Combines deep state space models with diffusion models for better forecasting and capturing latent dynamics
problem Forecasting and capturing latent dynamics in time series
method DDSSM: Diffusion-driven state space model
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art deep SSM
Improved DSSMs for easier interpretable latent variables.
problem Complex and hard-to-interpret latent variables in DSSMs.
method Simplified predictive decoder and shrinkage priors.
result Interpretable latent variables improve forecasting performance.
Adversarial attacks on probabilistic state-space models affect latent state and policy decisions.
problem Robust reinforcement learning under adversarial observability.
method Analyzing adversarial attacks on linear probabilistic state-space models.
result Demonstrating the influence of adversarial observations on latent state and policy decisions.
DeepMDP simplifies complex observations into continuous latent states.
problem Learning from high-dimensional observations in reinforcement learning.
method Trains a DeepMDP model that predicts rewards and next latent states.
result Optimization of DeepMDP objectives ensures quality of latent space and environment model.
Proposes learning latent reward model for planning from rewards.
problem Planning in high-dimensional state spaces with limited reward information.
method Directly learns a latent dynamics model from rewards, planning in latent state-space.
result Successfully learns accurate latent reward prediction model, achieving strong performance and high sample efficiency.
Improved tracking and prediction of moving objects in visual data streams.
problem Tracking and predicting multiple moving objects in visual data streams.
method Disentangled latent state-space model with amortized variational Bayesian inference.
result Significantly improved long-term prediction and object decomposition in the presence of occlusions.
LS4 models time-series with latent states, outperforming previous methods.
problem Learning sharp transitions in time-series data.
method State space ODE with convolutional representation to bypass hidden states.
result LS4 significantly outperforms previous models in various metrics.
Active learning selects inputs for GPSSM to learn latent states.
problem Optimally learn latent states of a GPSSM through active selection of inputs.
method Use mutual information to select informative inputs; approximate mutual information for GPSSM.
result Effective active learning of GPSSM dynamics in physical systems.
This research improves dynamical systems understanding by identifying latent states and their nonlinear transitions.
problem Previous work on dynamical systems could not identify nonlinear transition dynamics, leading to unreliable predictions.
method Proposes a state-space modeling framework using variational auto-encoders to identify latent states and their nonlinear transition functions.
result Demonstrates high accuracy in recovering latent state dynamics and future prediction accuracy.
New model captures state-dependent variability in partially observed systems.
problem Structured stochasticity not captured by constant-variance models.
method State-coupled stochastic volatility framework with particle expectation-maximization.
result Model consistently reduces recovery bias under partial observation.
Paper introduces OMD for ordered state transitions in SSMs.
problem Modeling ordered latent states in dynamic systems.
method Ordered Matrix Dirichlet (OMD) prior over ordered stochastic matrices.
result OMD models recover interpretable ordered latent structure without sacrificing predictive performance.
Generalizes bits back coding for time-series models with latent Markov structures.
problem Efficiently compressing time-series data with latent Markov structures.
method Extends bits back coding to time-series models with latent Markov structures, including HMMs and LGSSMs.
result Effective for small scale models, promising for larger scale settings like video compression.
Paper combines latent state space with CRF for improved autoregressive text generation.
problem Autoregressive models expose hidden state trajectory to biases.
method Combines latent state space model with CRF observation model.
result Improved performance on unconditional sentence generation compared to RNN and GAN baselines.
A new model for time series using discrete latent states.
problem Efficiently modeling time series data with discrete latent states.
method A Markov chain-based model for training high-dimensional discrete latent data.
result Improved performance on time series datasets.
This paper introduces a new neural ODE model for continuous-time sequence generation.
problem Representing and predicting continuous-time sequences with high accuracy.
method A neural emission model and neural ODE define the latent state evolution, with an Energy-based model for prior distribution.
result The model outperforms existing methods in various tasks, including long-horizon predictions.
This paper reviews deep learning methods for state space models.
problem Analyzing temporal dynamics in dynamical systems.
method Selective review of deep neural network approaches for state space models.
result Unified perspective on discrete and continuous time SSMs.
