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On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2457 · Feb 202019922001200920172026
48 results for mail campaigns

Study optimizes classifiers for credit card mail campaigns and default prediction.

problem Optimizing classifiers for credit card mail campaigns and default prediction.
method Three distinct models: response, risk, and response-risk. Optimized various performance metrics.
result Random Forest classifier achieves highest accuracy (83.2%) in multi-class response-risk model.

In this paper, we introduce DeepQuarantine (DQ), a cloud technology to detect and quarantine potential spam messages. Spam attacks are becoming more diverse and can potentially be harmful to email users. Despite the high quality and performance of spam filtering systems, detection of a spam campaign can take some time.…

2020-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

1. Translated by Thomas E. Cecil, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, College of the Holy Cross, Worcester, MA 01610, USA; E-mail address: cecil@mathcs.holycross.edu 2. Typed by Wenjiao Yan, School of Mathematical Sciences, Laboratory of Mathematics and Complex Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 10…

2011-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

HapNet predicts marketing campaign effects using a hierarchical structure.

problem Complex and challenging effect prediction for marketing campaigns.
method Hierarchical Capsule Prediction Network (HapNet).
result HapNet outperforms state-of-the-art methods in both synthetic and real data.

We consider the problem of classification when inputs correspond to sets of vectors. This setting occurs in many problems such as the classification of pieces of mail containing several pages, of web sites with several sections or of images that have been pre-segmented into smaller regions. We propose generalizations o…

2011-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper enhances uplift modeling for multi-treatment marketing campaigns.

problem Optimizing marketing strategies by selecting individuals likely to respond to different treatments.
method Leveraging score ranking and calibration techniques.
result Improves overall performance of marketing campaigns.

Machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial inputs that induce seemingly unjustifiable errors. As automated classifiers are increasingly used in industrial control systems and machinery, these adversarial errors could grow to be a serious problem. Despite numerous studies over the past few years, the field of…

2019-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Real time bidding (RTB) enables demand side platforms (bidders) to scale ad campaigns across multiple publishers affiliated to an RTB ad exchange. While driving multiple campaigns for mobile app install ads via RTB, the bidder typically has to: (i) maintain each campaign's efficiency (i.e., meet advertiser's target cos…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

An average adult is exposed to hundreds of digital advertisements daily (https://www.mediadynamicsinc.com/uploads/files/PR092214-Note-only-150-Ads-2mk.pdf), making the digital advertisement industry a classic example of a big-data-driven platform. As such, the ad-tech industry relies on historical engagement logs (clic…

2020-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses causal machine learning to assess coupon campaign impact on retailer sales.

problem Assessing the causal effect of a coupon campaign on retailer sales.
method Causal machine learning algorithms, subgroup analysis, optimal policy learning.
result Only two coupon categories (drugstore and other food) have a significant positive impact on sales.

This paper optimizes ad bids and daily budgets for multiple campaigns in pay-per-click advertising.

problem Optimizing ad bids and daily budgets for multiple campaigns in pay-per-click advertising.
method Formulated as a combinatorial semi-bandit problem, solved using Gaussian Processes and four algorithms.
result Regret upper bounded as O(sqrt{T}), where T is the time horizon.

Study analyzes factors influencing healthcare providers' engagement with SMS campaigns.

problem Understanding what drives healthcare providers to engage with SMS campaigns.
method Used logistic regression, random forest, and neural network models to analyze data.
result Identified key factors influencing engagement with SMS campaigns.

The paper tackles budget allocation for multiple campaigns using a novel combinatorial bandit approach.

problem Maximizing cumulative returns with limited budgets across various ad lines.
method Formulated as a multi-task combinatorial bandit problem, integrates Bayesian hierarchical models, and uses Thompson sampling.
result Demonstrates robustness and adaptability in maximizing overall cumulative returns.

PolicySynth improves synthetic data alignment with real data for better campaign decisions.

problem Synthetic data used in decision support systems often leads to incorrect decisions.
method PolicySynth framework that conditions synthetic data on churn scorer to align with real data decisions.
result PolicySynth achieves high strategy simulation fidelity (0.923-0.960) on churn and acquisition datasets.

Paper addresses CPA line forecasting in online advertising mid-flight.

problem Forecasting ad campaign performance mid-flight considering bidding mechanisms.
method Generates relationships between metrics and optimization signals, estimates sensitivity, and characterizes advertiser spends vs. eCPA.
result Demonstrates promising accuracy in forecasting against actual deliveries.

