Study finds significant but limited connections between cryptocurrencies and mainstream asset classes.
problem Investigating the relationship between cryptocurrencies and traditional asset classes.
method Granger-causality tests and forecast error variance decompositions to estimate connectedness.
result Less than 2.2% of cryptocurrency uncertainty is from non-crypto assets, and vice versa.
Study shows how crypto asset liquidity is affected by wash trading and proposes treatment to reduce liquidity diffusion.
problem Understanding and reducing crypto asset wash trading to improve liquidity.
method Proposed a two-component model for liquidity (jump and diffusion) and demonstrated the effectiveness of autoregressive models.
result Treatment on wash trading significantly reduces liquidity diffusion but not liquidity jump.
Study examines asset pricing using various attention models, finding global self-attention and sliding window sparse attention models perform well.
problem Traditional asset pricing models miss temporal dependency and short memory issues.
method Investigates RNN attention models with various attention mechanisms for large-cap US stocks.
result Global self-attention and sliding window sparse attention models outperform in deriving returns and hedging risks, especially during the pandemic.
'Ergodicity economics' is criticized as pseudoscience.
problem Flawed conceptual basis of mainstream economic theory.
method Claims 'ergodicity economics' is more parsimonious and clearer.
result Peters' approach has not produced falsifiable implications.
Financial markets provide a natural quantitative lab for understanding some of the most advanced human behaviours. Among them is the use of mathematical tools known as financial instruments. Besides money, the two most fundamental financial instruments are bonds and equities. More than 30 years ago Mehra and Prescott f…
This work proposes a hybrid method for error detection in noisy Knowledge Graphs.
problem Error detection in noisy Knowledge Graphs.
method Hybrid and modular approach combining path ranking and representation learning.
result Hybrid method outperforms individual methods on benchmarks and real-world dataset.
Hybrid model simulates market dynamics using neural stochastic background traders.
problem Lack of realistic LOB simulations that combine historical data and dynamic interactions.
method Neural stochastic background trader trained on historical LOB data, embedded in multi-agent simulation.
result Hybrid model recreates stylised market facts and financial herding behaviors.
NFT art market shows strong preferential ties among sellers and buyers.
problem Reducing preferential ties in NFT art market.
method Analyzing NFT art sales data from multiple galleries.
result NFT art market is highly concentrated with preferential ties.
This research simplifies lending pools in decentralized finance for better understanding and security.
problem Complexity and lack of executable models make lending pools hard to understand and predict.
method Developed a formal model to reflect common features of lending pools and proved general properties.
result Proved correct handling of funds and described vulnerabilities and attacks.
Invites geometers to Garside theory for mapping class groups.
problem None explicitly stated, but related to geometric group theory.
method Garside theory applied to mapping class groups.
result No specific key result mentioned in the abstract.
This work tackles catastrophic forgetting in neural networks by mimicking brain's metaplasticity.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks, where new tasks erase previously learned ones.
method Interpreting binarized neural networks as metaplastic systems, adjusting their training technique.
result Training technique reduces catastrophic forgetting without needing previously presented data.
Over the last decades, the distribution of income and wealth has been deteriorating in many countries, leading to increased inequalities within and between societies. This tendency has revived the interest in the subject greatly, yet it still receives very little attention within the realm of mainstream economic thinki…
Study tests financial market efficiency using random number generator tests.
problem Check for informational efficiencies in financial markets.
method Analysed binary daily returns as random number generators, split analysis by annual and company levels, investigated longer-term efficiency over Nasdaq-listed companies.
result Information efficiency varies across years and reflects large-scale market impacts.
UniFinEval benchmarks financial models across text, images, and videos.
problem Challenges in evaluating financial multimodal models across text, images, and videos.
method Proposes UniFinEval, a unified multimodal benchmark for financial scenarios.
result Gemini-3-pro-preview achieves best performance but still lags behind experts.
We introduce trading fees into AMM models and analyze their impact on swap rates and profits.
problem The impact of trading fees on AMM models and users' trading strategies.
method We extend a foundational AMM model by introducing a trading fee parameter and analyze the model using economic and mathematical rigor.
result Trading fees affect the additivity of swap rates and can lead to greater profits from larger trades.
