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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2795588371,116 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for log-linear data

Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of defining restrictions derived from marginal, conditional and context-specific ind…

2014-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Log-linear models are a family of probability distributions which capture relationships between variables. They have been proven useful in a wide variety of fields such as epidemiology, economics and sociology. The interest in using these models is that they are able to capture context-specific independencies, relation…

2019-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper integrates multiple Gaussian process predictions using Monte Carlo sampling.

problem Accurate prediction of variables using multiple models.
method Log-linear pooling of Gaussian process predictions, combined with Monte Carlo sampling.
result The log-linear pooling method improves prediction accuracy compared to linear pooling.

A flexible nonparametric online changepoint detection algorithm for high-frequency data.

problem Detecting changes in real-time in high-frequency data streams with limited computational resources.
method NP-FOCuS, a sequential likelihood ratio test for a change in the empirical cumulative density function, using functional pruning.
result NP-FOCuS outperforms current nonparametric online changepoint techniques in various settings.

We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry extensions are estimated by maximizing the log-likelihood, or an appropriately penalize…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Changepoint detection is a central problem in time series and genomic data. For some applications, it is natural to impose constraints on the directions of changes. One example is ChIP-seq data, for which adding an up-down constraint improves peak detection accuracy, but makes the optimization problem more complicated.…

2017-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We study surfaces in Euclidean space R3{\mathbb R}^3 that are minimal for a log-linear density φ(x,y,z)=αx+βy+γyφ(x,y,z)=αx+βy+γy, where α,β,γα,β,γ are real numbers not all zero. We prove that if a surface is φφ-minimal foliated by circles in parallel planes, then these planes are orthogonal to the vector (α,β,γ)(α,β,γ) and the surface must…

2014-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

CANN models improve insurance claim count predictions using telematics data.

problem Improving insurance claim count predictions with telematics data.
method Combining classical actuarial models with neural networks for telematics data.
result CANN models outperform traditional models in predicting insurance claims.

Two log-linear approximations speed up optimal transport for deep learning applications.

problem Computing optimal transport in high dimensions is computationally expensive.
method Locality-sensitive hashing (LSH) and Nyström approximation with LSH-based sparse corrections.
result Log-linear time algorithms for entropy-regularized OT perform well in high-dimensional spaces.

Paper explores duality in DPPs using embedding structure analysis.

problem Understanding the geometric structure of determinantal point processes.
method Analyzes the exponential family embedding of DPPs and uses the e-embedding curvature tensor.
result Discovers the duality between marginal and L-ensemble kernels.

A new method for efficient BNC parameter estimation outperforms HDP smoothing.

problem Efficiently estimating parameters for Bayesian network classifiers to match or exceed random forest performance.
method Uses log-linear regression to approximate hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP) smoothing, making the approach simpler and faster.
result Our method outperforms HDP smoothing while being orders of magnitude faster and competitive with random forests.

Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a new type of graphical model, called the nested Markov model, was developed which …

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A major problem for the learning of Bayesian networks (BNs) is the exponential number of parameters needed for conditional probability tables. Recent research reduces this complexity by modeling local structure in the probability tables. We examine the use of log-linear local models. While log-linear models in this con…

2013-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper addresses online alignment of large language models under uncertain preference feedback.

problem Online alignment of large language models with misspecified preference feedback.
method Formulates an oracle-robust objective as a worst-case optimization problem for log-linear policies, and develops projected stochastic composite updates.
result Shows that the robust objective admits an exact closed-form decomposition and achieves O~(ε2)\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-2}) oracle complexity.

We introduce a new embarrassingly parallel parameter learning algorithm for Markov random fields with untied parameters which is efficient for a large class of practical models. Our algorithm parallelizes naturally over cliques and, for graphs of bounded degree, its complexity is linear in the number of cliques. Unlike…

2013-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved speech recognition with language model integration in sequence-to-sequence models.

problem Improving word error rate in speech recognition models.
method Log-linear combination of acoustic and language models with per-token renormalization.
result The proposed method shows good improvements over standard model combination on Librispeech system.

A novel method for learning DAGs from positive-valued data.

problem Causal discovery from observational data of positive-valued variables.
method Hybrid Moment-Ratio Scoring (H-MRS) algorithm combining moment-based scoring and log-scale regression.
result H-MRS integrates log-scale Ridge regression for moment-ratio estimation with a greedy ordering procedure based on raw-scale moment ratios, followed by Elastic Net-based parent selection.

