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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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131262392523 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for log analysis

Enhances Cox model for survival analysis with symbolic non-linear log-risk functions.

problem Limited interpretability and non-linearity in traditional Cox models.
method Introduces GCPH model using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for symbolic non-linear log-risk functions.
result GCPH achieves competitive performance and superior interpretability.

The main task in oil and gas exploration is to gain an understanding of the distribution and nature of rocks and fluids in the subsurface. Well logs are records of petro-physical data acquired along a borehole, providing direct information about what is in the subsurface. The data collected by logging wells can have si…

2017-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.

problem Clustering survival data based on instantaneous risk dynamics.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis applied to B-spline smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
result The proposed method provides an interpretable representation of relative temporal risk dynamics.

Study on policy gradient for stochastic bandits using diffusion approximation.

problem Improving policy gradient methods for stochastic bandits with optimal regret bounds.
method Continuous-time diffusion approximation of policy gradient with learning rate analysis.
result Proved optimal regret bound of O(klog(k)log(n)/η)O(k \log(k) \log(n) / η) for η=O(Δ2/log(n))η= O(Δ^2/\log(n)).

CAVI converges for log-concave measures via optimal transport.

problem Finding the closest product measure to a log-concave measure via CAVI.
method Adapting coordinate descent techniques from Euclidean space to optimal transport for log-concave densities.
result Proves convergence of CAVI for log-concave densities and provides rates of convergence under additional conditions.

This paper extends compositional data analysis using graph signal processing.

problem Traditional log-ratios between all variables are not suitable for specific variable relationships.
method Linking compositional data analysis with graph signal processing, it considers only selected log-ratios.
result The approach retains desirable properties of scale invariance and compositional coherence.

Recent studies have found that the log-volatility of asset returns exhibit roughness. This study investigates roughness or the anti-persistence of Bitcoin volatility. Using the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis, we obtain the generalized Hurst exponent of the log-volatility increments and find that the genera…

2019-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Differentially private log-location-scale regression models improve privacy in statistical analysis.

problem Ensuring privacy in statistical regression models while maintaining accuracy.
method Integrates differential privacy into LLS regression using the functional mechanism.
result Proposed DP-LLS models satisfy ε-differential privacy and perform well under various conditions.

Paper analyzes statistical properties of log-cosh loss function.

problem No statistical analysis of log-cosh loss function in literature.
method Presented statistical properties of log-cosh loss function, compared to Cauchy distribution, and examined various statistical procedures.
result Characterized statistical properties of log-cosh loss function, including distribution, likelihood function, and Fisher information.

Non-Gaussian component analysis (NGCA) is aimed at identifying a linear subspace such that the projected data follows a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a novel NGCA algorithm based on log-density gradient estimation. Unlike existing methods, the proposed NGCA algorithm identifies the linear subspac…

2016-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

PACMAN provides bounds for classification tasks considering accuracy vs. negative log-loss mismatch.

problem Mismatch between accuracy and negative log-loss in classification tasks.
method Point-wise PAC approach over generalization gap, using likelihood ratio and concentration inequalities.
result PACMAN provides point-wise PAC bounds for the generalization problem.

Study tests rough fractional volatility model across different time scales, revealing new volatility patterns.

problem Testing robustness of rough fractional volatility model over various time scales.
method Used large dataset on FX rates, included smoothing and measurement errors, analyzed log-log plots of realized variance increments.
result Found new stylized facts in volatility patterns, including convexity and nonlinear behavior.

We study the linear contextual bandit problem with finite action sets. When the problem dimension is dd, the time horizon is TT, and there are n2d/2n \leq 2^{d/2} candidate actions per time period, we (1) show that the minimax expected regret is Ω(dT(logT)(logn))Ω(\sqrt{dT (\log T) (\log n)}) for every algorithm, and (2) introduce a V…

2019-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves SGM convergence bounds in W2-distance without strict assumptions.

problem Convergence bounds for SGMs in W2-distance require stringent assumptions.
method Novel framework using the OU process and PDE analysis.
result Log-concavity evolves from weak to strong over time.

The paper assesses dimensionality reduction for cryptocurrency link prediction.

problem Establishing a link between cryptocurrencies using dimensionality reduction techniques.
method Used canonical correlation analysis and principal component analysis on log returns and covariates of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
result Performance of dimensionality reduction techniques in forecasting Ethereum returns with Bitcoin features.

