FinRL-Meta creates diverse market environments for DRL in finance.
problem Inaccurate financial data and diverse market environments challenge DRL in finance.
method Open-source data processing tools, hundreds of market environments, and multiprocessing.
result FinRL-Meta improves DRL accuracy and speed in financial simulations.
FinRL-Meta offers market environments and benchmarks for financial reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in creating high-quality market environments and benchmarks for financial reinforcement learning.
method DataOps paradigm, automatic pipeline, community-wise competitions, Jupyter/Python demos.
result Openly accessible FinRL-Meta library for data-driven financial reinforcement learning.
New pricing algorithm learns demand curves and optimizes prices in dynamic markets.
problem Dynamic pricing in markets with incomplete demand information and shifting conditions.
method Actor-Critic Information-Directed Pricing (ACIDP) using IDS algorithms and auditing procedures.
result ACIDP outperforms UCB and TS in market environment shifts.
Proposes ABIDES-Gym for financial markets simulation.
problem Training multi-agent systems in financial markets.
method Wrapping DEMAS into OpenAI Gym framework.
result Developed two financial markets OpenAI Gym environments.
Well begun is half done. In the crowdfunding market, the early fundraising performance of the project is a concerned issue for both creators and platforms. However, estimating the early fundraising performance before the project published is very challenging and still under-explored. To that end, in this paper, we pres…
Inverse reinforcement learning has proved its ability to explain state-action trajectories of expert agents by recovering their underlying reward functions in increasingly challenging environments. Recent advances in adversarial learning have allowed extending inverse RL to applications with non-stationary environment …
Decentralized learning for matching markets with time-varying preferences.
problem Matching between competing agents and supply arms with time-varying preferences.
method Linear contextual bandit framework, learning algorithms to identify latent environment and stable matchings.
result Achieve instance-dependent logarithmic regret, applicable for large markets.
The paper analyzes trade execution strategies for large traders in a stochastic market environment.
problem Analyzing trade execution strategies in a stochastic market with price impact.
method Formulated a Markov game model and used backward induction method of dynamic programming.
result Explicit closed-form execution strategy at Markov perfect equilibrium.
Safe-FinRL uses DRL for high-frequency stock trading, reducing bias and variance.
problem Challenges in applying DRL to high-frequency stock trading, especially bias and variance issues.
method Safe-FinRL separates financial time series into near-stationary short environments and uses Trace-SAC with a general retrace operator.
result Safe-FinRL reduces bias and variance significantly in near-stationary financial environments.
Paper uses RL for market making, improving stability in non-stationary markets.
problem Optimizing market making strategies in non-stationary limit order book dynamics.
method Reinforcement Learning (Proximal-Policy Optimization) applied to a simulator.
result RL agent outperforms closed-form optimal solution in non-stationary markets.
The excessive compensation packages of CEOs of U.S. corporations in recent years have brought to the foreground the issue of fairness in economics. The conventional wisdom is that the free market for labor, which determines the pay packages, cares only about efficiency and not fairness. We present an alternative theory…
This work models market regimes using CTMSTOU and simulates trading policies.
problem Defining and understanding market regimes in finance.
method Discrete event time multi-agent market simulation with CTMSTOU model.
result Illustrates the importance of regime-awareness in trading policies.
RL agents optimize order execution in a realistic market simulation.
problem Optimal order execution challenges in a complex market.
method Multi-agent RL in a historical order book simulation.
result RL agents converge to TWAP strategies in some scenarios.
Deep RL strategies outperform traditional methods in cryptocurrency trading.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for cryptocurrency markets.
method Applied Proximal Policy Optimization, Soft Actor-Critic, and Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning to a Gym environment based on cryptocurrency markets.
result Highest gain of 4850 US dollars per 10000 US dollars investment on unseen data.
The paper tackles decision making problems with funnel structure in email marketing campaigns.
problem Decision making challenges in systems with funnel structure, where fewer observations are received from deeper layers.
method Formulated as a contextual bandit with funnel structure and developed a multi-task learning algorithm.
result Our algorithms offer significant improvement over previous methods in email marketing campaigns.
