Study optimizes classifiers for credit card mail campaigns and default prediction.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
This study compares logistic regression and XGBoost for predicting credit risk.
In this paper, we introduce DeepQuarantine (DQ), a cloud technology to detect and quarantine potential spam messages. Spam attacks are becoming more diverse and can potentially be harmful to email users. Despite the high quality and performance of spam filtering systems, detection of a spam campaign can take some time.…
1. Translated by Thomas E. Cecil, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, College of the Holy Cross, Worcester, MA 01610, USA; E-mail address: cecil@mathcs.holycross.edu 2. Typed by Wenjiao Yan, School of Mathematical Sciences, Laboratory of Mathematics and Complex Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 10…
Communication through e-mails remains to be highly formalized, conventional and indispensable method for the exchange of information over the Internet. An ever-increasing ratio and adversary nature of spam e-mails have posed a great many challenges such as uneven class distribution, unequal error cost, frequent change …
HapNet predicts marketing campaign effects using a hierarchical structure.
We consider the problem of classification when inputs correspond to sets of vectors. This setting occurs in many problems such as the classification of pieces of mail containing several pages, of web sites with several sections or of images that have been pre-segmented into smaller regions. We propose generalizations o…
Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…
This paper enhances uplift modeling for multi-treatment marketing campaigns.
Machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial inputs that induce seemingly unjustifiable errors. As automated classifiers are increasingly used in industrial control systems and machinery, these adversarial errors could grow to be a serious problem. Despite numerous studies over the past few years, the field of…
Real time bidding (RTB) enables demand side platforms (bidders) to scale ad campaigns across multiple publishers affiliated to an RTB ad exchange. While driving multiple campaigns for mobile app install ads via RTB, the bidder typically has to: (i) maintain each campaign's efficiency (i.e., meet advertiser's target cos…
An average adult is exposed to hundreds of digital advertisements daily (https://www.mediadynamicsinc.com/uploads/files/PR092214-Note-only-150-Ads-2mk.pdf), making the digital advertisement industry a classic example of a big-data-driven platform. As such, the ad-tech industry relies on historical engagement logs (clic…
Study uses causal machine learning to assess coupon campaign impact on retailer sales.
This paper optimizes ad bids and daily budgets for multiple campaigns in pay-per-click advertising.
Study analyzes factors influencing healthcare providers' engagement with SMS campaigns.
The paper tackles budget allocation for multiple campaigns using a novel combinatorial bandit approach.
Uplift models support decision-making in marketing campaign planning. Estimating the causal effect of a marketing treatment, an uplift model facilitates targeting communication to responsive customers and efficient allocation of marketing budgets. Research into uplift models focuses on conversion models to maximize inc…
PolicySynth improves synthetic data alignment with real data for better campaign decisions.
Activists align with large fund preferences for success.
Paper addresses CPA line forecasting in online advertising mid-flight.
Optimizes user marketing campaigns to balance cost and effectiveness.
Interpretation of a machine learning induced models is critical for feature engineering, debugging, and, arguably, compliance. Yet, best of breed machine learning models tend to be very complex. This paper presents a method for model interpretation which has the main benefit that the simple interpretations it provides …
The paper tackles decision making problems with funnel structure in email marketing campaigns.
This paper addresses the problem of inferring a regular expression from a given set of strings that resembles, as closely as possible, the regular expression that a human expert would have written to identify the language. This is motivated by our goal of automating the task of postmasters of an email service who use r…
The problem to accurately and parsimoniously characterize random series of events (RSEs) present in the Web, such as e-mail conversations or Twitter hashtags, is not trivial. Reports found in the literature reveal two apparent conflicting visions of how RSEs should be modeled. From one side, the Poissonian processes, o…
Framework detects influential actors in disinformation networks.
Mobile payment incentives optimized using merchant transaction networks.
Chagas disease is a neglected disease, and information about its geographical spread is very scarse. We analyze here mobility and calling patterns in order to identify potential risk zones for the disease, by using public health information and mobile phone records. Geolocalized call records are rich in social and mobi…
Uplift models provide a solution to the problem of isolating the marketing effect of a campaign. For customer churn reduction, uplift models are used to identify the customers who are likely to respond positively to a retention activity only if targeted, and to avoid wasting resources on customers that are very likely …
Given two compact hyperkähler surfaces and and a holomorphic vector bundle on , which is a generalized instanton, one can define a Fourier-Mukai transform, which, under suitable assumptions, maps vector bundles on to vector bundles on . If and are dual complex tori, this transform …
Study uses time series analysis to predict player churn and conversion in games.
Study optimal bidding strategies for digital ads targeting purchases and health campaigns.
A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.
It takes skill to build a meaningful predictive model even with the abundance of implementations of modern machine learning algorithms and readily available computing resources. Building a model becomes challenging if hundreds of terabytes of data need to be processed to produce the training data set. In a digital adve…
UCB algorithms estimate uplifts in multi-variable reward systems.
Steady progress has been made in abstractive summarization with attention-based sequence-to-sequence learning models. In this paper, we propose a new decoder where the output summary is generated by conditioning on both the input text and the latent topics of the document. The latent topics, identified by a topic model…
This study integrates cost-sensitive and causal classification methods.
In this paper, we attempt to improve Statistical Machine Translation (SMT) systems on a very diverse set of language pairs (in both directions): Czech - English, Vietnamese - English, French - English and German - English. To accomplish this, we performed translation model training, created adaptations of training sett…
The paper proves an obstruction to immersed curves with specific curvature.
A typical viral marketing model identifies influential users in a social network to maximize a single product adoption assuming unlimited user attention, campaign budgets, and time. In reality, multiple products need campaigns, users have limited attention, convincing users incurs costs, and advertisers have limited bu…
Recent years have witnessed the increasing interests in research of crowdfunding mechanism. In this area, dynamics tracking is a significant issue but is still under exploration. Existing studies either fit the fluctuations of time-series or employ regularization terms to constrain learned tendencies. However, few of t…
Proposes a greedy algorithm for telecom offers to retain subscribers.
A simple Ising spin model which can describe the mechanism of advertising in a duopoly market is proposed. In contrast to other agent-based models, the influence does not flow inward from the surrounding neighbors to the center site, but spreads outward from the center to the neighbors. The model thus describes the spr…
SMC analysis reveals key transient effects in macroeconomic ABM.
BiCB combines traffic prediction and bidding optimization for live advertising.
In the age of data driven solution, the customer demographic attributes, such as gender and age, play a core role that may enable companies to enhance the offers of their services and target the right customer in the right time and place. In the marketing campaign, the companies want to target the real user of the GSM …
Dialogue research tends to distinguish between chit-chat and goal-oriented tasks. While the former is arguably more naturalistic and has a wider use of language, the latter has clearer metrics and a straightforward learning signal. Humans effortlessly combine the two, for example engaging in chit-chat with the goal of …
Reward learning enables the application of reinforcement learning (RL) to tasks where reward is defined by human judgment, building a model of reward by asking humans questions. Most work on reward learning has used simulated environments, but complex information about values is often expressed in natural language, and…