Paper addresses measurement error in observational data, estimating effects of maternal smoking and opioid use on childhood obesity.
problem Systematic bias in inferences from observational datasets due to measurement error.
method Missing data view of measurement error problem; marginalizes latent true exposure; identifies outcome distribution under specific conditions.
result Method estimates effects of maternal smoking and opioid use on childhood obesity using only subject-reported data, refining estimates and consistency with existing literature.
Bayesian method estimates QTEs from observational data.
problem Estimating nuanced characteristics of counterfactual distributions.
method Bayesian semiparametric conditional distribution regression model with double balancing score.
result Proposed method provides more accurate QTE estimates than other methods.
Health risks from cigarette smoking -- the leading cause of preventable death in the United States -- can be substantially reduced by quitting. Although most smokers are motivated to quit, the majority of quit attempts fail. A number of studies have explored the role of self-reported symptoms, physiologic measurements,…
Smart watches can identify smoking gestures with high accuracy.
problem Identifying smoking gestures to prevent relapses.
method Used accelerometer sensors in smart watches and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs).
result 85%-95% success rates in identifying smoking gestures.
Machine learning helps predict smoke types for safer forest burns.
problem Determining which fuels to burn safely to reduce wildfire risk and minimize smoke.
method Machine learning techniques like spectral clustering and manifold learning.
result Interpretable representations and tools for differentiating smoke types.
Study predicts adolescents' intention to smoke cigarettes using ML models.
problem Early identification of adolescents' smoking intentions.
method Five machine learning algorithms tested for predicting intention to smoke cigarettes.
result Gradient Boosting Classifier showed highest accuracy.
Network Elastic Net identifies smoking-specific gene expression for lung cancer prognosis.
problem Identifying smoking-specific gene expression biomarkers in lung cancer prognosis.
method Introduces Network Elastic Net, a method that clusters and regresses on graphs based on smoking behavior.
result Shows efficacy of clusters in identifying cancer stages using gene expression and smoking behavior.
There is a need for affordable, widely deployable maternal-fetal ECG monitors to improve maternal and fetal health during pregnancy and delivery. Based on the diffusion-based channel selection, here we present the mathematical formalism and clinical validation of an algorithm capable of accurate separation of maternal …
Unsupervised fire and smoke segmentation from IR videos.
problem Early detection of fire from infrared videos.
method Spatial, temporal, and motion information fusion using optical flow, divergence, and intensity values.
result Markov Random Field outperforms other clustering algorithms in fire and smoke segmentation.
New methods estimate causal effects through mediators, handling confounding without strict assumptions.
problem Estimating causal effects through mediators while accounting for unmeasured confounding.
method Developed four nonparametric identification strategies using proximal confounding bridge functions, efficient influence function, and quadruply robust estimator. Proposed proximal debiased machine learning approach for high-dimensional nuisance parameters.
result Achieved n \sqrt{n} n -consistency and asymptotic normality for path-specific effect estimation. The NNGP kernel's predictions closely match those of the Matern kernel under certain conditions.
problem Comparing NNGP kernels to Matern kernels in practical applications.
method Demonstrated the necessity of normalization for NNGP kernels, explored numerical challenges, and compared predictions and performance.
result NNGP kernel predictions closely match Matern kernel predictions under specific circumstances.
New algorithm optimizes functions in Matérn kernel RKHS with noisy feedback.
problem Optimizing functions in RKHS of Matérn kernel with noisy bandit feedback.
method π-GP-UCB algorithm with guaranteed sublinear regret for all ν > 1 and d ≥ 1.
result First practical approach with guaranteed sublinear regret for all ν > 1 and d ≥ 1.
New CH covariance class improves spatial statistics by balancing differentiability and tail behavior.
problem Lack of control over mean-square differentiability and tail behavior in Matérn covariance functions.
method Developed a new Confluent Hypergeometric (CH) covariance class using a scale mixture of Matérn and polynomial covariances.
result The CH class offers improved theoretical properties and better performance in extrapolative settings.
Graph Gaussian processes use Matérn models for better function learning.
problem Lack of Gaussian process models for graph input spaces.
method Stochastic partial differential equation characterization of Matérn Gaussian processes.
result Graph Matérn Gaussian processes inherit properties of Euclidean and Riemannian models and can be trained efficiently.
Proposes a new model for traffic flow on directed graphs.
problem Modeling advection on directed graphs for traffic flow.
method Reformulates graph advection operator as finite difference scheme; proposes DGAMGP model.
result Effective modeling of traffic flow and uncertainty as an advective process.
