Weighted log-rank tests are arguably the most widely used tests by practitioners for the two-sample problem in the context of right-censored data. Many approaches have been considered to make weighted log-rank tests more robust against a broader family of alternatives, among them, considering linear combinations of wei…
We introduce a general non-parametric independence test between right-censored survival times and covariates, which may be multivariate. Our test statistic has a dual interpretation, first in terms of the supremum of a potentially infinite collection of weight-indexed log-rank tests, with weight functions belonging to …
Efficiently clusters survival curves without computationally intensive resampling.
problem Identifying clusters of survival curves efficiently and scalably.
method Log-rank test combined with k-means clustering.
result Achieves comparable results to bootstrap-based methods but with improved efficiency.
Random survival forests (RSF) are a powerful method for risk prediction of right-censored outcomes in biomedical research. RSF use the log-rank split criterion to form an ensemble of survival trees. The most common approach to evaluate the prediction accuracy of a RSF model is Harrell's concordance index for survival d…
SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.
problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.
We present a nonparametric Bayesian method for disease subtype discovery in multi-dimensional cancer data. Our method can simultaneously analyse a wide range of data types, allowing for both agreement and disagreement between their underlying clustering structure. It includes feature selection and infers the most likel…
Test for quasi-independence in ordered time data.
problem Determining dependence beyond temporal ordering.
method Nonparametric statistical test considering infinite alternatives.
result Better power and computational efficiency compared to existing methods.
We investigate the effect of the proportional hazards assumption on prognostic and predictive models of the survival time of patients suffering from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We theoretically compare the underlying model formulations of several variants of survival forests and implementations thereof, includ…
Survival trees exhibit end-cut preference, leading to biased splits.
problem End-cut preference in survival trees causes biased splits and poor interpretability.
method Proposed a smooth sigmoid surrogate (SSS) approach to replace hard-threshold indicator function.
result Smooth sigmoid surrogate (SSS) effectively mitigates end-cut preference in survival trees.
A clinician desires to use a risk-stratification method that achieves confident risk-stratification - the risk estimates of the different patients reflect the true risks with a high probability. This allows him/her to use these risks to make accurate predictions about prognosis and decisions about screening, treatments…
We present and evaluate Deep Private-Feature Extractor (DPFE), a deep model which is trained and evaluated based on information theoretic constraints. Using the selective exchange of information between a user's device and a service provider, DPFE enables the user to prevent certain sensitive information from being sha…
The most popular approach for analyzing survival data is the Cox regression model. The Cox model may, however, be misspecified, and its proportionality assumption may not always be fulfilled. An alternative approach for survival prediction is random forests for survival outcomes. The standard split criterion for random…
Paper proposes a novel SVM method for creating survival trees.
problem Creating non-linear survival trees for right-censored data.
method L2-regularized dipole splitting criteria with kernel methods.
result Non-linear splits using polynomial and Gaussian kernels show similar predictive power but often smaller tree sizes.
Develops methods to estimate high rank tensors from noisy data.
problem Estimating high rank tensors from noisy observations.
method Generative latent variable tensor model, polynomial-time spectral algorithm.
result Achieves computationally optimal rate for signal tensor estimation.
The medical research facilitates to acquire a diverse type of data from the same individual for particular cancer. Recent studies show that utilizing such diverse data results in more accurate predictions. The major challenge faced is how to utilize such diverse data sets in an effective way. In this paper, we introduc…
Study compares Cox model and RSF for predicting patient survival, finding RSF superior in certain scenarios.
problem Comparing predictive accuracy of Cox proportional hazards model and Random Survival Forest for patient-specific survival probabilities.
method Conducted a comprehensive comparison study using simulation scenarios and real-world datasets.
result RSF outperforms Cox model in nonproportional hazards settings and with treatment-covariate interactions.
Survival analysis of 832,941 Solana token launches shows a significant decline in graduation rate.
problem Analyzing the survival rate of Solana token launches and identifying factors affecting graduation.
method Survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional-hazards models.
result The survival rate of Solana token launches has declined significantly, with a 3.18x decrease from previous rates.
Study predicts when ALS patients will lose speech, swallowing, etc. based on covariates.
problem Predicting when ALS patients will experience significant functional decline.
method Multi-event survival analysis, covariate-based models.
result Covariate-based models outperform Kaplan-Meier estimator in predicting time-to-event outcomes.
Many methods for automated software test generation, including some that explicitly use machine learning (and some that use ML more broadly conceived) derive new tests from existing tests (often referred to as seeds). Often, the seed tests from which new tests are derived are manually constructed, or at least simpler t…
A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…
USP test improves on Pearson's chi-squared and G-test for independence.
problem Deficiencies in Pearson's chi-squared and G-test for independence. method USP test based on U-statistic estimator of population dependence measure. result USP test controls size, handles small cell counts, and detects minimal violations of independence.
E-C2ST uses E-values for high-dimensional data two-sample tests.
problem Statistical testing for high-dimensional data.
method Combines split likelihood ratio tests and predictive independence tests, using E-values for anytime-valid sequential tests.
result E-C2ST achieves enhanced statistical power by partitioning datasets into multiple batches.
This paper provides a comprehensive survey of Machine Learning Testing (ML testing) research. It covers 144 papers on testing properties (e.g., correctness, robustness, and fairness), testing components (e.g., the data, learning program, and framework), testing workflow (e.g., test generation and test evaluation), and …
Cheap permutation tests speed up distribution testing without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Efficiently testing distribution differences and independence.
method Group datapoints into bins and permute only these bins, using stored sufficient statistics.
result Cheap permutation tests maintain the accuracy and optimality of standard tests but are significantly faster.
