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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3467101134 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for marginal attribution

MACQ method explains deep learning models by analyzing feature contributions across prediction levels.

problem Explaining deep learning model predictions.
method Global gradient-based, model-agnostic approach focusing on marginal attribution.
result MACQ separates feature contributions from interaction effects and visualizes 3-way relationships.

The paper explores intersectional fairness in machine learning, proving bounds on it.

problem Intersectional fairness in machine learning, especially when multiple protected attributes are involved.
method Statistical analysis and bounds on intersectional fairness, leveraging marginal fairness.
result Theoretical bounds on intersectional fairness can be computed from marginal fairness and other statistical quantities.

New fairness criterion for risk-sensitive decisions in regulated industries.

problem Ensuring equitable outcomes in risk-sensitive decision-making.
method Marginal fairness for generalized distortion risk measures, two-step decision-making process.
result Ensures fairness in decision-making under risk measures, regardless of protected attributes.

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have been attracting increasing research attention due to its great potential in inference over graph structures. However, insufficient effort has been devoted to the aggregation methods between different convolution graph layers. In this paper, we introduce a graph attribute…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new model for building conditional generative models in a semi-supervised setting to conditionally generate data given attributes by adapting the GAN framework. The proposed semi-supervised GAN (SS-GAN) model uses a pair of stacked discriminators to learn the marginal distribution of the data, and the co…

2017-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

PredDiff measures prediction changes while marginalizing features, offering new insights into interaction effects.

problem Understanding interaction effects in black-box models.
method Model-agnostic, local attribution method based on probability theory.
result Introduced a new measure for interaction effects between arbitrary feature subsets.

A new algorithm COVA-FC improves subgroup-fair clustering efficiency.

problem Challenges in making cluster assignments independent of sensitive attributes in subgroups.
method Defining a subgroup-fairness gap, deriving a covariance-based surrogate, and introducing a continuous relaxation for efficient optimization.
result COVA-FC achieves competitive cost-fairness trade-offs and improves computational efficiency.

PSI models and infers feature attributions efficiently and accurately.

problem Modeling and inferring feature attributions in flexible predictive models.
method Probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI) framework using latent random variables and a masking-based neural network architecture.
result PSI learns feature attribution distributions centered at Shapley values, revealing meaningful uncertainty.

An emerging problem in trustworthy machine learning is to train models that produce robust interpretations for their predictions. We take a step towards solving this problem through the lens of axiomatic attribution of neural networks. Our theory is grounded in the recent work, Integrated Gradients (IG), in axiomatical…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings show margins are not sufficient for explaining gradient boosting performance.

problem The inadequacy of margin explanations in explaining the performance of gradient boosting.
method Demonstrated and proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound for boosted classifiers.
result Proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound that explains the performance of modern gradient boosters.

This paper examines and proposes several attribution modeling methods that quantify how revenue should be attributed to online advertising inputs. We adopt and further develop relative importance method, which is based on regression models that have been extensively studied and utilized to investigate the relationship …

2017-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Boosting algorithms produce a classifier by iteratively combining base hypotheses. It has been observed experimentally that the generalization error keeps improving even after achieving zero training error. One popular explanation attributes this to improvements in margins. A common goal in a long line of research, is …

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles attributing forecast gaps in complex model suites.

problem Attributing forecast gaps to individual component models in complex model suites.
method Formalized walk analysis, adapted LMDI and Shapley value approaches.
result Developed efficient formulas for gap attribution in practical portfolio-scale examples.

New technique clusters and classifies datasets with missing attributes.

problem Clustering and classification issues with incomplete data.
method Modified K-MEANS++, Scalable K-MEANS++, and kNN algorithms using Sentenced Discrepancy Measure (AWPD).
result New algorithms show better results on datasets with missing attributes.

A new copula model for multi-attribute data using optimal transport.

problem Relaxing the Gaussian assumption for multi-attribute graphical models.
method Introducing a new copula (Cyclically Monotone Copula) and using optimal transport theory.
result The model allows arbitrary continuous distributions and is more flexible than classical methods.

New algorithm tackles subgroup fairness in AI with multiple sensitive attributes.

problem Heavy computational burdens and data sparsity in subgroup fairness for multiple sensitive attributes.
method Doubly Regressing Adversarial learning (DRAF) for subgroup fairness, focusing on subgroups with sufficient sample sizes and marginal fairness.
result DRAF algorithm reduces a surrogate fairness gap for supIPM with less computation than directly reducing supIPM.

We consider a Bayesian method for learning the Bayesian network structure from complete data. Recently, Koivisto and Sood (2004) presented an algorithm that for any single edge computes its marginal posterior probability in O(n 2^n) time, where n is the number of attributes; the number of parents per attribute is bound…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Computing the marginal likelihood (ML) of a model requires marginalizing out all of the parameters and latent variables, a difficult high-dimensional summation or integration problem. To make matters worse, it is often hard to measure the accuracy of one's ML estimates. We present bidirectional Monte Carlo, a technique…

2015-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Medical imaging models may encode demographic attributes without violating fairness, depending on the approach.

problem Discrimination in medical imaging models due to encoding demographic attributes.
method Examined marginal and class-conditional representation invariance, traditional fairness notions, and counterfactual fairness.
result Demographically invariant models may not necessarily be fair, and encoding demographic attributes can be advantageous.