Survey of LLMs in finance tasks, highlighting progress and challenges.
problem Transforming financial practices with advanced LLMs.
method Exploration of various financial tasks, categorization, and analysis of methodologies.
result Unlocking novel opportunities for financial applications with LLMs.
We discuss superstatistics theory of labour productivity. Productivity distribution across workers, firms and industrial sectors are studied empirically and found to obey power-distributions, in sharp contrast to the equilibrium theories of mainstream economics. The Pareto index is found to decrease with the level of a…
We empirically investigate distributions of individual consumption expenditure f or four commodity categories conditional on fixed income levels. The data stems from the Family Expenditure Survey carried out annually in the United Kingdom. W e use graphical techniques to test for normality and lognormality of these dis…
MuSiCNet tackles irregularly sampled multivariate time series by treating them as a hierarchy of relatively regular series.
problem Irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values.
method Gradual coarse-to-fine approach with multi-scale and multi-correlation attention network.
result MuSiCNet improves ISMTS representation quality through hierarchical learning.
This paper presents a financial analysis over Twitter sentiment analytics extracted from listed retail brands. We investigate whether there is statistically-significant information between the Twitter sentiment and volume, and stock returns and volatility. Traditional newswires are also considered as a proxy for the ma…
AI helps assess nature-related financial risks for financial institutions.
problem Challenges in evaluating nature-related risks due to large data volume and complexity.
method Uses AI to address data gaps, uncertainty, and complex systems.
result Potential AI solutions for two use cases: beef supply and water utility.
Quant 4.0 uses AI to automate, explain, and incorporate knowledge in investment.
problem Limitations of deep learning in quant investment.
method Automated AI, Explainable AI, Knowledge-driven AI.
result Improves investment decision-making through automation, interpretability, and prior knowledge integration.
Paper explores asset pricing dynamics in Bachelier model.
problem Understanding risky asset price dynamics in Bachelier model.
method Analyzes Bachelier market model to represent risky asset price dynamics.
result Defines riskless assets within the Bachelier model.
This paper provides an overview of activation functions in neural networks.
problem Confusion in activation function selection and properties in deep learning.
method Analytic review of popular activation functions.
result Clarification of activation function properties and selection.
The econophysics approach to socio-economic systems is based on the assumption of their complexity. Such assumption inevitably lead to another assumption, namely that underlying interconnections within socio-economic systems, particularly financial markets, are nonlinear, which is shown to be true even in mainstream ec…
Paper introduces a new gradient statistic to improve deep learning convergence.
problem Fluctuation effect of gradient updates between iterations.
method Introduces an unbiased stratified statistic \(\bar{G}_{mst}\) and a new algorithm MSSG.
result MSSG algorithm outperforms other sgd-like algorithms in training deep models.
New method improves GAN training stability and quality.
problem Improving training stability and sample quality in GANs.
method Proposes a new method for Lipschitz continuity in GANs that is efficient and unbiased.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new method in various GAN training scenarios.
We develop a scalable deep non-parametric generative model by augmenting deep Gaussian processes with a recognition model. Inference is performed in a novel scalable variational framework where the variational posterior distributions are reparametrized through a multilayer perceptron. The key aspect of this reformulati…
Investing is a compression problem, maximizing growth by minimizing divergence.
problem Maximizing long-term wealth and minimizing risk of ruin in investing.
method Decomposes investing into three terms: money, entropy, and divergence. Uses Kelly Criterion and universal portfolio theory.
result Investing can be seen as a compression problem, with optimal strategies minimizing divergence.
Kernel learning FBSDE filter improves nonlinear filtering efficiency.
problem Nonlinear filtering problem in high-dimensional systems.
method Iterative and adaptive meshfree approach using forward backward SDE and KDE.
result Rigorous convergence analysis provided, supporting empirical results.
Enhances portfolio construction with tailored regime forecasts for individual assets.
problem Traditional portfolio construction methods fail to account for asset-specific market conditions.
method Hybrid framework combining unsupervised and supervised learning for regime identification and forecasting.
result Outperforms traditional portfolio models across various asset classes.
Combining neural networks and multiscale decomposition for financial market analysis.
problem Financial markets' complexity and mainstream models' limitations in capturing non-linear structures.
method Neural networks for non-linear associations combined with multiscale decomposition.
result Improved understanding of financial market data substructures.
