Exact LAD line fitting via PALB with linear scaling and speed.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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In regression modelling approach, the main step is to fit the regression line as close as possible to the target variable. In this process most algorithms try to fit all of the data in a single line and hence fitting all parts of target variable in one go. It was observed that the error between predicted and target var…
A new method approximates expected empirical loss for stochastic deep learning tasks.
Synthetic splitting theorem for Lorentzian spaces with non-negative curvature.
The accumulation of individual fitness or wealth is modelled as a population game in which pairs of individuals are recurrently and randomly matched to play a game over a resource. In addition, all individuals have random access to a constant background resource, and their fitness or wealth depreciates over time. For b…
Beta is a widely used quantity in investment analysis. We review the common interpretations that are applied to beta in finance and show that the standard method of estimation - least squares regression - is inconsistent with these interpretations. We present the case for an alternative beta estimator which is more app…
Hawkes processes have seen a number of applications in finance, due to their ability to capture event clustering behaviour typically observed in financial systems. Given a calibrated Hawkes process, of concern is the statistical fit to empirical data, particularly for the accurate quantification of self- and mutual-exc…
Special Lagrangian submanifolds emerge from K3 surface collapse.
Gradient EM converges exponentially to optimal solution in agnostic mixtures.
The space of oriented lines, or rays, in is a 4-dimensional space with an abundance of natural geometric structure. In particular, it boasts a neutral Kähler metric which is closely related to the Euclidean metric on . In this paper we explore the relationship between the focal se…
Novel multisymplectic framework for pseudo-Fueter curves in Hamiltonian field theory.
A recent line of work has shown that an overparametrized neural network can perfectly fit the training data, an otherwise often intractable nonconvex optimization problem. For (fully-connected) shallow networks, in the best case scenario, the existing theory requires quadratic over-parametrization as a function of the …
We construct a prequantum 2-Hilbert space for any line bundle gerbe whose Dixmier-Douady class is torsion. Analogously to usual prequantisation, this 2-Hilbert space has the category of sections of the line bundle gerbe as its underlying 2-vector space. These sections are obtained as certain morphism categories in Wald…
New preconditioners speed up SGD on Lie groups.
The purpose of this paper is two-fold: On the one side we would like to close a gap on the classification of vector bundles over -manifolds. Therefore it will be necessary to study quaternionic line bundles over -manifolds which are in correspondence to elements in the first cohomotopy group $π^4(M)=[M,S^4]…
Decomposes axis bundles into cubist structures for fully irreducible outer automorphisms.
Using properties of the determinant line bundle for a family of elliptic boundary value problems, we explain how the Fock space functor defines an axiomatic quantum field theory which formally models the Fermionic path integral. The 'sewing axiom' of the theory arises as an algebraic pasting law for the determinant of …
Let be a proper flat morphism between smooth quasi-projective varieties of relative dimension , and a line bundle which is ample on the fibers. We establish formulas for the first two terms in the Knudsen-Mumford expansion for in terms of Deligne pairings of and the relative ca…
In many physical, statistical, biological and other investigations it is desirable to approximate a system of points by objects of lower dimension and/or complexity. For this purpose, Karl Pearson invented principal component analysis in 1901 and found 'lines and planes of closest fit to system of points'. The famous k…
The geometry of cosets in the subgroups H of the two-generator free group G =\textless{} a, b \textgreater{} nicely fits, via Grothendieck's dessins d'enfants, the geometry of commutation for quantum observables. Dessins stabilize point-line incidence geometries that reflect the commutation of (generalized) Pauli opera…
We use daily data on bilateral interbank exposures and monthly bank balance sheets to study network characteristics of the Russian interbank market over Aug 1998 - Oct 2004. Specifically, we examine the distributions of (un)directed (un)weighted degree, nodal attributes (bank assets, capital and capital-to-assets ratio…
A moment constraint that limits the number of dividends in the optimal dividend problem is suggested. This leads to a new type of time-inconsistent stochastic impulse control problem. First, the optimal solution in the precommitment sense is derived. Second, the problem is formulated as an intrapersonal sequential dyna…
We provide further evidence that markets trend on the medium term (months) and mean-revert on the long term (several years). Our results bolster Black's intuition that prices tend to be off roughly by a factor of 2, and take years to equilibrate. The story behind these results fits well with the existence of two types …
Proposes an optimization framework for sparse robust subspace estimation.
