our previous studies we have investigated the structural complexity of time series describing stock returns on New York's and Warsaw's stock exchanges, by employing two estimators of Shannon's entropy rate based on Lempel-Ziv and Context Tree Weighting algorithms, which were originally used for data compression. Suc…

2014-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.

problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.

New method calibrates reference distributions for bounded support.

problem Lack of principled method for bounded-support statistical reference distributions.
method Formulated maximum entropy on projective space of nonnegative measures.
result Prescribed acceptance region uniquely determines deformation parameter.

Rate GENERIC extends thermodynamics principles to non-equilibrium systems.

problem Understanding non-equilibrium thermodynamics and its relation to equilibrium thermodynamics.
method Developed a geometrical framework for rate GENERIC, extending Onsager's variational principle.
result Rate GENERIC structure provides a new perspective on thermodynamics in non-equilibrium systems.

We analyze an exhaustive data-set of new-cars monthly sales. The set refers to 10 years of Spanish sales of more than 6500 different car model configurations and a total of 10M sold cars, from January 2007 to January 2017. We find that for those model configurations with a monthly market-share higher than 0.1% the sale…

2017-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Entropy measure quantifies volatility correlation and risk diversity in asset portfolios.

problem Quantifying volatility correlation and risk diversity in asset portfolios.
method Kullback-Leibler cluster entropy DC[PQ]\mathcal{D_{C}}[P \| Q] for empirical and model probability distributions of realized volatility.
result Portfolio built on diversity indexes derived from Kullback-Leibler entropy measure of realized volatility exhibits better performance.

In many real-world applications, data is not collected as one batch, but sequentially over time, and often it is not possible or desirable to wait until the data is completely gathered before analyzing it. Thus, we propose a framework to sequentially update a maximum margin classifier by taking advantage of the Maximum…

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

According to the definition of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), contributing banks should give fair estimates of their own borrowing costs in the interbank market. Between 2007 and 2009, several banks made inappropriate submissions of LIBOR, sometimes motivated by profit-seeking from their trading positions. …

2015-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks enforce constraints on deep learning predictions.

problem Deep learning models lack well-defined constraints in their outputs.
method Bayesian Entropy Neural Networks (BENN) using Maximum Entropy principles and the method of multipliers.
result BENN improves model robustness and reliability across various applications.

This work characterizes optimal multiclass learning with regularization.

problem The empirical risk minimization (ERM) algorithm fails in multiclass learning settings.
method Using one-inclusion graphs (OIGs), the work introduces optimal learning algorithms that relax structural risk minimization and incorporate unsupervised learning.
result An optimal learner is introduced that uses a local regularization function and an unsupervised learning stage to learn the regularizer.

Supervised topic models utilize document's side information for discovering predictive low dimensional representations of documents. Existing models apply the likelihood-based estimation. In this paper, we present a general framework of max-margin supervised topic models for both continuous and categorical response var…

2009-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces performance loss in IRL with mismatched transition dynamics.

problem Performance degradation in inverse reinforcement learning due to mismatched transition dynamics.
method Proposed a robust Maximum Causal Entropy (MCE) IRL algorithm leveraging robust reinforcement learning insights.
result Empirically demonstrated stable performance improvement under transition dynamics mismatches.

DeepMaxent uses neural networks to improve species distribution models.

problem Sampling biases and lack of absence data in presence-only observations.
method DeepMaxent employs neural networks to learn shared features among species using the maximum entropy principle.
result DeepMaxent outperforms traditional methods in predicting species distributions, especially in unevenly sampled regions.

Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth and invertible transformation that maps a simple distribution to the desired ma…

2017-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Data containing human or social attributes may over- or under-represent groups with respect to salient social attributes such as gender or race, which can lead to biases in downstream applications. This paper presents an algorithmic framework that can be used as a data preprocessing method towards mitigating such bias.…

2019-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new price model based on entropy that better fits high-frequency market data.

problem Understanding fair prices in high-frequency markets with bid-ask imbalance.
method A parametrized family of prices derived from the Maximum Entropy Principle, minimizing bias given volume imbalance.
result The model can generate higher kurtosis and heavy-tailed distributions compared to standard models.

ProSelfLC improves robustness of deep neural networks by automatically deciding trust in predictions.

problem Training robust deep neural networks requires addressing issues like label noise and low entropy predictions.
method ProSelfLC progressively increases trust in predicted labels over time, considering entropy and learning time.
result ProSelfLC demonstrates improved robustness in both clean and noisy settings through empirical validation.

Researchers use Gaussian processes to approximate Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions.

problem Finding Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions is computationally challenging.
method Employed Gaussian processes to approximate the Lagrange multipliers as a map of moments. Optimized hyperparameters by maximizing log-likelihood.
result Data-driven Maximum-Entropy closure performs well in approximating non-equilibrium distributions.