Crowdsourced algorithms identify fake news on Twitter.
problem Identifying fake news on social media platforms.
method Evaluation of reputation algorithms on a large dataset of Twitter news.
result Simple crowdsourcing-based algorithms can identify a significant portion of fake news with low false positive rates.
Predicts financial asset dependencies using spatiotemporal patterns.
problem Complex dependency structures in financial assets for risk mitigation.
method Proposes Asset Dependency Matrix (ADM) and Asset Dependency Neural Network (ADNN) with ConvLSTM for spatiotemporal asset dependency prediction.
result ADNN outperforms baselines in predicting asset dependencies and their applications.
IDA makes DFMM's asset tradeable, enhancing cross-chain finance efficiency.
problem Making DFMM's asset tradeable to improve cross-chain finance efficiency.
method Introducing IDA as a tradeable asset, leveraging DFMM's robust liquidity and dynamic AMM.
result IDA enhances cross-chain finance efficiency through tradeable asset and dynamic AMM.
Paper proposes a new approach to predict power system asset class failures.
problem Predicting failures for different asset classes in power systems is critical for cost-effective asset management.
method Combines unsupervised (K-means clustering) and supervised (logistic regression) learning methods using asset condition data.
result The proposed approach outperforms standard methods in predicting asset class failures.
Investors prioritize ESG in crypto-assets, showing higher exposure than traditional assets.
problem Understanding ESG preferences in crypto-assets and their investment behavior.
method A representative household finance survey in Austria to examine ESG preferences and crypto-investment exposure.
result ESG-conscious investors have higher exposure to crypto-assets compared to traditional asset classes.
How to price and hedge claims on nontraded assets are becoming increasingly important matters in option pricing theory today. The most common practice to deal with these issues is to use another similar or "closely related" asset or index which is traded, for hedging purposes. Implicitly, traders assume here that the h…
We investigate whether fractal markets hypothesis and its focus on liquidity and invest- ment horizons give reasonable predictions about dynamics of the financial markets during the turbulences such as the Global Financial Crisis of late 2000s. Compared to the mainstream efficient markets hypothesis, fractal markets hy…
New heuristic selects fewer assets for efficient portfolios, reducing costs.
problem High transaction costs and fees from including many assets in portfolios.
method Surrogate formulation to select assets, re-optimizes portfolio with fewer assets.
result Effective in constructing portfolios with fewer assets, reducing costs.
Study examines hedging options on asset portfolios against one underlying asset with transaction costs.
problem Hedging options on asset portfolios when one underlying asset is expensive to trade.
method Simulated data analysis with varying trading intervals, correlation coefficients, and transaction costs.
result Trading the wrong asset can be beneficial when correlation is high and transaction costs are low.
A model for choosing crypto assets based on security and stability.
problem Optimal selection of crypto assets considering security and stability.
method A recommender app-like system that presents pairs of crypto assets and collects investor preferences.
result A variety of possible outcomes for crypto asset investments and adoption.
Dynamic model considers private asset markets' complexities.
problem Understanding and optimizing private asset allocation.
method State-of-the-art dynamic model with machine learning.
result Optimal investment policies quantified over fund life.
Enhanced synthetic dataset improves asset allocation analysis.
problem Lack of realistic synthetic data for fixed income portfolio construction.
method Improved CorrGAN model for synthetic correlation matrices and Encoder-Decoder model for additional data conditioning.
result Synthetic dataset enhances portfolio construction and asset allocation analysis.
We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and variance of the portfolio return. We construct then the optimal portfolio that maximiz…
Paper studies estimating asset correlations across sectors.
problem Estimating correlations between different asset sectors.
method Separates cross-sectional and time dimensions for estimation.
result Developed method for better asset correlation estimation.
Develops a dynamic latent-factor model for high-dimensional asset characteristics.
problem Estimating asset pricing tests with high-dimensional data.
method Dynamic latent-factor model with Double Selection Lasso regularization.
result The inflation-mimicking portfolio in the crypto asset class has positive risk compensation.
Game theory model shows optimal investment strategy for wealth growth.
problem Minimizing time to reach large wealth in a stochastic asset market.
method Proved strategy of proportional asset investment minimizes expected time.
result Proportional investment strategy asymptotically minimizes time to large wealth.