Deep learning reveals lagged correlations in stock markets, showing accuracy decreases with shorter prediction horizons.
problem Capturing non-linear interactions in financial prediction problems using large-scale datasets.
method Applying deep learning to econometrically constructed gradients to learn and exploit lagged correlations among S&P 500 stocks.
result Model accuracies decrease with shorter prediction horizons, but remain significant in both stable and volatile markets.
Study simulates liquidity in fractional ownership markets using ABM.
problem Understanding liquidity dynamics in illiquid markets.
method Agent-based modeling (ABM) with empirical data.
result Simulation reveals insights into market structures and trading behaviors.
A new neural network model simulates financial markets without assuming underlying dynamics.
problem Modeling financial time series without assuming underlying dynamics.
method Neural network based generative model using a parsimonious Variational Autoencoder framework.
result Works reliably in small data environments, providing a new performance evaluation metric.
Causal analysis predicts market trends using time series data.
problem Predicting financial market trends using diverse time series data.
method Causal analysis based on lagged Pearson correlation applied to financial metrics.
result Discrimination of causal connections between different types of market data.
New model predicts dynamic volatility in uncertain financial markets.
problem Predicting dynamic volatility in financial markets with uncertainty.
method Generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN-S) model considering delay and fuzziness.
result Effective prediction of dynamic volatility with improved performance.
Paper uses deep reinforcement learning for optimal stock portfolio management.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio choices in complex market environments.
method Direct deep reinforcement learning to learn factor representations and make optimal decisions.
result Deep learning outperforms average market performance in portfolio allocation.
Trade-R1 bridges verifiable rewards to stochastic financial markets via process-level reasoning verification.
problem Extending RL to financial markets where rewards are verifiable but noisy.
method A verification method that transforms reasoning over financial documents into a structured RAG task, using a triangular consistency metric.
result DSR achieves superior cross-market generalization while maintaining reasoning consistency.
Paper develops a model-based RL framework for portfolio optimization in financial markets.
problem Complex, non-Gaussian environment dynamics in financial markets.
method Heavy-tailed preserving normalizing flows for environment simulation; model-based reinforcement learning framework.
result Proposed method outperforms in various financial markets, especially during the pandemic.
MarS simulates financial markets using generative models.
problem Simulating realistic financial market effects.
method Order-level generative foundation model (LMM) for realistic, interactive, and controllable order generation.
result Strong scalability and robust realism in MarS.
AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.
problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.
This paper designs a new on-chain option that amortizes perpetual options for blockchain environments.
problem No equivalent standard for on-chain options exists, leading to high-frequency oracles and liquidation engines failures.
method Develops an amortizing perpetual option contract tailored to blockchain constraints, introducing a decentralized market framework.
result Demonstrates that the new contract functions as a risk primitive for DeFi, enabling applications like endogenous collateralization and de-peg insurance.
Study models opaque financial markets using multi-agent simulation.
problem Challenges in financial markets with obscured data availability.
method Multi-agent simulation with small-scale meta-heuristic methods.
result Captures bilateral market dynamics of OTC trading.
RL agent learns to place limit orders for trading signals in financial markets.
problem Training an RL agent to execute trading signals in limit order book markets.
method Deep Duelling Double Q-learning with APEX architecture, using synthetic alpha signals.
result RL agent outperforms heuristic trading strategies in inventory management and order placing.
FlowHFT learns adaptive trading strategies from multiple models for diverse market conditions.
problem Traditional HFT models are limited by specific market conditions and cannot adapt to dynamic markets.
method FlowHFT uses flow matching policy to learn from multiple expert models and adapt to various market scenarios.
result FlowHFT consistently outperforms individual expert models in multiple market conditions.
Study uses RL to optimize crypto portfolios with two-sided transactions and lending.
problem Managing downside risk and capital optimization in high-risk crypto markets.
method Integrates RL with a new environmental formulation and PnL-based reward function, using SAC agent with CNN-MHA.
result Significantly outperforms benchmarks, especially in high-volatility scenarios.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
problem Difficulty in distinguishing genuine NFTs from fads and scams.
method Analyzes price formation, market structure, and transparency.
result Provides due-diligence pointers to mitigate NFT trading risk.