New method decomposes KL error using refined information and mode interactions.

problem Learning probability distributions over discrete variables with higher-order interactions.
method Using information geometry, refined mode interactions, and a novel Monte-Carlo sampling technique.
result Complete decomposition of KL error and efficient data use.

This paper considers the problem of Byzantine fault tolerance in distributed linear regression in a multi-agent system. However, the proposed algorithms are given for a more general class of distributed optimization problems, of which distributed linear regression is a special case. The system comprises of a server and…

2019-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates population size using capture-recapture designs with binary indicators.

problem Estimating population size from capture-recapture data with binary indicators.
method Proposes a modern method using undersmoothed lasso model to estimate the target parameter of interest.
result The choice of constraint on the K-dimensional distribution significantly impacts the value of the estimand.

Learning the Markov network structure from data is a problem that has received considerable attention in machine learning, and in many other application fields. This work focuses on a particular approach for this purpose called independence-based learning. Such approach guarantees the learning of the correct structure …

2013-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently reduces rank of non-negative matrices with quadratic time complexity.

problem Efficiently reducing the rank of non-negative matrices.
method Formulated rank reduction as a mean-field approximation using a log-linear model.
result Optimal solution for minimizing KL divergence can be computed in closed form.

New methods combine model predictions to avoid linear mixtures' limitations.

problem Combining predictions from different models to avoid linear mixtures' limitations.
method Log-linear pooling (locking) and quantum superposition (quacking) to optimise model weights.
result Demonstrated locking method with illustrative example and practical application.

Calculation of the log-normalizer is a major computational obstacle in applications of log-linear models with large output spaces. The problem of fast normalizer computation has therefore attracted significant attention in the theoretical and applied machine learning literature. In this paper, we analyze a recently pro…

2015-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A λλ-translating soliton with density vector v\vec{v} is a surface in Euclidean space whose mean curvature HH satisfies 2H=2λ+N,v2H=2λ+\langle N,\vec{v}\rangle, where NN is the Gauss map. We classify all λλ-translating solitons that are invariant by a one-parameter group of translations and a one-parameter group of rotat…

2018-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

HGConv uses HRR to efficiently detect malware, outperforming existing methods.

problem Efficiently detecting malware with long sequences.
method Holographic Global Convolutional Networks (HGConv) utilizing Holographic Reduced Representations (HRR).
result Achieved state-of-the-art results on malware benchmarks.

Learning a regression function using censored or interval-valued output data is an important problem in fields such as genomics and medicine. The goal is to learn a real-valued prediction function, and the training output labels indicate an interval of possible values. Whereas most existing algorithms for this task are…

2017-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We extend the theory of asymmetric information in mispricing models for stocks following geometric Brownian motion to constant relative risk averse investors. Mispricing follows a continuous mean--reverting Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. Optimal portfolios and maximum expected log--linear utilities from terminal wealth f…

2011-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Reducing ICD-10 code granularity improves cost model accuracy and stability.

problem High-dimensional regression with ICD-10 codes leads to unstable coefficient estimates.
method Log-linear analytics approach to cost model regularization through diagnostic code merging.
result Reducing ICD-10 code granularity from 7 characters to 6 or fewer improves model interpretability and consistency.

Standard autoregressive seq2seq models are easily trained by max-likelihood, but tend to show poor results under small-data conditions. We introduce a class of seq2seq models, GAMs (Global Autoregressive Models), which combine an autoregressive component with a log-linear component, allowing the use of global \textit{a…

2019-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

AFTNet uses a network-constrained Weibull model for biomarker discovery.

problem Discovering biomarkers from survival data with correlated predictors.
method Survival analysis method based on Weibull AFT model, incorporating network constraints and penalized likelihood for variable selection.
result Theoretical consistency and efficient algorithm for AFTNet estimator validated on synthetic and real data.

Privacy preserving mechanisms such as differential privacy inject additional randomness in the form of noise in the data, beyond the sampling mechanism. Ignoring this additional noise can lead to inaccurate and invalid inferences. In this paper, we incorporate the privacy mechanism explicitly into the likelihood functi…

2015-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we show that for the purposes of dimensionality reduction certain class of structured random matrices behave similarly to random Gaussian matrices. This class includes several matrices for which matrix-vector multiply can be computed in log-linear time, providing efficient dimensionality reduction of gene…

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

It is known that evolution strategies in continuous domains might not converge in the presence of noise. It is also known that, under mild assumptions, and using an increasing number of resamplings, one can mitigate the effect of additive noise and recover convergence. We show new sufficient conditions for the converge…

2014-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