New star-shaped acceptability indexes generalize existing methods.
problem Generalizing existing acceptability measures.
method Characterizing acceptability indexes through star-shaped risk measures and sets.
result Introducing concrete examples linked to various financial measures.
The paper studies optimal investment using acceptability indices to maximize portfolio performance.
problem Optimal investment problem using coherent acceptability indices.
method Numerical algorithm approximating the original problem, dynamic coherent risk measures, set-valued Bellman's principle.
result Acceptability maximization problem reduces to a one-period problem under certain conditions.
Paper extends ranking metrics theory for financial positions.
problem Developing a new class of functionals for evaluating financial positions.
method Axiomatic framework based on monotonicity and cash-quasiconcavity.
result Linking ranking metrics to families of acceptance sets and risk measures.
Paper extends ranking metrics theory for financial positions.
problem Developing a new class of performance evaluation methods.
method Axiomatic framework based on monotonicity and cash-quasiconcavity.
result Linking ranking metrics to families of acceptance sets and risk measures.
The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …
Model uses Preisach hysteresis to predict gig worker acceptance, reducing costs and improving fill rates.
problem Predicting and optimizing gig worker acceptance in labor markets.
method Preisach hysteresis model applied to neural network and XGBoost classifier for binary transaction outcomes.
result Model reduces total wage bill by 21.3% and increases expected fill rate by 9.7 pp.
PCL framework optimizes climate risk management across three clusters.
problem Comprehensive risk management in response to climate change impacts.
method Optimization of preemptive adaptation, contingent arrangements, and loss acceptance.
result Balanced portfolio of actions across three clusters optimized for long-term aggregate outlay.
Proposes a new undersampling method for imbalanced data classification.
problem Challenges of oversampling and undersampling in imbalanced data.
method Bilevel optimization framework for identifying optimal subset of majority training data.
result Improves F1 scores by up to 10% compared to state-of-the-art methods.
The gain-loss ratio is known to enjoy very good properties from a normative point of view. As a confirmation, we show that the best market gain-loss ratio in the presence of a random endowment is an acceptability index and we provide its dual representation for general probability spaces. However, the gain-loss ratio w…
We propose a generalization of the classical notion of the V@Rλ that takes into account not only the probability of the losses, but the balance between such probability and the amount of the loss. This is obtained by defining a new class of law invariant risk measures based on an appropriate family of acceptance set…
Introduces CHL, a new loss function for continuous similarity learning.
problem Binary similarity learning limitations.
method CHL is a novel loss function that generalizes histogram loss to continuous similarities.
result CHL solves a wider range of tasks including similarity learning, representation learning, and data visualization.
Differential privacy is a strong notion for privacy that can be used to prove formal guarantees, in terms of a privacy budget, ε, about how much information is leaked by a mechanism. However, implementations of privacy-preserving machine learning often select large values of ε in order to get acceptable utility of …
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing using the dynamic coherent risk measures. We introduce the dynamic …
Hallucinations in models are mislinked estimates, not errors.
problem Hallucinations in generative models as failures to link estimates to plausible causes.
method Formalized hallucinations, showed even optimal estimators hallucinate, provided a general lower bound on hallucinate rate, reframed hallucination as structural misalignment, and experimentally supported theory.
result Hallucinations are structural misalignments between loss minimization and human-acceptable outputs, leading to estimation errors.
Studies acceptable bundles on a partially punctured polydisk.
problem Understanding acceptable bundles in Simpson--Mochizuki theory.
method Expository study with new arguments.
result New arguments differ from Mochizuki's.
Proposes a simple solution to Gini importance bias in random forests.
problem Gini importance measure in random forests is biased and unreliable.
method Computes loss reduction on out-of-bag samples instead of in-bag.
result Solves the misleading/untrustworthy Gini importance issue.
Study on acceptable bundles on a punctured disk.
problem Understanding acceptable bundles in Simpson--Mochizuki theory.
method Detailed study and introduction of a new invariant.
result Arguments differ from Simpson and Mochizuki's.