Study on Matérn covariance approximations on grids, finding issues with high-frequency aliasing.
problem Issues with high-frequency aliasing in SPDE approximations of Matérn covariance functions.
method Analysis of aliased spectral densities and numerical simulations.
result SPDE approximations assign too much power at high frequencies and do not improve accuracy as grid spacing decreases.
Exact and scalable algorithm for Gaussian process regression with Matérn correlations.
problem Efficient Gaussian process regression with Matérn correlations.
method Novel kernel packet theory and sparse representation of covariance matrix.
result Significantly superior to existing alternatives in computational time and predictive accuracy.
Approximating Gaussian Whittle-Matern Fields over Well-Centered Triangulations of Riemannian Manifolds
problem Convergent approximation of Gaussian Whittle-Matern fields on Riemannian manifolds
method Finite Element approximation of SPDEs
result Universal approximation of precision and covariance matrices
The multiple fundamental frequency detection problem and the source separation problem from a single-channel signal containing multiple oscillatory components and a nonstationary noise are both challenging tasks. To extract the fetal electrocardiogram (ECG) from a single-lead maternal abdominal ECG, we face both challe…
New Hida-Matérn kernels enable flexible process priors and efficient GP inference.
problem Flexible modeling of stationary processes with oscillatory components.
method Introducing a new class of covariance functions (Hida-Matérn kernels) and their state space representations.
result Efficient Gaussian Process inference and improved numerical stability.
Optimizes Gaussian process hyperparameters using Bayesian autoregression.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for Matérn kernel temporal Gaussian processes.
method Recursive Bayesian estimation for autoregressive parameters.
result Outperforms traditional optimization methods in runtime and accuracy.
Paper speeds up Gaussian process inference using Matérn kernels.
problem Efficiently performing Gaussian process inference for large datasets.
method Exact Matérn kernel decomposition into empirical cumulative distribution functions, combined with divide-and-conquer approach.
result The proposed algorithm significantly speeds up Gaussian process inference for low-dimensional problems with hundreds of thousands of data points.
Proposes a robust EM algorithm for analyzing incomplete panel count data.
problem Missing reports in panel count data.
method Functional EM algorithm for non-parametric counting process mean function estimation.
result Robust to misspecification of Poisson process assumption and missing completely at random.
The paper explores the identifiability and interpretability of Gaussian process models using different kernel structures.
problem Identifiability and interpretability issues in Gaussian process models.
method The paper examines both single-output and multi-output Gaussian process models using additive and multiplicative mixtures of Matérn kernels.
result The smoothness of a mixture of Matérn kernels is determined by the least smooth component, and none of the mixing weights or parameters are identifiable.
New Gaussian processes for Riemannian manifolds enable uncertainty quantification.
problem Modeling functions on Riemannian manifolds with uncertainty.
method Generalized Matérn Gaussian processes on compact manifolds via spectral theory.
result Efficient training of Riemannian Matérn Gaussian processes using scalable techniques.
Linear cost method approximates Gaussian Matérn processes with exponentially convergent accuracy.
problem High computational cost for Gaussian process inference and prediction.
method Optimal rational approximation of spectral density for Gaussian processes on bounded intervals.
result Exponential decrease in covariance error with increasing order of approximation.
Study estimates personalized effects of maternal PM2.5 exposure on birth weight.
problem Identify critical windows and heterogeneity in maternal PM2.5 exposure effects on birth weight.
method Heterogeneous Distributed Lag Models and Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
result Evidence of heterogeneity in PM2.5-birth weight relationship, with some dyads showing 3x larger decrease.
The paper improves error bounds for Bayesian quadrature in noisy settings.
problem Improving error bounds for Bayesian quadrature in noisy settings.
method Develops a two-step meta-algorithm to relate average-case quadrature error to L 2 L^2 L 2 -function approximation error. result Provides new average-case results for various kernels and noise settings.
Study finds polynomial convergence rate for Farey sequences linked to Riemann hypothesis.
problem Understanding convergence rates of maximum mean discrepancies for Farey sequences.
method Identifying positive-semidefinite kernels and their polynomial convergence rates.
result Polynomial convergence rate of maximum mean discrepancies of Farey sequences is equivalent to the Riemann hypothesis.
New approach tackles non-Markovian behavior in maternal health programs.
problem Improving adherence and engagement in maternal and child healthcare programs.
method Extending RMABs to non-Markovian settings, using time-series forecasting and TARI policy.
result Significant increase in engagement and content listened compared to existing methods.
cvHM framework speeds up GP inference for neural spike train analysis.
problem Scalability issue in approximate inference for latent GP models.
method cvHM framework using Hida-Matérn kernels and conjugate computation variational inference (CVI).
result Linear time inference for latent neural trajectories.
