Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for long-short time scales

Proposes a model to recommend products at the right time to meet user demands.

problem Maximizing product sales by recommending products at the right time to meet user demands.
method Integrates user interests and time-based demands into a Long-Short Demands-Aware Model (LSDM) using recurrent neural networks.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the LSDM in next-item recommendation on real-world commerce datasets.

WaveLSFormer learns profitable trading policies from financial time series data.

problem Challenges in learning profitable intraday trading policies from financial time series data.
method WaveLSFormer uses a learnable wavelet-based long-short Transformer to jointly perform multi-scale decomposition and return-oriented decision learning.
result WaveLSFormer consistently outperforms MLP, LSTM, and Transformer backbones in trading performance.

Unified architecture for multi-time-scale solar irradiance forecasting reduces RMSE.

problem Non-stationary solar irradiance variability increases grid operating costs.
method Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Long-Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) for multi-time-scale predictions.
result Unified architecture reduces RMSE by 71.5% compared to best-performing methods.

Reliable uncertainty estimation for time series prediction is critical in many fields, including physics, biology, and manufacturing. At Uber, probabilistic time series forecasting is used for robust prediction of number of trips during special events, driver incentive allocation, as well as real-time anomaly detection…

2017-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops LSTM for predicting neuronal dynamics over long time-horizons.

problem Understanding and controlling complex brain behaviors.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network architecture for multi-time step predictions.
result LSTM improves short time-horizon prediction accuracy and multi-time step predictions of neuronal dynamics.

Long short-term memory network outperforms seasonal model in JSE Top 40 forecasting.

problem Comparing neural network performance to traditional models in financial forecasting.
method Used long short-term memory network for JSE Top 40 return data forecasting.
result Long short-term memory network outperforms seasonal model in forecasting.

condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.

problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.

Fully convolutional neural networks (FCN) have been shown to achieve state-of-the-art performance on the task of classifying time series sequences. We propose the augmentation of fully convolutional networks with long short term memory recurrent neural network (LSTM RNN) sub-modules for time series classification. Our …

2017-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes new method for time series confidence intervals using LSTM.

problem Constructing accurate confidence intervals for multivariate time series.
method Uses Long Short Term Memory Network (LSTM) and novel block bootstrap techniques.
result Demonstrates improved accuracy in constructing confidence intervals.

CogScale benchmarks AI architectures for sequential processing.

problem Evaluating AI architectures' ability to process sequential information efficiently.
method 14 scalable synthetic tasks designed to isolate cognitive and memory abilities at different scales.
result Attention mechanisms and modern state-space models consistently maintain high performance as task difficulty scales.

The study addresses overlooked data-generating processes in time-series asset pricing.

problem The literature on time-series asset pricing overlooks the data-generating processes for factors expressed in return differences.
method The study proposes a new definition of returns and compound returns for factors, and uses OLS with net returns for single-index models.
result OLS with net returns for single-index models leads to inflated alphas, exaggerated t-values, and overestimated Sharpe ratios.

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

Paper optimizes a big data and ML risk monitoring system for financial markets.

problem Traditional risk monitoring methods are inadequate for modern financial markets due to data complexity and volume.
method Four-layer architecture integrating big data and advanced ML algorithms (LSTM, RF, GB).
result Significantly enhances efficiency and accuracy in risk management, especially in market crash risk detection.

This paper uses DRL for long-short portfolio optimization, improving risk-adjusted returns.

problem Traditional portfolio optimization limits diversification by excluding short-selling.
method Developed a DRL framework with a short-selling mechanism for continuous trading.
result DRL model with short-selling achieves superior risk-adjusted returns.

This paper studies mutual information in sequence models and finds Transformers excel in capturing long-range dependencies.

problem Understanding the expressive power of sequence models in capturing temporal dependencies.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of linear and nonlinear RNNs, including Transformers.
result Transformers can capture long-range mutual information more efficiently than RNNs.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

LSTM models with DI enhance streamflow forecasts across diverse regions.

problem Challenges in integrating varied discharge measurements for accurate streamflow forecasts.
method Flexible data integration (DI) using LSTM models with CNN units for lagged inputs.
result DI significantly improved streamflow forecast performance, reaching record efficiency coefficients.

QLSTM outperforms LSTM in predicting KSE 100 index movements.

problem Predicting stock market movement in uncertain economic conditions.
method Used LSTM and QLSTM models on monthly data of economic indicators.
result QLSTM provided more accurate predictions of KSE 100 index values.

Predicting MRI coil failures using time series classification.

problem Early detection of MRI hardware failures to prevent downtime.
method Training a statistical model on sequential image data features over time.
result LSTMs achieved an F-score of 86.43% and 98.33% accuracy in predicting coil damage.

Many different classification tasks need to manage structured data, which are usually modeled as graphs. Moreover, these graphs can be dynamic, meaning that the vertices/edges of each graph may change during time. Our goal is to jointly exploit structured data and temporal information through the use of a neural networ…

2017-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have long been recognized for their potential to model complex time series. However, it remains to be determined what optimization techniques and recurrent architectures can be used to best realize this potential. The experiments presented take a deep look into Hessian free optimization…

2015-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper predicts Bitcoin prices using machine learning and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting the future price of Bitcoin in USD.
method Applied supervised machine learning and sentiment analysis to Twitter and Reddit data.
result LSTM models with multi-feature analysis outperformed ARIMA models in predicting Bitcoin prices.

Proposes LSR-IGRU for improved stock trend prediction.

problem Challenges in stock price prediction due to complex relationships and nonlinear dynamics.
method Long short-term relationships matrix and improved GRU input for better temporal and relationship integration.
result Significantly improved accuracy in predicting stock trend changes.

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are designed to handle sequential data but suffer from vanishing or exploding gradients. Recent work on Unitary Recurrent Neural Networks (uRNNs) have been used to address this issue and in some cases, exceed the capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTMs). We propose a simp…

2017-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