In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a semiparametric modeling where the emission distributions are a mixture of parametric distr…
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48 results for “likelihood-based criteria”
Detecting and recovering labels in binomial logistic mixtures is challenging due to an information gap.
problem Detecting and recovering labels in binomial logistic mixtures
method Propose two feasibility-aware inference procedures
result Avoid misleading component selections and improve label probability calibration
A Likelihood-Based Generative Approach for Spatially Consistent Precipitation Downscalingphysics.ao-ph
New approach combines likelihood and adversarial losses for better precipitation predictions.
problem Spatially inconsistent precipitation projections from likelihood-based models.
method Fuses likelihood-based and adversarial losses for generative models.
result Improves spatial consistency in precipitation downscaling.
The Importance Weighted Auto Encoder (IWAE) objective has been shown to improve the training of generative models over the standard Variational Auto Encoder (VAE) objective. Here, we derive importance weighted extensions to AVB and AAE. These latent variable models use implicitly defined inference networks whose approx…
Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is a trending field of research, showing great promise in many challenging problems such as playing Atari, solving Go and controlling robots. While DRL agents perform well in practice we are still missing the tools to analayze their performance and visualize the temporal abstractions t…
Likelihood-based inference and forecasting for trawl processes: a stochastic optimization approachstat.ME
Develops likelihood-based methods for trawl processes, improving forecasting accuracy.
problem Statistical modeling of trawl processes with heavy tails and long memory.
method Composite likelihood estimation as a stochastic optimization problem, using gradient descent methods.
result New gradient estimators with significantly reduced variance for trawl processes.
Novel approach for SEM in small samples with .
problem Small sample size and issues in factor-based SEM.
method Reformulates covariance structure into self-covariance and cross-covariance, defines a feasible set with relative error constraint.
result Improved stability and directional information in small-sample settings.
This paper shows how to perform likelihood inference for complex graphical models efficiently.
problem Intractable normalizing constants in fully and partially observed exponential family graphical models.
method Using a technique from Geyer (1991), the paper estimates the normalizing constant and its gradient.
result Full likelihood-based analysis is feasible and computationally efficient for these models.
The paper analyzes the power of MX CI tests and finds likelihood-based statistics most powerful.
problem Testing conditional independence under model-X assumptions.
method Conditional randomization test (CRT) and MX knockoffs.
result Likelihood-based statistics are most powerful in MX CI tests.
Latent class model (LCM), which is a finite mixture of different categorical distributions, is one of the most widely used models in statistics and machine learning fields. Because of its non-continuous nature and the flexibility in shape, researchers in practice areas such as marketing and social sciences also frequen…
Proposes a model to generate 3D-aware images from 2D images.
problem Generating 3D-aware images from 2D images.
method Likelihood-based top-down model using Neural Radiance Fields and energy-based latent variables.
result Model can infer 3D object structures from 2D images and generate novel views.
This paper develops embeddings that preserve likelihood-based statistical inference.
problem Modern machine learning embeddings destroy the geometric structure required for likelihood-based inference.
method Developed a rigorous theory of likelihood-preserving embeddings and introduced the Likelihood-Ratio Distortion metric.
result Controlling the distortion is necessary and sufficient for preserving inference.
A Likelihood Based Approach to Distribution Regression Using Conditional Deep Generative Modelsmath.ST
We study likelihood-based methods for distribution regression with deep generative models.
problem Distribution regression with high-dimensional responses concentrated on a low-dimensional manifold.
method Likelihood-based approach using conditional deep generative models.
result Convergence rates for estimating conditional distributions in Hellinger and Wasserstein metrics.
Study on deep learning for speckle noise reduction in imaging modalities.
problem Multiplicative speckle noise challenges conventional deep learning methods for speckle denoising.
method Likelihood-based deep neural network (DNN) estimators for nonparametric regression under speckle noise.
result Established minimax rates for speckle denoising, matching those for additive Gaussian noise alone.
Differentiable resampling improves particle filter performance.
problem Non-differentiability of traditional resampling in particle filters.
method Introduced a neural network resampler (particle transformer) trained with a likelihood-based loss function.
result Learned resampling outperforms traditional methods on synthetic and real-world tasks.
