The paper introduces deep learning for ALM, enhancing asset and liability management.
problem Optimizing asset and liability management for treasurers and other applications.
method Deep learning applied to ALM for optimal decision making.
result Enhanced ALM approach for better asset and liability management.
We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two…
Limited liability reduces leveraged risk in loan portfolio management models.
problem The impact of limited liability on risk in loan portfolio management models is not well understood.
method Formulated four models to analyze the effect of limited liability on risk and return in loan portfolio management.
result Including limited liability in loan portfolio management models produces better results in minimizing risk and maximizing expected return.
This research proposes methods to model and assess liability liquidity risk in asset management.
problem Lack of standardized models for liability liquidity risk in asset management.
method Statistical models, zero-inflated models, aggregate and individual-based approaches, and factor models.
result Developed mathematical and statistical approaches to estimate and assess redemption shocks.
Third part of a study on liquidity risk in asset management, focusing on managing the asset-liability liquidity risk.
problem Managing the asset-liability liquidity risk in asset management.
method Develops a methodological and practical framework for liquidity stress testing programs.
result Proposes measurement, management, and monitoring tools for controlling the liquidity gap.
We numerically study an Asset Liability Management problem linked to the decommissioning of French nuclear power plants. We link the risk aversion of practitioners to an optimization problem. Using different price models we show that the optimal solution is linked to a de-risking management strategy similar to a concav…
Proposes a bond portfolio solution for managing interest rate risk.
problem Managing long-term assets and liabilities under interest rate risk.
method Proposes a bond portfolio solution based on ambiguity-averse preferences, accommodating various constraints and interest rate perturbations.
result Optimal portfolio can be computed as a simple generalized least squares problem, enhancing out-of-sample performance.
In this paper, we consider the asset-liability management under the mean-variance criterion. The financial market consists of a risk-free bond and a stock whose price process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. The liability of the investor is uncontrollable and is modeled by another geometric Brownian motion. W…
This paper studies optimal investment from the point of view of an investor with longevity-linked liabilities. The relevant optimization problems rarely are analytically tractable, but we are able to show numerically that liability driven investment can significantly outperform common strategies that do not take the li…
In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…
Optimal control solves multi-period liability clearing problems.
problem Clearing liabilities among entities over multiple periods.
method Formulated as a convex optimal control problem, solved using convex costs and constraints.
result Solves the problem of clearing liabilities among entities over multiple periods.
Paper proposes a RL approach for ALM with superior performance.
problem Dynamic asset-liability management in financial markets.
method Continuous-time RL with LQ formulation, policy gradient, adaptive and scheduled exploration.
result Method outperforms traditional and state-of-the-art RL algorithms in ALM.
This paper compares different DRO formulations for pension fund management.
problem Navigating uncertainty in asset liability management for pension funds.
method Three DRO formulations: mixture, box, and Wasserstein ambiguity sets.
result Wasserstein and box ambiguity sets outperform traditional approaches in fund performance.
Paper solves investment and consumption problem with unknown risk, providing explicit solutions.
problem Solving consumption-investment problem with unknown market price of risk and terminal liability constraint.
method Introduced a coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) and provided an explicit solution.
result Explicit expressions for optimal investment strategy and value function derived.
Adaptive strategies reduce pension fund costs and risks.
problem Managing longevity and volatility risks in pension funds.
method Modular simulation framework with customizable metrics.
result Substantial reduction in pension plan costs and default risk.
A framework tackles model uncertainty in ALM, providing robust investment strategies.
problem Model uncertainty in asset liability management (ALM).
method Wasserstein barycenter approach to handle various information sources and uncertainties.
result The proposed framework selects robust investment portfolios that remain optimal under various uncertainties.
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
problem Lack of risk management frameworks for stablecoins.
method Developed two risk metrics: capitalization and liquidity.
result Demonstrated practical benefits of real-time on-chain data.
