A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Locally adaptive interpretable regression improves linear regression's predictability.
problem Linear regression's predictability is limited; it lacks adaptability.
method Locally adaptive interpretable regression (LoAIR) uses neural networks to predict percentile of a Gaussian distribution for regression coefficients.
result LoAIR achieves comparable or better predictive performance than state-of-the-art baselines.
The network Lasso (nLasso) has been proposed recently as an efficient learning algorithm for massive networked data sets (big data over networks). It extends the well-known least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) from learning sparse (generalized) linear models to network models. Efficient implementatio…
Local polynomial regression (Fan and Gijbels 1996) is an important class of methods for nonparametric density estimation and regression problems. However, straightforward implementation of local polynomial regression has quadratic time complexity which hinders its applicability in large-scale data analysis. In this pap…
Discriminative latent-variable models are typically learned using EM or gradient-based optimization, which suffer from local optima. In this paper, we develop a new computationally efficient and provably consistent estimator for a mixture of linear regressions, a simple instance of a discriminative latent-variable mode…
Folded concave penalization methods have been shown to enjoy the strong oracle property for high-dimensional sparse estimation. However, a folded concave penalization problem usually has multiple local solutions and the oracle property is established only for one of the unknown local solutions. A challenging fundamenta…
Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random forests as an adaptive kernel method, we pair the forest kernel with a local li…
We study the convergence of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for mixtures of linear regressions with an arbitrary number k of components. We show that as long as signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is Ω~(k), well-initialized EM converges to the true regression parameters. Previous results for k≥3 hav…
In this paper we implement a Local Linear Regression Ensemble Committee (LOLREC) to predict 1-day-ahead returns of 453 assets form the S&P500. The estimates and the historical returns of the committees are used to compute the weights of the portfolio from the 453 stock. The proposed method outperforms benchmark portfol…
Develops privacy-preserving methods for longitudinal linear regression.
problem Protecting individual information in longitudinal data with privacy-preserving statistics.
method Proposes a user-level private regression estimator and a privatized covariance estimator for longitudinal linear regression under user-level differential privacy.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees for practical user-level differential privacy estimation and inference in longitudinal linear regression.
This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline smoothing or locally weighted regression, and the choice of a kernel in multiple kern…
The Expectation-Maximization algorithm is perhaps the most broadly used algorithm for inference of latent variable problems. A theoretical understanding of its performance, however, largely remains lacking. Recent results established that EM enjoys global convergence for Gaussian Mixture Models. For Mixed Linear Regres…
We study online linear regression problems in a distributed setting, where the data is spread over a network. In each round, each network node proposes a linear predictor, with the objective of fitting the \emph{network-wide} data. It then updates its predictor for the next round according to the received local feedbac…
Distributed statistical learning problems arise commonly when dealing with large datasets. In this setup, datasets are partitioned over machines, which compute locally, and communicate short messages. Communication is often the bottleneck. In this paper, we study one-step and iterative weighted parameter averaging in s…
Improved interpretability methods for ML models using local regressions and variable importance.
problem Inability of existing interpretability methods to provide reliable explanations for ML models, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.
method Introduces VarImp and SupClus methods using local regressions with weighted distance considering variable importance.
result VarImp and SupClus methods yield better explanations than state-of-the-art approaches, especially in high-dimensional problems with irrelevant features and non-linear relationships.
We study theoretical properties of regularized robust M-estimators, applicable when data are drawn from a sparse high-dimensional linear model and contaminated by heavy-tailed distributions and/or outliers in the additive errors and covariates. We first establish a form of local statistical consistency for the penalize…
Single index model is a powerful yet simple model, widely used in statistics, machine learning, and other scientific fields. It models the regression function as g(<a,x>), where a is an unknown index vector and x are the features. This paper deals with a nonlinear generalization of this framework to allow for a regre…
Identifying the location of a disturbance and its magnitude is an important component for stable operation of power systems. We study the problem of localizing and estimating a disturbance in the interconnected power system. We take a model-free approach to this problem by using frequency data from generators. Specific…
Recently, it was demonstrated in [CS2012,CS2013] that the robustness of the classical Non-Local Means (NLM) algorithm [BCM2005] can be improved by incorporating ℓp(0<p≤2) regression into the NLM framework. This general optimization framework, called Non-Local Patch Regression (NLPR), contains NLM as a spe…