Optimizes marketing strategies with practical constraints.
problem Adjusting marketing activities with minimum and maximum changes.
method Formulated as a mixed integer nonlinear program (MINLP), reformulated for computational efficiency.
result Significant improvements in solution process for realistic problems.
DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.
problem Traditional MMM approaches struggle with non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns.
method Combines deep learning, causal inference, and marketing science. Uses GRUs for temporal patterns and DAG structure for channel dependencies.
result Captures non-linear dynamics and temporal patterns in marketing impacts.
Paper optimizes battery storage in multiple energy markets for better profits.
problem Optimizing battery storage participation in multiple energy markets to balance supply and demand.
method Developed a joint bidding strategy combining intraday and frequency markets using mixed integer linear programming and a learned classifier strategy.
result The LCS increases overall profits by over 4% compared to static strategies and by more than 3% over a naive dynamic benchmark.
Optimizes routing in decentralized exchanges with gas fees.
problem Routing in decentralized exchanges with fixed gas fees.
method General optimization framework with mixed-integer model, incorporating gas fees.
result Explicit Karush-Kuhn-Tucker system linking prices, fees, and activation.
We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of two possibly correlated assets: one liquid and one illiquid. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can be traded only at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps …
New MMM captures hierarchical marketing effects and sign restrictions.
problem Measuring effectiveness of marketing activities with hierarchical structure and sign constraints.
method Proposes a constrained maximum likelihood approach using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm.
result Demonstrates superior performance on real datasets compared to multi-stage methods.
This work models GHG offset credit markets to find optimal strategies for market participants.
problem Optimizing GHG offset credit markets to reduce emissions and penalize excess emissions.
method Characterized optimal behavior in single-player and two-player GHG offset credit markets using optimal stopping and control problems, and mixed-Nash equilibria.
result Market participants benefit from optimal OC trading and generation, highlighting the importance of acting optimally.
The paper analyzes optimal dealer strategies in agent-based market models.
problem Optimal dealer strategies in market models.
method Agent-based simulations extended from Chiarella's model to include liquidity providers.
result Dealers with greater risk aversion tend to perform better, but quote size effects are mixed.
Modeling option market making with hedging-induced price impact.
problem Tackles the challenge of market making in options markets with price impact.
method Models option order flow using Cox processes and studies the dynamics of inventory and price under hedging-induced impact.
result Establishes the well-posedness of the mixed control problem involving quoting and hedging.
We study a linear price impact model including other liquidity takers, whose flow of orders either follows a Poisson or a Hawkes process. The optimal execution problem is solved explicitly in this context, and the closed-formula optimal strategy describes in particular how one should react to the orders of other trader…
Investigates market dynamics with informed traders and high-frequency traders.
problem Trading large orders in a market with multiple high-frequency traders.
method Analyzes a three-period Kyle's model with a normal-speed informed trader and multiple anticipatory high-frequency traders under different inventory pressures.
result Surprising results: improving HFTs' speed or prediction can harm them but benefit the informed trader.
Optimal crypto asset routing with CFMMs, including fixed costs.
problem Optimizing order execution on a network of CFMMs with fixed costs.
method Convex optimization for no fixed costs, mixed-integer convex for fixed costs, heuristics for approximate solutions.
result Approximate solutions to optimal routing and arbitrage certification problems.
This paper mixes constant sum and constant product market makers to improve their features.
problem Improving the balance between stable exchange rates and liquidity in automated market makers.
method Mixing and designing new methods for AMMs with specific features.
result Demonstrates new tools for creating markets with desired characteristics.
ARED introduces a new dataset for Argentina's real estate market.
problem Lack of mixed modality datasets for Argentina's real estate market.
method Developed a comprehensive real estate price prediction dataset series for Argentina.
result Dataset captures time-dependent phenomena on a market level.
American options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the holder of an option is able to exercise it gradually at a so-called mixed (randomised) stopping time. The introduction of gradual exercise leads to tighter bounds on the option price when compared to the …
We present a new framework for Hermite fractional financial markets, generalizing the fractional Brownian motion and fractional Rosenblatt markets. Considering pure and mixed Hermite markets, we introduce a strategy-specific arbitrage tax on the rate of transaction volume acceleration of the hedging portfolio as the pr…
Study uses RL to optimize global equity portfolios, finds mixed results.
problem Optimizing dynamic portfolio weights across diverse global markets.
method Deep reinforcement learning with Soft Actor-Critic, incorporating various constraints and reward formulations.
result RL strategies achieve competitive performance, but no strategy consistently outperforms Buy and Hold.