Study identifies biomarkers for lung cancer in female non-smokers.
problem Identifying prognostic biomarkers for stage III NSCLC in non-smoking females.
method Gene expression profiling and XGBoost machine learning algorithm.
result Top biomarkers validated in literature, with AUC score of 0.835.
App enhances midwives' skills in low-income countries.
problem Low-income countries have high maternal and child mortality rates.
method Deep learning models predict midwives' interest in learning materials.
result Deep learning models accurately predict midwives' interest in learning materials.
The paper establishes bounds on the smoothness parameter in Gaussian process interpolation.
problem Estimating the smoothness parameter in Gaussian process models.
method Approximation theory in Sobolev spaces and general theorems on parameter estimation.
result Maximum likelihood estimation recovers the true smoothness for certain classes of functions.
For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Matérn processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown values. Although similar models have been proposed in the econometric, statistics, a…
This study examines Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds and proves contraction rates.
problem Comparing intrinsic vs. extrinsic Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds.
method Proves optimal contraction rates for intrinsic Matérn Gaussian processes on compact Riemannian manifolds.
result Intrinsic Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds achieve better performance than extrinsic ones.
Data science predicts user interest for midwifery content.
problem Improving midwives' learning and preventing maternal and newborn deaths.
method Forecasting methods using user-generated logs from online learning apps.
result Determining future user interest in midwifery content types.
Improved functional data modeling with modern imputation methods.
problem Estimating complex non-linear models with sparsely and irregularly sampled functional data.
method Modified multiple imputation methods combining MissForest and Local Linear Forest.
result New imputation methods produce better estimates than existing methods.
ConvNets improve nonstationary covariance estimation for large-scale spatial data.
problem Estimating nonstationary spatial covariance functions on large scales.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets) for subregion identification and selection.
result Enhanced accuracy in parameter estimation using ConvNet-based partitioning.
We consider the problem of Bayesian optimization (BO) in one dimension, under a Gaussian process prior and Gaussian sampling noise. We provide a theoretical analysis showing that, under fairly mild technical assumptions on the kernel, the best possible cumulative regret up to time T T T behaves as Ω ( T ) Ω(\sqrt{T}) Ω ( T ) and $O(\s…
Standard Gaussian Process outperforms in high-dimensional Bayesian Optimization.
problem Standard Gaussian Process underperforms in high-dimensional optimization problems.
method Comprehensive evaluation of twelve benchmarks, use of Matérn kernels, probabilistic bounds, robust initialization strategy.
result Standard Gaussian Process can consistently achieve top-tier results in high-dimensional optimization problems.
Paper analyzes consistency of Bayesian and machine learning methods for hierarchical parameter estimation.
problem Learning hierarchical parameters in complex and real-world problems.
method Empirical Bayes and Kernel Flow approaches.
result Consistency results for Matérn-like model on the torus, and comparison of algorithms.
Derives a Matern Gaussian process on hypergraphs for regression and embedding.
problem Regression and embedding of vertices in hypergraphs with uncertainty.
method Derives a Matern Gaussian process on hypergraphs, embeds vertices into latent space, identifies inducing vertices for scalable inference.
result Enables estimation of regression models with hypergraph structure informed correlation and uncertainty.
Bayesian framework for sphere regression using Gaussian fields.
problem Nonparametric regression on the sphere with Gaussian priors.
method Isotropic Gaussian field priors, harmonic structure, exact posterior distributions, optimal spectral truncation, posterior contraction rates.
result Sharp posterior contraction rates for Gaussian priors with polynomially decaying angular power spectra.
GP-UCB resolves sublinear regret for kernelized bandits.
problem Minimizing regret in kernelized bandit problems.
method Using a new regularization technique for kernel ridge estimators, improving GP-UCB's sublinear regret rate.
result GP-UCB achieves nearly optimal sublinear regret for the Matérn kernel.
A well known result of Da Rios and Levi-Civita says that a closed planar curve is elastic if and only if it is stationary under the localized induction (or smoke ring) equation, where stationary means that the evolution under the localized induction equation is by rigid motions. We prove an analogous result for surface…
Bayesian optimization on networks using Gaussian process models.
problem Optimizing expensive black-box functions on network structures.
method Developed Bayesian optimization algorithms with Gaussian process surrogates tailored to network geometry.
result Established regret bounds for smooth objective functions and analyzed practical cases.
New random feature maps for Laplacian and related kernels.
problem Challenges in approximating the Laplacian kernel and its generalizations.
method Developed random feature maps for Laplacian and related kernels, providing efficient sampling schemes.
result Demonstrated the efficacy of these random feature maps on real datasets.