Unified continuous diffusion model outperforms discrete alternatives in scalability and quality.
problem Continuous diffusion models were perceived as less scalable than discrete models.
method Reconstructed Plaid model and compared it with modern discrete DLMs, optimizing noise schedule and embeddings via likelihood.
result Unified continuous diffusion model (RePlaid) outperforms discrete models in compute efficiency and quality.
Improves sample quality of generative models using energy-based methods.
problem Low sample quality in generative models.
method Constructs an energy function on latent space, trains an energy-based model, and generates improved samples.
result Significant improvement in sample quality with minimal computational overhead.
We model leverage as stochastic but independent of return shocks and of volatility and perform likelihood-based inference via the recently developed iterated filtering algorithm using S&P500 data, contributing new evidence to the still slim empirical support for random leverage variation.
Likelihood-based generative models are a promising resource to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs which could compromise the robustness or reliability of a machine learning system. However, likelihoods derived from such models have been shown to be problematic for detecting certain types of inputs that significant…
We address the problem of likelihood based inference for correlated diffusion processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Such a task presents two interesting problems. First, the construction of the MCMC scheme should ensure that the correlation coefficients are updated subject to the positive definite…
It becomes increasingly popular to perform mediation analysis for complex data from sophisticated experimental studies. In this paper, we present Granger Mediation Analysis (GMA), a new framework for causal mediation analysis of multiple time series. This framework is motivated by a functional magnetic resonance imagin…
Supervised topic models utilize document's side information for discovering predictive low dimensional representations of documents. Existing models apply the likelihood-based estimation. In this paper, we present a general framework of max-margin supervised topic models for both continuous and categorical response var…
Deep Neyman-Scott Processesstat.ML
A deep Neyman-Scott process uses Poisson processes for efficient inference in complex point processes.
problem Efficient inference in complex hierarchical point processes.
method Developed an efficient posterior sampling via Markov chain Monte Carlo for likelihood-based inference.
result More hidden Poisson processes improve likelihood fitting and event prediction.
This paper proposes a unified framework to quantify local and global inferential uncertainty for high dimensional nonparanormal graphical models. In particular, we consider the problems of testing the presence of a single edge and constructing a uniform confidence subgraph. Due to the presence of unknown marginal trans…
In a series of recent papers Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard introduce an attractive class of continuous time stochastic volatility models for financial assets where the volatility processes are functions of positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck(OU) processes. This models are known to be substantially more flexible than Gaussian …
Develops diffusion models for time-varying correlation on the circle.
problem Time-varying correlation modeling on the circle.
method Stochastic processes on the unit circle, specifically Brownian motion and von Mises diffusion.
result Derives an accurate analytical approximation to the transition density of the von Mises diffusion.
Generates high-quality images using sparse DCT representations.
problem Challenges in generating images due to high dimensionality.
method Transformers trained on sparse DCT block sequences.
result Competitive image generation quality with state-of-the-art methods.
New findings suggest deep generative models can misclassify outliers, requiring new evaluation methods.
problem Deep generative models often assign higher likelihood to outliers, challenging existing outlier detection methods.
method Analyzed the typical set and high-density region of DGMs, proposing a novel outlier test.
result Existing likelihood-based outlier tests may fail due to model calibration issues, not just misclassification.
Deep generative models for graph-structured data offer a new angle on the problem of chemical synthesis: by optimizing differentiable models that directly generate molecular graphs, it is possible to side-step expensive search procedures in the discrete and vast space of chemical structures. We introduce MolGAN, an imp…
We give some general criteria of being a homeomorphism for continuous mappings of topological manifolds, as well as criteria of being a diffeomorphism for smooth mappings of smooth manifolds. As an illustration, we apply these criteria to the problems arising in two- and three-dimensional grid generation.
The study reveals flaws in pruning criteria and proposes a new assumption for better filter selection.
problem Flaws in existing pruning criteria for CNNs.
method Empirical experiments and Convolutional Weight Distribution Assumption.
result The Convolutional Weight Distribution Assumption improves filter selection in pruning.
