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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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326496128 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for least-squares fitting

The log-periodic power law (LPPL) is a model of asset prices during endogenous bubbles. If the on-going development of a bubble is suspected, asset prices can be fit numerically to the LPPL law. The best solutions can then indicate whether a bubble is in progress and, if so, the bubble critical time (i.e., when the bub…

2010-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Ordinary least squares (OLS) is the default method for fitting linear models, but is not applicable for problems with dimensionality larger than the sample size. For these problems, we advocate the use of a generalized version of OLS motivated by ridge regression, and propose two novel three-step algorithms involving l…

2015-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method treats all variables equally in fitting data.

problem Fitting relationships to data with multiple variables, especially when dependent and independent variables are not clearly defined.
method A general method treating all variables impartially, using geometric mean functional relationships and correlation.
result The method provides coefficients that are easily calculated from covariances or correlations, making it scale-invariant and applicable to various units.

The paper solves the problem of fitting an ellipsoid to random points efficiently.

problem Finding an ellipsoid that passes through random Gaussian points.
method Constructing a fitting ellipsoid using a decomposition of a random matrix and graph matrix theory.
result The ellipsoid fitting problem transitions from feasible to infeasible at a sharp threshold of nd2/4n \sim d^2/4.

Riesz regression connects to density ratio estimation for causal inference.

problem Estimating average treatment effects in causal inference.
method Riesz regression as a signed density ratio and least-squares importance fitting.
result Riesz regression and DRE are equivalent, allowing transfer of DRE results.

The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information). Recently, several methods of directly estimating the density ratio have been deve…

2009-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Information that is stored in an encrypted format is, by definition, usually not amenable to statistical analysis or machine learning methods. In this paper we present detailed analysis of coordinate and accelerated gradient descent algorithms which are capable of fitting least squares and penalised ridge regression mo…

2017-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Cross-validation estimates model performance on unseen data, not training data.

problem Understanding how cross-validation estimates prediction error and its limitations.
method Analyzing linear models and popular prediction error estimates, introducing nested cross-validation.
result Cross-validation estimates the average prediction error of models fit on other unseen training sets, not the model at hand.

Study shows how varying levels of supervision and orthonormality constraints affect generalization errors in subspace fitting.

problem Effects of varying levels of supervision and orthonormality constraints on generalization errors in subspace fitting.
method Flexible family of problems connecting unsupervised and supervised subspace fitting tasks, explored over a supervision-orthonormality plane.
result Generalization errors of subspace fitting problems follow double descent trends as they become more supervised and less orthonormally constrained.

Proposes a new regression method using LpL_p-norms for non-Gaussian noise.

problem Non-Gaussian noise in residuals affects the performance of local least squares regression.
method Introduces local polynomial LpL_p-norm regression, replacing weighted least squares with weighted LpL_p-norm estimation.
result Demonstrates superior performance over local least squares in one-dimensional data and higher dimensions.

The derivation of statistical properties for Partial Least Squares regression can be a challenging task. The reason is that the construction of latent components from the predictor variables also depends on the response variable. While this typically leads to good performance and interpretable models in practice, it ma…

2010-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Within the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment framework, the Solvency II directive introduces the need for insurance undertakings to have efficient tools enabling the companies to assess the continuous compliance with regulatory solvency requirements. Because of the great operational complexity resulting from each comple…

2013-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization speeds up parameter reconstruction in optical nano-metrology.

problem Efficiently reconstructing parameters from time-consuming measurements in optical nano-metrology.
method Combines Bayesian optimization and curve fitting for faster, more efficient model fitting.
result The presented Bayesian Target Vector Optimization scheme achieves similar reconstruction performance with fewer model function calls.

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) methods such as the Deep Q-Network (DQN) have achieved state-of-the-art results in a variety of challenging, high-dimensional domains. This success is mainly attributed to the power of deep neural networks to learn rich domain representations for approximating the value function or pol…

2017-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a pre-conditioning technique to speed up gradient-descent convergence in distributed linear least-squares problems.

problem Expediting convergence of gradient-descent method for ill-conditioned distributed linear least-squares problems.
method Iterative pre-conditioning technique to improve convergence rate of gradient-descent method.
result Pre-conditioned gradient-descent achieves superlinear convergence for unique solutions and improved linear convergence otherwise.

We develop a general theory for the goodness-of-fit test to non-linear models. In particular, we assume that the observations are noisy samples of a submanifold defined by a \yao{sufficiently smooth non-linear map}. The observation noise is additive Gaussian. Our main result shows that the "residual" of the model fit, …

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

KBB algorithm reduces sample complexity for policy evaluation in general state spaces.

problem Policy evaluation in large state spaces with high sample complexity.
method Alternates between fitting Bellman residual and estimating value function via adaptive feature set growth.
result Super-linear convergence rates demonstrated, with reductions in sample complexity.

ORFit trains models on streaming data with one pass, minimizing memory and computational costs.

problem Training large models on a stream of data without retraining on previous data.
method Orthogonal Recursive Fitting (ORFit) using orthogonal gradient descent and recursive least-squares.
result ORFit updates parameters orthogonally to past gradients, leading to efficient memory and computational usage.

New MRI method maps tissue parameters more accurately by ignoring voxel independence.

problem Voxel independence assumption limits model fitting reliability and repeatability.
method Self-supervised deep variational approach with Gaussian mixture prior.
result Our method outperforms current techniques in dMRI simulations and real data.

We propose a method for estimating coefficients in multivariate regression when there is a clustering structure to the response variables. The proposed method includes a fusion penalty, to shrink the difference in fitted values from responses in the same cluster, and an L1 penalty for simultaneous variable selection an…

2017-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Image ranking is to rank images based on some known ranked images. In this paper, we propose an improved linear ordinal distance metric learning approach based on the linear distance metric learning model. By decomposing the distance metric AA as LTLL^TL, the problem can be cast as looking for a linear map between two …

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

RFRBoost uses random features to boost deep residual neural networks, improving performance and computational efficiency.

problem Improving performance of deep residual neural networks (RFNNs) while preserving convex optimization benefits.
method Random Feature Representation Boosting (RFRBoost) using boosting theory and random features at each layer.
result RFRBoost significantly outperforms RFNNs and end-to-end trained MLP ResNets in small- to medium-scale tabular datasets.

Bayesian method improves parameter reconstruction from many measurements.

problem Efficiently reconstructing parameters from many experimental measurements.
method Bayesian target-vector optimization considering all model outputs.
result Outperforms established optimization methods in accuracy and efficiency.

In this paper, we propose the idea of radial scaling in frequency domain and activation functions with compact support to produce a multi-scale DNN (MscaleDNN), which will have the multi-scale capability in approximating high frequency and high dimensional functions and speeding up the solution of high dimensional PDEs…

2019-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Modern sample points in many applications no longer comprise real vectors in a real vector space but sample points of much more complex structures, which may be represented as points in a space with a certain underlying geometric structure, namely a manifold. Manifold learning is an emerging field for learning the unde…

2019-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