Develops optimal decision-making framework for uncertain counterfactuals.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Max-min margin Markov networks improve consistency in structured prediction.
In a pathbreaking paper, Cover and Ordentlich (1998) solved a max-min portfolio game between a trader (who picks an entire trading algorithm, ) and "nature," who picks the matrix of gross-returns of all stocks in all periods. Their (zero-sum) game has the payoff kernel , where is the…
New bandit problem for finding best group of arms with worst mean reward.
We derive a closed form portfolio optimization rule for an investor who is diffident about mean return and volatility estimates, and has a CRRA utility. The novelty is that confidence is here represented using ellipsoidal uncertainty sets for the drift, given a volatility realization. This specification affords a simpl…
Let be a stratum of a compact stratified space . It is equipped with a general adapted metric , which is slightly more general than the adapted metrics of Nagase and Brasselet-Hector-Saralegi. In particular, has a general type, which is an extension of the type of an adapted metric. A restriction on this …
New algorithm identifies optimal subtrees in fixed-budget tree search.
This paper derives a robust on-line equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the market and then perpetually executes rebalancing trades so as to maintain a target …
Inspired by the success of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for supervised prediction in images, we design the Deconvolutional Generative Model (DGM), a new probabilistic generative model whose inference calculations correspond to those in a given CNN architecture. The DGM uses a CNN to design the prior distributio…
Mechanisms for fair resource allocation learn user preferences online.
Optimal best arm identification for multi-objective bandits with fixed error probability.
A new method solves the projection robust Wasserstein distance problem efficiently.
ARL improves fairness without protected features, showing AUC improvements for worst-case groups.
Paper proposes PRWB and RPRWB for Wasserstein barycenters.
Proposes RFQI for robust RL using offline data.
The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression problems. We propose two extensions to the standard stacking approach. In the fir…
The paper identifies all ε-optimal arms in a bandit problem with Gaussian rewards.
New framework for fair online allocation in continuous time with deadlines.
Two approaches integrate qualitative views into portfolio optimization, showing aggregation methods outperform robust optimization.
We introduce the notion of directed diagrammatic reducibility which is a relative version of diagrammatic reducibility. Directed diagrammatic reducibility has strong group theoretic and topological consequences. A multi-relator version of the Freiheitssatz in the presence of directed diagrammatic reducibility is given.…
Framework predicts and prepares for rain-induced microwave link attenuation.
We introduce a dynamic credit portfolio framework where optimal investment strategies are robust against misspecifications of the reference credit model. The risk-averse investor models his fear of credit risk misspecification by considering a set of plausible alternatives whose expected log likelihood ratios are penal…
Develops optimal uncertainty quantification for risk-averse decision makers.
Considering the classification problem, we summarize the nonparallel support vector machines with the nonparallel hyperplanes to two types of frameworks. The first type constructs the hyperplanes separately. It solves a series of small optimization problems to obtain a series of hyperplanes, but is hard to measure the …
Maximizes robustness in Bayesian experimental design under model uncertainty.
A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.
Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) has been a popular representation method for pattern classification problem. It tries to decompose a nonnegative matrix of data samples as the product of a nonnegative basic matrix and a nonnegative coefficient matrix, and the coefficient matrix is used as the new representation. …
We present a novel hybrid algorithm for Bayesian network structure learning, called Hybrid HPC (H2PC). It first reconstructs the skeleton of a Bayesian network and then performs a Bayesian-scoring greedy hill-climbing search to orient the edges. It is based on a subroutine called HPC, that combines ideas from increment…
Let (M^n, g) be a closed smooth Riemannian spin manifold and denote by D its Atiyah-Singer-Dirac operator. We study the variation of Riemannian metrics for the zeta function and functional determinant of D^2, and prove finiteness of the Morse index at stationary metrics, and local extremality at such metrics under gene…
New derivation shows how a three-factor learning rule is derived from Oja's rule.
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance (in a Wasserstein sense) from the underlying empirical measure. While motivated by…
Muon dynamics study uses spectral Wasserstein flow for optimization stability.
DeepCTRL integrates rules into deep learning models, allowing flexible control at inference.
New methods prune unpromising rules from KGs, improving scalability and runtime.
In this study, we give the relationships between the conical curvatures of ruled surfaces drawn by the unit vectors of the ruling, central normal and central tangent of a regular ruled surface in the Euclidean -space. We obtain the differential equations characterizing slant ruled surfaces and if the reference ruled su…
New framework learns interpretable rule ensembles without sacrificing accuracy.
R2N learns interpretable rules and literals from numerical features.
Study ruled surfaces with finite multiplicity, focusing on their curves and singularities.
Paper classifies ruled surfaces in Lorentz-Minkowski space for a specific flow.
In this study, we define some new types of ruled surfaces called slant ruled surfaces. We give some characterizations for a regular ruled surface to be a slant ruled surface in Euclidean 3- space. We show that if the slant ruled surface is developable then the striction curve is a general helix or a slant helix accordi…
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
Subdivision rules create sequences of nested cell structures on CW-complexes, and they frequently arise from groups. In this paper, we develop several tools for classifying subdivision rules. We give a criterion for a subdivision rule to represent a Gromov hyperbolic space, and show that a subdivision rule for a hyperb…
In this article supervised learning problems are solved using soft rule ensembles. We first review the importance sampling learning ensembles (ISLE) approach that is useful for generating hard rules. The soft rules are then obtained with logistic regression from the corresponding hard rules. In order to deal with the p…
Advances rule-based multi-label classification using conformal prediction.
We reduce a broad class of machine learning problems, usually addressed by EM or sampling, to the problem of finding the extremal rays spanning the conical hull of a data point set. These "anchors" lead to a global solution and a more interpretable model that can even outperform EM and sampling on generalizatio…
In this paper, we consider non developable ruled surface with spacelike ruling, timelike ruling, respectively. We give the relations between the structure functions with the curvature and torsion of the striction line of the timelike and spacelike non developable ruled surfaces. Also, we have calculated the gaussian an…
The Lamarle Formula, given by Kruppa in \cite{Kr}, is known as a relationship between the Gaussian curvature and the distribution parameter of a ruled surface in the surface theory. The ruled surfaces were investigated in 3 different classes with respect to the character of base curves and rulings, \cite{Tu1},\cite{Tu2…
In this study, we introduce Darboux slant ruled surfaces in the Euclidean 3-space which is defined by the property that the Darboux vector of orthonormel frame of ruled surface makes a constant angle with a fixed, non-zero direction. We obtain the characterizations of Darboux slant ruled surfaces regarding the conical …