A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
While computer and communication technologies have provided effective means to scale up many aspects of education, the submission and grading of assessments such as homework assignments and tests remains a weak link. In this paper, we study the problem of automatically grading the kinds of open response mathematical qu…
Recently, artificial neural networks (ANNs) in conjunction with stochastic gradient descent optimization methods have been employed to approximately compute solutions of possibly rather high-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs). Very recently, there have also been a number of rigorous mathematical results …
Karl Menger's 1934 paper on the St. Petersburg paradox contains mathematical errors that invalidate his conclusion that unbounded utility functions, specifically Bernoulli's logarithmic utility, fail to resolve modified versions of the St. Petersburg paradox.
Subset selection for multiple linear regression aims to construct a regression model that minimizes errors by selecting a small number of explanatory variables. Once a model is built, various statistical tests and diagnostics are conducted to validate the model and to determine whether the regression assumptions are me…
Autonomy and adaptation of machines requires that they be able to measure their own errors. We consider the advantages and limitations of such an approach when a machine has to measure the error in a regression task. How can a machine measure the error of regression sub-components when it does not have the ground truth…
The theory of quantum computation can be constructed from the abstract study of anyonic systems. In mathematical terms, these are unitary topological modular functors. They underlie the Jones polynomial and arise in Witten-Chern-Simons theory. The braiding and fusion of anyonic excitations in quantum Hall electron liqu…
First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF) approach that had been used previously very successfully to estimate the variance of …
We provide a mathematical definition of fragility and antifragility as negative or positive sensitivity to a semi-measure of dispersion and volatility (a variant of negative or positive "vega") and examine the link to nonlinear effects. We integrate model error (and biases) into the fragile or antifragile context. Unli…
In this paper we outline methodology to efficiently simulate (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths without discretisation error. We achieve this by considering the simulation of conditioned (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths in light of recent work developing a mathematical framework for simulating finite dimensional …
Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming models for regression subset selection based on mean square and absolute errors…
In this paper, we introduce a new concept of stability for cross-validation, called the (β,ϖ)-stability, and use it as a new perspective to build the general theory for cross-validation. The (β,ϖ)-stability mathematically connects the generalization ability and the stability of…
This lecture presents recent advances in the theory of errors propagation. We first explain in which cases the propagation of errors may be performed with a first order differential calculus or needs a second order differential calculus. Then we point out the link between error propagation and the concept of second ord…
Learning reward functions can lead to poor policy performance despite low error.
problem Low error in learned reward functions does not guarantee low regret in policy performance.
method Mathematical analysis of reward learning and policy optimization.
result A low expected test error of the reward model guarantees low worst-case regret, but error-regret mismatch can occur with certain data distributions.
The paper analyzes error propagation in dynamic programming for stochastic control and option pricing.
problem Error propagation in dynamic programming for stochastic control and option pricing.
method Formulated a general dynamic programming framework, used RKHSs for nonparametric regression, and Monte Carlo subsampling for estimating continuation value.
result Proposed a rigorous error decomposition and control mechanism for error propagation in dynamic programming.
Study on double descent behavior in two-layer neural networks for binary classification.
problem Understanding the double descent phenomenon in model test error.
method Two-layer neural network with ReLU activation for binary classification. Quantified model size by sample-to-dimension ratio. Empirical risk minimization using Convex Gaussian Min Max Theorem.
result Observed and investigated the double descent behavior of model test error.
This note is concerned with accurate and computationally efficient approximations of moments of Gaussian random variables passed through sigmoid or softmax mappings. These approximations are semi-analytical (i.e. they involve the numerical adjustment of parametric forms) and highly accurate (they yield 5% error at most…
The paper uncovers the mathematical structure enabling value decomposition in multi-agent systems.
problem Theoretical justification for why value decomposition works effectively in multi-agent systems remains underexplored.
method The paper introduces the concept of Markov entanglement to measure the underlying structure and demonstrates how it can be used to bound the decomposition error.
result The widely-used class of index policies is weakly entangled and enjoys a sublinear O(N) scale of decomposition error for N-agent systems.