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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for market sentiment

Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.

problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.

Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.

problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.

MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.

problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.

Study shows investor sentiment boosts intraday trading in Chinese markets.

problem Impact of investor sentiment on intraday overtrading in Chinese A-share markets.
method High-frequency sentiment indices from social media analyzed for intraday overtrading in CSI 300 and CSI 500 constituents.
result Investor sentiment significantly increases intraday overtrading, especially among institutional investors.

A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.

problem Understanding how news sentiment impacts market performance and volatility.
method Applied NLP techniques to analyze news sentiment of 87 companies over 7 years.
result Strong media sentiment towards one company can indicate significant changes in sentiment towards related companies.

Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.

problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.

Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving risk assessment and prediction in equity markets.
method Combines financial stress indicator with sentiment analysis of financial news.
result Improved performance with higher Sharpe ratio and reduced drawdowns.

Study shows tweets about COVID-19 can predict stock market performance.

problem Understanding the impact of COVID-19 on stock markets.
method Text sentiment analysis of Twitter data to correlate tweets about COVID-19 with stock market performance.
result Strong relationship between COVID-19 sentiment and stock market performance can be predicted.

Study uses sentiment analysis to predict implied volatility surface, improving prediction accuracy.

problem Improving prediction accuracy of implied volatility surface.
method Constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data, used VAR method, deep learning (BERT, LSTM), FFT, EMD for sentiment decomposition.
result High-frequency sentiment correlates with ATM options' implied volatility, low-frequency with DOTM options.

Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.

problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.

GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.

problem Understanding investor sentiment in the stock market.
method Constructing a sentiment index from social media GIFs and analyzing its correlation with market returns and volume.
result GIFsentiment positively predicts stock market returns and negatively predicts returns for up to four weeks.

This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.

We study dynamics of a simulated world with stock and money, driven by the externally given processes which we refer to as sentiments. The considered sentiments influence the buy/sell stock trading attitude, the perceived price uncertainty, and the trading intensity of all or a part of the market participants. We study…

2017-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

This paper uses deep learning to analyze sentiment in financial forums and improve stock market prediction.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy through sentiment analysis.
method Crawling financial forum data, training BERT model on financial corpus, and using maximum information coefficient.
result Sentiment features from financial text can reflect stock market fluctuations and improve prediction accuracy.

FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.

Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

problem Determining the informational value of financial YouTube channels.
method Analyzing 3PROTV's content and its impact on stock market performance and sentiment.
result 3PROTV's content, particularly negative sentiment, predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.

Study shows negative war news correlates with increased stock market volatility.

problem Understanding the impact of geopolitical events on financial markets.
method Used BERT model for sentiment analysis and GARCH model for volatility forecasting.
result Negative news sentiment during geopolitical crises is associated with increased stock market volatility.

Paper presents a hybrid framework combining sentiment analysis and market indicators for financial portfolio optimization.

problem Improving financial portfolio optimization through better integration of sentiment and market data.
method A three-tier hierarchical RL framework integrating LLMs, DRL, and market data.
result Achieved a 26% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.2, outperforming benchmarks.

This study examines investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility using deep learning and TVP-VAR models.

problem Investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility.
method Deep learning BERT model for sentiment extraction and TVP-VAR model for time-varying analysis.
result Investor sentiment has a stronger impact on stock market liquidity and volatility, with more pronounced effects in short-term shocks.

Sentiment analysis of DAX40 stocks improves performance by 5.38% annually.

problem Creating a more responsive stock market index using sentiment analysis.
method Extract sentiment from news articles, adjust index weights based on sentiment, compare performance to existing indices.
result Sentiment index outperforms DAX40 by 7.51% annually, adjusted for costs.

Dual-CLVSA predicts financial markets using both trading data and sentiment measurements.

problem Predicting financial markets with complex interactions and emotional influences.
method Hybrid convolutional LSTM-based variational sequence-to-sequence model with attention.
result Dual-CLVSA effectively fuses trading data and sentiment measurements, improving prediction performance.

Behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual investment behavior. Behavioral finance thereby ignores any interaction between participants. We introduce a socio-financia…

2014-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.

problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.

This paper combines a node transformer with BERT sentiment analysis for more accurate stock market predictions.

problem Challenges in predicting stock markets due to noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics.
method Integrates a node transformer architecture with BERT sentiment analysis to forecast stock prices.
result The integrated model reduces prediction error by 10% overall and 25% during earnings announcements.

Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.

problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.

Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.

problem Impact of State Bank of Pakistan's monetary policy communications on stock market.
method Sentiment analysis and high frequency stock market returns analysis.
result Positive or negative tone in SBP communications affects stock returns positively or negatively.