A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
AnomalyCD discovers anomaly causes in large systems with binary flags, reducing computational burden.
As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature, risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on mathematical and computational tools for the quantification of such phenomena. Limiting analysis such as …
This paper optimizes slate decision systems for large action spaces.
Memory-efficient learning for large-scale imaging systems.
This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank credit network and an investment portfolio of banks. Bankruptcy reproductive ratio …
Study examines large banks' role in interbank markets using game theory.
New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.
Graph embedding methods produce unsupervised node features from graphs that can then be used for a variety of machine learning tasks. Modern graphs, particularly in industrial applications, contain billions of nodes and trillions of edges, which exceeds the capability of existing embedding systems. We present PyTorch-B…
We present Distributed Equivalent Substitution (DES) training, a novel distributed training framework for large-scale recommender systems with dynamic sparse features. DES introduces fully synchronous training to large-scale recommendation system for the first time by reducing communication, thus making the training of…
We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system interact through the empirical default rate and via systematic effects that are comm…
Unified approach to stochastic Volterra systems' deviations.
Study non-asymptotic bounds on correlation in high-dimensional linear systems, revealing invariant subspaces and bottlenecks.
The paper uses machine learning to compute rare event probabilities in stochastic systems.
Improving predictive understanding of Earth system variability and change requires data-model integration. Efficient data-model integration for complex models requires surrogate modeling to reduce model evaluation time. However, building a surrogate of a large-scale Earth system model (ESM) with many output variables i…
New limits of minimal surface systems have surprising large interior parts.
The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some systems the size of agents can be highly heterogeneous leading to very different i…
New method speeds up learning of complex dynamical systems.
We prove a law of large numbers for the loss from default and use it for approximating the distribution of the loss from default in large, potentially heterogenous portfolios. The density of the limiting measure is shown to solve a non-linear SPDE, and the moments of the limiting measure are shown to satisfy an infinit…
Bayesian regularization tackles collinearity in large-scale systems with correlated inputs.
We consider the commonly encountered situation (e.g., in weather forecasting) where the goal is to predict the time evolution of a large, spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical system when we have access to both time series data of previous system states and an imperfect model of the full system dynamics. Specifically, we …
This paper presents an analytical treatment of economic systems with an arbitrary number of agents that keeps track of the systems' interactions and agents' complexity. This formalism does not seek to aggregate agents. It rather replaces the standard optimization approach by a probabilistic description of both the enti…
GradientCoin aims to create a decentralized LLM system similar to Bitcoin.
New method recovers causal networks from short time-series data.
New principle reduces load imbalance in LLM serving systems, saving up to 52% energy.
Study finds a phase transition in flash crashes involving large and liquid stocks.
Scale of data and scale of computation infrastructures together enable the current deep learning renaissance. However, training large-scale deep architectures demands both algorithmic improvement and careful system configuration. In this paper, we focus on employing the system approach to speed up large-scale training.…
Unified model predicts stock and systemic risks from diverse financial data.
We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system dynamics should be contractive on the average with respect to the Lyapunov functi…
Gradient descent optimization improved by circuit perspective.
COSMIC identifies LTV systems from large data sets efficiently.
New approach for large-scale distributed learning systems that improve generalization performance.
We study a rolling model from the perspective of probability. More precisely, we consider a Riemannian manifold rolling against Euclidean space, where the rolling is coupled with random slipping and twisting. The system is modelled by a stochastic differential equation of Stratonovich-type driven by semimartingales, on…
Real time large scale streaming data pose major challenges to forecasting, in particular defying the presence of human experts to perform the corresponding analysis. We present here a class of models and methods used to develop an automated, scalable and versatile system for large scale forecasting oriented towards saf…
FinGPT uses LLMs for real-time market sentiment analysis.
We consider a large collection of dynamically interacting components defined on a weighted directed graph determining the impact of default of one component to another one. We prove a law of large numbers for the empirical measure capturing the evolution of the different components in the pool and from this we extract …
Bayesian approach tackles collinearity in large-scale linear system identification.
Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit portfolio. Applying a large deviation principle we compute the limiting distribut…
ISALT uses inference to simulate SDEs with large time-steps, improving efficiency.
LightAutoML automates ML for a large financial services company.
In this paper we show similarities between turbulence and financial systems. Motivated by similarities between the two systems, we construct a multiscale model for hierarchical financial structures that exhibits a constant cascade of wealth from large financial entities to small financial entities. According to our mod…
Two large medical dialogue datasets for improving healthcare.
Paper speeds up policy optimization for large recommendation systems.
Superintegrable systems on curved manifolds found to have Hessian structures.
Paper introduces models to discover complex structures in large hypergraphs.
We consider a system of diffusion processes that interact through their empirical mean and have a stabilizing force acting on each of them, corresponding to a bistable potential. There are three parameters that characterize the system: the strength of the intrinsic stabilization, the strength of the external random per…
In this paper we consider a mean-field model of interacting diffusions for the monetary reserves in which the reserves are subjected to a self- and cross-exciting shock. This is motivated by the financial acceleration and fire sales observed in the market. We derive a mean-field limit using a weak convergence analysis …
Online retailers execute a very large number of price updates when compared to brick-and-mortar stores. Even a few mis-priced items can have a significant business impact and result in a loss of customer trust. Early detection of anomalies in an automated real-time fashion is an important part of such a pricing system.…
We consider a multicast scheme recently proposed for a wireless downlink in [1]. It was shown earlier that power control can significantly improve its performance. However for this system, obtaining optimal power control is intractable because of a very large state space. Therefore in this paper we use deep reinforceme…