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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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62125187249 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for log-rank test

We introduce a general non-parametric independence test between right-censored survival times and covariates, which may be multivariate. Our test statistic has a dual interpretation, first in terms of the supremum of a potentially infinite collection of weight-indexed log-rank tests, with weight functions belonging to …

2019-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.

problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.

A clinician desires to use a risk-stratification method that achieves confident risk-stratification - the risk estimates of the different patients reflect the true risks with a high probability. This allows him/her to use these risks to make accurate predictions about prognosis and decisions about screening, treatments…

2018-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We present and evaluate Deep Private-Feature Extractor (DPFE), a deep model which is trained and evaluated based on information theoretic constraints. Using the selective exchange of information between a user's device and a service provider, DPFE enables the user to prevent certain sensitive information from being sha…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a novel SVM method for creating survival trees.

problem Creating non-linear survival trees for right-censored data.
method L2-regularized dipole splitting criteria with kernel methods.
result Non-linear splits using polynomial and Gaussian kernels show similar predictive power but often smaller tree sizes.

Study compares Cox model and RSF for predicting patient survival, finding RSF superior in certain scenarios.

problem Comparing predictive accuracy of Cox proportional hazards model and Random Survival Forest for patient-specific survival probabilities.
method Conducted a comprehensive comparison study using simulation scenarios and real-world datasets.
result RSF outperforms Cox model in nonproportional hazards settings and with treatment-covariate interactions.

Survival analysis of 832,941 Solana token launches shows a significant decline in graduation rate.

problem Analyzing the survival rate of Solana token launches and identifying factors affecting graduation.
method Survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional-hazards models.
result The survival rate of Solana token launches has declined significantly, with a 3.18x decrease from previous rates.

Study predicts when ALS patients will lose speech, swallowing, etc. based on covariates.

problem Predicting when ALS patients will experience significant functional decline.
method Multi-event survival analysis, covariate-based models.
result Covariate-based models outperform Kaplan-Meier estimator in predicting time-to-event outcomes.

A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…

2013-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

USP test improves on Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.

problem Deficiencies in Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.
method USP test based on UU-statistic estimator of population dependence measure.
result USP test controls size, handles small cell counts, and detects minimal violations of independence.

This paper provides a comprehensive survey of Machine Learning Testing (ML testing) research. It covers 144 papers on testing properties (e.g., correctness, robustness, and fairness), testing components (e.g., the data, learning program, and framework), testing workflow (e.g., test generation and test evaluation), and …

2019-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust test for distributions under Hellinger distance, simpler than optimal tests.

problem Testing and estimating distributions robustly under Hellinger distance.
method Simple robust hypothesis test with optimal sample complexity, robust to Hellinger distance perturbations.
result Empirically demonstrated robustness and power of the test on canonical distributions.

Simple methods combine statistical tests for out-of-distribution detection.

problem Detecting data points not following the training distribution.
method Combining classical parametric tests (Rao's score test) and a typicality test.
result Combining Fisher's method of test statistics improves out-of-distribution detection accuracy.

Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.

problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.

New methods for CI testing under model misspecification.

problem Challenges in CI testing with misspecified models.
method Proposes new approximations and upper bounds for testing errors of regression-based CI tests.
result Introduces the Rao-Blackwellized Predictor Test (RBPT) robust against misspecified inductive biases.

Discusses MultiFIT for multivariate dependence, comparing it to HSIC tests.

problem Comparing Multiscale Fisher's Independence Test (MultiFIT) to HSIC tests for multivariate dependence.
method Compares MultiFIT to HSIC tests, highlighting exact level control and performance limitations.
result Observes performance limitations of MultiFIT in terms of test power.

The repeated community-wide reuse of test sets in popular benchmark problems raises doubts about the credibility of reported test-error rates. Verifying whether a learned model is overfitted to a test set is challenging as independent test sets drawn from the same data distribution are usually unavailable, while other …

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops hypothesis tests for conditional distributions using learning-theoretic bounds.

problem Testing differences in conditional distributions and functionals.
method Transforming learning-theoretic bounds into hypothesis tests for conditional expectations.
result Establishes comprehensive foundation for conditional testing, including theoretical guarantees and practical implementations.

Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.

problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.

Improved MMD test for two-sample testing with random Fourier features.

problem Quadratic-time complexity of MMD test for large-scale analysis.
method Approximated MMD test using random Fourier features, investigating time-power trade-off.
result Sub-quadratic time complexity with same minimax separation rates as MMD test.

Distance correlation has gained much recent attention in the data science community: the sample statistic is straightforward to compute and asymptotically equals zero if and only if independence, making it an ideal choice to discover any type of dependency structure given sufficient sample size. One major bottleneck is…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a robust test for high-dimensional models with large covariates and instruments.

problem Testing high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models with large covariates and instruments.
method Introduces a test based on the maximum norm of multiple parameters and a power-enhanced test.
result The proposed test is robust to heteroskedastic errors and has higher power than existing tests.

The study analyzes group testing algorithms for identifying defective items with high confidence.

problem Identifying defective items from a population using group testing with high confidence.
method Formulated as a function learning problem using the PAC framework, analyzed three algorithms: column matching, combinatorial basis pursuit, and definite defectives.
result Derived bounds on the number of tests needed for approximate set identification, comparing with existing bounds and simulating performance.

We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the false negative rate. These features are constructed via Stein's method, meaning th…

2017-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A permutation-based SW test achieves minimax-optimal power for two-sample testing.

problem Nonparametric two-sample testing using the sliced Wasserstein distance.
method Proposes a permutation-based SW test and analyzes its performance.
result Achieves minimax separation rate n1/2n^{-1/2} over multinomial and bounded-support alternatives.

We conduct an extensive evaluation of price jump tests based on high-frequency financial data. After providing a concise review of multiple alternative tests, we document the size and power of all tests in a range of empirically relevant scenarios. Particular focus is given to the robustness of test performance to the …

2017-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