RL solves discrete LQ control with Gaussian optimal policy.
problem Discrete-time linear-quadratic control problem.
method Entropy-based RL to find Gaussian optimal policy.
result RL algorithm solves mean-variance asset-liability management problem.
Paper assesses GMMB in VAs using FST for accurate net liability calculations.
problem Risk management of GMMB under stochastic mortality and regime-switching.
method Net liability model with FST algorithm for accurate numeric solutions.
result FST algorithm provides reliable results for net liability of GMMB.
Study validates Libor model for insurance benefits calculation.
problem Valuation of long-term insurance guarantees.
method Mean-field Libor market model, numerical ALM, aggregated life insurance data.
result Derives estimators for future discretionary benefits.
Paper proposes a natural hedging framework with graphical assessment for longevity risk management.
problem Lack of a unified framework for natural hedging and graphical risk assessment.
method Structured natural hedging framework integrated with a graphical risk metric.
result Demonstrates flexibility, interpretability, and practical value for longevity risk management.
Research proposes a model to estimate transaction costs and assess asset liquidity risk.
problem Lack of standardized models for asset liquidity risk in asset management.
method Develops a market impact model and a two-regime model based on power-law property.
result Defines liquidity measures and applies model to stocks and bonds.
The study examines how limited liability and haircut affect a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
problem Impact of limited liability and haircut on a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
method Constructed a novel loan portfolio model with limited liability and haircut constraint, analyzed at three time steps.
result Model with haircut constraint leads to lesser liquidity risk.
Develops a framework for optimal investment in assets with different liquidity constraints.
problem Optimal investment-consumption problem for a utility-maximizing investor with lower-bound constraints.
method Generalized martingale approach and decomposition of the problem into subproblems.
result Explicit formulas for optimal strategies derived for power-utility functions.
Study optimizes insurance liability cash flows with regulatory capital requirements.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities under regulatory capital constraints.
method Multiple-prior optimal stopping theory applied to insurance liabilities, considering hypothetical transfer and repeated capital requirements.
result Proposes a valuation functional for non-replicable cash flows, incorporating a margin for regulatory capital considerations.
We present an approach to market-consistent multi-period valuation of insurance liability cash flows based on a two-stage valuation procedure. First, a portfolio of traded financial instrument aimed at replicating the liability cash flow is fixed. Then the residual cash flow is managed by repeated one-period replicatio…
The paper solves a complex control problem with stochastic elements and switching conditions.
problem Non-homogeneous stochastic LQ control with regime switching and random coefficients.
method Explicit optimal control and value obtained through two systems of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). Existence and uniqueness of solutions proved using BMO martingales and contraction mapping method.
result Explicit optimal state feedback control and optimal value derived for the problem.
The paper optimizes dividend strategies for companies with assets and liabilities under solvency constraints.
problem Maximizing dividends while adhering to solvency requirements in the face of correlated asset and liability movements.
method Developed verification lemmas to show optimal barrier dividend strategies in two cases: with and without shareholder funding.
result Optimal dividend strategies are barrier-type, derived in closed form and illustrated.
Mack-Net model combines Mack's model with RNNs for better insurance liability estimation.
problem Accurate estimation of insurance liabilities for better financial decision-making.
method Integrates Mack's reserving model with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).
result Improves accuracy of general insurance liability assessment.
India introduces NPS to manage pension liabilities and promote savings.
problem Managing pension liabilities and promoting savings among employees.
method Comparative analysis of NPS and OPS, addressing stakeholder claims.
result NPS reduces government pension liabilities and promotes disciplined saving.
This paper considers an optimal control of a big financial company with debt liability under bankrupt probability constraints. The company, which faces constant liability payments and has choices to choose various production/business policies from an available set of control policies with different expected profits and…
This study compares direct and indirect methods for estimating own funds in life insurance, finding indirect methods more effective under realistic asset-liability coupling.
problem Computing own funds for life insurers using direct and indirect methods in a risk-neutral pricing framework.
method Introduced a novel family of mixed estimators including both direct and indirect methods, integrated into a control variate framework for variance reduction.
result The indirect method is more effective under realistic asset-liability coupling, but neither method is universally superior.
