A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The discovery of non-linear causal relationship under additive non-Gaussian noise models has attracted considerable attention recently because of their high flexibility. In this paper, we propose a novel causal inference algorithm called least-squares independence regression (LSIR). LSIR learns the additive noise model…
We study the statistical decision process of detecting the signal from a `signal+noise' type matrix model with an additive Wigner noise. We propose a hypothesis test based on the linear spectral statistics of the data matrix, which does not depend on the distribution of the signal or the noise. The test is optimal unde…
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
We revisit the Bayesian online inference problems for the linear dynamic systems (LDS) under non- Gaussian environment. The noises can naturally be non-Gaussian (skewed and/or heavy tailed) or to accommodate spurious observations, noises can be modeled as heavy tailed. However, at the cost of such noise robustness, the…
Paper tackles online control of linear systems with unbounded noise.
problem Online control of linear systems under unbounded noise with unknown convex cost functions.
method Developed an algorithm achieving ildeO(T) high-probability regret under unbounded noise, and established O(mpoly(logT)) regret bound for strongly convex costs and sub-Gaussian noise.
result Achieved ildeO(T) high-probability regret under unbounded noise, and O(mpoly(logT)) regret bound for specific noise and cost conditions.
Improves detection of low-rank signals from noisy data matrices.
problem Statistical detection of low-rank signals in noisy data matrices.
method Entrywise pre-transforming data matrix for non-Gaussian noise, sharp phase transition thresholds, central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics, hypothesis test.
result Improves detection of low-rank signals from noisy data matrices, generalizing known results.
A prototypical blind signal separation problem is the so-called cocktail party problem, with n people talking simultaneously and n different microphones within a room. The goal is to recover each speech signal from the microphone inputs. Mathematically this can be modeled by assuming that we are given samples from an n…
We consider the distributional connection between the lossy compressed representation of a high-dimensional signal X using a random spherical code and the observation of X under an additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN). We show that the Wasserstein distance between a bitrate-R compressed version of X and its obs…
We provide theoretical and empirical evidence for a type of asymmetry between causes and effects that is present when these are related via linear models contaminated with additive non-Gaussian noise. Assuming that the causes and the effects have the same distribution, we show that the distribution of the residuals of …
The paper improves prediction and testing for signals from a linear combination of translated features with Gaussian noise.
problem Predicting and testing signals from a linear combination of translated features with varying scale parameter and Gaussian noise.
method Extends previous off-the-grid prediction results, improves minimal distance between features, proposes a goodness-of-fit test with upper bounds.
result Upper bounds on the minimax separation rate match those for the high-dimensional linear model, matching the lower bound.
We study the contextual linear bandit problem, a version of the standard stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem where a learner sequentially selects actions to maximize a reward which depends also on a user provided per-round context. Though the context is chosen arbitrarily or adversarially, the reward is assumed…
Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables to the model. Previous work on DGP models has introduced noise additively and use…
The multivariate linear regression model with shuffled data and additive Gaussian noise arises in various correspondence estimation and matching problems. Focusing on the denoising aspect of this problem, we provide a characterization the minimax error rate that is sharp up to logarithmic factors. We also analyze the p…
The signal-noise ratio of a portfolio of p assets, its expected return divided by its risk, is couched as an estimation problem on the sphere. When the portfolio is built using noisy data, the expected value of the signal-noise ratio is bounded from above via a Cramer-Rao bound, for the case of Gaussian returns. The bo…
This paper improves parameter estimation for autonomous systems with unmodeled dynamics.
problem Accurate parameter estimation for risk-aware autonomous systems with unmodeled dynamics.
method Spectral lines-based approach for estimating parameters of dynamic models, allowing deterministic unmodeled dynamics.
result The proposed method leads to non-asymptotic bounds on parameter estimation error, robust to unmodeled dynamics, and matches existing literature in ideal conditions.
Consider a noisy linear observation model with an unknown permutation, based on observing y=Π∗Ax∗+w, where x∗∈Rd is an unknown vector, Π∗ is an unknown n×n permutation matrix, and w∈Rn is additive Gaussian noise. We analyze the problem of permutation recovery in a …
Multilayer (or deep) networks are powerful probabilistic models based on multiple stages of a linear transform followed by a non-linear (possibly random) function. In general, the linear transforms are defined by matrices and the non-linear functions are defined by information channels. These models have gained great p…
In this note, we present a version of the Thompson sampling algorithm for the problem of online linear generalization with full information (i.e., the experts setting), studied by Kalai and Vempala, 2005. The algorithm uses a Gaussian prior and time-varying Gaussian likelihoods, and we show that it essentially reduces …