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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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11223344 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for logit coherence

BoC probe assesses neural network confidence coherence, revealing architecture-specific uncertainty.

problem Poor calibration and OOD detection in neural networks.
method Bag-of-Coins (BoC) probe compares softmax confidence to pairwise dominance probabilities.
result BoC reveals clear ID/OOD separation for some architectures but not others.

Variance-Calibrated Modulation (VCM) addresses the likelihood trap in LLMs by reshaping the probability distribution before truncation.

problem LLMs fall into the likelihood trap, leading to repetitive degeneration and vocabulary dullness.
method VCM reshapes the probability distribution before truncation through Contextual Searchlight and Adaptive Self-Debiasing.
result VCM mitigates the likelihood trap across open-ended generation, factual QA, and mathematical reasoning.

Unified kernel for prediction markets reduces belief variance forecast error.

problem Lack of standardized tools for quoting and hedging belief risk in prediction markets.
method Logit jump-diffusion model with risk-neutral drift, calibration pipeline, and coherent derivative layer.
result Model reduces forecast error compared to diffusion-only and probability-space baselines.

Logit regularization induces logit clustering, affecting classifier performance.

problem Understanding the mechanism of logit regularization in classification.
method Analysis of logit regularization in linear classification, proving logit clustering leads to Fisher's Linear Discriminant alignment.
result Logit regularization can halve critical sample complexity and induce robust generalization.

Proposes SOVR loss to improve adversarial robustness by increasing logit margins.

problem Adversarial training's difficulty in robustness against sophisticated attacks.
method Introduces SOVR loss function that switches from cross-entropy to one-vs-the-rest loss for important samples.
result SOVR loss increases logit margins of important samples, improving robustness against Auto-Attack.

In this paper, we develop improved techniques for defending against adversarial examples at scale. First, we implement the state of the art version of adversarial training at unprecedented scale on ImageNet and investigate whether it remains effective in this setting - an important open scientific question (Athalye et …

2018-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a convex model for mixed logit to handle individual heterogeneity.

problem Non-convex optimization in mixed logit models for individual heterogeneity.
method Sparse and low-rank decomposition for convex formulation.
result Convex formulation avoids simulation-based approximation and unstable model interpretation.

Recently, Kannan et al. [2018] proposed several logit regularization methods to improve the adversarial robustness of classifiers. We show that the computationally fast methods they propose - Clean Logit Pairing (CLP) and Logit Squeezing (LSQ) - just make the gradient-based optimization problem of crafting adversarial …

2018-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider neural network training, in applications in which there are many possible classes, but at test-time, the task is a binary classification task of determining whether the given example belongs to a specific class, where the class of interest can be different each time the classifier is applied. For instance, …

2017-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles long-tailed labels in classification problems.

problem Imbalanced or long-tailed label distribution in real-world classification problems.
method Logit adjustment applied post-hoc or during training to encourage a large relative margin between rare and dominant labels.
result Unified and generalised techniques for coping with long-tailed labels, improving generalisation and performance.

The paper proposes an efficient method to scale Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models to very large datasets.

problem Efficiency in Bayesian inference for mixed multinomial logit models on large datasets.
method Amortized Variational Inference with stochastic backpropagation, automatic differentiation, and GPU acceleration.
result The proposed method achieves significant computational speedups over traditional methods for large datasets.

This article presents a proof of the existence of Bertrand-Nash equilibrium prices with multi-product firms and under the Logit model of demand that does not rely on restrictive assumptions on product characteristics, firm homogeneity or symmetry, product costs, or linearity of the utility function. The proof is based …

2010-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of the utility specification into (i) a knowledge-driven part, and (ii) a data-driven…

2018-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how inclusion/exclusion from STOXX Europe 600 Index affects company prices.

problem Understanding price dynamics of companies in STOXX Europe 600 Index.
method Used logit models and neural networks to analyze data.
result Identified independent variables affecting price changes.

As datasets capturing human choices grow in richness and scale -- particularly in online domains -- there is an increasing need for choice models that escape traditional choice-theoretic axioms such as regularity, stochastic transitivity, and Luce's choice axiom. In this work we introduce the Pairwise Choice Markov Cha…

2016-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

SLED improves factuality in LLMs without external knowledge.

problem Unreliable or factually incorrect outputs from large language models.
method Contrasts final layer logits with early layers' logits, uses approximate gradient to refine outputs.
result Consistently improves factual accuracy over existing methods.

Generating and eliminating adversarial examples has been an intriguing topic in the field of deep learning. While previous research verified that adversarial attacks are often fragile and can be defended via image-level processing, it remains unclear how high-level features are perturbed by such attacks. We investigate…

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal design for multinomial logit models improves assortment selection efficiency.

problem Optimal experimental design for multinomial logit models with feedback.
method Two complementary approaches: MILP reformulation and lifted design.
result Achieves statistical efficiency and scalability for MNL bandits.

Graph neural networks improve residential location choice predictions.

problem Capturing spatial dependence in discrete choice models.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for analyzing spatial alternatives.
result GNN-DCMs outperform classical models in residential location choice predictions.

Logit-link models reveal socio-temporal effects on microfinance delinquency.

problem Understanding and quantifying socio-temporal factors affecting microfinance loan delinquency.
method Developed and evaluated discrete-time logit-link models with fixed-effects and frailty extensions.
result Simple random intercept structures capture latent heterogeneity in microfinance repayment behavior.

The paper tackles learning mixtures of two multinomial logits, showing identifiability and presenting an algorithm.

problem Learning an arbitrary mixture of two multinomial logits.
method Reduction to solving a system of univariate quartic equations, followed by an algorithm using polynomial and linear samples.
result Identifiability of the mixture models may only fail on an algebraic variety of negligible measure.