t-NEB clusters high-dimensional data hierarchically with density paths.
problem Hierarchical clustering struggles with high-dimensional data.
method t-NEB uses density estimation, maximum density paths, and probabilistic merging.
result t-NEB yields state-of-the-art clustering performance on high-dimensional data.
EntroPath learns manifold geometry from diffusion paths.
problem Learning geodesic geometry from data graphs with spurious shortcuts.
method Maximum Entropy Path Ensemble Embedding (MERW) with k-step diffusion paths.
result EntroPath converges to squared geodesic distance in the short-time limit.
The relaxed maximum entropy problem is concerned with finding a probability distribution on a finite set that minimizes the relative entropy to a given prior distribution, while satisfying relaxed max-norm constraints with respect to a third observed multinomial distribution. We study the entire relaxation path for thi…
New analysis of annealing paths in sampling and estimation.
problem Sampling from complex distributions and estimating normalization constants.
method Extending known results on Bregman divergence to quasi-arithmetic means under monotonic embedding.
result Analogous result for quasi-arithmetic means, highlighting the interplay between means, parametric families, and divergence functionals.
A new method predicts future paths using a Monte-Carlo approach.
problem Predicting future financial paths given historical data.
method Path Shadowing Monte-Carlo method using maximum entropy model.
result Yields state-of-the-art predictions for future volatility and option smiles.
A new path gradient estimator speeds up normalizing flows without sacrificing accuracy.
problem High computational cost and limited scalability of path gradient estimators for normalizing flows.
method Proposed a fast path gradient estimator that improves computational efficiency and scalability.
result The new estimator achieves superior performance and reduced variance across various applications.
The need to estimate smooth probability distributions (a.k.a. probability densities) from finite sampled data is ubiquitous in science. Many approaches to this problem have been described, but none is yet regarded as providing a definitive solution. Maximum entropy estimation and Bayesian field theory are two such appr…
We apply the maximum entropy principle to economic systems in equilibrium and find the density function for the market's wealth. This is the same as price density which is used for insurance pricing. The risk aversion parameter of the agent then it's utility function with respect to this density is derived.
Proposes PGPS for efficient Bayesian inference.
problem Efficient sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Path-guided particle-based sampling with Log-weighted Shrinkage.
result PGPS generates samples closer to target distribution.
We study the connections between spectral clustering and the problems of maximum margin clustering, and estimation of the components of level sets of a density function. Specifically, we obtain bounds on the eigenvectors of graph Laplacian matrices in terms of the between cluster separation, and within cluster connecti…
MESSY estimation recovers symbolic density functions from samples using maximum entropy.
problem Estimating probability density functions from limited samples.
method Maximum-Entropy approach with gradient flow and symbolic regression.
result Efficiently finds optimal symbolic expressions for unknown distributions.
Researchers find optimal paths on a specific geometric group.
problem Finding optimal paths on a Cartan group with a sub-Finsler quasimetric.
method Using the Pontryagin Maximum Principle in coordinates of the first kind.
result They found extremals for arbitrary left-invariant sub-Finsler quasimetrics.
A 3D space of hyperbolic manifolds is connected but not path-connected.
problem Proving connectivity and non-path-connectedness of framed hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Two proofs using density theorems for Kleinian groups, constructing dense sets of framings, and discussing paths.
result The space of framed infinite volume hyperbolic 3-manifolds is not path-connected.
New method for estimating diffusion model densities without solving flows.
problem Estimating log densities from diffusion models efficiently.
method Monte Carlo path integral estimation, avoiding flow solving.
result Significantly more scalable and efficient density estimation.
Introduces q-paths for generalizing geometric annealing paths in machine learning.
problem Limited applicability of existing path methods in machine learning.
method Develops a family of paths derived from a generalized mean, including geometric and arithmetic mixtures.
result Empirical gains in Bayesian inference and generative model evaluation.
