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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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128255383510 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for market analysis

Study optimizes market making in Chinese stock market with stochastic control and scenario analysis.

problem Limited research on market making in Chinese stock market.
method Optimal market making framework with exponential CARA utility function, accounting for market conditions and risks.
result Impact of volatility and stamp duty on market maker's profit and liquidity.

Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving risk assessment and prediction in equity markets.
method Combines financial stress indicator with sentiment analysis of financial news.
result Improved performance with higher Sharpe ratio and reduced drawdowns.

The paper analyzes the crash of stock and commodity markets during COVID-19 using Topological Data Analysis.

problem Identifying and understanding the dynamics and interdependence of stock and commodity markets during the COVID-19 crash.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Wasserstein Distance (WD) to identify crashes and compare market dynamics.
result Significant topological differences and interdependence between stock and commodity markets during the crash period.

BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.

The paper introduces a new financial market for environmental indices to attract investors.

problem Inherent risks and sustainability concerns in environmental investments.
method Quantitative measures, econometric analysis, dynamic asset pricing tools, and financial options.
result Monetization and construction of country-specific environmental indices as dollar-denominated assets.

A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

This paper uses spectrum analysis to understand price behavior in the Indian stock market.

problem Understanding price formation and discovery in the Indian stock market.
method Adapting mathematical physics theories and spectrum analysis to decompose price cycles.
result Decomposing price cycles helps in understanding the effect of information on price formation and discovery.

Uniswap -- and other constant product markets -- appear to work well in practice despite their simplicity. In this paper, we give a simple formal analysis of constant product markets and their generalizations, showing that, under some common conditions, these markets must closely track the reference market price. We al…

2019-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The self-similar analysis of time series, suggested earlier by the authors, is applied to the description of market crises. The main attention is payed to the October 1929, 1987 and 1997 stock market crises, which can be successfully treated by the suggested approach. The analogy between market crashes and critical phe…

1997-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines the intra-day seasonality of transacted limit and market orders in the DEM/USD foreign exchange market. Empirical analysis of completed transactions data based on the Dealing 2000-2 electronic inter-dealer broking system indicates significant evidence of intraday seasonality in returns and return vo…

2011-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and speculators who steadely refuse to consider the market as a "fair game" and survive with…

1999-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.

problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.

Network analysis reveals changing cryptocurrency market leaders.

problem Understanding evolving cryptocurrency market leaders and their influence.
method Hourly-resolution data and Kendall's Tau correlation for network analysis.
result Pearson's correlation underestimates market dynamics; FTT and FTX were key during the 2021 bull run.

FinBERT-BiLSTM predicts cryptocurrency prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting volatile cryptocurrency market prices.
method Hybrid model combining Bi-LSTM and FinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result Enhanced forecasting accuracy for volatile financial markets.

Study finds whitepaper narratives do not predict market factor structure.

problem Predicting market behavior from cryptocurrency whitepaper claims.
method Zero-shot NLP classification combined with CP tensor decomposition of market data.
result Weak alignment between whitepaper claims and market statistics and latent factors.

Paper introduces a method to assess liquidity risk in meme tokens using entity-linked address analysis.

problem High market volatility and vulnerability to manipulation in meme tokens.
method Multi-dimensional approach integrating fund flow analysis, behavioral similarity, and anomalous transaction detection.
result Significant disparities between apparent and actual liquidity in meme token markets.

OMBA learns product and user representations for better online market basket analysis.

problem Limited ability to uncover rarely occurring and temporal associations in MBA.
method Jointly learns product and user representations, captures temporal dynamics, scalable online method.
result OMBA outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 21% on real-world datasets.

In terms of transfer entropy, we investigated the strength and the direction of information transfer in the US stock market. Through the directionality of the information transfer, the more influential company between the correlated ones can be found and also the market leading companies are selected. Our entropy analy…

2005-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Multifractality is ubiquitously observed in complex natural and socioeconomic systems. Multifractal analysis provides powerful tools to understand the complex nonlinear nature of time series in diverse fields. Inspired by its striking analogy with hydrodynamic turbulence, from which the idea of multifractality originat…

2018-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a regularization approach to model German power derivative market, identifying significant risk spillovers.

problem Large portfolio of German power derivative contracts, identifying significant risk spillovers.
method Combines high-dimensional variable selection with dynamic network analysis.
result Identifies significant risk contributors and interdependencies between contracts, especially spot contracts.

Microstructure of market dynamics is studied through analysis of tick price data. Linear trend is introduced as a tool for such analysis. Trend arbitrage inequality is developed and tested. The inequality sets limiting relationship between trend, bid-ask spread, market reaction and average update frequency of price inf…

2006-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper combines a node transformer with BERT sentiment analysis for more accurate stock market predictions.

problem Challenges in predicting stock markets due to noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics.
method Integrates a node transformer architecture with BERT sentiment analysis to forecast stock prices.
result The integrated model reduces prediction error by 10% overall and 25% during earnings announcements.

HybridCGAN improves portfolio analysis by balancing trend prediction and market uncertainty.

problem Markowitz framework's overemphasis on market uncertainty and trend prediction.
method A hybrid approach combining deep generative models to balance trend prediction and market uncertainty.
result HybridCGAN leads to better portfolio allocation compared to existing methods.

Machine learning models show intermarket data can predict stock market performance better than expected.

problem Evaluating the semi-strong form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis.
method Used machine learning techniques on various intermarket data sets to predict stock market performance.
result Intermarket data significantly outperforms baselines in predicting stock market movement, contradicting the semi-strong EMH.

The paper explores states of financial markets using correlation matrices and their dynamics.

problem Understanding the states of financial markets based on correlations.
method Revisits previous work and introduces recent developments in practical applications.
result Analysis of trajectories and symbolic dynamics in correlation matrix space.

Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.

problem Impact of State Bank of Pakistan's monetary policy communications on stock market.
method Sentiment analysis and high frequency stock market returns analysis.
result Positive or negative tone in SBP communications affects stock returns positively or negatively.