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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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4385128170 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for logit scores

BoC probe assesses neural network confidence coherence, revealing architecture-specific uncertainty.

problem Poor calibration and OOD detection in neural networks.
method Bag-of-Coins (BoC) probe compares softmax confidence to pairwise dominance probabilities.
result BoC reveals clear ID/OOD separation for some architectures but not others.

Proposes a new method to measure epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Measuring epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks for out-of-distribution detection.
method Proposes measuring disagreement between logits and their pre-softmax counterparts as an epistemic uncertainty measure.
result Proposed epistemic uncertainty scores outperform mutual information and equal predictive entropy performance.

The paper proposes a method to test properties of the optimal assortment in multinomial logit models.

problem Uncertainty quantification for the optimal assortment in multinomial logit models.
method The paper proposes a novel inferential framework to test properties of the optimal assortment in multinomial logit models, reducing the problem to detecting the sign change point of marginal revenue gaps.
result The asymptotic normality of the marginal revenue gap estimator and the construction of a maximum statistic to detect the sign change point.

Generating and eliminating adversarial examples has been an intriguing topic in the field of deep learning. While previous research verified that adversarial attacks are often fragile and can be defended via image-level processing, it remains unclear how high-level features are perturbed by such attacks. We investigate…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Logit regularization induces logit clustering, affecting classifier performance.

problem Understanding the mechanism of logit regularization in classification.
method Analysis of logit regularization in linear classification, proving logit clustering leads to Fisher's Linear Discriminant alignment.
result Logit regularization can halve critical sample complexity and induce robust generalization.

KCal calibrates deep networks by embedding logits in a metric space.

problem Overconfident predictions from DNNs, especially in high-risk applications.
method KCal learns a metric space on the penultimate-layer latent embedding and generates predictions using kernel density estimates.
result KCal provides a provable full calibration guarantee and consistently outperforms baselines.

Paper predicts M&A deal success using ML and DL techniques.

problem Predicting the success of M&A deals to avoid costly mistakes.
method Data preprocessing with ML techniques, feedforward neural networks, and sentiment scores integration.
result Methodology outperforms benchmark models in preliminary tests.

Proposes SOVR loss to improve adversarial robustness by increasing logit margins.

problem Adversarial training's difficulty in robustness against sophisticated attacks.
method Introduces SOVR loss function that switches from cross-entropy to one-vs-the-rest loss for important samples.
result SOVR loss increases logit margins of important samples, improving robustness against Auto-Attack.

In this paper, we develop improved techniques for defending against adversarial examples at scale. First, we implement the state of the art version of adversarial training at unprecedented scale on ImageNet and investigate whether it remains effective in this setting - an important open scientific question (Athalye et …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a convex model for mixed logit to handle individual heterogeneity.

problem Non-convex optimization in mixed logit models for individual heterogeneity.
method Sparse and low-rank decomposition for convex formulation.
result Convex formulation avoids simulation-based approximation and unstable model interpretation.

Recently, Kannan et al. [2018] proposed several logit regularization methods to improve the adversarial robustness of classifiers. We show that the computationally fast methods they propose - Clean Logit Pairing (CLP) and Logit Squeezing (LSQ) - just make the gradient-based optimization problem of crafting adversarial …

2018-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This work introduces a bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, improving uncertainty estimation in predictive models.

problem Reliable uncertainty estimation for predictions in safety-critical applications, especially under domain drift.
method Developed a general bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, introducing the Bregman Information as the variance term.
result The decomposition provides novel formulations for different predictive tasks, including classification and model ensembles.

We consider neural network training, in applications in which there are many possible classes, but at test-time, the task is a binary classification task of determining whether the given example belongs to a specific class, where the class of interest can be different each time the classifier is applied. For instance, …

2017-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes assortment decisions with a new OFU scheme for online choice problems.

problem Online assortment optimization under stochastic choice with revenue performance and inference quality considerations.
method Forced-exploration OFU scheme combining regularized estimators for decision making and inference.
result Explicit regret bound and error bounds for approximate optimistic actions, showing Pareto optimality.

A new framework evaluates LLM calibration in open-ended QA.

problem Evaluating LLM calibration in open-ended QA settings.
method Sem-ECE framework: sampling answers, grouping by semantic classes, and using frequencies as confidence.
result Sem-ECE estimators are unbiased and Sem2_2 achieves smaller calibration error.

Paper tackles long-tailed labels in classification problems.

problem Imbalanced or long-tailed label distribution in real-world classification problems.
method Logit adjustment applied post-hoc or during training to encourage a large relative margin between rare and dominant labels.
result Unified and generalised techniques for coping with long-tailed labels, improving generalisation and performance.

The paper proposes an efficient method to scale Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models to very large datasets.

problem Efficiency in Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models on large datasets.
method Amortized Variational Inference with stochastic backpropagation, automatic differentiation, and GPU acceleration.
result The proposed method achieves significant computational speedups over traditional methods for large datasets.

Develops conformalized prediction intervals for bounded continuous outcomes.

problem Predicting continuous outcomes within bounded ranges, especially when models are misspecified.
method Conformal prediction intervals based on transformation regression models, accounting for heteroscedasticity and asymmetry.
result Valid finite-sample coverage confirmed in simulations and real data applications.

Improves GANs by sampling from an energy-based model induced by discriminator scores.

problem Improving the quality of images generated by GANs.
method DDLS (Discriminator Driven Latent Sampling) using the sum of latent prior log-density and discriminator output score.
result Significantly improves Inception Score on CIFAR-10 dataset.

This article presents a proof of the existence of Bertrand-Nash equilibrium prices with multi-product firms and under the Logit model of demand that does not rely on restrictive assumptions on product characteristics, firm homogeneity or symmetry, product costs, or linearity of the utility function. The proof is based …

2010-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