We consider two connected aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of the parameter for high-dimensional discrete graphical models: the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (mle) and its computation. When the data is sparse, there are many zeros in the contingency table and the maximum likelihood estimate of th…
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48 results for “local likelihood”
Directly estimates Fisher score for likelihood maximization.
problem Intractable likelihood functions with model simulations.
method Gradient-based optimization using local score matching and linear parameterization.
result Efficient approximation of Fisher score improves likelihood maximization.
The paper introduces a method for fitting complex models using simulation and optimization.
problem Fitting models with intractable likelihood or moments.
method Sequential sampling and local smoothing, combining global and local search phases.
result The proposed method outperforms alternative approaches in fitting complex models.
LIDL estimates local intrinsic dimension in high dimensions.
problem Estimating local intrinsic dimension in high-dimensional data.
method Approximate likelihood using parametric neural density estimation.
result LIDL scales to thousands of dimensions and yields competitive results.
Geometrically, high-likelihood regions in DGMs are unlikely to generate OOD data.
problem The paradox of high-likelihood OOD detection in deep generative models.
method Local intrinsic dimension estimation to identify high-likelihood regions that do not generate OOD data.
result A method pairing likelihoods and LID estimates for reliable OOD detection.
We provide two fundamental results on the population (infinite-sample) likelihood function of Gaussian mixture models with components. Our first main result shows that the population likelihood function has bad local maxima even in the special case of equally-weighted mixtures of well-separated and spherical…
Testing that a Local Optimum of the Likelihood is Globally Optimum using Reparameterized Embeddingseess.SP
A test confirms if a local maximum is globally optimal in imaging problems.
problem Confirming if a local maximum is globally optimal in imaging problems.
method Reparameterizing the likelihood function to embed its domain into a higher dimensional parameter space.
result Improved accuracy and reduced computation for camera-blur estimation.
New algorithms for high-dimensional HMMs reduce complexity by discarding non-local factors.
problem High-dimensional HMMs are computationally expensive to filter and smooth.
method Approximate filtering and smoothing via locality in factor graphs, avoiding exponential cost.
result Error bounds in local total variation norm are dimension-free, improving scalability.
This article studies local and global inference for smoothing spline estimation in a unified asymptotic framework. We first introduce a new technical tool called functional Bahadur representation, which significantly generalizes the traditional Bahadur representation in parametric models, that is, Bahadur [Ann. Inst. S…
Linear VAEs explain posterior collapse in VAEs via local maxima in log marginal likelihood.
problem Posterior collapse in VAEs where variational posterior matches prior for some latent variables.
method Analysis of linear VAEs and their relation to pPCA, proving ELBO does not introduce spurious local maxima.
result Linear VAEs have identifiable global maxima corresponding to principal component directions, explaining posterior collapse.
Paper proposes methods to localize sources in WSNs without knowing sensor parameters.
problem Source localization in WSNs without sensor parameter knowledge.
method Hitting set approach and feature selection method.
result Effective source localization methods validated through simulations.
Alternative hypothesis tests for class-conditional noise using local maximum likelihood.
problem Assessing label noise in supervised learning datasets.
method Proposes hypothesis tests based on local maximum likelihood estimation for nonparametric logistic regression.
result Shows improved applicability and flexibility of the proposed tests compared to parametric approaches.
We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance matrix, which can be computationally intensive in large dimensions. Approximate infer…
New method uses Gaussian ODE filtering to approximate likelihoods for fast ODE inverse problems.
problem Intractable forward models in likelihood-free inference, especially for ODEs.
method Gaussian ODE filtering to construct local Gaussian likelihood approximations.
result New solvers outperform standard likelihood-free approaches on benchmark systems.
New method resolves nonidentifiability in mixture models.
problem Nonidentifiability in marginal models of mixture models.
method Introducing an effective temperature to generalize the marginal likelihood.
result Maximization of the generalized likelihood leads to unique results.
An efficient LDP protocol for QMLE with improved practicality and theoretical guarantees.
problem Difficult implementation of existing LDP QMLE for large-scale surveys.
method Developed an alternative LDP protocol without long waiting time, high communication cost, and derivative boundedness assumptions.
result Sufficient conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the protocol.
