Improved estimation for imbalanced data using log odds correction and optimal sampling.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Proposes AAA for efficient association estimation with confounders.
This note considers softmax parameter estimation when little/no labeled training data is available, but a priori information about the relative geometry of class label log-odds boundaries is available. It is shown that `data-free' softmax model synthesis corresponds to solving a linear system of parameter equations, wh…
Evaluates local explanations using white-box models and log odds ratios.
The paper explores how Shapley value for a feature can vary based on model outcomes and feature distribution.
We investigate conditions under which test statistics exist that can reliably detect examples, which have been adversarially manipulated in a white-box attack. These statistics can be easily computed and calibrated by randomly corrupting inputs. They exploit certain anomalies that adversarial attacks introduce, in part…
We show meromorphic extension and analyze the divisors of a Selberg zeta function of odd type associated to the spinor bundle on odd dimensional convex co-compact hyperbolic manifolds $X:=Γ\backslash\hh^{2n+1}$. We define a natural eta invariant associated to the Dirac operator on $X…
Proposes MCLLO for assessing and recalibrating multiclass probability predictions.
Let M be a closed compact n-dimensional manifold with n odd. We calculate the first and second variations of the zeta-regularized determinants det^\primeΛand det L as the metric on M varies, where Δdenotes the Laplacian on functions and L denotes the conformal Laplacian. We see that the behavior of these functionals de…
Bayesian models predict Collatz stopping times with high accuracy.
Prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes has received much recent attention, especially from the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In the real world setting of outcome prediction, the seminal Élő update still remains, after more than 50 years, a valuable baseline which is difficult to…
The paper finds minimum Dehn colors for knots and defines useful graphs for coloring.
This work improves neural network calibration using explicit regularization.
Study on martingale property and moment explosions in signature volatility models.
We consider odd Poisson (odd symplectic) structure on supermanifolds induced by an odd symmetric rank (non-degenerate) contravariant tensor field. We describe the difference between odd Riemannian and odd symplectic structure in terms of the Cartan prolongation of the corresponding Lie algebras, and formulate an an…
This article presents a new definition of Branson's Q-curvature in even-dimensional conformal geometry. We derive the Q-curvature as a coefficient in the asymptotic expansion of the formal solution of a boundary problem at infinity for the Laplacian in the Poincare metric associated to the conformal structure. This giv…
The conformal anomalies and functional determinants of the Branson--GJMS operators, P_{2k}, on the d-dimensional sphere are evaluated in explicit terms for any d and k such that k < d/2+1 (if d is even). The determinants are given in terms of multiple gamma functions and a rational multiplicative anomaly, which vanishe…
Odd connections on supermanifolds are defined and their properties studied.
Algorithm learns expert weights to minimize regret in adversarial setting.
We consider odd Laplace operators arising in odd symplectic geometry. Approach based on semidensities (densities of weight 1/2) is developed. The role of semidensities in the Batalin--Vilkovisky formalism is explained. In particular, we study the relations between semidensities on an odd symplectic supermanifold and di…
This paper extends NCFI to odd codimension and computes examples.
The divergence-like operator on an odd symplectic superspace which acts invariantly on a specially chosen odd vector field is considered. This operator is used to construct an odd invariant semidensity in a geometrically clear way. The formula for this semidensity is similar to the formula of the mean curvature of hype…
We establish several Witten type rigidity and vanishing theorems for twisted Toeplitz operators on odd dimensional manifolds. We obtain our results by combining the modular method, modular transgression and some careful analysis of odd Chern classes for cocycles in odd -theory. Moreover we discover that in odd dimen…
In [D.A. Fedoseev, V.O. Manturov, A sliceness criterion for odd free knots,arXiv:1707.04923], the authors proved a sliceness criterion for odd free knots: free knots with odd chords. In the present paper we give a similar criterion for stably odd free knots. Some additional results on knot sliceness and cobordism are g…
Adapts scanning algorithm for odd Khovanov homology.
This paper refines previous work by the first author. We study the question of which links in the 3-sphere can be obtained as closures of a given 1-manifold in an unknotted solid torus in the 3-sphere (or genus-1 tangle) by adjoining another 1-manifold in the complementary solid torus. We distinguish between even and o…
New ODD metrics defined on manifolds with degeneracy conditions.
Study proposes new methods to convert betting odds into accurate probabilities for sports forecasting.
Odd-dimensional orbifolds' Euler characteristic equals half of their boundary's.
Paper extends index theorem to odd-dimensional manifolds with even-dimensional boundaries.
Proves another theorem for odd dimensional manifolds with boundary.
Proves module structure on odd Khovanov homology and applies to ribbon 2-knots.
We consider odd Laplace operators acting on densities of various weight on an odd Poisson (= Schouten) manifold . We prove that the case of densities of weight 1/2 (half-densities) is distinguished by the existence of a unique odd Laplace operator depending only on a point of an ``orbit space'' of volume forms. This…
Constructs modular forms and proves divisibility results for odd-dimensional manifolds.
Study odd generalized Einstein metrics on 3D Lie groups.
Extends odd Khovanov bracket to link cobordisms and proves functoriality up to sign.
We prove that an odd pretzel knot is doubly slice if it has twist parameters consisting of copies of and copies of for some odd integer . Combined with the work of Issa and McCoy, it follows that these are the only doubly slice odd pretzel knots.
The moduli space of genus 3 translation surfaces with a single zero has two connected components. We show that in the odd connected component H^{odd}(4) the only GL^+(2,R) orbit closures are closed orbits, the Prym locus Q(3,-1^3), and H^{odd}(4). Together with work of Matheus-Wright, this implies that there are only f…
An elliptic theory is constructed for operators acting in subspaces defined via odd pseudodifferential projections. Subspaces of this type arise as Calderon subspaces for first order elliptic differential operators on manifolds with boundary, or as spectral subspaces for self-adjoint elliptic differential operators of …
We observe that an anti-symplectic manifold locally always admits a parity structure. The parity structure can be viewed as a complex-like structure on the manifold. This induces an odd metric and its Levi-Civita connection, and thereby a new notion of an odd Kaehler geometry. Oversimplified, just to capture the idea, …
Odd -theory has the interesting property that it admits an infinite number of inequivalent differential refinements. In this paper we provide a bundle theoretic model for odd differential -theory using the caloron correspondence and prove that this refinement is unique up to a unique natural isomorphism. We chara…
Proves two theorems on odd-dimensional manifolds with boundary.
New categories help understand knot algebra.
No contact Anosov diffeomorphisms exist on odd-dimensional manifolds.
The paper proposes using experts' insights in machine learning tasks.
We develop isometry and inversion formulas for the Segal--Bargmann transform on odd-dimensional hyperbolic spaces that are as parallel as possible to the dual case of odd-dimensional spheres.
We prove for closed, odd-dimensional GKM manifolds of non-negative sectional curvature that both the equivariant and the ordinary rational cohomology split off the cohomology of an odd-dimensional sphere.
For odd-dimensional spheres, there's always a second short geodesic.