We present a simple model of a non-equilibrium self-organizing market where asset prices are partially driven by investment decisions of a bounded-rational agent. The agent acts in a stochastic market environment driven by various exogenous "alpha" signals, agent's own actions (via market impact), and noise. Unlike tra…
Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies become obsolete and new classes emerge. Using an agent-based model of interacting he…
INTAGS uses interactive simulation to improve realism in multi-agent systems.
problem Challenges in developing realistic agent-based simulators for multi-agent systems.
method INTAGS introduces a novel metric to evaluate the difference between real and synthetic multi-agent systems, optimizing a stochastic policy in reinforcement learning to adapt to interactive sequential decision-making environments.
result INTAGS generates more realistic market data compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Paper proposes a deep RL method for hedging variable annuities, outperforming misspecified models.
problem Model miscalibration in variable annuity contracts with GMMB and GMDB riders.
method Two-phase deep reinforcement learning approach: training phase in a controlled environment, online learning phase in real market.
result Trained reinforcement learning agent hedges equally well as correct Delta in training phase and outperforms misspecified Deltas.
ABIDES-MARL uses MARL to study market behavior in a realistic financial simulation.
problem Understanding equilibrium behavior in complex financial market games.
method Combines MARL with a realistic LOB simulation to study market behavior.
result Validated approach by solving an extended Kyle model and showing how execution strategies shape market dynamics.
Neuro-symbolic traders suppress market prices, highlighting risks to stability.
problem Understanding and quantifying the influence of AI-generated financial models on markets.
method Developed virtual neuro-symbolic traders using deep generative models and tested them in a virtual market.
result Neuro-symbolic traders suppress market prices compared to historical data, indicating potential market instability.
We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two characteristic time scales: the time of changes of market environment and the characterist…
We study dynamics of a simulated world with stock and money, driven by the externally given processes which we refer to as sentiments. The considered sentiments influence the buy/sell stock trading attitude, the perceived price uncertainty, and the trading intensity of all or a part of the market participants. We study…
Study option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.
problem Option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.
method Closed-form option pricing formulas for sideways markets and target zones.
result Closed-form option pricing formulas for sideways markets and target zones.
In this paper we continue the study of the simulated stock market framework defined by the driving sentiment processes. We focus on the market environment driven by the buy/sell trading sentiment process of the Markov chain type. We apply the methodology of the Hidden Markov Models and the Recurrent Neural Networks to …
Deep learning improves optimal trading strategies in complex markets.
problem Finding optimal trading strategies in markets with multiple time scales.
method Deep differentiable reinforcement learning applied to optimal trading.
result Deep learning leads to more accurate and stable optimal trading strategies.
LiveTradeBench evaluates LLMs in live trading environments.
problem Static benchmarks fail to assess real-world trading ability.
method Live data streaming, portfolio management abstraction, multi-market evaluation.
result LLMs show distinct portfolio styles and adapt to live signals.
Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.
problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.
Model simulates Perpetual Futures market with agent behavior.
problem Reproduce Perpetual Futures market dynamics.
method Agent-based model with heterogeneous agents trading via a central limit order book.
result Simulation accurately reproduces Perpetual Futures price pegging to Spot price.
We show how different approaches to developing marketing strategies depending on the type of environment a firm faces, where environments are distinguished in terms of their systems properties not their context. Particular emphasis is given to turbulent environments in which outcomes are not a priori predictable and ar…
Paper examines financial engineering problems and introduces AlphaZero for better replication strategies.
problem Replication portfolio construction in incomplete markets with non-convex constraints.
method Introduces AlphaZero-based system to compare with deep hedging method.
result AlphaZero outperforms deep hedging in non-convex environments, finding near-optimal strategies.
Model simulates sparse order books in illiquid markets.
problem Inaccurate LOB models in illiquid markets.
method Inhomogeneous Poisson process for order arrivals and cancellations.
result Enhanced understanding of LOB dynamics in illiquid markets.