New algorithms improve Bayesian linear regression with spike-and-slab priors.
problem Efficiently sampling from Bayesian linear regression models with sparsity-inducing priors.
method Design of two sampling algorithms: Gibbs sampling and Stochastic Localization.
result Stochastic Localization sampler shows significant advantage for poorly designed data matrices.
We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A discriminative factor model is then developed, integrating the max-margin rank-lik…
Conservation laws improve diffusion model training by optimizing likelihood.
problem Training diffusion models with denoising objectives.
method Developed conservation laws based on GEXIT functions for memoryless noise processes.
result Unified characterization of diffusion model likelihood, reducing training to learning marginal posteriors.
Over-parameterization helps EM avoid local optima in Gaussian mixture models.
problem Finding global optima in non-convex optimization problems with EM.
method Using an over-parameterized model with unknown mixing weights.
result Over-parameterization improves EM's ability to find the global maximizer of the log-likelihood.
Online Centralized Non-parametric Change-point Detection via Graph-based Likelihood-ratio Estimationstat.ML
Paper detects changes in graph-based data streams using likelihood-ratios.
problem Detecting changes in synchronized graph-based data streams.
method Kernel-based likelihood-ratio estimation over graph nodes.
result Effective detection and localization of change-points.
New method optimizes clustering with better log-likelihood landscape.
problem Nonconvex log-likelihood optimization in model-based clustering.
method Entropic optimal transport loss for Sinkhorn-EM algorithm.
result New loss function avoids spurious local optima.
Quasi-likelihood analysis for marked point processes and application to marked Hawkes processesmath.ST
Develops quasi-likelihood analysis for marked point processes and applies it to Hawkes processes.
problem Analyzing multivariate marked point processes and their applications.
method Quasi-likelihood analysis for a general class of multivariate marked point processes, with focus on marked Hawkes processes.
result The quasi-likelihood analysis for marked Hawkes processes provides explicit conditions for ergodicity and Markovian transformation.
Develops neural network methods for likelihood ratio estimation.
problem Estimating likelihood ratios from data.
method Neural network training for likelihood ratio estimation.
result Unified methodology for defining and solving optimization problems.
Study compares distances for indoor WiFi mapping, finding Earth Mover's Distance effective.
problem Indoor localization and mapping using WiFi signals.
method Comparison of distance measures and kernel density estimation.
result Earth Mover's Distance is most beneficial for indoor localization.
EnVAE uses energy score for likelihood-free VAEs, improving image reconstructions.
problem Likelihood misspecification in VAEs leads to blurry reconstructions and poor data fidelity.
method Deterministic decoder, energy score as reconstruction loss, fast variant for efficiency.
result EnVAE achieves superior reconstruction and generation quality compared to likelihood-based baselines.
Paper explores supervised learning methods to approximate ideal observer for joint signal detection and localization.
problem Optimizing medical imaging systems by assessing their performance using the Ideal Observer model.
method Uses supervised learning methods, specifically convolutional neural networks, to approximate the Ideal Observer for joint signal detection and localization tasks.
result Supervised learning-based methods can approximate the Ideal Observer for joint signal detection and localization tasks, as shown by comparisons to MCMC and analytical methods.
New ABC method uses neural emulators for inference in complex models.
problem Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for models without tractable likelihoods.
method Probabilistic neural emulator networks to learn synthetic likelihoods, adaptive simulations.
result Accurate and efficient inference on high-dimensional problems.
Study reveals structure of local minima in GMMs, identifying key cluster centers.
problem Identifying optimal cluster centers in non-convex GMM landscapes.
method Analyzing the negative log-likelihood function of GMMs in the population limit.
result Local minima share a common structure that partially identifies true cluster centers.
International Trade: a Reinforced Urn Network Modelphysics.soc-ph
We propose a unified modelling framework that theoretically justifies the main empirical regularities characterizing the international trade network. Each country is associated to a Polya urn whose composition controls the propensity of the country to trade with other countries. The urn composition is updated through t…
New GP model estimates piecewise continuous functions.
problem Piecewise continuous regression functions in scientific and engineering applications.
method Local Gaussian process model with partitioned local data and joint estimation of boundaries.
result Superior performance over conventional GP models in estimating piecewise regression functions.