DRIFT uses RL to automate functional software testing efficiently.
problem Efficient and reliable automated software testing.
method DRIFT employs Q-learning with Graph Neural Networks on symbolic UI representations.
result DRIFT can robustly test software functionalities in a fully automated manner.
Optimizes two-sample tests for non-Euclidean domains using spectral regularization.
problem Optimizing two-sample tests for non-Euclidean domains.
method Spectral regularization of MMD test to achieve minimax optimality.
result Proposes a spectral regularization method that improves test optimality.
Robust test for distributions under Hellinger distance, simpler than optimal tests.
problem Testing and estimating distributions robustly under Hellinger distance.
method Simple robust hypothesis test with optimal sample complexity, robust to Hellinger distance perturbations.
result Empirically demonstrated robustness and power of the test on canonical distributions.
A new method for kernel tests without data splitting increases power.
problem Lack of power in kernel-based tests due to data splitting.
method Selective inference framework to learn hyperparameters and test on full sample.
result Empirically larger test power without data splitting, regardless of split proportion.
Framework for online hypothesis testing across various data types.
problem Testing various nonparametric hypotheses in data streams.
method Unified framework using operators on data distributions, leveraging ML models.
result Efficient, adaptive, and error-controlled sequential tests.
Model-X test detects conditional independence in streaming data.
problem Detecting conditional independence in data streams with arbitrary dependency.
method Sequential testing inspired by model-X and testing by betting.
result Significantly reduces type-I error rate and enhances data efficiency.
Simple methods combine statistical tests for out-of-distribution detection.
problem Detecting data points not following the training distribution.
method Combining classical parametric tests (Rao's score test) and a typicality test.
result Combining Fisher's method of test statistics improves out-of-distribution detection accuracy.
Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.
problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.
AutoML simplifies two-sample tests for detecting distribution shifts.
problem Detecting distribution shifts between datasets.
method Uses mean discrepancy of a witness function with squared loss minimization.
result AutoML simplifies and improves two-sample testing performance.
New methods for CI testing under model misspecification.
problem Challenges in CI testing with misspecified models.
method Proposes new approximations and upper bounds for testing errors of regression-based CI tests.
result Introduces the Rao-Blackwellized Predictor Test (RBPT) robust against misspecified inductive biases.
Discusses MultiFIT for multivariate dependence, comparing it to HSIC tests.
problem Comparing Multiscale Fisher's Independence Test (MultiFIT) to HSIC tests for multivariate dependence.
method Compares MultiFIT to HSIC tests, highlighting exact level control and performance limitations.
result Observes performance limitations of MultiFIT in terms of test power.
The repeated community-wide reuse of test sets in popular benchmark problems raises doubts about the credibility of reported test-error rates. Verifying whether a learned model is overfitted to a test set is challenging as independent test sets drawn from the same data distribution are usually unavailable, while other …
Develops hypothesis tests for conditional distributions using learning-theoretic bounds.
problem Testing differences in conditional distributions and functionals.
method Transforming learning-theoretic bounds into hypothesis tests for conditional expectations.
result Establishes comprehensive foundation for conditional testing, including theoretical guarantees and practical implementations.
Develops tests for conditional symmetry under group actions.
problem Testing conditional symmetry in distributions under group actions.
method Nonparametric randomization tests with kernel methods and asymptotic consistency.
result Tests achieve finite-sample Type I error control and power.
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
This paper introduces differentially private permutation tests for hypothesis testing.
problem Privacy concerns in sensitive data analysis.
method Differentially private permutation tests for kernel methods.
result Proposes dpMMD and dpHSIC for two-sample and independence testing, achieving optimal power.
Improved MMD test for two-sample testing with random Fourier features.
problem Quadratic-time complexity of MMD test for large-scale analysis.
method Approximated MMD test using random Fourier features, investigating time-power trade-off.
result Sub-quadratic time complexity with same minimax separation rates as MMD test.
Distance correlation has gained much recent attention in the data science community: the sample statistic is straightforward to compute and asymptotically equals zero if and only if independence, making it an ideal choice to discover any type of dependency structure given sufficient sample size. One major bottleneck is…
Paper proposes a robust test for high-dimensional models with large covariates and instruments.
problem Testing high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models with large covariates and instruments.
method Introduces a test based on the maximum norm of multiple parameters and a power-enhanced test.
result The proposed test is robust to heteroskedastic errors and has higher power than existing tests.
Polynomial-time test for detecting dense subgraphs in heterogeneous networks.
problem Detecting a planted community in heterogeneous networks.
method Proposes a polynomial-time test with a standard normal distribution null limiting distribution.
result The test is efficient and performs well in both simulations and real data.
The study analyzes group testing algorithms for identifying defective items with high confidence.
problem Identifying defective items from a population using group testing with high confidence.
method Formulated as a function learning problem using the PAC framework, analyzed three algorithms: column matching, combinatorial basis pursuit, and definite defectives.
result Derived bounds on the number of tests needed for approximate set identification, comparing with existing bounds and simulating performance.
We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the false negative rate. These features are constructed via Stein's method, meaning th…
A permutation-based SW test achieves minimax-optimal power for two-sample testing.
problem Nonparametric two-sample testing using the sliced Wasserstein distance.
method Proposes a permutation-based SW test and analyzes its performance.
result Achieves minimax separation rate n−1/2 over multinomial and bounded-support alternatives. We conduct an extensive evaluation of price jump tests based on high-frequency financial data. After providing a concise review of multiple alternative tests, we document the size and power of all tests in a range of empirically relevant scenarios. Particular focus is given to the robustness of test performance to the …