A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper improves SVM margin-based generalization bounds.
Boosting is one of the most successful ideas in machine learning. The most well-accepted explanations for the low generalization error of boosting algorithms such as AdaBoost stem from margin theory. The study of margins in the context of boosting algorithms was initiated by Schapire, Freund, Bartlett and Lee (1998) an…
New margin-based learning guarantees improve generalization bounds.
New findings show margins are not sufficient for explaining gradient boosting performance.
New margin bound improves generalization for voting classifiers.
Recent research has used margin theory to analyze the generalization performance for deep neural networks (DNNs). The existed results are almost based on the spectrally-normalized minimum margin. However, optimizing the minimum margin ignores a mass of information about the entire margin distribution, which is crucial …
New SVM margin bound improves generalization in machine learning.
Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected shortfall when the univariate marginals are known exactly and additional expert inf…
Study generalization of voting classifiers using margin-based bounds.
We consider a problem of risk estimation for large-margin multi-class classifiers. We propose a novel risk bound for the multi-class classification problem. The bound involves the marginal distribution of the classifier and the Rademacher complexity of the hypothesis class. We prove that our bound is tight in the numbe…
We obtain a tight distribution-specific characterization of the sample complexity of large-margin classification with L2 regularization: We introduce the margin-adapted dimension, which is a simple function of the second order statistics of the data distribution, and show distribution-specific upper and lower bounds on…
For linear classifiers, the relationship between (normalized) output margin and generalization is captured in a clear and simple bound -- a large output margin implies good generalization. Unfortunately, for deep models, this relationship is less clear: existing analyses of the output margin give complicated bounds whi…
Improved Gaussian process regression with tighter log marginal likelihood bounds.
We present new differentially private algorithms for learning a large-margin halfspace. In contrast to previous algorithms, which are based on either differentially private simulations of the statistical query model or on private convex optimization, the sample complexity of our algorithms depends only on the margin of…
The study establishes SQ lower bounds for learning halfspaces and ReLUs under Gaussian marginals.
We introduce a useful tool for analyzing boosting algorithms called the ``smooth margin function,'' a differentiable approximation of the usual margin for boosting algorithms. We present two boosting algorithms based on this smooth margin, ``coordinate ascent boosting'' and ``approximate coordinate ascent boosting,'' w…
This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
New bound on neural network generalization error using geometric complexity.
Random projections have been applied in many machine learning algorithms. However, whether margin is preserved after random projection is non-trivial and not well studied. In this paper we analyse margin distortion after random projection, and give the conditions of margin preservation for binary classification problem…
Study shows exponential error reduction in multiclass classification without bias-variance trade-off.
This paper presents a margin-based multiclass generalization bound for neural networks that scales with their margin-normalized "spectral complexity": their Lipschitz constant, meaning the product of the spectral norms of the weight matrices, times a certain correction factor. This bound is empirically investigated for…
The paper explores intersectional fairness in machine learning, proving bounds on it.
New method bounds causal effects using local consistency of marginals.
Marginal MAP inference involves making MAP predictions in systems defined with latent variables or missing information. It is significantly more difficult than pure marginalization and MAP tasks, for which a large class of efficient and convergent variational algorithms, such as dual decomposition, exist. In this work,…
In this paper, we reformulate the forest representation learning approach as an additive model which boosts the augmented feature instead of the prediction. We substantially improve the upper bound of generalization gap from to , while - the margin r…
Develops bounds predicting deep learning generalization using optimal transport.
Boosting and other ensemble methods combine a large number of weak classifiers through weighted voting to produce stronger predictive models. To explain the successful performance of boosting algorithms, Schapire et al. (1998) showed that AdaBoost is especially effective at increasing the margins of the training data. …
Enhanced consistency bounds derived for classification under a new noise condition.
We introduce a simple framework for designing private boosting algorithms. We give natural conditions under which these algorithms are differentially private, efficient, and noise-tolerant PAC learners. To demonstrate our framework, we use it to construct noise-tolerant and private PAC learners for large-margin halfspa…
Margin maximization in the hard-margin sense, proposed as feature elimination criterion by the MFE-LO method, is combined here with data radius utilization to further aim to lower generalization error, as several published bounds and bound-related formulations pertaining to lowering misclassification risk (or error) pe…
Recent research has made significant progress on the problem of bounding log partition functions for exponential family graphical models. Such bounds have associated dual parameters that are often used as heuristic estimates of the marginal probabilities required in inference and learning. However these variational est…
Neural networks can approximate high-dimensional classifiers with ReLU networks under margin conditions.
We consider the problem of cost sensitive multiclass classification, where we would like to increase the sensitivity of an important class at the expense of a less important one. We adopt an {\em apportioned margin} framework to address this problem, which enables an efficient margin shift between classes that share th…
We use surrogate losses to obtain several new regret bounds and new algorithms for contextual bandit learning. Using the ramp loss, we derive new margin-based regret bounds in terms of standard sequential complexity measures of a benchmark class of real-valued regression functions. Using the hinge loss, we derive an ef…
New research shows the maximum ℓ1-margin classifier doesn't adapt to sparse ground truths.
Study shows how over-parameterized classifiers can still perform well on noisy data.
Explaining the unreasonable effectiveness of deep learning has eluded researchers around the globe. Various authors have described multiple metrics to evaluate the capacity of deep architectures. In this paper, we allude to the radius margin bounds described for a support vector machine (SVM) with hinge loss, apply the…
Motivated by applications in model-free finance and quantitative risk management, we consider Fréchet classes of multivariate distribution functions where additional information on the joint distribution is assumed, while uncertainty in the marginals is also possible. We derive optimal transport duality results for the…
Variational Prediction simplifies Bayesian inference without test time costs.
Paper proves tight lower bounds for online multicalibration, separating it from marginal calibration.
Study minimax rates for binary classifier estimation with margin conditions.
We obtain a tight distribution-specific characterization of the sample complexity of large-margin classification with L_2 regularization: We introduce the γ-adapted-dimension, which is a simple function of the spectrum of a distribution's covariance matrix, and show distribution-specific upper and lower bounds on the s…
Risk bounds for Classification and Regression Trees (CART, Breiman et. al. 1984) classifiers are obtained under a margin condition in the binary supervised classification framework. These risk bounds are obtained conditionally on the construction of the maximal deep binary tree and permit to prove that the linear penal…
Empirical evidence shows that ensembles, such as bagging, boosting, random and rotation forests, generally perform better in terms of their generalization error than individual classifiers. To explain this performance, Schapire et al. (1998) developed an upper bound on the generalization error of an ensemble based on t…
In this work, we present a novel upper bound of target error to address the problem for unsupervised domain adaptation. Recent studies reveal that a deep neural network can learn transferable features which generalize well to novel tasks. Furthermore, a theory proposed by Ben-David et al. (2010) provides a upper bound …
Study improves curvature estimate for stable marginally outer trapped hypersurfaces with a free boundary.
SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.
As discussed in the paper, in a matter-filled spacetime, perhaps with positive cosmological constant, a stable marginally outer trapped 2-sphere must satisfy a certain area inquality. Namely, its area must be bounded above by , where is a lower bound on a natural energy momentum term. In this note we cons…