Enhanced word embedding creates new consumer-friendly health terms.
problem Laymen's health terms are often jargon and hard to understand.
method Developed an enhanced GloVe word embedding technique to generate new consumer-friendly terms.
result New CHV terms generated from consumer-generated text.
Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.
problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.
Kernel method estimates long-term effects from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term effects from short-term data in continuous actions.
method Kernel ridge regression to embed and extrapolate long-term effects.
result Uniform consistency and nonasymptotic error bounds for the estimator.
New framework estimates long-term outcomes from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term outcomes from short-term data.
method Reward function decomposition-based framework (LOPE).
result LOPE outperforms existing methods, especially when surrogacy is violated.
The paper presents the comparative study of the nature of stock markets in short-term and long-term time scales with and without structural break in the stock data. Structural break point has been identified by applying Zivot and Andrews structural trend break model to break the original time series (TSO) into time ser…
TimeBridge addresses non-stationarity in long-term time series forecasting.
problem Non-stationarity in multivariate time series leads to spurious regressions and obscures long-term relationships.
method TimeBridge segments series into patches, applying Integrated Attention for short-term non-stationarity and Cointegrated Attention for long-term cointegration.
result TimeBridge achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting.
This paper balances short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
problem Balancing short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
method Formalizes a new framework to balance rewards, identifies rewards under mild assumptions, deduces efficiency bounds, and develops a policy learning approach.
result The proposed method improves the estimator of long-term reward and reduces regret.
This paper proposes a framework to predict long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in multivariate time series.
problem Existing prediction methods often ignore the distinction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
method The paper introduces a MTS forecasting framework that uses both original time series and its first difference to capture long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
result The proposed method improves forecasting performance by using more supervision information.
MTAdam optimizes multiple loss terms in neural models, balancing gradients dynamically.
problem Balancing multiple loss terms in neural model training is challenging and computationally demanding.
method Generalized Adam algorithm that computes separate derivatives and balances gradients across layers dynamically.
result Training with MTAdam leads to faster recovery from suboptimal initial loss weighting and matches conventional training outcomes.
We introduce here for the first time the long-term swap rate, characterised as the fair rate of an overnight indexed swap with infinitely many exchanges. Furthermore we analyse the relationship between the long-term swap rate, the long-term yield, see Biagini et al. [2018], Biagini and Härtel [2014], and El Karoui et a…
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
The paper tackles long-term treatment effects with persistent confounders using sequential short-term outcomes.
problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with persistent unmeasured confounders.
method Exploiting the sequential structure of short-term outcomes, the paper develops three novel identification strategies and corresponding estimators.
result The proposed methods outperform existing approaches in handling persistent confounders.
TimeMixer predicts global financial asset volatility, excelling in short-term forecasts.
problem Predicting volatility in global financial markets is challenging due to complexity and non-linear dynamics.
method Uses TimeMixer, a multiscale-mixing model for forecasting across different scales.
result TimeMixer performs exceptionally well in short-term volatility forecasting but less so in longer-term predictions.
We study the mean curvature flow with given non-smooth transport term and forcing term, in suitable Sobolev spaces. We prove the global existence of the weak solutions for the mean curvature flow with the terms, by using the modified Allen-Cahn equation that holds useful properties such as the monotonicity formula.
In this paper, we proposed a deep learning-based end-to-end method on the domain specified automatic term extraction (ATE), it considers possible term spans within a fixed length in the sentence and predicts them whether they can be conceptual terms. In comparison with current ATE methods, the model supports nested ter…
The study finds solar terms significantly impact China's stock market returns and volatility.
problem Investigating the effect of solar terms on China's stock market.
method Regression framework, analyzing multiple solar terms and their impact on return and volatility.
result Solar terms 1, 3, and 4 cause significant positive returns, while 8, 11, and 14 bring high volatility.
We derive a closed formula for the Heegaard Floer correction terms of lens spaces in terms of the classical Dedekind sum and its generalization, the Dedekind-Rademacher sum. Our proof relies on a reciprocity formula for the correction terms established by Ozsvath and Szabo. A consequence of our result is that the Casso…
Estimates long-term effects from short-term experiments and observational data with unobserved confounders.
problem Estimating long-term causal effects from short-term experiments and long-term observational data with unobserved confounding.
method Combining regression residuals with short-term experimental outcomes to create an instrumental variable for estimating long-term causal effects.
result The estimator is unbiased and its variance is analytically studied.
A new term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF outperforms others in sentiment analysis.
problem Improving text classification in sentiment analysis.
method Proposes a novel supervised term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF and compares it with other schemes.
result TF-IDFC-RF outperforms all other schemes on two sentiment analysis datasets.
In information retrieval (IR) and related tasks, term weighting approaches typically consider the frequency of the term in the document and in the collection in order to compute a score reflecting the importance of the term for the document. In tasks characterized by the presence of training data (such as text classifi…
Combines CNN and Transformer for financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting financial time series, especially stock prices, is challenging due to short-term and long-term dependencies.
method Uses CNN for short-term dependencies and Transformer for long-term dependencies.
result Demonstrated superior performance in forecasting stock price changes compared to traditional methods.
Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.
problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.
Study curve flows with global forcing terms using a distance comparison principle.
problem Analyse the behavior of curves under curve flows with global forcing terms.
method Prove a distance comparison principle for curve shortening flow with arbitrary global forcing terms.
result Established a distance comparison principle for curve flows with global forcing terms.
