A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration inequality, proved using the same method. Together these constitute a finite-time versi…
The paper studies a 1D diffusion equation with nonlinear Robin boundary conditions and finds conditions for global and finite time blow-up or blow-down.
problem Investigating the behavior of solutions to a specific diffusion equation with nonlinear Robin boundary conditions.
method Analyzing the Ricci flow on a cylinder and applying it to the diffusion equation.
result Conditions for global and finite time blow-up or blow-down of solutions.
Gaussian processes (GPs) are important models in supervised machine learning. Training in Gaussian processes refers to selecting the covariance functions and the associated parameters in order to improve the outcome of predictions, the core of which amounts to evaluating the logarithm of the marginal likelihood (LML) o…
We derive a logarithmic Sobolev inequality along the Ricci flow without any restriction on time, which depends only on the initial metric via rudimentary geometric data, assuming only that a certain first eigenvalue is positive. As a consequence we obtain a uniform Sobolev inequality along the Ricci flow without any re…
This paper gives quantitative global estimates between a time dependent flow on a Riemannian manifold (M) and the flow of a vector field constructed by truncating the formal Magnus expansion for the logarithm of the flow. As a corollary, we also find quantitative estimates between the composition of the …
Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
problem Identifying the skewness in local logarithmic export distributions and its relationship with exporter and destination characteristics.
method Analyzing directed links weighted by the logarithm of export values, studying the skewness of local exports, and formulating quantitative relations.
result Non-zero skewness in local logarithmic export distributions changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
Applying logarithmic transformations along 2-tori, we construct a generalized complex structure J_n with n type changing luci for every n≥0 on genus 1-Lefschetz fibrations with a cusp neighborhood, which include elliptic surfaces with non-zero euler characteristic. Applying a technique of broken Lefschetz fibrati…
We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal Portfolio enjoys optimal regret O(NlnT) for N financial instrum…
We create a new online reduction of multiclass classification to binary classification for which training and prediction time scale logarithmically with the number of classes. Compared to previous approaches, we obtain substantially better statistical performance for two reasons: First, we prove a tighter and more comp…
I find a topological arrangement of stocks traded in a financial market which has associated a meaningful economic taxonomy. The topological space is a graph connecting the stocks of the portfolio analyzed. The graph is obtained starting from the matrix of correlation coefficient computed between all pairs of stocks of…
For some class of geometric flows, we obtain the (logarithmic) Sobolev inequalities and their equivalence up to different factors directly and also obtain the long time non-collapsing and non-inflated properties, which generalize the results in the case of Ricci flow or List-Ricci flow or harmonic-Ricci flow. As applic…
In this paper, we introduce the notions of logarithmic Poisson structure and logarithmic principal Poisson structure; we prove that the latter induces a representation by logarithmic derivation of the module of logarithmic Kahler differentials; therefore, it induces a differential complex from which we derive the notio…
Uniform-in-time analysis for Stein Variational Gradient Descent across various metrics.
problem Understanding long-term behavior of finite-particle systems in relation to their mean-field limits.
method Developed uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos results for continuous-time SVGD using cutoff strategies and finite-dimensional theories.
result Uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos bounds in various metrics, including Langevin kernel Stein discrepancy, Wasserstein-1, and Wasserstein-2 distances.
We study contextual bandits with budget and time constraints, referred to as constrained contextual bandits.The time and budget constraints significantly complicate the exploration and exploitation tradeoff because they introduce complex coupling among contexts over time.Such coupling effects make it difficult to obtai…
We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the case of the Gaussian logarithmic returns model by Harrison and Kreps, but we prove …
Researchers prove rigidity for log-Sobolev inequality on specific metric spaces.
problem Proving rigidity for the logarithmic Sobolev inequality on metric measure spaces.
method Using a new approach to prove the rigidity result.
result Proved that if equality holds in the log-Sobolev inequality, the space must split into a product of a manifold and the Gaussian shrinking soliton.
We study the problem of regret minimization for distributed bandits learning, in which M agents work collaboratively to minimize their total regret under the coordination of a central server. Our goal is to design communication protocols with near-optimal regret and little communication cost, which is measured by the…
The common assumption of universal behavior in stock market data can sometimes lead to false conclusions. In statistical physics, the Hurst exponents characterizing long-range correlations are often closely related to universal exponents. We show, that in the case of time series of the traded value, these Hurst exponen…
We study a phenomenological model for the continuous double auction, equivalent to two independent M/M/1 queues. The continuous double auction defines a continuous-time random walk for trade prices. The conditions for ergodicity of the auction are derived and, as a consequence, three possible regimes in the behavior …
The best-known and most commonly used distribution-property estimation technique uses a plug-in estimator, with empirical frequency replacing the underlying distribution. We present novel linear-time-computable estimators that significantly "amplify" the effective amount of data available. For a large variety of distri…
This paper investigates optimal trading strategies in a financial market with multidimensional stock returns where the drift is an unobservable multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Information about the drift is obtained by observing stock returns and expert opinions. The latter provide unbiased estimates on the cu…