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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Dec 199319922001200920172026
48 results for lead scoring

New scoring rules improve probabilistic classification model evaluation.

problem Traditional scoring rules misalign with the preference for correct classifications.
method Introduces Penalized Brier Score (PBS) and Penalized Logarithmic Loss (PLL) to modify proper scoring rules.
result PBS and PLL better identify optimal checkpoints and early stopping points, leading to superior F1 scores.

Bayesian encoding improves lead scoring for WeWork using conjugate models.

problem Encoding high-cardinality categorical features for machine learning.
method Conjugate Bayesian models for categorical features, ensemble learning.
result AUC improved from 0.87 to 0.97 for WeWork's lead scoring engine.

BaM improves BBVI by optimizing a score-based divergence, leading to faster convergence.

problem Slow convergence of black-box variational inference methods.
method Batch and match (BaM) approach based on a score-based divergence.
result BaM converges exponentially quickly to the target mean and covariance.

SGMs fail to generate samples from complex distributions even when the score function is learned well.

problem Score-based Generative Models fail to produce high-quality samples from complex distributions.
method Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) are evaluated under conditions where the score function is learned well.
result SGMs can only generate Gaussian blurring of training data points, not complex distributions.

Annealed Langevin dynamics improves sampling from composite scores in SBI.

problem Irreducible bias in sampling from composite scores of SBI methods.
method Derive Wasserstein bounds and decision rules for hyperparameters.
result Explicit decision rules for hyperparameters guarantee prescribed sampling accuracy.

Proposes a new method to minimize non-singleton predictions in conformal prediction.

problem Large prediction sets in conformal prediction are costly and inefficient.
method Introduces a new nonconformity score to minimize non-singleton sets and provides an algorithm to compute it efficiently.
result The proposed Singleton-Optimized Conformal Prediction (SOCOP) method increases singleton frequency by over 20% compared to standard scores, with minimal impact on average set size.

Bias and heterogeneity in peer assessment can lead to the issue of unfair scoring in the educational field. To deal with this problem, we propose a reference ranking method for an online peer assessment system using HodgeRank. Such a scheme provides instructors with an objective scoring reference based on mathematics.

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method improves data generation quality by correcting score mismatches.

problem Score mismatch issue in conditional score-based data generation methods.
method Denoising Likelihood Score Matching (DLSM) loss for classifier training.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods on Cifar-10 and Cifar-100 benchmarks.

New framework for neural network score estimation in diffusion models.

problem Rigorous guarantees for practical score estimation with neural networks.
method Developed a mathematical framework for score estimation with GD-trained neural networks, addressing optimization and generalization.
result Established minimax-optimal generalization bounds for GD-trained neural networks in diffusion models.

Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.

problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.

Fisher score is one of the most widely used supervised feature selection methods. However, it selects each feature independently according to their scores under the Fisher criterion, which leads to a suboptimal subset of features. In this paper, we present a generalized Fisher score to jointly select features. It aims …

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes.

problem Counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes with concentrated structure.
method Geometry-adaptive diffusion-guided smoothing estimators combining causal nuisance adjustment and local outcome geometry.
result Geometry-adaptive methods show steeper error decay in semi-synthetic experiments.

Develops Hamiltonian Score Matching and Generative Flows for machine learning.

problem Estimating score functions and designing generative models.
method Introduces Hamiltonian velocity predictors (HVPs) for score matching and generative flows.
result Hamiltonian Generative Flows (HGFs) rival leading generative modeling techniques.

Estimates uncertainty in bounding box regression for object detection.

problem Reliable deployment of deep object detectors in safety-critical tasks.
method Training variance networks with energy score as a proper scoring rule.
result Energy score leads to better calibrated and lower entropy predictive distributions.

Paper tackles transparency and auditability of machine learning in credit scoring.

problem Missed potential in using modern machine learning for credit scoring due to lack of transparency.
method Develops a framework for making black box machine learning models transparent, auditable, and explainable.
result Comparable interpretability can be achieved with machine learning while maintaining predictive power.

We develop a scoring and classification procedure based on the PAC-Bayesian approach and the AUC (Area Under Curve) criterion. We focus initially on the class of linear score functions. We derive PAC-Bayesian non-asymptotic bounds for two types of prior for the score parameters: a Gaussian prior, and a spike-and-slab p…

2014-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Large learning rates prevent memorization in denoising score matching.

problem Memorization of training data in diffusion-based generative models.
method Investigating the role of large learning rates in the small-noise regime, proving that they prevent convergence to the empirical optimal score.
result Large learning rates prevent memorization by making it impossible for the learned score to be arbitrarily close to the empirical optimal score.