A risk of small defined-benefit pension schemes is that there are too few members to eliminate idiosyncratic mortality risk, that is there are too few members to effectively pool mortality risk. This means that when there are few members in the scheme, there is an increased risk of the liability value deviating signifi…
Study finds environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions.
problem Reduction of industrial carbon emissions.
method Two-way fixed effect model using provincial (city) level panel data from 2010 to 2020.
result Environmental liability insurance reduces industrial carbon emissions at both direct and indirect levels, with varying effects.
This study improves credit risk management using advanced reinforcement learning.
problem Sub-optimal hedging of credit losses due to bid-ask costs and model limitations.
method Risk-averse stochastic-horizon reinforcement learning for dynamic risk management.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical study of a single FX forward contract portfolio.
The study shows that limited liability can make banks more stable by choosing less risky assets.
problem How limited liability affects bank stability and risk management.
method Dynamic portfolio approach with continuous time models, including and excluding limited liability, and using the KMV model to measure resiliency.
result Inclusion of limited liability leads to a bank choosing less risky assets, increasing its resilience.
Motivated by the asset-liability management of a nuclear power plant operator, we consider the problem of finding the least expensive portfolio, which outperforms a given set of stochastic benchmarks. For a specified loss function, the expected shortfall with respect to each of the benchmarks weighted by this loss func…
Research shows higher damages may encourage more disclosure in corporate disputes.
problem How to resolve disputes over undisclosed material events in a way that encourages voluntary disclosure.
method Dynamic continuous-time model of management's equilibrium disclosure decision.
result Increased damages may lead to an endogenous increase in voluntary disclosure.
Unified framework for fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
problem Static arbitrage and discount curve construction.
method Model-free framework for static fixed-income pricing and liability replication.
result Existence of strictly positive discount curves reproducing market prices and least-cost super-replicating portfolios.
Stochastic model for pension insurer assets and liabilities with mortality risk.
problem Modeling assets and liabilities with mortality risk in pensions insurers.
method Multivariate stochastic process for asset and liability returns, capturing dynamics and dependencies.
result Efficient computation of a million scenarios on personal computers.
Study classifies liability insurance policies using machine learning.
problem Classifying liability insurance policies with or without claims.
method Used machine learning models like nearest neighbour and logistic regression on Actuarial Challenge dataset.
result Models accurately classified policies into claims and non-claims groups.
Framework for realistic insurance liability valuation.
problem Economic realism in insurance liability valuation.
method Replication approach of no-arbitrage theory, considering capital and fulfillment conditions.
result Identifies conditions for market price recovery and extends production for insolvency.
Method estimates joint distribution of bivariate outcomes.
problem Modeling dependence between bivariate outcomes.
method Semiparametric distribution regression.
result Method performs similarly or better than alternatives in finite samples.
We consider market players with tail-risk-seeking behaviour as exemplified by the S-shaped utility introduced by Kahneman and Tversky. We argue that risk measures such as value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are ineffective in constraining such players. We show that, in many standard market models, product d…
Optimal portfolios for fat-tailed risks using a new tail risk measure.
problem Optimizing portfolios for pension funds and insurance liabilities with extreme risk sensitivity.
method Developed a new tail risk measure (Extreme Deviation, XD) and optimized portfolios based on this measure.
result Optimal portfolios maximize return per unit of XD, balancing hedging and risk contributions.
A discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal equity allocation and portfolio selection, is formulated so as to apply to (at least) reinsurance. In the context of a company with several portfolios (or subsidiaries), representing both liabilities and assets, it is proved that the model has solutions respecting constr…
We quantify the sensitivity of the Eisenberg-Noe clearing vector to estimation errors in the bilateral liabilities of a financial system in a stylized setting. The interbank liabilities matrix is a crucial input to the computation of the clearing vector. However, in practice central bankers and regulators must often es…
This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.
problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.