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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for latent factor regression

Enhances time-series regression trees with latent factors for robust financial analysis.

problem Handling predictors with measurement error, trends, seasonality, and missing data.
method Integrates latent stationary factors extracted via state-space methods into time-series regression trees.
result Factor-augmented trees provide a reliable approach for macro-finance problems, exemplified by the lead-lag effect between equity volatility and the business cycle.

ATLAS separates invariant and transferable latent factors across diverse environments.

problem Transfer learning and robust prediction in heterogeneous environments.
method ATLAS leverages invariance principle to disentangle latent factors and uses auxiliary labels for robust prediction.
result Near-oracle performance and robust transferable prediction in new environments.

This study analyzes prediction risk for PCR method in latent factor regression models.

problem Prediction risk analysis in latent factor regression models.
method Adaptive PCR method with risk bounds established under factor regression model.
result Unified framework for analyzing various linear prediction methods under factor regression.

Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.

problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.

Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter improves forecasting efficiency for nonlinear dependencies.

problem Forecasting with high-dimensional predictors and latent factors.
method Developed a new estimator, Kernel Three-Pass Regression Filter (K3PRF), to address nonlinear dependencies.
result Empirically shows significant improvement in long-term forecasting performance.

Paper develops a new estimator for high-dimensional panel data with common shocks.

problem Cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks in high-dimensional panel data.
method Factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator combining MIDAS aggregation with latent factors.
result The estimator outperforms standard LASSO for prediction and estimation in settings with cross-sectional dependence.

The Matrix Factorization models, sometimes called the latent factor models, are a family of methods in the recommender system research area to (1) generate the latent factors for the users and the items and (2) predict users' ratings on items based on their latent factors. However, current Matrix Factorization models p…

2017-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A neural network model tackles high-dimensional data with latent structures.

problem Modeling high-dimensional data with latent low-dimensional structures.
method Integrates PCA and Soft PCA layers into neural network architecture for factor modeling and non-linear transformations.
result Demonstrates improved performance in forecasting and nowcasting with real-world data.

SOFARI improves inference on multi-task learning latent factors.

problem Challenges in precise inference on multi-task learning latent factor matrices.
method High-dimensional manifold-based Neyman near-orthogonality inference on Stiefel manifold structure.
result Easy-to-use bias-corrected estimators for latent factor vectors and singular values with asymptotic normal distributions.

Proposes FarmHazard model for hazard regression with correlated covariates.

problem Model selection challenges in high-dimensional data with correlated covariates.
method Factor-Augmented Regularized Model for Hazard Regression (FarmHazard) that learns latent factors and idiosyncratic components.
result Proves model selection and estimation consistency under mild conditions.

Paper proposes MIM-DRCFR to learn disentangled factors for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Learning disentangled factors precisely for individual-level treatment effect estimation.
method Multi-task learning framework with MI minimization criteria.
result MIM-DRCFR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in treatment effect estimation.

In high-dimensional data, structured noise caused by observed and unobserved factors affecting multiple target variables simultaneously, imposes a serious challenge for modeling, by masking the often weak signal. Therefore, (1) explaining away the structured noise in multiple-output regression is of paramount importanc…

2014-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This work provides uncertainty intervals for semantic latent variables in disentangled latent spaces.

problem Challenges in providing meaningful uncertainty quantification for semantic information in disentangled latent spaces.
method Uses quantile regression to output heuristic uncertainty intervals, calibrates these intervals to contain true latent values, and propagates them through the generator.
result Reliably communicates semantically meaningful, principled, and instance-adaptive uncertainty in image super-resolution and image completion.

We consider the problem of multivariate regression in a setting where the relevant predictors could be shared among different responses. We propose an algorithm which decomposes the coefficient matrix into the product of a long matrix and a wide matrix, with an elastic net penalty on the former and an 1\ell_1 penalty …

2015-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Discriminative latent-variable models are typically learned using EM or gradient-based optimization, which suffer from local optima. In this paper, we develop a new computationally efficient and provably consistent estimator for a mixture of linear regressions, a simple instance of a discriminative latent-variable mode…

2013-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.

problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.

A scalable framework selects top factors from CAE latent factors for better portfolio optimization.

problem Limited latent factor dimension in CAE models degrades performance.
method Couple high-dimensional CAE with uncertainty-aware factor selection.
result Pruning strategy delivers substantial gains in risk-adjusted performance.

A new beta-VAE based regression model accelerates oilfield optimization studies.

problem Computational expense of full-physics reservoir simulations.
method beta-VAE for interpretable latent space representation, probabilistic dense layers for uncertainty quantification.
result Interpretable latent representation and quantified uncertainty for optimization decisions.