Study compares Bitcoin, gold, and gas price complexity using multifractal and multiscale entropy methods.

problem Quantifying complexity of financial time series for market analysis.
method Employed MF-DFA and RCMSE to analyze Bitcoin, GBP/USD, gold, and natural gas price log-return time series.
result Bitcoin shows higher complexity compared to other markets, linked to higher nonlinear correlations.

New analysis of signSGD with random reshuffling shows faster convergence rates.

problem Understanding the convergence of signSGD with random reshuffling in nonconvex optimization.
method Developed new sign-based algorithms (SignRVR, SignRVM) and analyzed convergence rates.
result Achieved faster convergence rates for signSGD with random reshuffling.

Study identifies Kähler-Einstein, Kähler-Ricci soliton, and Sasaki-Einstein metrics on log del Pezzo surfaces.

problem Characterizing log del Pezzo surfaces with specific geometric properties.
method Examining two classes of non-toric log del Pezzo surfaces and analyzing their geometric properties.
result Examples found that admit Kähler-Ricci solitons but not Sasaki-Einstein cone links.

The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…

2015-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

GN algorithm solves batched bandit for nondegenerate functions near-optimally.

problem Batched bandit learning for nondegenerate functions.
method Introduces Geometric Narrowing (GN) algorithm with a O~(A+dT)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}} ( A_{+}^d \sqrt{T} ) regret bound and O(loglogT)\mathcal{O} (\log \log T) batches.
result GN achieves near optimal regret with minimal number of batches.

Improved sampling guarantees for underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo without restrictive assumptions.

problem Sampling from unnormalized densities with improved guarantees and acceleration.
method Novel analysis relaxing assumptions on log-Sobolev inequality and Hessian smoothness, using Rényi discretization bounds.
result First KL divergence guarantees for ULMC without Hessian smoothness under strong log-concavity.

ResNets approximate log-Gaussian at initialization, improving network performance.

problem Understanding the initialization behavior of deep neural networks like ResNets.
method Analyzing ReLU ResNets in the infinite-depth-and-width limit, showing log-Gaussian behavior.
result ResNets at initialization exhibit hypoactivation and interlayer correlations, which are not captured by Gaussian limits.

This study was conducted to find an appropriate statistical model to forecast the volatilities of PSEi using the model Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH). Using the R software, the log returns of PSEi is modeled using various ARIMA models and with the presence of heteroskedasticity, the l…

2019-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose that imitation between traders and their herding behaviour not only lead to speculative bubbles with accelerating over-valuations of financial markets possibly followed by crashes, but also to ``anti-bubbles'' with decelerating market devaluations following all-time highs. For this, we propose a simple marke…

1999-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved KLMC for sampling under various conditions.

problem Stable simulation of kinetic Langevin dynamics under different parameters.
method Revisited synchronous Wasserstein coupling analysis with stochastic exponential Euler discretization.
result Exponential integrator can simulate kinetic Langevin dynamics in the overdamped regime with proper time acceleration.

New framework predicts AMP behavior in spiked models for finite iterations.

problem Understanding AMP dynamics in high-dimensional spiked models.
method Developed a non-asymptotic framework for AMP in spiked matrix estimation.
result Predicted AMP behavior for up to O(npolylogn)O\big(\frac{n}{\mathrm{poly}\log n}\big) iterations in Z2\mathbb{Z}_2 synchronization.

Improved Langevin algorithms with prior diffusion achieve dimension-independent convergence for non-log-concave distributions.

problem Understanding the dimension dependency of computational complexity in high-dimensional sampling.
method Investigation of prior diffusion technique for log-Sobolev inequality target distributions.
result Modified Langevin algorithm achieves dimension-independent KL divergence convergence.

SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.

problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.

Study on online regression with noise, achieving near-optimal regret bounds.

problem Online generalized linear regression with stochastic noise.
method Sharp analysis of FTRL algorithm for stochastic label noise.
result Achieved near-optimal regret bounds for O(σ2dlogT)+o(logT)O(σ^2 d \log T) + o(\log T).

VAEs improve representation learning by inverting the data-generating process through self-consistency.

problem VAEs struggle to invert the data-generating process, yet often succeed in representation learning.
method Studied VAEs in the limit of near-deterministic decoders, proving self-consistency and showing ELBO convergence to a regularized log-likelihood.
result VAEs can perform independent mechanism analysis (IMA), recovering true latent factors under specific conditions.