arXiv research

New algorithm selects robust martingale for optimal stopping problems.

Study finds optimal martingale coupling between two distributions with minimal entropy.

Dual martingales improve primal optimal stopping problem efficiency.

Extends optimal transport to dynamic and martingale settings.

Extends martingale Schrödinger bridge to arbitrary dimensions and characterizes it.

Efficiently computes robust option prices using multi-marginal martingale transport.

Unique solutions found for diffusive martingale problems.

Study bounds financial path expectations using martingale distributions.

Dynamic reinsurance aims to minimize surplus risk using martingale transport.

Researchers created a continuous Markov martingale that mimics Brownian motion but lacks the strong Markov property.

Geometric Bass martingales linked to Brownian motion and geometric Brownian motion.

Extends martingale transport for robust finance problems.

We establish numerical methods for solving the martingale optimal transport problem (MOT) - a version of the classical optimal transport with an additional martingale constraint on transport's dynamics. We prove that the MOT value can be approximated using linear programming (LP) problems which result from a discretisa…

Under mild regularity assumptions, the transport problem is stable in the following sense: if a sequence of optimal transport plans $π_1, π_2, \ldots$ converges weakly to a transport plan $π$, then $π$ is also optimal (between its marginals). Alfonsi, Corbetta and Jourdain asked whether the same property is true for th…

Study uses viscosity solutions to solve control problems involving measure-valued martingales.

New method finds closest martingale to Brownian motion.

A concept of martingale-fair index of return, consistent with Arbitrage Free Pricing Theory, is introduced. An explicit formula for the average rate of return of a group of investment/pension funds in a discrete time stochastic model is derived and several properties of this index are shown. In particular, it is proven…

The martingale optimal transport aims to optimally transfer a probability measure to another along the class of martingales. This problem is mainly motivated by the robust superhedging of exotic derivatives in financial mathematics, which turns out to be the corresponding Kantorovich dual. In this paper we consider the…

Develops a new duality between entropy martingale optimal transport and nonlinear pricing-hedging.

New approach shows continuity and compactness of martingale measures.

Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $ξ_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this note is to underline the connection between this problem and the problems of asset pr…

We extend Kyle's model to include stochastic liquidity and multiple assets.

Let $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ be two filtrations and $S$ be a $\mathbb{F}$ semimartingale possessing a $\mathbb{F}$ local martingale deflator. Consider $τ$ a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time. We study the problem whether $S^{τ-}$ or $S^τ$ can have $\mathbb{G}$ local martingale deflators. A suitable theoretical framework…

Study a continuous portfolio optimization with a new CVaR-like constraint using martingale approach.

The Noether theorem is extended to stochastic control problems using contact symmetries.

In classical optimal transport, the contributions of Benamou-Brenier and McCann regarding the time-dependent version of the problem are cornerstones of the field and form the basis for a variety of applications in other mathematical areas. We suggest a Benamou-Brenier type formulation of the martingale transport proble…

A geometric reformulation of the martingale problem associated with a set of diffusion processes is proposed. This formulation, based on second order geometry and Ito integration on manifolds, allows us to give a natural and effective definition of Lie symmetries for diffusion processes.

We extend martingale transport results to weak martingale transport.

A new method uses deep learning for optimal stopping problems.

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a numéraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small stochastic deviations in the evolution of the numéraire process causes significant chang…

We study an equivalence of (i) deterministic pathwise statements appearing in the online learning literature (termed \emph{regret bounds}), (ii) high-probability tail bounds for the supremum of a collection of martingales (of a specific form arising from uniform laws of large numbers for martingales), and (iii) in-expe…

Score-based martingale posteriors improve uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.

There are two major streams of literature on the modeling of financial bubbles: the strict local martingale framework and the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) financial bubble model. Based on a class of models that embeds the JLS model and can exhibit strict local martingale behavior, we clarify the connection between th…

By investigating model-independent bounds for exotic options in financial mathematics, a martingale version of the Monge-Kantorovich mass transport problem was introduced in \cite{BeiglbockHenry LaborderePenkner,GalichonHenry-LabordereTouzi}. In this paper, we extend the one-dimensional Brenier's theorem to the present…

Tikhonov regularization is robust under specific martingale constraints in distributionally robust optimization.

This paper focuses on martingale optimal transport problems when the martingales are assumed to have bounded quadratic variation. First, we give a result that characterizes the existence of a probability measure satisfying some convex transport constraints in addition to having given initial and terminal marginals. Sev…

Fast pricing of American-style options has been a difficult problem since it was first introduced to financial markets in 1970s, especially when the underlying stocks' prices follow some jump-diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to generate tight upper bounds on the Bermudan option price witho…

We consider a general class of diffusion-based models and show that, even in the absence of an Equivalent Local Martingale Measure, the financial market may still be viable, in the sense that strong forms of arbitrage are excluded and portfolio optimisation problems can be meaningfully solved. Relying partly on the rec…

New deep learning architecture learns martingales efficiently.

The study establishes stability in WMOT, crucial for finance with imprecise data.

We study a variant of the martingale optimal transport problem in a multi-period setting to derive robust price bounds of a financial derivative. On top of marginal and martingale constraints, we introduce a time-homogeneity assumption, which restricts the variability of the forward-looking transitions of the martingal…

Develops a martingale expansion for stochastic volatility models.

Investigates model risk and semi-static hedging for martingale constrained models.

We analyze the martingale selection problem of Rokhlin (2006) in a pointwise (robust) setting. We derive conditions for solvability of this problem and show how it is related to the classical no-arbitrage deliberations. We obtain versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in examples spanning frictionless mar…

In the problem of optimal investment with utility function defined on $(0,\infty)$, we formulate sufficient conditions for the dual optimizer to be a uniformly integrable martingale. Our key requirement consists of the existence of a martingale measure whose density process satisfies the probabilistic Muckenhoupt $(A_p…

The dual representation of the martingale optimal transport problem in the Skorokhod space of multi dimensional cadlag processes is proved. The dual is a minimization problem with constraints involving stochastic integrals and is similar to the Kantorovich dual of the standard optimal transport problem. The constraints…

We solve the problem of pricing and optimal exercise of American call-type options in markets which do not necessarily admit an equivalent local martingale measure. This resolves an open question proposed by Fernholz and Karatzas [Stochastic Portfolio Theory: A Survey, Handbook of Numerical Analysis, 15:89-168, 2009].

For several decades, the no-arbitrage (NA) condition and the martingale measures have played a major role in the financial asset's pricing theory. We propose a new approach for estimating the super-replication cost based on convex duality instead of martingale measures duality: Our prices will be expressed using Fenche…