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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4118221,2331,644 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for localized debiased machine learning

A theorem for debiasing machine learning with finite sample guarantees.

problem Calculating confidence intervals for machine learning functionals.
method Debiased machine learning based on bias correction and sample splitting.
result Nonasymptotic debiased machine learning theorem with finite sample guarantees.

Localized debiased machine learning simplifies estimating quantile treatment effects.

problem Estimating quantile treatment effects in causal inference with many covariates and flexible relationships.
method Localized debiased machine learning (LDML) avoids learning the full nuisance function by estimating only at a single initial guess.
result LDML enables practically-feasible and theoretically-grounded efficient estimation of quantile treatment effects.

Paper develops efficient DML estimators for multiway clustered data without cross-fitting.

problem Efficient inference in models with multiway clustered dependence.
method Neyman-orthogonal moment conditions combined with localisation-based empirical process approach.
result Valid inference achieved without cross-fitting, showing debiased GMM estimators are asymptotically linear and normal.

Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.

problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.

Automatic debiasing for causal and policy effects using Neural Nets and Random Forests.

problem Estimating causal and policy effects from high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions.
method Automatic learning of Riesz representation using Neural Nets and Random Forests.
result Automatic debiasing method performs well compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.

The paper debiases mini-batch approximations in deep learning for more accurate optimization and uncertainty quantification.

problem Bias in mini-batch approximations distorts the shape of quadratic approximations used in deep learning.
method Developed and evaluated debiasing strategies for mini-batch approximations.
result Debiasing strategies improve the accuracy of second-order optimization and uncertainty quantification in deep learning.

ScoreMatchingRiesz improves debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.

problem Improving debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.
method Score matching and Riesz representer estimation.
result Estimates policy path for continuous treatments, improving interpretability.

ADML combines debiased learning with data-driven model selection for efficient inference.

problem Debiased machine learning estimators can be unstable and biased in nonparametric models.
method Data-driven model selection techniques combined with debiased machine learning.
result ADML estimators yield superefficient inference for pathwise differentiable parameters.

The paper debiases machine learning predictions to correct bias in regression coefficients.

problem Bias in regression coefficients from machine learning predictions.
method Proposes an adversarial machine learning algorithm to de-bias predictions.
result Adversarial predictions recover true coefficients, while naive predictions are biased.

A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.

Unified framework for debiased machine learning using Riesz representer and Bregman divergence.

problem Estimating causal and structural parameters in machine learning.
method Generalized Riesz regression for fitting Riesz representer via Bregman divergence minimization.
result Automatic covariate balancing and Neyman orthogonality properties for debiased estimation.

New technique debiases distributed optimization, improving convergence rate.

problem Bias in local estimates limits effectiveness of distributed second order optimization.
method Surrogate sketching and scaled regularization to eliminate bias.
result The debiased local estimates lead to faster convergence in distributed optimization.

The paper argues for using Neyman orthogonal score for balancing in debiased machine learning.

problem Debiased machine learning requires a proper approach to balance covariates.
method The paper advocates for using Riesz regression with basis functions of X for balancing.
result Covariate balancing is only valid when the score-relevant regression error is a function of covariates alone.

This work addresses local fairness in machine learning models.

problem Ensuring fairness within subregions of feature space, not just global averages.
method Introduces ROAD, a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach with adversarial learning.
result Achieves Pareto dominance in local fairness and accuracy across datasets.

Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.

problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.

New method stabilizes machine learning predictions across random seeds.

problem Machine learning predictions vary across random seeds, causing instability.
method Introduces adaptive cross-bagging to eliminate seed dependence.
result Adaptive cross-bagging achieves targeted stability in debiased machine learning.

Method estimates dynamic treatment effects using machine learning and g-estimation.

problem Estimating treatment effects over time with multiple treatments and potential future outcomes.
method Double/debiased machine learning framework for dynamic treatment effects, extending Neyman orthogonal cross-fitted gg-estimation.
result Provides finite sample guarantees and allows for non-linear effect heterogeneity and high-dimensional parameterizations.

Two approaches to directly estimating Riesz representer are shown to be numerically equivalent under certain conditions.

problem Estimating Riesz representer in semiparametric statistics.
method Two distinct optimization problems solved by automatic debiased machine learning and sieve methods for conditional moment models.
result Numerical equivalence of estimators under specific regularization schemes, but not for others.

