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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3517021,0521,403 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for local-correlation models

CaLoNet integrates spatial and local correlations for multivariate time series classification.

problem Ignoring spatial and local correlations in multivariate time series classification.
method Model spatial correlations using causality modeling, extract local correlations, integrate into graph neural network.
result Competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on UEA datasets.

The paper explores local-correlation models for pricing complex financial contracts.

problem Calibrating synthetic quanto forward contracts and composite options.
method Design on-line calibration procedures for local and stochastic volatility models.
result Calibration performance of local-correlation models compared to simpler approximations.

New method improves multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization by accounting for local correlations and varying noise.

problem Existing multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization methods assume global correlation and constant noise, which limits performance.
method Proposes an MF emulation method that learns noise models for each data source and leverages locally correlated LF sources.
result Improves performance of multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization by accounting for local correlations and varying noise.

The ability to witness non-local correlations lies at the core of foundational aspects of quantum mechanics and its application in the processing of information. Commonly, this is achieved via the violation of Bell inequalities. Unfortunately, however, their systematic derivation quickly becomes unfeasible as the scena…

2018-08-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we provide evidence that financial option markets for equity indices give rise to non-trivial dependency structures between its constituents. Thus, if the individual constituent distributions of an equity index are inferred from the single-stock option markets and combined via a Gaussian copula, for examp…

2009-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Weak diffusion priors can still perform well in inverse problems.

problem Using mismatched or low-fidelity diffusion priors in inverse problems.
method Extensive experiments and theoretical analysis combining Bayesian-consistency theory and local-correlation analysis.
result Weak priors succeed when measurements are highly informative, and they fail in other regimes.

While on some natural distributions, neural-networks are trained efficiently using gradient-based algorithms, it is known that learning them is computationally hard in the worst-case. To separate hard from easy to learn distributions, we observe the property of local correlation: correlation between local patterns of t…

2019-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Autoregressive state transitions, where predictions are conditioned on past predictions, are the predominant choice for both deterministic and stochastic sequential models. However, autoregressive feedback exposes the evolution of the hidden state trajectory to potential biases from well-known train-test discrepancies.…

2019-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Low-rank signal modeling has been widely leveraged to capture non-local correlation in image processing applications. We propose a new method that employs low-rank tensor factor analysis for tensors generated by grouped image patches. The low-rank tensors are fed into the alternative direction multiplier method (ADMM) …

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Many decision-making problems naturally exhibit pronounced structures inherited from the characteristics of the underlying environment. In a Markov decision process model, for example, two distinct states can have inherently related semantics or encode resembling physical state configurations. This often implies locall…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Spatially relaxed inference tackles high-dimensional linear models with correlated covariates.

problem Accurate inference is challenging in high-dimensional settings with spatially correlated covariates.
method Proposes ensembled clustered inference algorithms that control the δδ-FWER under standard assumptions.
result Ensembled clustered inference algorithms control the δδ-FWER and achieve decent power.

Develops methods to analyze feature-outcome associations in subpopulations.

problem Challenges in understanding feature-outcome associations in high-dimensional data.
method Geometric decomposition framework using gradient flow and co-monotonicity decomposition.
result Identifies context-dependent patterns and improves statistical power and interpretability.

Understanding and developing a correlation measure that can detect general dependencies is not only imperative to statistics and machine learning, but also crucial to general scientific discovery in the big data age. In this paper, we establish a new framework that generalizes distance correlation --- a correlation mea…

2017-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

GLSKF improves tensor completion by capturing both global and local variations.

problem Tensor completion with missing entries, especially in data with spatial or temporal side information.
method Integrates smoothness-constrained low-rank factorization with a locally correlated residual process.
result GLSKF achieves superior performance and scalability on real-world datasets.

Kauffman and Lomonaco explored the idea of understanding quantum entanglement (the non-local correlation of certain properties of particles) topologically by viewing unitary entangling operators as braiding operators. In the work of G. Alagic, M. Jarret, and S. Jordan it is shown that entanglement is a necessary condit…

2016-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles traffic volume estimation challenges with a deep learning method.

problem Underdetermined and non-equilibrium traffic flows.
method Graph-based deep learning method with adaptive attention mechanisms.
result The proposed model achieves high accuracy even with low sensor coverage.

Wavelet analysis reveals financialization effects on oil-food price correlation.

problem Investigating the correlation between oil and food prices and their determinants.
method Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures to differentiate high and low frequency movements.
result Significant local correlation between food and oil is due to financialization and emerging economies' demand.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.

The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.

problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.

Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.

problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.

Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.

problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.

Researchers review challenges in interpreting additive models, especially neural additive models.

problem Challenges in interpreting additive models, particularly neural additive models.
method Review of generalized additive models and discussion of nonidentifiability.
result Challenges in claiming interpretability or suitability for safety-critical applications of additive models.

Sigma models linked to Gross-Neveu models via quiver varieties.

problem Understanding the relationship between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models.
method Exploring the mathematical correspondence between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models, including their geometric and trigonometric/elliptic deformations.
result Sigma models are mathematically equivalent to Gross-Neveu models under certain conditions.

Simple models are preferred over complex models, but over-simplistic models could lead to erroneous interpretations. The classical approach is to start with a simple model, whose shortcomings are assessed in residual-based model diagnostics. Eventually, one increases the complexity of this initial overly simple model a…

2017-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Matryoshka hides secret models in a carrier model, achieving high capacity and robustness.

problem Stealing functionality of private ML data by hiding models in a carrier model.
method Parameter sharing approach exploiting the learning capacity of the carrier model.
result Hides a 26x larger secret model or 8 secret models in the carrier model.

This work develops scalable model selection methods with fast update and selection.

problem Efficient model selection for large pools of candidate models.
method Isolated model embedding, which supports asymptotically fast update and selection.
result Standardized Embedder achieves competitive model selection performances.