Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
JAXFit speeds up curve fitting on GPUs.
The log-periodic power law (LPPL) is a model of asset prices during endogenous bubbles. If the on-going development of a bubble is suspected, asset prices can be fit numerically to the LPPL law. The best solutions can then indicate whether a bubble is in progress and, if so, the bubble critical time (i.e., when the bub…
Support vector machines (SVMs) are an important tool in modern data analysis. Traditionally, support vector machines have been fitted via quadratic programming, either using purpose-built or off-the-shelf algorithms. We present an alternative approach to SVM fitting via the majorization--minimization (MM) paradigm. Alg…
Ordinary least squares (OLS) is the default method for fitting linear models, but is not applicable for problems with dimensionality larger than the sample size. For these problems, we advocate the use of a generalized version of OLS motivated by ridge regression, and propose two novel three-step algorithms involving l…
R2T hybrid model improves robust regression for asymmetric noise.
Two algorithms improve fitting autoregressive models for big data.
SGD converges to optimal solution in perfect data fitting problem.
A new method treats all variables equally in fitting data.
The paper solves the problem of fitting an ellipsoid to random points efficiently.
The runtime for Kernel Partial Least Squares (KPLS) to compute the fit is quadratic in the number of examples. However, the necessity of obtaining sensitivity measures as degrees of freedom for model selection or confidence intervals for more detailed analysis requires cubic runtime, and thus constitutes a computationa…
A great deal of interest has recently focused on conducting inference on the parameters in a high-dimensional linear model. In this paper, we consider a simple and very naïve two-step procedure for this task, in which we (i) fit a lasso model in order to obtain a subset of the variables, and (ii) fit a least squares mo…
Exact LAD line fitting via PALB with linear scaling and speed.
A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be a Dirichlet distribution. With the Bayes rule, searching for the optimal parame…
Riesz regression connects to density ratio estimation for causal inference.
gKRLS accelerates KRLS estimation for complex models.
The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information). Recently, several methods of directly estimating the density ratio have been deve…
Streaming tensor factorization is a powerful tool for processing high-volume and multi-way temporal data in Internet networks, recommender systems and image/video data analysis. Existing streaming tensor factorization algorithms rely on least-squares data fitting and they do not possess a mechanism for tensor rank dete…
Principal component analysis (PCA) is often used to reduce the dimension of data by selecting a few orthonormal vectors that explain most of the variance structure of the data. L1 PCA uses the L1 norm to measure error, whereas the conventional PCA uses the L2 norm. For the L1 PCA problem minimizing the fitting error of…
Developed an efficient iterative algorithm for SVI model.
In this paper, we propose a new framework to remove parts of the systematic errors affecting popular restoration algorithms, with a special focus for image processing tasks. Generalizing ideas that emerged for regularization, we develop an approach re-fitting the results of standard methods towards the input d…
Information that is stored in an encrypted format is, by definition, usually not amenable to statistical analysis or machine learning methods. In this paper we present detailed analysis of coordinate and accelerated gradient descent algorithms which are capable of fitting least squares and penalised ridge regression mo…
Cross-validation estimates model performance on unseen data, not training data.
Study shows how varying levels of supervision and orthonormality constraints affect generalization errors in subspace fitting.
Identifying recurring patterns in high-dimensional time series data is an important problem in many scientific domains. A popular model to achieve this is convolutive nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF), which extends classic nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) to extract short-lived temporal motifs from a long …
Proposes a new regression method using -norms for non-Gaussian noise.
Many attempts have been made in recent decades to integrate machine learning (ML) and topological data analysis. A prominent problem in applying persistent homology to ML tasks is finding a vector representation of a persistence diagram (PD), which is a summary diagram for representing topological features. From the pe…
The derivation of statistical properties for Partial Least Squares regression can be a challenging task. The reason is that the construction of latent components from the predictor variables also depends on the response variable. While this typically leads to good performance and interpretable models in practice, it ma…
Within the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment framework, the Solvency II directive introduces the need for insurance undertakings to have efficient tools enabling the companies to assess the continuous compliance with regulatory solvency requirements. Because of the great operational complexity resulting from each comple…
Bayesian optimization speeds up parameter reconstruction in optical nano-metrology.
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) methods such as the Deep Q-Network (DQN) have achieved state-of-the-art results in a variety of challenging, high-dimensional domains. This success is mainly attributed to the power of deep neural networks to learn rich domain representations for approximating the value function or pol…
Least squares fitting is in general not useful for high-dimensional linear models, in which the number of predictors is of the same or even larger order of magnitude than the number of samples. Theory developed in recent years has coined a paradigm according to which sparsity-promoting regularization is regarded as a n…
Paper proposes a pre-conditioning technique to speed up gradient-descent convergence in distributed linear least-squares problems.
We develop a general theory for the goodness-of-fit test to non-linear models. In particular, we assume that the observations are noisy samples of a submanifold defined by a \yao{sufficiently smooth non-linear map}. The observation noise is additive Gaussian. Our main result shows that the "residual" of the model fit, …
We introduce a computationally effective algorithm for a linear model selection consisting of three steps: screening--ordering--selection (SOS). Screening of predictors is based on the thresholded Lasso that is l_1 penalized least squares. The screened predictors are then fitted using least squares (LS) and ordered wit…
KBB algorithm reduces sample complexity for policy evaluation in general state spaces.
Characterizes no Butterfly arbitrage in SVI model parameters.
ORFit trains models on streaming data with one pass, minimizing memory and computational costs.
The split Bregman (SB) method [T. Goldstein and S. Osher, SIAM J. Imaging Sci., 2 (2009), pp. 323-43] is a fast splitting-based algorithm that solves image reconstruction problems with general l1, e.g., total-variation (TV) and compressed sensing (CS), regularizations by introducing a single variable split to decouple …
New MRI method maps tissue parameters more accurately by ignoring voxel independence.
We propose a method for estimating coefficients in multivariate regression when there is a clustering structure to the response variables. The proposed method includes a fusion penalty, to shrink the difference in fitted values from responses in the same cluster, and an L1 penalty for simultaneous variable selection an…
Image ranking is to rank images based on some known ranked images. In this paper, we propose an improved linear ordinal distance metric learning approach based on the linear distance metric learning model. By decomposing the distance metric as , the problem can be cast as looking for a linear map between two …
Beta is a widely used quantity in investment analysis. We review the common interpretations that are applied to beta in finance and show that the standard method of estimation - least squares regression - is inconsistent with these interpretations. We present the case for an alternative beta estimator which is more app…
Differential quantities, including normals, curvatures, principal directions, and associated matrices, play a fundamental role in geometric processing and physics-based modeling. Computing these differential quantities consistently on surface meshes is important and challenging, and some existing methods often produce …
RFRBoost uses random features to boost deep residual neural networks, improving performance and computational efficiency.
Bayesian method improves parameter reconstruction from many measurements.
In this paper, we propose the idea of radial scaling in frequency domain and activation functions with compact support to produce a multi-scale DNN (MscaleDNN), which will have the multi-scale capability in approximating high frequency and high dimensional functions and speeding up the solution of high dimensional PDEs…
Modern sample points in many applications no longer comprise real vectors in a real vector space but sample points of much more complex structures, which may be represented as points in a space with a certain underlying geometric structure, namely a manifold. Manifold learning is an emerging field for learning the unde…