Proposes iVDFM for identifying latent factors in multivariate time series.
problem Identifying latent factors in multivariate time series with structural dynamics.
method Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM) with iVAE-style conditioning.
result Identifiable latent factors up to permutation and component-wise affine transformations.
Fractal Flow enhances normalizing flows with interpretable latent space and hierarchical modeling.
problem High-dimensional density estimation and generative modeling challenges.
method Integrates topic modeling (LDA) and fractal strategy into normalizing flows.
result Achieves latent clustering, controllable generation, and superior estimation accuracy.
We forecast S&P 500 excess returns using a flexible Bayesian econometric state space model with non-Gaussian features at several levels. More precisely, we control for overparameterization via novel global-local shrinkage priors on the state innovation variances as well as the time-invariant part of the state space mod…
LatentFlow simplifies conditioning of stochastic processes without training.
problem Intractable conditional laws for complex stochastic models.
method Writing stochastic process as latent innovation, reducing conditioning to latent-space inference.
result Exact conditional sampling across various model classes.
Twitmo analyzes geo-tagged Twitter data for topic modeling and visualization.
problem Analyzing public discourse on Twitter for various topics, parties, or individuals.
method Collects and preprocesses geo-tagged Tweets, applies LDA, CTM, STM, and visualizes results.
result Automatic pooling of Tweets into pseudo-documents improves topic coherence.
FMI uses matching to mimic interventions for causal feature learning.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational data.
method Feature Matching Intervention (FMI) using matching to emulate perfect interventions.
result FMI outperforms in identifying causal features from observational data.
HYVINT generates hypergraphs with intensity-driven incidence formation and variational learning.
problem Challenges in generating hypergraphs with mechanistic interpretation and limited latent space.
method HYVINT uses intensity-driven incidence formation and a lower-bound variational estimator for latent representations.
result HYVINT achieves strong fidelity and novelty on synthetic and real-world hypergraphs.
Paper uses Gaussian processes to handle shared latent confounders in causal inference.
problem Bias in causal effect estimates due to shared latent confounders.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model, Gaussian processes with structured latent confounders (GP-SLC), Monte Carlo inference algorithm.
result GP-SLC provides accurate estimates of individual treatment effects with minimal assumptions.
Improved neural population modeling using shared features and ensemble detection.
problem Missing shared coding properties in neural latent variable models.
method Feature sharing across tuning curves and soft clustering of neurons.
result More interpretable and better-performing neural population models.
The paper tackles transfer learning for growing matrix representations, improving estimation accuracy.
problem Structured matrix estimation under growing ambient dimensions and latent representations.
method Proposes a general transfer framework decomposing target parameters into embedded source components, low-rank innovations, and sparse edits. Develops an anchored alternating projection estimator.
result Establishes deterministic error bounds that separate target noise, representation growth, and source estimation error, yielding improved rates.
Enhances interpretability of linear latent spaces through automated clustering and ranking.
problem Severe interpretability issues in latent directions of PCA, ICA, CCA, and FA.
method LS-PIE framework automates clustering and ranking of latent vectors.
result Enhanced interpretability of latent vectors through LR, LS, LC, and LCON.
An ADRC-incorporated SGD algorithm improves latent factor analysis speed and accuracy.
problem Slow convergence in standard SGD for HDI matrix analysis.
method Incorporates ADRC principles to refine historical and future learning error states.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art LFA models in HDI matrix prediction.
Lower bound for VAE training objective for binary data.
problem Finding a lower bound for the ELBO of Bernoulli VAE.
method Interpretable lower bound, modified initialization, faster training architecture, PCA for latent space dimension.
result Theoretical result and improved performance of new architecture.
Tensor networks improve anomaly detection at LHC for new physics.
problem Identifying new phenomena in proton collision events at LHC.
method Tensor network-based anomaly detection using Matrix Product State with an isometric feature map.
result Tensor networks outperform established quantum methods in identifying new phenomena.
A new robust PCA method uses Innovation Search and Leverage Scores.
problem Outlier detection and robust PCA in data clustering.
method Innovation Search and Leverage Scores.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees and outperforms existing algorithms.