Paper introduces TSSDMN for modeling dynamic multilayer networks.
problem Capturing temporal and cross-layer dynamics in multilayer networks.
method Tensor State Space Model (TSSDMN) using symmetric Tucker decomposition.
result TSSDMN uniquely captures temporal dynamics within and across layers.
GLAD improves latent graph generation by quantizing discrete latent space.
problem Latent space graph generative models lack performance and make unnatural assumptions.
method Adapting diffusion bridges to a discrete latent space, avoiding data space decompositions.
result GLAD achieves competitive performance on graph benchmark datasets.
Bayesian model detects altered neural circuits in MCI patients.
problem Detecting altered neural circuits in Mild Cognitive Impairment patients.
method Hierarchical Bayesian recurrent state space model.
result Model discovers latent states predominantly observed in MCI patients.
We describe a Markov latent state space (MLSS) model, where the latent state distribution is a decaying mixture over multiple past states. We present a simple sampling algorithm that allows to approximate such high-order MLSS with fixed time and memory costs.
This work studies learning dynamics in SSMs, linking them to deep linear networks.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of SSMs, especially in deep state spaces.
method Analyzes learning dynamics of linear SSMs, focusing on frequency domain, and establishes links to deep linear networks.
result Analytical solutions for SSM learning dynamics under mild assumptions, linking to deep linear networks.
Predict genetic inheritance patterns using hypergraphs and latent models.
problem Diagnosing inherited diseases requires identifying family genetic patterns.
method Represent family trees as hypergraphs, use latent state space models for causal inference.
result Allows for explainable predictions of patient genotypes based on relatives' phenotypes.
New method for efficient Bayesian inference in GPSSMs.
problem Challenges in inference for Gaussian process state-space models.
method Free-form variational inference with stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Our method learns transition dynamics and latent states more accurately than competing methods.
A novel method uses GPLFMs for joint input-state estimation in linear structural systems.
problem Combined state and input estimation of linear structural systems.
method Gaussian process latent force models (GPLFMs) combined with Kalman filters.
result GPLFMs outperform conventional Kalman filters in state and input estimation.
Solves high-dimensional observation learning for control models.
problem Learning dynamics from high-dimensional images is challenging.
method Proposes a Beta DVBF approach to handle latent and observable space discrepancies.
result Demonstrates improved model learning from high-dimensional observations.
This paper uses Factored Latent Analysis (FLA) to learn a factorized, segmental representation for observations of tracked objects over time. Factored Latent Analysis is latent class analysis in which the observation space is subdivided and each aspect of the original space is represented by a separate latent class mod…
CADD improves generative quality by augmenting discrete diffusion with continuous latent space.
problem Loss of semantic information between denoising steps in discrete diffusion models.
method Introduces a framework that augments discrete state space with a continuous latent space, allowing for graded, informative masked tokens.
result CADD improves generative quality across text generation, image synthesis, and code modeling.
Efficient RL in large POMDPs with latent determinism and embeddings.
problem Efficient reinforcement learning in large-scale POMDPs with latent states and observations.
method Conditional Hilbert space embeddings, linear optimal Q-function, deterministic latent transitions, gap assumption. result Computationally and statistically efficient algorithm for exact optimal policy.
ROAD-EnKFs use learned low-dimensional models to improve state reconstruction and forecasting.
problem Reconstructing and forecasting states of unknown or expensive systems.
method Learned low-dimensional surrogate models and ensemble Kalman filter integration.
result ROAD-EnKFs achieve higher accuracy at lower computational cost than existing methods.
New algorithm infers trajectories from partial observations using optimal transport.
problem Inferring trajectories from partial observations of coupled systems.
method Extends MFL algorithm to latent SDEs using observable state space models and partial observations.
result Experiments show significant outperformance over latent-free baseline.
We introduce Deep Variational Bayes Filters (DVBF), a new method for unsupervised learning and identification of latent Markovian state space models. Leveraging recent advances in Stochastic Gradient Variational Bayes, DVBF can overcome intractable inference distributions via variational inference. Thus, it can handle …
New method uses Diffusion Maps for latent space modeling of dynamical systems.
problem Building reduced dynamical models from time series data.
method Two rounds of Diffusion Maps on latent coordinates, with lifting back to ambient space.
result Approximation of full state functions in reduced coordinates.
