A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proof of Gaussian ML estimator consistency in linear auto-regressive models.
The problem for consistency between linear transports along paths and real bundle metrics in real vector bundles is stated. Necessary and/or sufficient conditions, as well as conditions for existence, for such consistency are derived. All metrics (resp. transports) consistent with a given transport (resp. metric) are e…
We study coherent risk measures which are time-consistent for multiple filtrations. We show that a coherent risk measure is time-consistent for every filtration if and only if it is one of four main types. Furthermore, if the risk measure is strictly monotone it is linear, and if the reference probability space is not …
Multithreshold Entropy Linear Classifier (MELC) is a recent classifier idea which employs information theoretic concept in order to create a multithreshold maximum margin model. In this paper we analyze its consistency over multithreshold linear models and show that its objective function upper bounds the amount of mis…
Linear-Core Surrogates combine fast optimization and statistical efficiency in classification and structured prediction.
Estimates CATEs using high-dimensional linear regression models.
High signal to noise ratio (SNR) consistency of model selection criteria in linear regression models has attracted a lot of attention recently. However, most of the existing literature on high SNR consistency deals with model order selection. Further, the limited literature available on the high SNR consistency of subs…
We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly linear time estimator which consistently estimates the true regression vector, e…
New algorithm estimates causal effects for non-Gaussian data.
Aggregation distorts causal discovery results but recovery is possible with partial linearity or prior.
Conditional random fields (CRFs) have been shown to be one of the most successful approaches to sequence labeling. Various linear-chain neural CRFs (NCRFs) are developed to implement the non-linear node potentials in CRFs, but still keeping the linear-chain hidden structure. In this paper, we propose NCRF transducers, …
Study on calibration and consistency of adversarial surrogate losses.
We propose a new embedding method which is particularly well-suited for settings where the sample size greatly exceeds the ambient dimension. Our technique consists of partitioning the space into simplices and then embedding the data points into features corresponding to the simplices' barycentric coordinates. We then …
Study identifies and validates a method for system identification of Markov jump linear systems.
We establish a new framework for statistical estimation of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) when data are generated from a linear, possibly non-Gaussian structural equation model. Our framework consists of two parts: (1) inferring the moralized graph from the support of the inverse covariance matrix; and (2) selecting th…
Symbolic grounding in causal dynamics achieves near-infinite temporal consistency.
The general problem for consistency between arbitrary transports along paths in fibre bundles and bundle morphisms between them is formulated and investigated. The special case of one fibre bundle, its morphism and transport along paths acting in it is considered. The consistency between linear transports along paths i…
Transitive consistency is an intrinsic property for collections of linear invertible transformations between Euclidean coordinate frames. In practice, when the transformations are estimated from data, this property is lacking. This work addresses the problem of synchronizing transformations that are not transitively co…
Paper introduces new regression methods for consistent estimation of biophysical parameters.
We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the presence of a meta-order, that consistently generalizes previously proposed pro…
More and more AI services are provided through APIs on cloud where predictive models are hidden behind APIs. To build trust with users and reduce potential application risk, it is important to interpret how such predictive models hidden behind APIs make their decisions. The biggest challenge of interpreting such predic…
Study improves statistical inference for CATEs using Lasso and DML.
Diffusion models' consistency across splits explained by random matrix theory.
In this work we construct an optimal linear shrinkage estimator for the covariance matrix in high dimensions. The recent results from the random matrix theory allow us to find the asymptotic deterministic equivalents of the optimal shrinkage intensities and estimate them consistently. The developed distribution-free es…
Efficient clustering in high dimensions with Quick Shift and LSH.
When we implement a portfolio selection methodology under a mean-risk formulation, it is essential to correctly model investors' risk aversion which may be time-dependent, or even state-dependent during the investment procedure. In this paper, we propose a behavior risk aversion model, which is a piecewise linear funct…
We consider a market consisting of one safe and one risky asset, which offer constant investment opportunities. Taking into account both proportional transaction costs and linear price impact, we derive optimal rebalancing policies for representative investors with constant relative risk aversion and a long horizon.
The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are independent is, however, too strong. In many applications, these responses are collec…
Proposes a new multi-view graph learning framework to model consistency and inconsistency.
The paper proposes a new variant of a decision tree, called an Extreme Learning Tree. It consists of an extremely random tree with non-linear data transformation, and a linear observer that provides predictions based on the leaf index where the data samples fall. The proposed method outperforms linear models on a bench…
We consider building predictors when the data have missing values. We study the seemingly-simple case where the target to predict is a linear function of the fully-observed data and we show that, in the presence of missing values, the optimal predictor may not be linear. In the particular Gaussian case, it can be writt…
This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through feature maps; in this way, in addition to treating the consistency of logistic reg…
Develops inequalities for high-dimensional linear processes with dependent innovations.
We show that the two-stage adaptive Lasso procedure (Zou, 2006) is consistent for high-dimensional model selection in linear and Gaussian graphical models. Our conditions for consistency cover more general situations than those accomplished in previous work: we prove that restricted eigenvalue conditions (Bickel et al.…
Study of loss functions for learning to defer, proving consistency.
A framework for ranking with abstention, offering theoretical guarantees and practical effectiveness.
Paper introduces semi-supervised linear extremile regression for high-dimensional data.
A linear Weingarten surface in Euclidean space is a surface whose mean curvature and Gaussian curvature satisfy a relation of the form , where . Such a surface is said to be hyperbolic when . In this paper we classify all rotational linear Weingarten surfaces of…
ε-Consistent Mixup improves semi-supervised classification accuracy.
Gated Linear Units (arXiv:1612.08083) consist of the component-wise product of two linear projections, one of which is first passed through a sigmoid function. Variations on GLU are possible, using different nonlinear (or even linear) functions in place of sigmoid. We test these variants in the feed-forward sublayers o…
Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging problem lacking an analytical solution. We derive a new expectation maximization …
Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from pharmacokinetic drug dosage allocation and personalized medicine to marketing mix (4Ps) recommendations -- require an understanding of the unobserved heterogeneity in order to develop the best decision making-processes. In this paper, we develop a hypothesis te…
Kernel ridge regression imputation with consistent variance estimation for handling missing data.
We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the l1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso. For various decays of the regularization parameter, we compute asymptotic equivalents of the …
The problem of universal outlying sequence detection is studied, where the goal is to detect outlying sequences among sequences of samples. A sequence is considered as outlying if the observations therein are generated by a distribution different from those generating the observations in the majority of the sequenc…
New robust regression method works with fewer data points than previous methods.
We study revenue optimization learning algorithms for repeated posted-price auctions where a seller interacts with a single strategic buyer that holds a fixed private valuation for a good and seeks to maximize his cumulative discounted surplus. For this setting, first, we propose a novel algorithm that never decreases …
Localized SVMs maintain SVM's consistency properties for large datasets.