Characterizes measures preserving compound mixed renewal process properties.
problem Preserving compound mixed renewal process properties under different probability measures.
method Characterization of progressively equivalent probability measures.
result Any compound mixed renewal process can be converted into a compound mixed Poisson process through a change of measures.
Paper introduces a new IV regression method for mixed-frequency data.
problem Estimating high-dimensional slope parameters in mixed-frequency data.
method Tikhonov-regularized estimator for high-dimensional linear IV regression.
result High-dimensional slope parameter can be accurately estimated using a low-frequency instrumental variable.
Robust MCVaR portfolio optimization using RKHS for risk management.
problem Minimizing portfolio risk while achieving higher returns under uncertainty.
method Introduces a robust MCVaR model with ellipsoidal support and RKHS uncertainty set for chance constraint.
result Robust model outperforms nominal and market portfolios in various market conditions.
Game (Israeli) options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the buyer is allowed to exercise the option and the seller has the right to cancel the option gradually at a mixed (or randomised) stopping time, rather than instantly at an ordinary stopping time. Allo…
Purpose - This paper seeks to take a cautionary stance to the impact of the marketing mix on customer satisfaction, via a case study deriving consensus rankings for benchmarking on selected retail stores in Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach - The ELECTRE I model is used in deriving consensus rankings via multicrite…
We provide an extension of the explicit solution of a mixed optimal stopping-optimal stochastic control problem introduced by Henderson and Hobson. The problem examines wether the optimal investment problem on a local martingale financial market is affected by the optimal liquidation of an independent indivisible asset…
In this paper the problem of optimal derivative design, profit maximization and risk minimization under adverse selection when multiple agencies compete for the business of a continuum of heterogenous agents is studied. The presence of ties in the agents' best-response correspondences yields discontinuous payoff functi…
Bayesian optimization tackles mixed discrete-continuous problems with Gaussian processes.
problem Optimizing problems with both discrete and continuous variables using costly simulations.
method Relaxing discrete variables into continuous latent variables, using Bayesian optimization, and incorporating compatibility constraints with Lagrangians.
result Comparative analysis of different mixed Bayesian optimization approaches.
New method adapts to unknown mixing time in stochastic optimization.
problem Optimizing with Markovian data where mixing time is unknown.
method Combines MLMC gradient estimation with adaptive learning.
result Achieves optimal convergence rate for convex problems.
In mix-game which is an extension of minority game, there are two groups of agents; group1 plays the majority game, but the group2 plays the minority game. This paper studies the change of the average winnings of agents and volatilities vs. the change of mixture of agents in mix-game model. It finds that the correlatio…
QNA uses quantum-inspired density operators to diagnose market dependence and structural risk.
problem Lack of unified operator representation for market dependence and structural risk diagnostics.
method Quantum Network of Assets (QNA) framework using density operators.
result QNA entropy remains strongly related to covariance spectral entropy but becomes distinct with multi-feature rolling trajectories.
Mixed data comprises both numeric and categorical features, and mixed datasets occur frequently in many domains, such as health, finance, and marketing. Clustering is often applied to mixed datasets to find structures and to group similar objects for further analysis. However, clustering mixed data is challenging becau…
MOCA-HESP optimizes high-dimensional combinatorial and mixed spaces using hyper-ellipsoid partitioning.
problem Challenges in optimizing high-dimensional, combinatorial and mixed spaces.
method MOCA-HESP uses hyper-ellipsoid space partitioning with different categorical encoders and multi-armed bandit for adaptive selection.
result MOCA-HESP outperforms existing methods on various synthetic and real-world benchmarks.
We propose a framework for studying optimal market making policies in a limit order book (LOB). The bid-ask spread of the LOB is modelled by a Markov chain with finite values, multiple of the tick size, and subordinated by the Poisson process of the tick-time clock. We consider a small agent who continuously submits li…
Any optimization algorithm based on the risk parity approach requires the formulation of portfolio total risk in terms of marginal contributions. In this paper we use the independence of the underlying factors in the market to derive the centered moments required in the risk decomposition process when the modified vers…
TimeMixer predicts global financial asset volatility, excelling in short-term forecasts.
problem Predicting volatility in global financial markets is challenging due to complexity and non-linear dynamics.
method Uses TimeMixer, a multiscale-mixing model for forecasting across different scales.
result TimeMixer performs exceptionally well in short-term volatility forecasting but less so in longer-term predictions.