LatentTrack generates model parameters online for nonstationary data.
problem Online probabilistic prediction under nonstationary dynamics.
method Sequential neural architecture with latent filtering and amortized inference.
result Consistently lower negative log-likelihood and mean squared error than baselines.
Model predicts patient trajectories and interventions from EMR data.
problem Forecasting patient outcomes from EMR data.
method Deep state space generative model capturing latent state dynamics.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real EMR data.
HSMC improves SSM inference and model learning for nonlinear datasets.
problem Inference and model learning of nonlinear state space models.
method Hamiltonian Sequential Monte Carlo (HSMC) augmented with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) on Riemannian manifold.
result HSMC can approximate the posterior of latent states arbitrarily well and improve SSMs realized by GP and NN.
Improves state space models' resistance to noise.
problem State space models' initialization assumes noise-free data, which is often violated.
method Uncertainty-aware initialization for state space models, reformulating HiPPO with measurement noise.
result Improves model resistance to noise at training and inference time.
Unified approach for learning state representations from streaming data.
problem Learning reusable state representations from high-dimensional, non-stationary data.
method Unified mathematical formulation for learning latent relations, enabling flexible and principled shaping of latent space.
result Improved understanding and evaluation of existing unsupervised learning approaches.
Meta-learning technique bypasses data limitations by optimizing latent space.
problem Challenges in gradient-based meta-learning with high-dimensional parameter spaces in low-data regimes.
method Learning a latent generative representation of model parameters and performing meta-learning in this low-dimensional space.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on few-shot classification tasks.
A new method for efficient inference in sequential latent-variable models.
problem Computational challenges in integrating subject-specific random effects.
method Anchored variational inference framework to approximate posterior distributions.
result The method achieves accurate estimation with significant computational gains.
Paper learns hidden dynamics of partially observed chaotic systems for forecasting.
problem Data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed chaotic systems.
method Neural-network-based augmented state-space model for ODE representation learning.
result Reveals relevance to state-of-the-art approaches in short-term and long-term forecasting.
Novel method learns time series dynamics without reconstruction.
problem Learning nonlinear stochastic dynamics from video data.
method Recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM) using maximum likelihood.
result Outperforms alternatives on nonlinear stochastic dynamics learning.
New method infers hidden states in continuous-time phenomena better than traditional models.
problem Traditional HSMM's are limited to discrete time grids and cannot handle irregularly spaced data.
method Formulated integro-differential forward and backward equations for CTSMC's, introduced scalable Viterbi-type algorithm.
result Efficiently solved equations for posterior marginals and path estimates.
Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.
problem Pricing crude oil futures using latent factors and state-space models.
method Modelled short and long term factors as OU processes, estimated using Kalman Filter and maximised Gaussian likelihood.
result Successfully estimated model parameters and factors from WTI Crude Oil NYMEX futures data.
VLBM learns MDP transitions from limited data, improving OPE performance.
problem Limited coverage of state and action space in offline trajectories.
method VLBM uses variational inference with RSA and branching architecture.
result VLBM outperforms existing OPE methods on deep OPE benchmark.
This paper benchmarks speech LVMs against deterministic models and adapts a video model to speech.
problem Speech generation models are inferior to deterministic models.
method Developed a speech benchmark of LVMs and compared them against deterministic models.
result The Clockwork VAE outperforms previous LVMs and reduces the gap to deterministic models.
Framework simplifies vision-based control and goal discovery.
problem Learning proportional control from visual data.
method Introduces NewtonianVAE for proportional control and goal discovery.
result Dramatic simplification and acceleration of vision-based controllers.
Latent force models (LFM) are principled approaches to incorporating solutions to differential equations within non-parametric inference methods. Unfortunately, the development and application of LFMs can be inhibited by their computational cost, especially when closed-form solutions for the LFM are unavailable, as is …
Proposes DLGPD model to learn dynamics from images for planning.
problem Planning in unknown, indirectly observable environments.
method Deep latent Gaussian process dynamics model trained jointly with neural networks.
result Demonstrates improved data efficiency and transfer learning.