Study improves prediction of commodity futures using multi-factor model.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting commodity futures prices.
method State-space functional regression model incorporating yield curve dynamics.
result Functional regression model outperforms Schwartz-Smith model in estimating short-end of futures curve.

DSARF models complex spatio-temporal data with deep switching auto-regressive factors.

problem Forecasting complex spatio-temporal data with recurring patterns.
method Deep switching auto-regressive factorization (DSARF) with stochastic variational inference.
result DSARF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in long- and short-term prediction accuracy.

The paper reviews identifiability in linear and nonlinear models, from Gaussian to non-Gaussian.

problem Identifiability issues in latent-variable and structural-equation models, especially in nonlinear cases.
method Review of identifiability theory for linear and nonlinear models, including factor analysis and structural equation models.
result Even nonparametric nonlinear models can be estimated with additional assumptions.

We develop a novel "decouple-recouple" dynamic predictive strategy and contribute to the literature on forecasting and economic decision making in a data-rich environment. Under this framework, clusters of predictors generate different latent states in the form of predictive densities that are later synthesized within …

2018-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for disentangled VAEs improves latent space interpretability.

problem Challenges in evaluating and interpreting latent representations, especially for diverse data types.
method Unified bfVAE framework, FVH-LT, DBSR-LS, GAS, LSSI.
result bfVAE provides more favorable trade-off between disentanglement and reconstruction.

Proposes MD-LiNA for multi-domain latent factor causal discovery.

problem Discovering causal structures among latent factors from multi-domain data.
method Multi-Domain Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Models (MD-LiNA) with an integrated two-phase algorithm.
result Locally consistent estimators of causal structure among shared latent factors.

Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.

problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.

The paper develops a method to model high-dimensional data with many variables and weak signals.

problem Modeling high-dimensional dependent data with many explanatory variables and low signal-to-noise ratio.
method Penalized regression for high-dimensional data, factor modeling of residuals, high-dimensional white noise testing, projected Principal Component Analysis.
result Established asymptotic properties of the proposed method for high-dimensional data.

Sparse GFA identifies disease factors in FTD subgroups.

problem Heterogeneity in neurological disorders hinders understanding and treatment.
method Sparse Group Factor Analysis (GFA) with regularised horseshoe priors.
result Identified latent disease factors differentially expressed in FTD subgroups.

Develops a high-dimensional differentially-private EM algorithm with near-optimal statistical guarantees.

problem Designing differentially-private EM algorithms for high-dimensional latent variable models.
method Noisy iterative hard-thresholding, statistical guarantees, near-optimal convergence rates.
result Near-optimal statistical guarantees and minimax rate optimality in high-dimensional settings.

Model captures system input variations in latent space for actionable dynamics.

problem Learning dynamical systems from data without prescribing a mathematical model.
method Structured latent ODE model with stochastic factors of variation for each input.
result Improves generation of time-series data and inference of system inputs over baselines.

Proposes FATTNN for tensor-on-tensor regression with improved prediction and reduced computation.

problem Tensor-on-tensor regression with complex tensor structures and nonlinear relationships.
method Integrates tensor factor models into deep neural networks to handle nonlinearity and reduce data dimensionality.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional methods.

A scalable method for efficient inference in Gaussian process regression networks.

problem Intractable inference in Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN).
method Tensorization of output space, tensor/matrix-normal variational posteriors, joint optimization, and exploiting Kronecker product structure.
result Captures posterior dependencies and improves inference quality for large number of outputs.

Proposes iVDFM for identifying latent factors in multivariate time series.

problem Identifying latent factors in multivariate time series with structural dynamics.
method Identifiable Variational Dynamic Factor Model (iVDFM) with iVAE-style conditioning.
result Identifiable latent factors up to permutation and component-wise affine transformations.

This paper uses Factored Latent Analysis (FLA) to learn a factorized, segmental representation for observations of tracked objects over time. Factored Latent Analysis is latent class analysis in which the observation space is subdivided and each aspect of the original space is represented by a separate latent class mod…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Multitask learning algorithms are typically designed assuming some fixed, a priori known latent structure shared by all the tasks. However, it is usually unclear what type of latent task structure is the most appropriate for a given multitask learning problem. Ideally, the "right" latent task structure should be learne…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Semiparametric STAR model improves mental health data analysis.

problem Overdispersed, zero-inflated, bounded count data in self-reported mental health surveys.
method STAR transformation and rounding of latent Gaussian model, nonparametric transformation estimation, EM algorithm for maximum likelihood.
result Substantial improvements in goodness-of-fit compared to existing models.

New tests for identifying the number of latent factors in short panels with small time dimensions.

problem Determining the number of latent factors in short panels with small time dimensions.
method Eigenvalue tests based on variance-covariance matrices of asset returns, with assumptions on spherical errors or instrumental variables for factor betas.
result Established asymptotic distributional results and proposed a novel statistical test for weak factors.