EnsLoss combines multiple loss functions to prevent overfitting in classification.
problem Preventing overfitting in classification models.
method EnsLoss is an ensemble method that combines loss functions, ensuring calibration and consistency.
result EnsLoss improves classification accuracy compared to fixed loss methods.
Simple conditions for comonotonic additive risk measures from acceptance sets.
problem Conditions for comonotonic additive risk measures from acceptance sets.
method Conditions on acceptance sets for induced comonotonic additive risk measures.
result Acceptance sets induce comonotonic additive risk measures if and only if the acceptance sets and their complements are stable under convex combinations of comonotonic random variables.
The paper develops a theory for speculative decoding acceptance criteria.
problem Speculative decoding's acceptance criteria and their rejection regions.
method Characterization of rejection regions as lower level sets of the target distribution, derivation of exact and margin-based certificates.
result Relaxed and tree-based acceptance criteria substantially enlarge the region of certified acceptance.
We introduce a class of utility-based market makers that always accept orders at their risk-neutral prices. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for such market makers to have bounded loss. We prove that hyperbolic absolute risk aversion utility market makers are equivalent to weighted pseudospherical scoring …
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
Cactus improves auto-regressive decoding speed without sacrificing quality.
problem Accelerating auto-regressive decoding while maintaining output quality.
method Formalizes speculative sampling as constrained optimization and proposes Cactus for controlled divergence from the verifier distribution.
result Empirically validated effectiveness across various benchmarks.
Under the Basel II standards, the Operational Risk (OpRisk) advanced measurement approach is not prescriptive regarding the class of statistical model utilised to undertake capital estimation. It has however become well accepted to utlise a Loss Distributional Approach (LDA) paradigm to model the individual OpRisk loss…
Proposes new deviation measures using Minkowski gauges.
problem Lack of suitable acceptance sets for deviation measures.
method Derives deviation measures through Minkowski gauges of acceptable sets.
result Any positive homogeneous deviation measure can be accommodated in the framework.
Improves algorithmic recourse to guide towards both acceptance and improvement.
problem Algorithmic recourse recommendations may not lead to improvement.
method Improvement-Focused Causal Recourse (ICR) requires recommendations to guide towards improvement and leverages causal knowledge to design accurate decision systems.
result ICR guides towards both acceptance and improvement given correct causal knowledge.
Estimates boundaries for acceptable bilateral gamma risk in financial markets.
problem Determining the compensation needed for risky future cash flows to be considered acceptable.
method Statistical inference from market prices and derivatives, using prospect theory.
result Upper and lower boundaries for bilateral gamma risk are estimated and tested against market data.
New index for evaluating cash flow processes over a fixed horizon.
problem Evaluating performance of cash flow processes over a fixed investment horizon.
method Extended acceptability indices to càdlàg processes, providing a new index based on Average Value-at-Risk and running minimum.
result Suggested index represents a RAROC-type model for performance evaluation.
Study reveals bias in machine learning conference reviews.
problem Bias in machine learning conference review process.
method Comprehensive analysis of ICLR papers from 2017-2020.
result Strong institutional bias in accept/reject decisions.
Introduces Star-Shaped deviation measures for risk analysis.
problem Risk measurement and analysis in finance.
method Characterizes Star-Shaped deviation measures through acceptance sets and convex deviation measures.
result Exposes the relationship between Star-Shaped risk measures and deviation measures.
We consider a trader who wants to direct his portfolio towards a set of acceptable wealths given by a convex risk measure. We propose a black-box algorithm, whose inputs are the joint law of stock prices and the convex risk measure, and whose outputs are the numerical values of initial capital requirement and the funct…
Study financial contracts pricing in markets with nonproportional costs and constraints.
problem Financial contract pricing in markets with nonproportional transaction costs and portfolio constraints.
method Direct and dual characterization of market-consistent prices with acceptable risk thresholds.
result Extension of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing to include good deals and scalable good deals.