We contribute a pop-song automation framework for lead melody generation and accompaniment arrangement. The framework reflects the major procedures of human music composition, generating both lead melody and piano accompaniment by a unified strategy. Specifically, we take chord progression as an input and propose three…
The paper proves geometric and spectral alignment for deep neural networks.
We argue that in fully-connected networks a phase transition delimits the over- and under-parametrized regimes where fitting can or cannot be achieved. Under some general conditions, we show that this transition is sharp for the hinge loss. In the whole over-parametrized regime, poor minima of the loss are not encounte…
Paper tackles MLR prediction error without assuming realizable models.
HECT tests climate model outputs for reproducibility.
An interesting toy model has recently been proposed on Schumpeterian economic dynamics by Thurner {\it et al.} following the idea of economist Joseph Schumpeter. Punctuated equilibrium dynamics is shown to emerge from this model and some detail analyses of the time series indicate SOC kind of behaviours. The focus in t…
Let L be a holomorphic line bundle with a positively curved singular Hermitian metric over a complex manifold X. One can define naturally the sequence of Fubini-Study currents associated to the space of square integrable holomorphic sections of the p-th tensor powers of L. Assuming that the singular set of the metric i…
Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) have found many applications in density estimation and data clustering. However, the model does not adapt well to curved and strongly nonlinear data. Recently there appeared an improvement called AcaGMM (Active curve axis Gaussian Mixture Model), which fits Gaussians along curves using an …
This paper presents a new approach for filter design based on stochastic distances and tests between distributions. A window is defined around each pixel, overlapping samples are compared and only those which pass a goodness-of-fit test are used to compute the filtered value. The technique is applied to intensity SAR d…
Iterative algorithms, like gradient descent, are common tools for solving a variety of problems, such as model fitting. For this reason, there is interest in creating differentially private versions of them. However, their conversion to differentially private algorithms is often naive. For instance, a fixed number of i…
This paper is a contribution to the Proceedings of the Workshop Complexity, Metastability and Nonextensivity held in Erice 20-26 July 2004, to be published by World Scientific. We propose a generalization to Merton's model for evaluating credit spreads. In his original work, a company's assets were assumed to follow a …
Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is a class of projective algorithms traditionally used in Euclidean space to produce two- or three-dimensional visualizations of datasets of multidimensional points or point distances. More recently however, several authors have pointed out that for certain datasets, hyperbolic target spa…
Hybrid framework optimizes reinsurance using generative models and reinforcement learning.
In many application settings involving networks, such as messages between users of an on-line social network or transactions between traders in financial markets, the observed data consist of timestamped relational events, which form a continuous-time network. We propose the Community Hawkes Independent Pairs (CHIP) ge…
Unified framework for various probability distribution distances.
Study finds 'Dragon Kings' in stock market volatility during major economic crises.
DoWhy-GCM extends causal inference in graphical models for diverse queries.
Graph Neural Network (GNN) is a popular architecture for the analysis of chemical molecules, and it has numerous applications in material and medicinal science. Current lines of GNNs developed for molecular analysis, however, do not fit well on the training set, and their performance does not scale well with the comple…
This paper presents a new approach for filter design based on stochastic distances and tests between distributions. A window is defined around each pixel, samples are compared and only those which pass a goodness-of-fit test are used to compute the filtered value. The technique is applied to intensity Synthetic Apertur…
In this thesis we revise the concept of phase space in modern physics and devise a way to explicitly incorporate physical dimension into geometric mechanics. A historical account of metrology and phase space is given to illustrate the disconnect between the theoretical physical models in use today and the formal treatm…
Generalized linear model with and regularization is a widely used technique for solving classification, class probability estimation and regression problems. With the numbers of both features and examples growing rapidly in the fields like text mining and clickstream data analysis parallelization and the us…
The paper describes the geometric properties of line congruences' singularities.
Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a parsimonious causality structure is assumed, a promising approach to causal discov…
Neural networks are known to be a class of highly expressive functions able to fit even random input-output mappings with accuracy. In this work, we present properties of neural networks that complement this aspect of expressivity. By using tools from Fourier analysis, we show that deep ReLU networks are biased…