New models can't beat existing ones, so debiasing methods only slightly reduce needed labels.

problem Limiting scalability in model evaluation due to self-preferencing biases.
method Study of debiasing methods using a few high-quality labels to reduce model judgments.
result Debiasing methods can't decrease required ground truth labels by more than half when the judge is no more accurate than the model.

COMMOD debiases models with minimal and interpretable changes.

problem Inconsistent and costly model updates in fair machine learning.
method Introduced COMMOD, a novel algorithm for algorithmic fairness that minimizes changes and makes them interpretable.
result COMMOD achieves comparable performance to state-of-the-art debiasing methods while making minimal and interpretable changes.

Proposes a method to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments using instrumental variables.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Introduces a novel framework using instrumental variables and a uniform regular weighting function to identify and estimate average dose-response functions.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods for estimating average dose-response functions.

The paper automates policy learning for nonlinear welfare criteria using machine learning and debiasing techniques.

problem Learning optimal policies from observational data with nonlinear welfare criteria.
method Modeling a nonlinear welfare criterion with a utility function, estimating propensity scores with machine learning, and using sieve approximations and cross-validation for model selection.
result The proposed policy learning method satisfies oracle inequalities, providing theoretical guarantees on performance.

New strategy debiases synthetic data generated by DGMs for improved statistical inference.

problem Bias and imprecision in synthetic data generated by DGMs impede statistical convergence and inference.
method Debiasing strategy based on debiased and targeted machine learning.
result Enhanced convergence rates and accurate estimators with easily approximated variances.

New method for estimating treatment effects without complex propensity models.

problem Estimating treatment effects in dynamic treatment regimes.
method Recursive Riesz representer estimation for de-biasing corrections.
result Directly estimates de-biasing corrections without auxiliary models.

We propose a communication-efficient distributed estimation method for sparse linear discriminant analysis (LDA) in the high dimensional regime. Our method distributes the data of size NN into mm machines, and estimates a local sparse LDA estimator on each machine using the data subset of size N/mN/m. After the distri…

2016-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes efficient estimators for weighted cumulative treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Inconsistent and inefficient estimators due to model misspecification and lack of overlap.
method Double/debiased machine learning for weighted cumulative causal effects.
result Proposed estimators are consistent, asymptotically linear, and reach semiparametric efficiency bounds.

Study improves statistical inference for CATEs using Lasso and DML.

problem Estimating and inferring CATEs in high-dimensional settings.
method Doubly robust estimator, Lasso regularization, debiased Lasso, DML.
result TDL (triple/debiased Lasso) achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency and confidence intervals.

New method for valid prediction intervals in counterfactual outcomes with runtime confounding.

problem Valid prediction intervals for counterfactual outcomes under runtime confounding.
method Debiased machine learning framework grounded in semiparametric efficiency theory.
result Prediction intervals achieve desired coverage rates with faster convergence compared to standard methods.

Paper develops a distributed debiased estimator for sparse statistical inference.

problem High computational costs in debiased estimator construction for high-dimensional models.
method Develops a multi-round distributed debiased estimator using both labeled and unlabelled data.
result Unlabeled data improves statistical rate of each iteration in distributed setup.

We consider the problem of distributed multi-task learning, where each machine learns a separate, but related, task. Specifically, each machine learns a linear predictor in high-dimensional space,where all tasks share the same small support. We present a communication-efficient estimator based on the debiased lasso and…

2015-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates impulse response functions using machine learning in time series data.

problem Estimating causal effects of discrete treatments over time with flexible models.
method Double/debiased machine learning for nonparametric time series data.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for impulse response functions.

Develops methods to identify and estimate causal effects with instrumental variables.

problem Causal inference with confounded treatment assignment and unobserved variables.
method General nonparametric causal framework, debiased machine learning, semiparametric theory.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for average treatment effect.

Unified theory and debiasing framework for random oblique projections in high dimensions.

problem Systematic statistical bias in random oblique projections induced by sampling.
method Unified non-asymptotic theory and debiasing framework.
result Sharp bias--variance characterizations and improved approximation accuracy.