A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The logistic regression model is known to converge to a Poisson point process model if the binary response tends to infinitely imbalanced. In this paper, it is shown that this phenomenon is universal in a wide class of link functions on binomial regression. The proof relies on the extreme value theory. For the logit, p…
We consider the problem of link prediction, based on partial observation of a large network, and on side information associated to its vertices. The generative model is formulated as a matrix logistic regression. The performance of the model is analysed in a high-dimensional regime under a structural assumption. The mi…
Classification is the most important process in data analysis. However, due to the inherent non-convex and non-smooth structure of the zero-one loss function of the classification model, various convex surrogate loss functions such as hinge loss, squared hinge loss, logistic loss, and exponential loss are introduced. T…
A latent space model for a family of random graphs assigns real-valued vectors to nodes of the graph such that edge probabilities are determined by latent positions. Latent space models provide a natural statistical framework for graph visualizing and clustering. A latent space model of particular interest is the Rando…
A successful approach to structured learning is to write the learning objective as a joint function of linear parameters and inference messages, and iterate between updates to each. This paper observes that if the inference problem is "smoothed" through the addition of entropy terms, for fixed messages, the learning ob…
In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…
Multi-class classification methods based on both labeled and unlabeled functional data sets are discussed. We present a semi-supervised logistic model for classification in the context of functional data analysis. Unknown parameters in our proposed model are estimated by regularization with the help of EM algorithm. A …
We consider the problem of learning the link parameters as well as the structure of a binary-valued pairwise Markov model. Under sparsity assumption, we propose a method based on l1- regularized logistic regression, which estimate globally the whole set of edges and link parameters. Unlike the more recent methods di…
Rotation invariant algorithms fail with hard labels sampled from sparse targets.
problem Rotation invariant algorithms fail to learn from hard labels sampled from sparse targets.
method Proving the excess risk of rotation invariant algorithms and proposing a simple non-rotation invariant algorithm.
result Rotation invariant algorithms incur an excess risk of $Ω\left(\frac{d-1}{n}
ight)$, while non-rotation invariant algorithms have an excess risk of $O\left(\frac{s\log d}{n}
ight).
In this work we provide a theoretical framework for structured prediction that generalizes the existing theory of surrogate methods for binary and multiclass classification based on estimating conditional probabilities with smooth convex surrogates (e.g. logistic regression). The theory relies on a natural characteriza…
Classifier chains are popular and effective method to tackle a multi-label classification problem. The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic properties of the chain model in which the conditional probabilities are of the logistic form. In particular we find conditions on the number of labels and the distribution…
The article describe the model, derivation, and implementation of variational Bayesian inference for linear and logistic regression, both with and without automatic relevance determination. It has the dual function of acting as a tutorial for the derivation of variational Bayesian inference for simple models, as well a…
We consider the problem of learning Relational Logistic Regression (RLR). Unlike standard logistic regression, the features of RLRs are first-order formulae with associated weight vectors instead of scalar weights. We turn the problem of learning RLR to learning these vector-weighted formulae and develop a learning alg…
Improved variational inference for logistic regression and classification.
problem Intractability of Evidence Lower Bound in variational logistic regression.
method Introducing a new bound for the expectation of softplus function, applied to variational logistic regression and Gaussian process classification.
result The new bound results in a tighter posterior and faster computation compared to Monte-Carlo methods.
In this work we propose to fit a sparse logistic regression model by a weakly convex regularized nonconvex optimization problem. The idea is based on the finding that a weakly convex function as an approximation of the ℓ0 pseudo norm is able to better induce sparsity than the commonly used ℓ1 norm. For a cl…
This paper presents a cross-country comparison of significant predictors of small business failure between Italy and the UK. Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted. Several models are consid…
This work proposes the Bregman-Tweedie classification model and analyzes the domain structure of the extended exponential function, an extension of the classic generalized exponential function with additional scaling parameter, and related high-level mathematical structures, such as the Bregman-Tweedie loss function an…
This paper concerns a method of selecting a subset of features for a sequential logit model. Tanaka and Nakagawa (2014) proposed a mixed integer quadratic optimization formulation for solving the problem based on a quadratic approximation of the logistic loss function. However, since there is a significant gap between …