The study examines how alternative resource adequacy contract designs affect market participants' risk profiles and resource mix.
problem The tension between promoting reliability and competition in liberalized electricity markets.
method Constructs a stochastic equilibrium model of a competitive market with incomplete risk trading and computes investment equilibria under different contracting regimes.
result Alternative contracting regimes can induce different risk profiles and resource mixes, affecting market outcomes.
New method assesses financial and cyber risks under uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in risk assessment for financial and cyber systems.
method Combines stochastic approximation and distorted mix method to compute worst case average value at risk.
result Efficient algorithm for tail uncertainty in multivariate distributions.
LLMs in financial markets show diverse behaviors, from stable to speculative, challenging rational expectations.
problem Understanding the economic behaviors of LLMs in financial markets.
method Simulated financial market with 15 LLMs of varying sizes and capabilities.
result LLMs exhibit a spectrum of behaviors, including speculative bubbles, inconsistent with rational expectations.
New RL theory reduces sample complexity for mixing MDPs.
problem Optimal sample complexity for reinforcement learning in mixing MDPs.
method Regeneration-type ideas to analyze mixing times.
result Optimal sample complexity depends on mixing time, not just discount factor.
The optimization of expensive to evaluate, black-box, mixed-variable functions, i.e. functions that have continuous and discrete inputs, is a difficult and yet pervasive problem in science and engineering. In Bayesian optimization (BO), special cases of this problem that consider fully continuous or fully discrete doma…
The existence of a phase transition with diverging susceptibility in batch Minority Games (MGs) is the mark of informationally efficient regimes and is linked to the specifics of the agents' learning rules. Here we study how the standard scenario is affected in a mixed population game in which agents with the `optimal'…
New Riemannian optimization improves variance estimation in mixed models.
problem Challenges in estimating variance parameters in linear mixed models due to constraints.
method Formulated as an optimization problem on a Riemannian manifold, using Riemannian gradient and Hessian.
result Yields higher quality variance parameter estimates compared to existing methods.
Model analyzes RFQ markets using stochastic control to optimize dealer performance and inventory.
problem Optimizing market making in aggregator-routed RFQ markets with varying dealer performance scores.
method Two-tier stochastic control model that separates RFQ-level price competition from macro routing.
result Optimal controls can be expressed through derivatives of reduced Hamiltonians, leading to interpretable mappings from optimal win probabilities to optimal offsets.
This paper solves robust utility maximization with unknown claim dependencies.
problem Investor optimizes utility in the presence of an intractable contingent claim.
method Quantile optimization approach, transforming dynamic problem into static concave optimization.
result Optimal payoffs depend on ambiguity attitude, market conditions, and claim characteristics.
Adapts Bayesian optimization for mixed constraints in aircraft design.
problem Optimizing expensive black box functions with mixed constraints.
method Super efficient global optimization with upper trust bound for constraints, Gaussian process uncertainty, refinement procedure.
result Superior performance on aircraft design problem compared to state-of-the-art solvers.
The aim of this paper is to explain how parameters adjustments can be integrated in the design or the control of automates of trading. Typically, we are interested by the online estimation of the market impacts generated by robots or single orders, and how they/the controller should react in an optimal way to the infor…
Study analyzes crude oil futures markets using visibility graphs to understand their structure and dynamics.
problem Understanding the structure and dynamics of crude oil futures markets during global challenges.
method Visibility graph analysis of daily and high-frequency data.
result Crude oil futures markets exhibit small-world properties and assortative mixing, with unique sensitivities to global disruptions.
Mixed RL improves RL efficiency with dual representations.
problem Poor sampling efficiency in RL methods.
method Uses dual representations of environmental dynamics to search optimal policies.
result Proves convergence and recursive stability of the mixed RL.
Paper reduces hyperparameters in mixed-categorical Gaussian processes for green aircraft optimization.
problem High-dimensional mixed-categorical Gaussian processes with many hyperparameters.
method Innovative dimension reduction algorithm using partial least squares regression.
result Significant reduction in fuel consumption (439 kg) for a green aircraft.
The paper explores the relationship between joint mixability and negative dependence structures.
problem Understanding the connection between joint mixability and various negative dependence concepts.
method Analyzes the properties of joint mixes and their relation to negative dependence structures.
result Derives necessary and sufficient conditions for a joint mix to be negatively dependent.