Optimizes user marketing campaigns to balance cost and effectiveness.

problem Lack of methods to optimize marketing campaigns considering cost and effectiveness.
method Proposes a treatment effect optimization algorithm using deep learning to balance cost and effectiveness.
result Demonstrates superior performance in cost-efficiency and real-world business value.

Interpretation of a machine learning induced models is critical for feature engineering, debugging, and, arguably, compliance. Yet, best of breed machine learning models tend to be very complex. This paper presents a method for model interpretation which has the main benefit that the simple interpretations it provides …

2018-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles decision making problems with funnel structure in email marketing campaigns.

problem Decision making challenges in systems with funnel structure, where fewer observations are received from deeper layers.
method Formulated as a contextual bandit with funnel structure and developed a multi-task learning algorithm.
result Our algorithms offer significant improvement over previous methods in email marketing campaigns.

This paper addresses the problem of inferring a regular expression from a given set of strings that resembles, as closely as possible, the regular expression that a human expert would have written to identify the language. This is motivated by our goal of automating the task of postmasters of an email service who use r…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Chagas disease is a neglected disease, and information about its geographical spread is very scarse. We analyze here mobility and calling patterns in order to identify potential risk zones for the disease, by using public health information and mobile phone records. Geolocalized call records are rich in social and mobi…

2018-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Uplift models provide a solution to the problem of isolating the marketing effect of a campaign. For customer churn reduction, uplift models are used to identify the customers who are likely to respond positively to a retention activity only if targeted, and to avoid wasting resources on customers that are very likely …

2019-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Given two compact hyperkähler surfaces XX and YY and a holomorphic vector bundle QQ on X×YX\times Y, which is a generalized instanton, one can define a Fourier-Mukai transform, which, under suitable assumptions, maps vector bundles on XX to vector bundles on YY. If XX and YY are dual complex tori, this transform …

1994-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses time series analysis to predict player churn and conversion in games.

problem Predicting player churn and conversion in free-to-play games.
method State Space time series approach with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Unobserved Components models.
result Unobserved Components approach fails to detect marketing campaigns and predicts abandonment poorly.

Study optimal bidding strategies for digital ads targeting purchases and health campaigns.

problem Optimizing advertising strategies in digital channels.
method Continuous-time models encoding user behavior and auction mechanisms, semi-explicit formulas for optimal bidding.
result Semi-explicit formulas for optimal value and bidding policy for different types of advertising.

A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.

problem Challenges in simultaneously improving multiple KPIs in RTB campaigns.
method Sequential Control using PID-based feedback and importance metrics.
result Effective in simultaneously controlling multiple KPIs in both simulations and live traffic.

It takes skill to build a meaningful predictive model even with the abundance of implementations of modern machine learning algorithms and readily available computing resources. Building a model becomes challenging if hundreds of terabytes of data need to be processed to produce the training data set. In a digital adve…

2014-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Steady progress has been made in abstractive summarization with attention-based sequence-to-sequence learning models. In this paper, we propose a new decoder where the output summary is generated by conditioning on both the input text and the latent topics of the document. The latent topics, identified by a topic model…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent years have witnessed the increasing interests in research of crowdfunding mechanism. In this area, dynamics tracking is a significant issue but is still under exploration. Existing studies either fit the fluctuations of time-series or employ regularization terms to constrain learned tendencies. However, few of t…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A simple Ising spin model which can describe the mechanism of advertising in a duopoly market is proposed. In contrast to other agent-based models, the influence does not flow inward from the surrounding neighbors to the center site, but spreads outward from the center to the neighbors. The model thus describes the spr…

2002-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

SMC analysis reveals key transient effects in macroeconomic ABM.

problem Analysis of complex ABMs is challenging and often relies on ad hoc methods.
method Statistical model checking (SMC) implemented through MultiVeStA.
result Clear contrast across parameter families in macro-financial and structural sweeps.

BiCB combines traffic prediction and bidding optimization for live advertising.

problem Real-time bidding in live advertising with unknown future traffic.
method Binary Constrained Bidding (BiCB) that merges mathematical analysis and statistical traffic estimation.
result BiCB achieves good approximation to optimal bidding results with low complexity.

In the age of data driven solution, the customer demographic attributes, such as gender and age, play a core role that may enable companies to enhance the offers of their services and target the right customer in the right time and place. In the marketing campaign, the companies want to target the real user of the GSM …

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Reward learning enables the application of reinforcement learning (RL) to tasks where reward is defined by human judgment, building a model of reward by asking humans questions. Most work on reward learning has used simulated environments, but complex information about values is often expressed in natural language, and…

2019-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