We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting from a discrete-time stochastic volatility model, we derive a recurrence equati…
IAE extracts innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
problem Extracting innovations sequences for non-Gaussian processes.
method Causal convolutional neural network.
result IAE effectively detects anomalies in non-Gaussian data.
Paper introduces a new method to improve learning on imbalanced regression problems.
problem Imbalanced distribution learning in predictive modeling reduces standard algorithms' performance.
method The paper proposes a novel method using disentangled VAEs and Smoothed Bootstrap in the latent space.
result The method improves learning on tabular data within the Imbalanced Regression framework.
Affinity propagation is one of the most effective unsupervised pattern recognition algorithms for data clustering in high-dimensional feature space. However, the numerous attempts to test its performance for community detection in complex networks have been attaining results very far from the state of the art methods s…
New framework IIA identifies innovations in general nonlinear vector autoregressive processes.
problem Limited generality of NVAR models due to additive innovation assumption.
method Independent Innovation Analysis (IIA) framework, assuming mutual independence and modulation by an auxiliary variable.
result Guarantees identifiability of innovations with arbitrary nonlinearities, up to permutation and component-wise invertible nonlinearities.
For long time the measurement of innovation has been in the forefront of policy makers' and researchers' agenda worldwide. Therefore, there is an ongoing debate about which indicators should be used to measure innovation. Recent approaches have favoured the use of composite innovation indicators. However, there is no c…
iSearch uses innovation directions for robust PCA and outlier detection.
problem Robust PCA and outlier detection in data with outliers.
method iSearch uses innovation directions to compute optimal data points and identify outliers.
result iSearch provides robust PCA and outlier detection with performance guarantees.
Machine learning models predict which ideas will be innovated based on subjective perspectives.
problem Predicting high-impact innovation based on subjective perspectives and interpersonal innovation opportunities.
method Quantifying subjective perspectives and their interaction based on innovator positions within a geometric space of concepts.
result Subjective perspectives predict which ideas individuals and groups will creatively attend to and successfully combine in the future.
The present research aims to highlight the main factors influencing the development of entrepreneurial innovation in a rural environment and to perform an empirical study with the purpose of assessing the main problems in rural development. The research performed is mostly of a quantitative nature, being based on the u…
DMSTF models spatio-temporal data with deep Markov priors.
problem Analyzing nonlinear multimodal spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization with stochastic variational inference.
result DMSTF outperforms other methods in predictive performance and clustering.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
problem Encouraging green technology innovation in Chinese companies.
method Quasi-experimental research using panel data of Chinese listed companies, double difference model.
result Margin trading and short selling increase green tech innovation significantly.
Innovation is among the key factors driving a country's economic and social growth. But what are the factors that make a country innovative? How do they differ across different parts of the world and different stages of development? In this work done in collaboration with the World Economic Forum (WEF), we analyze the …
Nanotechnology is the first major worldwide research initiative of the 21st century and probably is the solution vector in the economic environment. Also, innovation is widely recognized as a key factor in the economic development of nations, and is essential for the competitiveness of the industrial firms as well. Pol…
The analysis of the theoretical material revealed the lack of consensus on defini-tion of the tax stimulation of innovation-active business entities within the re-gional taxation. The definition tax stimulation of innovation-active business en-tities is specified.
Study a dual risk model with innovation delays, focusing on ruin probability and time.
problem Analyzing risk models with innovation delays affecting ruin probability and time.
method Delayed dual risk model with innovation delays, focusing on ruin probability and time.
result Closed-form formulas for ruin probability and time in some special cases.
A new model predicts financial volatility across firms using spatial correlations.
problem Predicting financial volatility across firms in a network.
method Heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model with local likelihood estimation.
result The model captures spatial spillovers and contagion effects in financial networks.
Study LASSO for high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.
problem Understanding sparse regularization in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.
method LASSO estimation for weakly sparse VAR models with heavy tailed innovations, under L1 mixingale condition. result Oracle properties of LASSO estimation in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.
