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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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188375563750 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for locally stationary Gaussian process

This work improves Gaussian process regression for large, non-stationary data.

problem Scalability issues and performance degradation for non-stationary data.
method Combines variational free energy approximations with online expectation propagation and local splitting steps.
result Incremental adaptation to locality, heterogeneity, and non-stationarity in training data.

The paper examines Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.

problem Existence and uniqueness of Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.
method Analyzes the existence of Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes, considering different discriminator families.
result The existence of Nash equilibrium depends on the discriminator family and symmetry properties of the generator family.

The study recovers airflow from thoracic and abdominal movements using advanced signal processing.

problem Challenges in measuring airflow from thoracic and abdominal movements using small, inexpensive devices.
method Synchrosqueezing transform and locally stationary Gaussian process regression.
result Accurate prediction of airflow achieved in both normal sleep and anesthesia transition cases.

Enhances DGPs with adaptive RKHS Fourier features for better non-stationary pattern modeling.

problem Capturing complex non-stationary patterns in non-linear dynamical systems.
method Integrates ODE-based RKHS Fourier features into DGPs using convolution operations for adaptive amplitude and phase modulation. Uses a doubly stochastic variational inference framework.
result Improved predictive performance across various regression tasks.

Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes speeds up searches for stationary points.

problem Accelerating searches for stationary points on potential energy surfaces.
method Unified Bayesian optimization view using Gaussian process regression with derivative observations, inverse-distance kernels, and active learning.
result Surrogates can reduce the number of expensive electronic structure evaluations by an order of magnitude.

Proposes a new Bayesian mixture of student-t processes for modeling non-stationary data.

problem Non-stationary data with non-Gaussian errors.
method Bayesian mixture of student-t processes with an overall-local scale structure, using SMC for online inference.
result Superior performance compared to Gaussian processes on real-world data.

This work explores variably scaled kernels to improve non-stationary Gaussian processes.

problem Limited ability of stationary kernels to represent heterogeneous correlation structures.
method Introduces variably scaled kernels to modify correlation structures explicitly.
result Improved reconstruction accuracy and better uncertainty estimates for non-stationary data.

A new method for nonstationary Gaussian processes using Fourier features.

problem Efficient simulation of nonstationary Gaussian processes with high-dimensional distributions.
method Discretizes the spectral representation of nonstationary processes, avoiding probability measure assumptions.
result An efficient low-rank approximation of nonstationary spectral densities, consistent and positive semi-definite.

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian Processes, this method may not be adapted for non-stationary functions involved in the op…

2019-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a stationary-distribution theory for Random Forest ensemble size selection.

problem Determining the optimal number of trees in Random Forests.
method Modeling the ensemble size as a birth-death Markov chain and deriving its stationary distribution.
result The stationary ensemble size BB_* scales as O(ε2)O(\varepsilon^{-2}) as ε0\varepsilon\downarrow 0.

Model separates overall uncertainty into aleatoric and epistemic components for active learning.

problem Active learning with uncertainty quantification.
method Non-stationary Heteroscedastic Gaussian process model.
result Model separates overall uncertainty into aleatoric and epistemic components.

ETGPSSM efficiently models high-dimensional, non-stationary systems with reduced complexity.

problem Prohibitive computational and parametric complexity in high-dimensional, non-stationary dynamical systems.
method ETGPSSM integrates a single shared GP with input-dependent normalizing flows for scalable and flexible modeling.
result ETGPSSM outperforms existing models in computational efficiency and accuracy.

Researchers use Gaussian processes with non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin.

problem Uncertainty in precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin, Himalayas.
method Proposes Gaussian processes with structured non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns, accounting for spatial variation with a latent Gaussian process.
result The proposed model adapts to varying precipitation patterns across distinct topography and outperforms stationary models in ablation experiments.

Advanced kernels improve Gaussian process accuracy by incorporating domain knowledge.

problem Improving function approximation accuracy in Gaussian processes.
method Advanced kernel designs that enforce specific function properties (symmetry, periodicity) and non-stationarity.
result Advanced kernels significantly enhance function approximation accuracy and relevance.