A new method avoids partition function computation for Gibbs density estimation.
problem Estimating Gibbs density functions without partition function computation.
method Maximum Recovery MAP (MR-MAP) and least-action type potential.
result MR-MAP estimators solve optimization problem quickly using neural network.
We solve the paradox of score-based methods by minimizing path variance.
problem Score-based methods are path-dependent, leading to inaccurate and unstable estimators.
method Propose MVP Principle to minimize path variance, derive closed-form expression, and use flexible Kumaraswamy Mixture Model.
result Establishes new state-of-the-art results on challenging benchmarks.
Paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional densities using logistic regressions.
problem Estimating conditional densities for complex distributions.
method Parametric conditional density estimation via weighted logistic regressions.
result Maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained efficiently via a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and local case-control sampling.
Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a diffusion equation with a diffusion coefficient that inversely depends on the dat…
A new copula estimation method using classification.
problem Estimating copula density from joint and marginal distributions.
method Train a classifier to distinguish joint density from product of marginals.
result Empirically outperforms existing copula estimators.
Proposes a new method for high-dimensional density estimation.
problem Estimating high-dimensional probability density functions efficiently.
method Tensorizing flow method combining tensor-train and flow-based generative modeling.
result Efficiently constructs an approximate density in tensor-train form and trains a flow model to match empirical distribution.
A boosting method improves nonparametric density estimation without smoothing assumptions.
problem Overfitting in nonparametric data fitting.
method Introduces a boosting algorithm for univariate nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the boosting approach through simulations and real data experiments.
New geometric analysis of PWSPDs balances density and geometry in high-dimensional data.
problem Balancing density and geometry in high-dimensional data.
method Power-weighted shortest-path distances (PWSPDs) and their geometric and computational analyses.
result High probability guarantees on the equivalence of PWSPDs on complete and nearest neighbor graphs.
Associating distinct groups of objects (clusters) with contiguous regions of high probability density (high-density clusters), is central to many statistical and machine learning approaches to the classification of unlabelled data. We propose a novel hyperplane classifier for clustering and semi-supervised classificati…
Generative model prices basket options efficiently.
problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.
Unified view of KL-divergence and IPMs via DRE, with new DRM metrics.
problem Unified understanding of KL-divergence and IPMs.
method Unified representation via maximum likelihood density-ratio estimation (DRE).
result Unified form of IPMs and novel DRM metrics.
We present a novel synthesis of Fisher information and asset pricing theory that yields a practical method for reconstructing the probability density implicit in security prices. The Fisher information approach to these inverse problems transforms the search for a probability density into the solution of a differential…
Maximum entropy modeling is a flexible and popular framework for formulating statistical models given partial knowledge. In this paper, rather than the traditional method of optimizing over the continuous density directly, we learn a smooth and invertible transformation that maps a simple distribution to the desired ma…
sig-MMD tests compare path distributions using kernel methods.
problem Comparing path distributions in stochastic processes.
method Signature kernel for path space valued distributions.
result sig-MMD can lead to Type 2 errors in limited data settings.
We present a simple, yet effective, approach to Semi-Supervised Learning. Our approach is based on estimating density-based distances (DBD) using a shortest path calculation on a graph. These Graph-DBD estimates can then be used in any distance-based supervised learning method, such as Nearest Neighbor methods and SVMs…
New method calibrates reference distributions for bounded support.
problem Lack of principled method for bounded-support statistical reference distributions.
method Formulated maximum entropy on projective space of nonnegative measures.
result Prescribed acceptance region uniquely determines deformation parameter.
NeuroPMD estimates densities on complex product manifolds.
problem Density estimation on high-dimensional product manifolds.
method Neural network directly parameterizes density, trained with manifold differential operators.
result NeuroPMD outperforms traditional methods in density estimation.
A new method improves text generation quality and diversity.
problem Exposure bias in Maximum Likelihood Estimation for text generation.
method ψ-MLE, a new training scheme based on density ratio estimation.
result ψ-MLE outperforms Maximum Likelihood Estimation and other models in text generation quality and diversity.