Proposes a method to stabilize treatment effect estimation with unbalanced data.

problem Unbalanced treatment assignment leading to unstable propensity score estimations.
method Undersamples data for propensity score modeling and calibrates scores to match original distribution.
result The estimator retains asymptotic properties of the DML estimator and improves finite sample performance.

DDPMs are robust to noisy score estimates and achieve optimal convergence rates in Wasserstein-2 distance.

problem Evaluating the quality of DDPMs in Wasserstein distance with noisy score estimates.
method Established finite-sample guarantees in Wasserstein-2 distance for DDPMs, considering noisy score estimates.
result Optimal convergence rates in Wasserstein-2 distance for DDPMs, matching Gaussian case.

New bounds close the score matching gap for diffusion models.

problem The difference between sample quality and score matching loss in diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis of score matching gap, developing tighter bounds for KL divergence, reverse KL divergence, and Wasserstein distance.
result The quality of score approximation impacts closing the score matching gap for low noise scales.

This paper improves compression of large NLP models using doped Kronecker Products.

problem Accuracy loss when compressing large NLP tasks with Kronecker Products.
method Doping Kronecker Products with an overlay matrix to recover accuracy, and a new regularization scheme called co matrix dropout regularization (CMR).
result Compression of a large language model with LSTM layers of size 25 MB by 25x with 1.4% loss in perplexity score.

A network may have weak signals and severe degree heterogeneity, and may be very sparse in one occurrence but very dense in another. SCORE (Jin, 2015) is a recent approach to network community detection. It accommodates severe degree heterogeneity and is adaptive to different levels of sparsity, but its performance for…

2018-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Heuristic weighting improves denoising score matching without requiring noise distribution assumptions.

problem Improving denoising score matching without assuming noise distribution.
method Demonstrated heteroskedasticity, derived optimal weighting functions, and provided theoretical and empirical comparisons.
result Heuristical weighting function can achieve lower variance than optimal weighting, facilitating more stable and efficient training.

Introduces VSMD to improve generative diffusion processes without high costs.

problem High training costs and scalability issues in generative diffusion processes.
method Introduces variational Schrödinger momentum diffusion (VSMD) with adaptively transport-optimized variational scores and critical-damping transform.
result Efficiently generates anisotropic shapes while maintaining transport efficacy, outperforming alternatives.

Adaptive method improves prediction intervals with global coverage guarantees and local error distribution.

problem Global coverage guarantees of conformal regression are often violated by local error distributions.
method Adaptive Conformal Regression with Jackknife+ Rescaled Scores
result Improves local coverage without sacrificing global coverage, especially in low-data regimes.

Proposes measures for uncertainty quantification using proper scoring rules.

problem Uncertainty quantification for prediction tasks.
method Decomposes proper scoring rules into divergence and entropy components, tailoring uncertainty quantification to specific tasks.
result Flexibility in uncertainty quantification improves performance in selective prediction and active learning.

INCAD clusters and detects anomalies in streaming data without thresholds.

problem Clustering and anomaly detection for streaming data with unknown clusters and thresholds.
method Probabilistic clustering and anomaly detection in a streaming model.
result More reliable definition of normal vs abnormal behavior in streaming data.

Score matching fails to train VAEs robustly, revealing autoencoding loss insights.

problem Catastrophic failure of variational score matching on VAE models.
method Analysis of existing variational score matching objectives and their equivalence to autoencoding losses.
result Score matching methods fail to produce robust VAE models, predicting poor performance.

New approach uses Wasserstein distances to score and optimize policy behaviors.

problem Comparing reinforcement learning policies and guiding policy optimization.
method Dual formulation of Wasserstein distances in latent behavioral space, learning score functions, smoothed WDs, stochastic gradient descent, on-policy algorithms.
result Demonstrated improved performance over existing methods in various environments.

SCORE resolves the robustness vs accuracy trade-off by redefining robust error.

problem The inherent trade-off between robustness and accuracy in adversarial training.
method SCORE defines local equivariance as the ideal robust behavior, leading to a new robust error metric.
result SCORE reconciles robustness and accuracy, improving model performance on RobustBench.