RUMBoost combines RUMs and deep learning for better choice modelling.

problem Creating interpretable and robust discrete choice models.
method Gradient Boosted Regression Trees for utility functions, with constraints for interpretability and monotonicity.
result RUMBoost outperforms ML and RUM benchmarks in predictive performance and interpretability.

AP-Calculus offers a new framework for causal inference in Bayesian networks.

problem Causal inference in Bayesian networks with complex architectures.
method Introduces Attribution Projection Calculus (AP-Calculus) to determine causal relationships.
result Proves that for each label, exactly one intermediate node acts as a deconfounder.

Paper analyzes GMM for separable data with various parameter structures.

problem Classifying separable data with logistic models and their generalizations.
method Introduces and analyzes Generalized Margin Maximizer (GMM) for logistic models with specific parameter structures.
result GMM outperforms max-margin classifiers in various parameter settings and structures.

The paper tackles multi-level fairness in algorithmic systems, addressing bias at both individual and structural levels.

problem Algorithmic systems can unfairly impact marginalized groups, especially when considering only individual-level bias.
method Formalizes multi-level fairness using causal inference tools, addressing effects of sensitive attributes at multiple levels.
result Illustrates the importance of accounting for macro-level sensitive attributes in fairness assessments.

This article prices OTC derivatives with either an exogenously determined initial margin profile or endogenously approximated initial margin. In the former case, margin valuation adjustment (MVA) is defined as the liability-side discounted expected margin profile, while in the latter, an extended partial differential e…

2015-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

A new approach for instance-optimal learning that bypasses impossibility results.

problem Impossibility of achieving marginal-by-marginal guarantees for all marginals.
method Introduces relatively smart learning, which requires competition only with certifiable semi-supervised guarantees.
result One-Inclusion Graph learner is relatively smart up to squaring the sample complexity.

EIGAN learns private representations without centralized data, outperforming state-of-the-art.

problem Private representation learning with multiple ally and adversary attributes.
method Exclusion-Inclusion Generative Adversarial Network (EIGAN) and Distributed EIGAN (D-EIGAN).
result EIGAN and D-EIGAN outperform state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and scalability.

We present a method to stop the evaluation of a decision making process when the result of the full evaluation is obvious. This trait is highly desirable for online margin-based machine learning algorithms where a classifier traditionally evaluates all the features for every example. We observe that some examples are e…

2011-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Combines neural networks and STL for multi-class time-series classification.

problem Lack of interpretability in neural networks for time-series data.
method Proposes a method that uses neural networks to classify time-series data using STL specifications, introducing margin for multi-class classification and STL-based attributes for interpretability.
result Evaluations show improved interpretability and performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Proposes MvTPMSVM to improve multiview learning with reduced computational complexity.

problem Challenges in multiview learning, especially with heteroscedastic noise.
method Introduces MvTPMSVM, a parametric margin SVM model that avoids matrix inversions.
result Demonstrates superior generalization compared to baseline models.

MOPI optimizes flexible set-valued mappings to achieve superior shape adaptivity in conformal prediction.

problem Challenges in achieving valid conditional coverage in conformal prediction.
method Minimax Optimization Predictive Inference (MOPI) framework that optimizes over a flexible class of set-valued mappings.
result MOPI achieves superior shape adaptivity and maintains a principled connection to mean squared coverage error.

Proposes a new framework to manage venture capital portfolio risk by focusing on deal-level correlations.

problem Managing venture capital portfolio risk, especially extreme outcomes.
method Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence from observed joint success frequencies.
result Correlation amplifies extreme upside outcomes, shifting portfolio distribution toward heavier right tails.

CTE improves explanation estimation with less data and faster computation.

problem Inefficient and inaccurate explanation estimation in machine learning models.
method Distribution compression through kernel thinning to reduce sample size.
result CTE significantly improves accuracy and stability of explanation estimation.

Study uses synthetic data to estimate credit risk for underbanked consumers in Istanbul.

problem Estimating credit risk for underbanked consumers lacking formal credit records.
method Created synthetic dataset, used retrieval augmented generation, trained CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost models.
result Alternative financial data improves credit risk estimation, raising AUC by 13%.

Proposes a Taylor framework to unify and analyze attribution methods.

problem Lack of a unified guideline for feature contribution assignment in machine learning models.
method Introduces a Taylor attribution framework to model the attribution problem and reformulates fourteen mainstream methods.
result Empirically validates the Taylor reformulations and reveals a positive correlation between performance and principles followed.

Unified framework for analyzing machine learning model attributions.

problem Lack of a general and theoretical framework for understanding attribution methods.
method Proposes a Taylor attribution framework to unify and analyze seven mainstream attribution methods.
result Established three principles for good attribution and empirically validated the Taylor reformulations.