Paper tightens variational GP approximations for large datasets.
problem Scaling Gaussian processes to large datasets.
method Relaxing the standard assumption about inducing points' posterior matching the prior, leading to a tighter variational approximation.
result The proposed approximation consistently matches or outperforms standard sparse variational GPs while maintaining computational cost.
Develops inequalities for high-dimensional linear processes with dependent innovations.
problem Estimating high-dimensional VAR(p) systems and HAC covariance estimation.
method Concentration inequalities for l∞ norm of vector linear processes with sub-Weibull, mixingale innovations. result Obtained concentration bounds for the maximum entrywise norm of lag-h autocovariance matrices. This research quantifies cross-sectoral inequalities using latent class analysis.
problem Addressing multiple and intersecting forms of inequality in various sectors.
method Innovative latent class analysis approach to quantify discrepancies.
result Significant discrepancies found among minority ethnic groups and between them and non-minority groups.
We consider a network of interacting agents and we model the process of choice on the adoption of a given innovative product by means of statistical-mechanics tools. The modelization allows us to focus on the effects of direct interactions among agents in establishing the success or failure of the product itself. Mimic…
The paper explores how innovative financing solutions boost Moroccan businesses' performance.
problem Market volatility, ecological transitions, and technological change pose challenges to business sustainability.
method Examines innovative financing solutions like venture capital, green finance, crowdfunding, and blockchain.
result Embracing innovative financial strategies can transform business challenges into opportunities.
CausalBGM uses AI to infer causal effects from complex data.
problem Challenges in causal inference with high-dimensional covariates.
method AI-powered Bayesian generative modeling approach to estimate individual treatment effects.
result CausalBGM consistently outperforms existing methods in high-dimensional scenarios.
Study analyzes climate-tech investments across 14 sectors.
problem Accelerating climate-tech innovation in nascent value chains.
method Analysis of 4,172 firms and 12,929 investments over 15 years.
result Only 15% of firms develop end products, 59% support them, and 26% develop services.
Innovation is to organizations what evolution is to organisms: it is how organisations adapt to changes in the environment and improve. Governments, institutions and firms that innovate are more likely to prosper and stand the test of time; those that fail to do so fall behind their competitors and succumb to market an…
Study reveals similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.
problem Understanding the dynamics of drug pipelines in global pharmaceutical industry.
method Multilayer network analysis of drug pipeline, global supply chain, and ownership data.
result Proven similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.
Prior work finds a diversity paradox: diversity breeds innovation, and yet, underrepresented groups that diversify organizations have less successful careers within them. Does the diversity paradox hold for scientists as well? We study this by utilizing a near-population of ~1.2 million US doctoral recipients from 1977…
Improved IFA with Generative Adversarial Networks for high-dimensional latent variables.
problem Limited expressiveness of traditional VAEs in high-dimensional latent variable modeling.
method Introducing Adversarial Variational Bayes (AVB) and Importance-weighted Adversarial Variational Bayes (IWAVB) algorithms.
result IWAVB demonstrated superior expressiveness and higher likelihood compared to IWAE.
Deep learning detects novel changes in time series data.
problem Detecting novel changes in time series with unknown probability structures.
method Causally extracts an innovations sequence for novelty detection.
result Minimax optimality established for the novelty detection method.
New method uncovers small but significant local activities in time-series data.
problem Reconstructing small but important local activities in time-series data.
method Neural state-space models with latent causal-effect disentanglement.
result Demonstrated proof-of-concept on reconstructing ectopic foci in cardiac electrical propagation.
Green startups in Italy survive longer than non-green ones.
problem Survival of innovative startups in Italy.
method Comparative analysis of green vs. non-green startups in Italy, 2009-2018.
result Green startups are more than twice as likely to survive than non-green ones.
A new algorithm learns causal relationships from multimodal data.
problem Discovering causal relationships in exploratory settings without prior information.
method causalPIMA algorithm using multimodal data and physics constraints.
result Learned causal structure and key features in fully unsupervised settings.
Method combines latent space exploration and causal inference to interpret unknown data.
problem Interpreting unknown communication system of sperm whales.
method Causal disentanglement with extreme values (CDEV) combining latent variable manipulation and causal inference.
result Sperm whales encode information using click number, timing regularity, and audio properties.