The expressive power of Gaussian processes depends heavily on the choice of kernel. In this work we propose the novel harmonizable mixture kernel (HMK), a family of expressive, interpretable, non-stationary kernels derived from mixture models on the generalized spectral representation. As a theoretically sound treatmen…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process approach to fault removal in time-series data. Fault removal does not delete the faulty signal data but, instead, massages the fault from the data. We assume that only one fault occurs at any one time and model the signal by two separate non-parametric Gaussian process model…

2015-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.

problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve the generalised Fourier transform with such a model, and present a family of non-…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends NSGPs with L1L^1-regularization for sparsity and solves the resulting R-NSGP regression problem.

problem Sparsity in non-stationary temporal data.
method Developed an ADMM-based method for solving the regularized NSGP regression problem.
result The proposed methods induce sparsity in the parameters of NSGPs.

A new kernel improves Gaussian process performance for non-stationary data.

problem Poor prediction and uncertainty quantification with standard GPs.
method Study and comparison of non-stationary kernels, propose a new combined kernel.
result A new kernel outperforms existing stationary and non-stationary kernels.

Develops Gaussian processes on non-Euclidean spaces with symmetries.

problem Invariance to symmetries in non-Euclidean spaces.
method Constructive techniques for stationary Gaussian processes on compact and non-compact spaces.
result Makes non-Euclidean Gaussian processes compatible with standard software.

New analysis explains pathology of deep Gaussian processes.

problem Pathology of deep Gaussian processes reduces learning capacities with increased layers.
method Study nonlinear dynamic systems corresponding to DGPs, derive recurrence relations.
result Provide tighter bounds and rate of convergence for dynamic systems.

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and non-uniformly smooth spatial boundaries. A Gaussian process regression using a non-stat…

2015-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization has shown to be a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many applications: ranging from automatic machine learning, robotics, reinforcement learning, experimental design, simulations, etc. The most popular and effective Bayesian optimization relies on a surrogate model in the form of a Gaus…

2015-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The correlation length-scale next to the noise variance are the most used hyperparameters for the Gaussian processes. Typically, stationary covariance functions are used, which are only dependent on the distances between input points and thus invariant to the translations in the input space. The optimization of the hyp…

2017-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

ETGP improves multi-class classification efficiency.

problem Efficiently handling non-stationary, dependent multi-class classification problems.
method ETGP uses transformed Gaussian processes with efficient sparse variational inference.
result ETGPs outperform state-of-the-art methods in multi-class classification tasks.

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a latent variable that is used to modulate the covariance function over the training …

2017-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes no-regret algorithms for private GP bandit optimization.

problem Private Gaussian process bandit optimization.
method Combines uniform kernel approximator with random perturbations for differentially private GP bandit algorithms.
result Provable no-regret algorithms for stationary kernel functions in two DP settings.

We present a novel approach for fully non-stationary Gaussian process regression (GPR), where all three key parameters -- noise variance, signal variance and lengthscale -- can be simultaneously input-dependent. We develop gradient-based inference methods to learn the unknown function and the non-stationary model param…

2015-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a novel construction of Gaussian process as a projection from fixed discrete frequen…

2015-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over composition functions. We propose interpretable DGP based on approximating DGP …

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New kernel models multi-output Gaussian processes accurately.

problem Challenges in modelling cross-covariances for multiple-output Gaussian processes.
method Replaced Gaussian components with block components of finite bandwidth in spectral mixture kernel.
result First multi-output generalization of spectral mixture kernel that can approximate any stationary multi-output kernel to arbitrary precision.

A new method optimizes in nonstationary environments with many arms efficiently.

problem Optimizing in nonstationary environments with a large number of arms.
method Gaussian interpolation to learn continuous Lipschitz reward functions in nonstationary environments.
result Efficiently learns continuous Lipschitz reward functions with O(T)\mathcal{O}^*(\sqrt{T}) cumulative regret.

This work develops discrete Gaussian models for vector-valued data on triangular meshes.

problem Discrete representation of continuous vector-valued environmental data.
method Develops discrete intrinsic Gaussian processes for vector-valued data on triangular meshes using discrete differential operators.
result Models can capture harmonic flows, incorporate boundary conditions, and model non-stationary data.

New Hida-Matérn kernels enable flexible process priors and efficient GP inference.

problem Flexible modeling of stationary processes with oscillatory components.
method Introducing a new class of covariance functions (Hida-Matérn kernels) and their state space representations.
result Efficient Gaussian Process inference and improved numerical stability.