We study the long-term memory in diverse stock market indices and foreign exchange rates using the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). For all daily and high-frequency market data studied, no significant long-term memory property is detected in the return series, while a strong long-term memory property is found in th…
Much work has been done on feature selection. Existing methods are based on document frequency, such as Chi-Square Statistic, Information Gain etc. However, these methods have two shortcomings: one is that they are not reliable for low-frequency terms, and the other is that they only count whether one term occurs in a …
New algorithm optimizes for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
problem Optimizing for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that combines rewards and surrogate outcomes.
result Our algorithm significantly outperforms methods that optimize for short-term proxies or rely solely on delayed rewards.
We propose a new algorithm---Stochastic Proximal Langevin Algorithm (SPLA)---for sampling from a log concave distribution. Our method is a generalization of the Langevin algorithm to potentials expressed as the sum of one stochastic smooth term and multiple stochastic nonsmooth terms. In each iteration, our splitting t…
Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.
problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.
This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term hedging horizon can be scaled and successfully applied to longer term horizons. We als…
New algorithm optimizes long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems.
problem Optimizing long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems with delayed rewards.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that balances exploration and exploitation.
result Our approach results in substantially better performance compared to short-term or delayed optimization.
Different investment strategies are adopted in short-term and long-term depending on the time scales, even though time scales are adhoc in nature. Empirical mode decomposition based Hurst exponent analysis and variance technique have been applied to identify the time scales for short-term and long-term investment from …
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.
The paper targets optimal interventions for long-term outcomes using imputed data and policy learning.
problem Maximizing long-term outcomes observed only in the future.
method Imputing missing long-term outcomes and using a doubly-robust approach for policy evaluation and optimization.
result The approach outperforms simple short-term proxies and achieves significant revenue impact over three years.
New formulas with quadratic curvature terms on Kähler manifolds for Hodge number estimates.
problem Estimating Hodge numbers under weak curvature conditions.
method Established new Bochner-Kodaira formulas with quadratic curvature terms.
result Derivation of Weitzenböck-Bochner-Kodaira formulas with quadratic curvature terms on compact Kähler manifolds.
We analyze the structure of the boundary terms in the conformal anomaly integrated over a manifold with boundaries. We suggest that the anomalies of type B, polynomial in the Weyl tensor, are accompanied with the respective boundary terms of the Gibbons-Hawking type. Their form is dictated by the requirement that they …
Improved genetic algorithm optimizes SVR for robust long-term stock index forecasting.
problem Inaccurate long-term stock price predictions.
method Adaptive Weighted Genetic Algorithm-Optimized SVR (IGA-SVR).
result Reduction in MAPE by 19.87% compared to LSTM and 50.03% compared to OGA-SVR.
In this work a relation between a measure of short-term arbitrage in the market and the excess growth of portfolios as a notion of long-term arbitrage is established. The former originates from "Geometric Arbitrage Theory" and the latter from "Stochastic Portfolio Theory". Both aim to describe non-equilibrium effects i…
The problem of detecting terms that can be interesting to the advertiser is considered. If a company has already bought some advertising terms which describe certain services, it is reasonable to find out the terms bought by competing companies. A part of them can be recommended as future advertising terms to the compa…
The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence into the empirical determinants of capital structure adjustment in different macroeconomics states by focusing and discussing the relative importance of firm-specific and macroeconomic characteristics from an alternative scope in U.S. This study extends th…
Recommender systems objectives can be broadly characterized as modeling user preferences over short-or long-term time horizon. A large body of previous research studied long-term recommendation through dimensionality reduction techniques applied to the historical user-item interactions. A recently introduced session-ba…
A new model for pricing ultra-short-term options with complex volatility patterns.
problem Complex pricing of ultra-short-term options due to oscillations in implied volatility.
method Edgeworth++ model with nonparametric stochastic volatility and deterministic shift extension.
result Fast and accurate closed-form option pricing for ultra-short-term options.
Neural model improves option pricing by calibrating additive process term structure.
problem Calibrating additive process models for option pricing with time-dependent parameters.
method Proposes neural term structure model using feedforward neural networks to represent term structure.
result Improves option pricing accuracy with neural term structure model.
Anomaly term vanishes for smooth conical spaces, non-trivial for cones over tori.
problem Analyzing anomaly terms in spaces with conical singularities.
method Proof of vanishing anomaly term for smooth conical spaces; demonstration of non-triviality for cones over tori.
result Anomaly term vanishes for smooth conical spaces, non-trivial for cones over tori.
We show that the martingale component in the long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor due to Alvarez and Jermann (2005) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) is highly volatile, produces a downward-sloping term structure of bond Sharpe ratios, and implies that the long bond is far from growth optimality. In…
KEDformer improves long-term time series forecasting with seasonal-trend decomposition.
problem Accurate long-term predictions in energy, finance, and meteorology.
method Knowledge extraction-driven framework integrating seasonal-trend decomposition.
result KEDformer enhances model's ability to capture short-term and long-term patterns.
The study explains why signature methods work in commodity futures term structure classification.
problem Lack of interpretability in signature methods for term structure classification.
method Introducing signature perturbations to explain the success of signature-based classification.
result The volatility of the convenience yield is the major discriminant for commodity markets classification.
New models capture dynamic derivatives pricing with efficient simulations.
problem Capturing dynamic features of derivatives' term structures.
method Machine learning techniques to store and efficiently simulate complex drift terms.
result First efficient dynamic term structure models.
The Dybvig-Ingersoll-Ross (DIR) theorem states that, in arbitrage-free term structure models, long-term yields and forward rates can never fall. We present a refined version of the DIR theorem, where we identify the reciprocal of the maturity date as the maximal order that long-term rates at earlier dates can dominate …