Log-Likelihood Ratio Minimizing Flows: Towards Robust and Quantifiable Neural Distribution Alignmentcs.LG
New method for robust distribution alignment using log-likelihood ratio and normalizing flows.
problem Distribution alignment challenges in deep learning.
method Log-likelihood ratio statistic and normalizing flows.
result Minimizing the proposed objective yields robust domain alignment.
Paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional densities using logistic regressions.
problem Estimating conditional densities for complex distributions.
method Parametric conditional density estimation via weighted logistic regressions.
result Maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained efficiently via a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and local case-control sampling.
The EM algorithm is a novel numerical method to obtain maximum likelihood estimates and is often used for practical calculations. However, many of maximum likelihood estimation problems are nonconvex, and it is known that the EM algorithm fails to give the optimal estimate by being trapped by local optima. In order to …
Chained Gaussian Processesstat.ML
Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in generalized linear models) to handle non-Gaussian data. However, the link function formal…
Gen-LRA attacks synthetic data leakage without model knowledge.
problem Auditing synthetic data privacy leakage.
method Generative Likelihood Ratio Attack (Gen-LRA).
result Gen-LRA outperforms other attacks across metrics.
New estimator for tensor weights with improved bias.
problem Estimating tensor weights from noisy data.
method Random matrix theory and KKT conditions.
result Asymptotically unbiased estimator for tensor rank.
We describe -MLE, a fast and efficient local search algorithm for learning finite statistical mixtures of exponential families such as Gaussian mixture models. Mixture models are traditionally learned using the expectation-maximization (EM) soft clustering technique that monotonically increases the incomplete (expec…
DALTON improves ODE parameter estimation by learning from noisy data.
problem High sensitivity to parameters in ODEs produces unreliable parameter estimates.
method Data-adaptive probabilistic likelihood approximation for ODEs.
result DALTON produces more accurate parameter estimates than existing methods.
A new approach uses partial likelihood to improve tree-based density estimation and inference.
problem Inference on tree-based models suffers from overfitting and reduced efficiency due to data-independent partitioning.
method Proposes a partial likelihood approach to data-dependent partitioning of tree-based models.
result Significant gains in estimation accuracy and computational efficiency from adopting partial likelihood.
Differentiable resampling improves particle filter performance.
problem Non-differentiability of traditional resampling in particle filters.
method Introduced a neural network resampler (particle transformer) trained with a likelihood-based loss function.
result Learned resampling outperforms traditional methods on synthetic and real-world tasks.
LOCAL learns dynamic causal structures from time series data efficiently.
problem Challenges in discovering DAG from time series data due to dynamic nature and nonlinear interactions.
method LOCAL proposes a quasi-maximum likelihood-based score function and adaptive modules ACML and DGPL.
result LOCAL significantly outperforms existing methods in dynamic causal discovery.
The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we ask: is it possible to assess how far we are from the global maximum of the likel…
Improved Gibbs sampling yields higher likelihood solutions.
problem Gibbs sampling often returns suboptimal solutions due to bottlenecks.
method Interdependent Gibbs Samplers combining multiple samplers with coupling.
result High likelihood solutions significantly more often than regular Gibbs sampler.
Gaussian processes have been successful in both supervised and unsupervised machine learning tasks, but their computational complexity has constrained practical applications. We introduce a new approximation for large-scale Gaussian processes, the Gaussian Process Random Field (GPRF), in which local GPs are coupled via…
New method balances multivariate model fitting for mixed likelihoods.
problem Multivariate models often fit only a subset of observed variables.
method Lipschitz standardization for data preprocessing.
result Lipschitz standardization leads to more accurate multivariate models.
The study examines statistical inference with gradient ascent in multi-modal likelihood functions.
problem Statistical inference with multiple initializations in multi-modal likelihood functions.
method Derives population quantity, studies asymptotic normality, bootstrap, and likelihood ratio tests.
result Coverage deficiency and differences in CIs due to finite number of initializations.
Analytical method approximates ELBO gradient in clutter problem.
problem Clutter problem in Bayesian networks with Gaussian likelihood.
method Reparameterization trick, local approximation of likelihood factors.
result Good accuracy and linear computational complexity compared to classical methods.