A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
L-ARC improves model fairness by localizing risk guarantees.
We study the pricing and hedging of derivatives in incomplete financial markets by considering the local risk-minimization method in the context of the benchmark approach, which will be called benchmarked local risk-minimization. We show that the proposed benchmarked local risk-minimization allows to handle under extre…
Develops local population-risk certificates for model updates
The study reveals unspanned risks in equity option risk premiums, explaining negative premiums for certain options.
Paper proposes a new method for WDRO with local perturbations, achieving better accuracy.
New method for valuing and hedging credit risk when defaults cannot be hedged.
Local asymptotic minimax risk bounds in a locally asymptotically mixture of normal family of distributions have been investigated under asymmetric loss functions and the asymptotic distribution of the optimal estimator that attains the bound has been obtained.
We obtain explicit representations of locally risk-minimizing strategies of call and put options for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models, which are Ornstein--Uhlenbeck-type stochastic volatility models. Using Malliavin calculus for Levy processes, Arai and Suzuki (2015) obtained a formula for locally risk-minimiz…
A new method to estimate local volatility from high-frequency data.
We formulate and analyze a multi-agent model for the evolution of individual and systemic risk in which the local agents interact with each other through a central agent who, in turn, is influenced by the mean field of the local agents. The central agent is stabilized by a bistable potential, the only stabilizing force…
Paper revisits HVA to address model risk in banking.
To provide a solid analytic foundation for the module approach to conditional risk measures, this paper establishes a complete random convex analysis over random locally convex modules by simultaneously considering the two kinds of topologies (namely the --topology and the locally -- convex topolo…
In the context of a locally risk-minimizing approach, the problem of hedging defaultable claims and their Follmer-Schweizer decompositions are discussed in a structural model. This is done when the underlying process is a finite variation Levy process and the claims pay a predetermined payout at maturity, contingent on…
Local SGD proves efficient in overparameterized linear regression.
Optimizes exp-concave losses with a new risk bound.
lCARE improves EVaR model for time-varying tail risk by localizing parameters.
The paper explores risk-minimization for exponential additive models, providing mathematical expressions and numerical examples.
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of ``2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization'' by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Discussion of "2004 IMS Medallion Lecture: Local Rademacher complexities and oracle inequalities in risk minimization" by V. Koltchinskii [arXiv:0708.0083]
Study compares MC and QMC methods for pricing and risk analysis in a hyperbolic local volatility model.
Localized SVMs maintain SVM's consistency properties for large datasets.
Population risk is always of primary interest in machine learning; however, learning algorithms only have access to the empirical risk. Even for applications with nonconvex nonsmooth losses (such as modern deep networks), the population risk is generally significantly more well-behaved from an optimization point of vie…
A motif-based framework identifies local spillover structures in financial markets.
We provide a formulation for Local Support Vector Machines (LSVMs) that generalizes previous formulations, and brings out the explicit connections to local polynomial learning used in nonparametric estimation literature. We investigate the simplest type of LSVMs called Local Linear Support Vector Machines (LLSVMs). For…
Enhanced Gordon growth model for valuing financial products.
The study tightens risk bounds for mixtures of experts using local differential privacy.
Paper develops a model to assess capital requirement for demographic risk using stochastic methods.
New bounds for non-convex estimators without Bernstein condition.
Study finds risk sharing without convexity assumptions.
We study the Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) algorithm for non-convex optimization. The algorithm performs stochastic gradient descent, where in each step it injects appropriately scaled Gaussian noise to the update. We analyze the algorithm's hitting time to an arbitrary subset of the parameter space. Two…
We derive representations of local risk-minimization of call and put options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: jump type stochastic volatility models whose squared volatility process is given by a non-Gaussian rnstein-Uhlenbeck process. The general form of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models includes two par…
In decision under risk, the primal moments of mean and variance play a central role to define the local index of absolute risk aversion. In this paper, we show that in canonical non-EU models dual moments have to be used instead of, or on par with, their primal counterparts to obtain an equivalent index of absolute ris…
Gibbs-ERM learning is a natural idealized model of learning with stochastic optimization algorithms (such as Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics and ---to some extent--- Stochastic Gradient Descent), while it also arises in other contexts, including PAC-Bayesian theory, and sampling mechanisms. In this work we study …
We illustrate how to compute local risk minimization (LRM) of call options for exponential Lévy models. We have previously obtained a representation of LRM for call options; here we transform it into a form that allows use of the fast Fourier transform method suggested by Carr & Madan. In particular, we consider Merton…
The purpose of this paper is to give a selective survey on recent progress in random metric theory and its applications to conditional risk measures. This paper includes eight sections. Section 1 is a longer introduction, which gives a brief introduction to random metric theory, risk measures and conditional risk measu…
We discuss the difference between locally risk-minimizing and delta hedging strategies for exponential Lévy models, where delta hedging strategies in this paper are defined under the minimal martingale measure. We give firstly model-independent upper estimations for the difference. In addition we show numerical example…
Paper discusses natural quasiconvexity and its relation to decomposable sums in risk measures.
Model risk has a huge impact on any risk measurement procedure and its quantification is therefore a crucial step. In this paper, we introduce three quantitative measures of model risk when choosing a particular reference model within a given class: the absolute measure of model risk, the relative measure of model risk…
The paper characterizes dynamic return and star-shaped risk measures via BSDEs.
The paper analyzes local minima in high-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
The study finds flaws in methods used to estimate foreign exchange option prices.
The paper analyzes risk bounds and Rademacher complexity in batch RL.
We apply a quadratic hedging scheme developed by Foellmer, Schweizer, and Sondermann to European contingent products whose underlying asset is modeled using a GARCH process and show that local risk-minimizing strategies with respect to the physical measure do exist, even though an associated minimal martingale measure …
In the present work we address the problem of evaluating the historical performance of a trading strategy or a certain portfolio of assets. Common indicators such as the Sharpe ratio and the risk adjusted return have significant drawbacks. In particular, they are global indices, that is they do not preserve any 'local'…
New approach to adaptively select bandwidths in nonparametric regression.