Optimizes a portfolio for an investor preferring accepted securities over a reference security.
problem Investor preference for a set of securities over a reference security with constraints.
method Mean-variance optimization with Sharpe Ratio performance measurement.
result Derives an optimal portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk.
We establish dual representations for systemic risk measures based on acceptance sets in a general setting. We deal with systemic risk measures of both "first allocate, then aggregate" and "first aggregate, then allocate" type. In both cases, we provide a detailed analysis of the corresponding systemic acceptance sets …
INNs improve acceptance rates in electron spectra analysis.
problem Analyzing electron spectra from near-critical laser-plasmas.
method Invertible Neural Networks (INNs) for forward and inverse modeling.
result INNs significantly increase acceptance rates up to a factor of 10.
A new concordance loss improves model performance and reliability in survival prediction.
problem Inconsistent evaluation of deep survival models using likelihood losses.
method Proposed a value-monotone concordance loss (SCL) to improve reliability and optimization.
result SCL achieves comparable discrimination and is the best or within one standard deviation of the best C-index across multiple datasets.
New loss function connects learning rate and momentum.
problem Finding optimal learning rate and momentum empirically.
method Proposes a new information-theoretical loss function.
result Loss, learning rate, and momentum are closely connected.
Research examines motivations and factors influencing retailers' payment method choices.
problem Understanding motivations and factors affecting retailers' payment method choices.
method Qualitative and quantitative analysis of various factors including regulatory constraints, merchant service providers, and demographic variables.
result Lower interchange fees and regulatory constraints make card payment adoption financially feasible for merchants.
Monetary risk measures are usually interpreted as the smallest amount of external capital that must be added to a financial position to make it acceptable. We propose a new concept: intrinsic risk measures and argue that this approach provides a direct path from unacceptable positions towards the acceptance set. Intrin…
A scalable method for deep metric learning using chance constraints.
problem Improving deep metric learning by addressing feasibility issues.
method Relating DML to chance constraints, reformulating as a feasibility problem, and iteratively training proxies.
result The method effectively improves deep metric learning performance across multiple benchmarks.
Typically, operational risk losses are reported above some threshold. This paper studies the impact of ignoring data truncation on the 0.999 quantile of the annual loss distribution for operational risk for a broad range of distribution parameters and truncation levels. Loss frequency and severity are modelled by the P…
Generation of pseudorandom numbers from different probability distributions has been studied extensively in the Monte Carlo simulation literature. Two standard generation techniques are the acceptance-rejection and inverse transformation methods. An alternative approach to Monte Carlo simulation is the quasi-Monte Carl…
Abstracts index for ML4H workshop at NeurIPS 2019.
problem No specific problem stated; index of accepted abstracts.
method Not specified; index of accepted abstracts.
result No specific result stated.
Newtonian dynamical systems which accept the normal shift on an arbitrary Riemannian manifold are considered. For them the determinating equations making the weak normality condition are derived. The expansion for the algebra of tensor fields is constructed.
Proposes a method to estimate acceptance regions for many classes, including new ones.
problem Lack of methods to handle new classes in set-valued classification.
method Generalized Prediction Set (GPS) approach to estimate acceptance regions.
result Achieves a good balance between accuracy, efficiency, and anomaly detection.
The risk of financial positions is measured by the minimum amount of capital to raise and invest in eligible portfolios of traded assets in order to meet a prescribed acceptability constraint. We investigate nondegeneracy, finiteness and continuity properties of these risk measures with respect to multiple eligible ass…
Top-k error is currently a popular performance measure on large scale image classification benchmarks such as ImageNet and Places. Despite its wide acceptance, our understanding of this metric is limited as most of the previous research is focused on its special case, the top-1 error. In this work, we explore two direc…
Improved sampling for Bayesian neural networks reduces vanishing acceptance rates and increases predictive accuracy.
problem Sampling inefficiency in Bayesian neural networks, especially with deep architectures and large datasets.
method Approximate blocked Gibbs sampling to partition and sample subgroups of parameters.
result Increased predictive accuracy and quantification of predictive uncertainty in classification tasks.