New criteria for Heegaard splittings ensure strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups.
problem Determining strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups of Heegaard splittings.
method Two diagrammatic criteria for Heegaard splittings, accepting arbitrary disk systems.
result Criteria ensure strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups for Heegaard splittings.
Multi-criteria recommender systems have been increasingly valuable for helping consumers identify the most relevant items based on different dimensions of user experiences. However, previously proposed multi-criteria models did not take into account latent embeddings generated from user reviews, which capture latent se…
Paper proposes robust method to detect risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups.
problem Detecting risk heterogeneity across ethnic groups in ICU studies.
method Proposes a robust framework using Neyman orthogonality for inference.
result Demonstrates improved inferential stability and reduced bias compared to standard methods.
Develops scenario theory for multi-criteria decision making.
problem Need for robustness assessment with multiple criteria and datasets.
method Collectively treats risks associated with individual criteria for multi-criteria decision problems.
result More accurate robustness certificates and sharper quantification of simultaneous criterion satisfaction.
New analysis shows entropy term cancels out in likelihood-based OOD detection.
problem Curious likelihood values for out-of-distribution data.
method Decomposed average likelihood into KL divergence and entropy terms.
result Entropy term explains OOD behaviour and cancels out in expectation.
We consider the problem of identifying patterns in a data set that exhibit anomalous behavior, often referred to as anomaly detection. In most anomaly detection algorithms, the dissimilarity between data samples is calculated by a single criterion, such as Euclidean distance. However, in many cases there may not exist …
Method recovers complex-valued signals from speckle-noised measurements.
problem Recovering complex-valued signals from speckle-noised measurements.
method Bagged Deep Image Priors integrated with projected gradient descent and Newton-Schulz algorithm.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in MSE reduction.
The paper evaluates criteria for selecting cryptocurrencies based on historical data.
problem High risk of cryptocurrencies due to volatility.
method Characterized returns and risks using historical data in short time windows (7 and 15 days). Analyzed the importance of criteria using various methods.
result Importance of criteria for selecting cryptocurrencies is analyzed and evaluated.
This paper presents a Bayesian method for estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF.
problem Estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF from observed data.
method Bayesian framework for estimating low-rank components and rank simultaneously, using variational inference.
result Automatic rank detection and improved estimation accuracy compared to cross-validation methods.
We present criteria for establishing a triangulation of a manifold. Given a manifold M, a simplicial complex A, and a map H from the underlying space of A to M, our criteria are presented in local coordinate charts for M, and ensure that H is a homeomorphism. These criteria do not require a differentiable structure, or…
When sufficient labeled data are available, classical criteria based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) or Precision-Recall (PR) curves can be used to compare the performance of un-supervised anomaly detection algorithms. However , in many situations, few or no data are labeled. This calls for alternative crite…
The paper analyzes performance criteria for competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
problem Analyzing performance of competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
method Developed forward relative performance criteria and forward Nash equilibrium for passive and competitive cases.
result Extended performance criteria for investment problems in Ito-diffusion markets.
Class-conditional generative models hold promise to overcome the shortcomings of their discriminative counterparts. They are a natural choice to solve discriminative tasks in a robust manner as they jointly optimize for predictive performance and accurate modeling of the input distribution. In this work, we investigate…
In conventional supervised pattern recognition tasks, model selection is typically accomplished by minimizing the classification error rate on a set of so-called development data, subject to ground-truth labeling by human experts or some other means. In the context of speech processing systems and other large-scale pra…
We shall give useful criteria of lips, beaks and swallowtail singularities of smooth map from the plane into the plane. As an application of criteria, we will discuss the singularities of Cauchy problem of single conservation law.
A new method for multi-criteria recommender systems using graph attention networks.
problem Lack of nuanced relationships between users and items based on specific criteria.
method MDGAT, a multi-edge bipartite graph with dual attention networks and contrastive learning.
result MDGAT achieves higher accuracy in predicting item ratings compared to baseline methods.
New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.
problem Bi-criteria combinatorial optimization with noisy function evaluations.
method Introducing -resilience and developing a black-box framework.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation for bi-criteria bandit problems.