M-flows learn data manifolds and densities, improving manifold learning and inference.
problem Representing datasets with manifold structure more faithfully.
method Combining normalizing flows, GANs, autoencoders, and energy-based models, with a new training algorithm.
result M-flows learn data manifolds better than standard flows and provide handles for dimensionality reduction.
GBC methods compute expected utility without needing the model's density.
problem Computing expected utility in complex models.
method Density-free generative method using quantile neural estimator.
result Efficient estimation of expected utility from simulated data.
Temporal aggregation reveals latent default correlation from monthly data.
problem Understanding effective default correlation from monthly default data.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths.
result Temporal coarse-graining improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.
TraDE uses self-attention for better density estimation of tabular and image data.
problem Improving density estimation for tabular and image data.
method Self-attention-based architecture trained with a penalized maximum likelihood objective.
result TraDE produces significantly better density estimates than existing methods.
Proposes an efficient shrinkage path for ridge regression.
problem Ill-conditioned data in linear models.
method A new generalized ridge regression shrinkage path that minimizes MSE risk.
result The path is as short as possible while maintaining optimal trade-off.
Temporal coarse-graining of latent default paths explains effective correlation in corporate defaults.
problem Understanding effective default correlation in corporate defaults.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths, applied to corporate default-count data.
result Temporal coarse-graining provides a scale-consistent baseline that improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.
Develops diffusion samplers for target distributions with efficient score and density estimates.
problem Estimating scores and densities for time-varying distributions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo with diffusion paths and control variates.
result Effective samplers for time-varying distributions with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.
New algorithms sample from complex path measures using neural networks.
problem Sampling from posterior path measures under a general prior process.
method Combines controlled equilibrium dynamics and optimization in infinite-dimensional probability space.
result The algorithms can be integrated with neural networks for learning target trajectory ensembles.
CNFs learn on manifolds using PPD, improving likelihood and sample quality.
problem Training CNFs on manifolds efficiently and accurately.
method Minimizing PPD, a novel divergence, to train CNFs on manifolds.
result CNFs trained with PPD achieve state-of-the-art results on manifold benchmarks.
The paper analyzes optimal consumption with past spending maximum as a reference.
problem Optimal consumption with past spending maximum as a reference.
method Path-dependent exponential utility, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, dual transform, smooth-fit principle.
result Closed-form solutions for optimal investment and consumption strategies in each region.
The paper analyzes how a known density function can be deviated by a mixture distribution as more data is collected.
problem Modeling the deviation of a known density function when more data is collected.
method A novel distinguishability notion is used to establish rates of convergence for maximum likelihood estimates of the deviated proportion and latent mixing measure.
result Rates of convergence for the maximum likelihood estimates of the deviated proportion and latent mixing measure are established under the Wasserstein metric.
LGKDE learns graph density using neural networks and perturbations.
problem Graph density estimation challenges in capturing structural patterns and semantic variations.
method LGKDE uses graph neural networks to represent graphs as discrete distributions and learns graph metrics via maximum mean discrepancy.
result LGKDE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in graph anomaly detection.
Analyzed a generative model framework through Wasserstein Gradient Flow.
problem Generative modeling challenges.
method Wasserstein Gradient Flow (WGF) interpretation of Drifting Models (GMD).
result Different algorithms correspond to specific limiting points of WGFs on various divergences.
The paper tackles manifold overfitting in deep generative models.
problem Manifold overfitting occurs when generative models learn the manifold itself instead of the distribution on it.
method The authors propose a two-step procedure: dimensionality reduction followed by maximum-likelihood density estimation.
result The two-step procedure avoids manifold overfitting and enables density estimation on learned manifolds.
Study nonparametric density estimation via measure transport, achieving optimal rates.
problem Nonparametric density estimation with optimal rates.
method Measure transport, penalized maximum likelihood, and sieved wavelet estimators.
result Achieve minimax optimal convergence rates over Hölder classes of densities.